Best player props for Friday's MLB slate: Keuchel to fan Orioles

Dallas Keuchel MLB player props
Photo of John Hyslop

John Hyslop

MLB

Show Bio

You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

I know this is coming late and I apologize. I’m sorry I’m not sorry. The MLB player prop lines were extra tough to get a feel for today. These books are getting smarter and smarter with every day that passes so we have to crunch the numbers even harder. And that’s what I did today. Like Captain Crunch. In doing so, I found two MLB player props for tonight at plus money. That’s what I like to call the jackpot!

Don’t forget to check what our MLB analysts have backed with side and total picks for all the games today/tonight. As always, bets can be added to the card, so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action? It makes sense.

Dallas Keuchel over 3.5 strikeouts (+120)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing

I know what you’re thinking and you’re right, this guy doesn’t strike anyone out. But let’s not forget, 3.5 is not a big number to get over. Another thing to remember, we’re getting at least +115 no matter where we bet this. I chose DraftKings but FanDuel also has +120 and BetMGM has +115 so we’re good.

The bad news is, Keuchel is just not a strikeout guy at this point in his career. He only has 55 strikeouts in 90.1 innings pitched this season which is terrible for what we are trying to do here. But it is good for one thing which is fetching low totals at good prices from the books. He’s gone over 3.5 in three of his last five games and in one of those games, he was pulled with three Ks after 2.2 innings of work.

Tonight he get Baltimore and while he struck out only two of them in May, I think this time will be different. First of all, the Orioles were going through a “we’re not striking out” phase back then. They were hard to make sit down but in their last 131 at-bats, they’ve struck out 41 times. They’re strikeout kids are back and I’m here for it. The MLB player prop streets may be rough tonight but I think Keuchel gets to at least four strikeouts tonight.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Alex Cobb over 5.5 strikeouts (+110)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Alex Cobb MLB player props

© Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

I was thinking about all of our futures with this one. Let’s say Keuchel cashes in the third inning. Then what? Well I’ll tell you what – we wait for the Los Angeles Angels/Seattle Mariners game at 10:10pm ET. It’s Friday night people. Let’s stay up late.

Cobb is a guy who is all over the place but I still like him. He could get ten strikeouts or he could get pulled in the third inning with only two. It’s a party with this guy but in his last six starts, he’s fanned at least six batters in four of them. One of them was against the Seattle Mariners, whom he gets tonight.

In their last 151 at-bats, the Mariners have struck out 47 times, which works out to be around 31 percent of the time. Their biggest problem is that they can’t hit. Over the last seven days they have MLB’s worst OPS sitting at .547. That’s terrible. Jordan Montgomery just whiffed nine Mariners yesterday and James Taillon got nine of them on Tuesday. Alex Cobb should be able to whiff six of them tonight.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$125

Bet $5, Get $125 in Free Bets - Guaranteed!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up of $5 on any sport

Receive $125 in free bets regardless of the outcome of your wager

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply