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The Los Angeles Dodgers are once again beginning to look like a juggernaut. They are starting to get some of their key players back from injury, which has propelled them to six wins in their last eight contests. They are closing in on the San Francisco Giants for the best record in the National League. This evening, the Dodgers have a great opportunity to put another win on the board as they send Trevor Bauer to the hill against Kolby Allard of the Texas Rangers.
Allard has been inserted into the starting rotation after beginning the year in the bullpen. His aggregate numbers in 2021 look appealing, with a 3.41 ERA and a 3.49 FIP. However, the reason he began the year in the bullpen is because he has been known to become a predictable pitcher when having to face more than a few batters in a single appearance and he struggles to vary his pitch sequences. The Dodgers lineup is not great against left-handed pitching, but Allard is a below-average arm that Los Angeles should be able to take advantage of. Bauer is having another superb campaign. Through 13 turns in the rotation, he has posted a 2.40 ERA and a 3.00 xERA, supported by elite strikeout and walk numbers.
Even if the Dodgers experience difficulty against Allard in this one, it is hard to imagine the Rangers having much success against Bauer. If this game is close by the time the bullpens get involved, Los Angeles has a decisive advantage. This is not the best day to bet on the Dodgers, but they are significantly better than Texas across the board. Back them tonight, but make it a small play.
During the COVID-hit 2020 campaign, the Dodgers struggled mightily against left-handed pitching, and that weakness has carried over into 2021. This season, they rank only 18th in OPS and 14th in ISO against southpaws, while also striking out at an unflattering rate of 23.9 percent. That should give Allard a chance to limit the damage done against him.
If Bauer can deliver a strong outing against a Rangers lineup that ranks 23rd in OPS against right-handed pitching, eight runs seems to be a tall order for a night game played at Dodger Stadium. The under has value, but there is still quite a bit of risk, considering Allard’s career struggles as a starter in the big leagues. Make it a small play if you are wagering.
Under 7.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
The Jays and Red Sox still have one more game on Monday to close the series. Toronto got a great bounce-back win on Saturday, thanks to yet another home run from 1B Vlad Guerrero Jr. He was not alone either as the Jays hit five home runs on Saturday to get the win. They are still trying to sort out their bullpen but the group backed up Steven Matz in the win. It is going to be one day at a time for the pen, probably for the rest of the season.
Boston has a pretty simple formula, score more than three runs and they win. Only three times all season long have they scored more than three runs and lost a ballgame so when they only scored a couple on Saturday the loss was to be expected. For all of their success this season they are only three games over .500 at Fenway Park. I know that doesn’t quite jive with the offensive numbers but it is true.
On the surface, it might just look like Robbie Ray is having a good season, but he has been much better than that. Last year in 20 innings with the Jays he gave up 14 walks. This year he has given up 14 walks in 64 innings. That improvement makes him one of the toughest pitchers to beat in the American League. Martin Perez has been a fade for me most of his career. He has pitched well for Boston but got hit hard in his last start against Houston. The Astros have a similar lineup to Toronto, with lots of quality right-handed hitters so I worry it will happen again on Sunday. I love the Jays to beat up on Perez while Ray holds the offense below that magic three-run mark.
Take Toronto.
For this one, I am leaning heavily on the Jays big bats. Guerrero has homered in both games of the series and the way he is swinging the bat he can certainly keep that up. I love the Jays against any lefthanded pitcher and facing Perez at a park like Fenway looks like a gift. While I do think the Jays can put up some crooked numbers and like Ray to pitch well the middle innings have been a challenge all season long. Toronto might need to score seven or more just to make sure the bullpen can’t blow it like they did on Friday night.
Take the over (10 available at publishing)
Heading into Sunday action the Rockies were the worst road team in the Majors, 5-26. They dropped the first two games of the series giving up 21 runs combined. Usually, the pitching gets a break when they leave Coors Field, but that has not been the case this season. The hitting and pitching have both been poor on the road so it is no surprise the Rockies have struggled.
For Cincinnati, the outfield duo of Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos continues to impress. Also, on Friday night Joey Votto hit a homer for the second night in a row. If he can keep improving this lineup becomes that much more dangerous. They were 4th in scoring and home runs heading into the weekend without him doing much. They can definitely stay there if he helps balance what could be some regression from others.
The Rockies are hoping that Antonio Senzatela can pitch well again on the road. Against the Marlins he struck out eight batters on Monday. He is more a ground ball pitcher though and it will be important to keep the ball down at Cincinnati. Cincinnati is going to give the ball to one of its top prospects Tony Santillan. The big righty had been having a lot of success at AAA and this is not too tough of a situation for a debut. Facing Major League hitters for the first time can be intimidating but maybe less so this season. I love leaning into the unfamiliarity advantage Santillan will have and facing the Rockies makes it even easier to do so. The Reds are crushing the ball too.
Take Cincinnati.
The Reds are stocked with power hitters and the Rockies have a couple of those too. The first two games of this series went over with ease thanks to Cincinnati’s hitting and I am willing to back this final game going over as well. The most likely scenario is the Reds scoring lots of runs at home like they have been most of the season, or maybe Santillan struggles in his debut and the Rockies put a bunch on the board too.. Either way the over is the value play on Sunday.
Take the over (9.5 available at publishing)
Seattle has some interesting hitting splits that are going to be tough to win with. They can hit homers (16th) but they are last in the league in batting average and OPS. The Mariners thought they had enough scoring on Saturday but the bullpen collapsed late, blowing a four-run lead before losing in extra innings. This team definitely does not have enough talent to squander opportunities like that.
The Indians come from behind win on Saturday gives them a great chance to complete a series sweep on Sunday. Rookie 1B Bobbie Bradley is proving to be a great find and has hits in four of five games with more than half of those going for extra bases. Every bit of offense helps for this pitching-rich team. With enough hitting this team can be in the race all season long.
The Mariners are hoping Logan Gilbert can be a part of the rotation going forward. His numbers are not great this season but he has looked better in his two most recent starts. Cleveland hit him hard in his MLB debut on May 13 – two homers in just four innings. Facing Shane Bieber is going to make it tough for Gilbert to beat Cleveland this time around no matter how well he pitches. Bieber has cooled after a hot start and you have to wonder if he might have been doing “something” to the ball too as he has only 12 total strikeouts over two starts in July. Even though Bieber might not be at his best he is a tough arm to fade, especially in a game against a light-hitting team like Seattle.
Take Cleveland.
Shane Bieber won the Cy Young last season and has been leading in strikeouts this year. He has been a little off of late though, so I am not expecting him to have his most dominant game of the year. I love the offensive momentum the Indians have from yesterday where they scored all five of their runs after the seventh inning. Look for that to carry over into this one. I am looking for Bieber to give up a few runs and then have the bullpen shut it down after that. The Indians get the five runs or more needed to get this one over off of Gilbert and Co.
Take the over. (7.5 available at publishing)
The biggest theme of MLB betting is ‘opportunity.’ That’s because of the mammoth 162 regular-season games, plus the playoffs, meaning you can have are up to 15 MLB games a day to wager on. With so many games on offer each day, it means if your MLB picks get hot, you can really build up your bankroll quickly. It also means that if you have a not-so-great day at the sportsbook window, you can get right back on the horse the next day instead of dwelling on it for a week as you would with the NFL for example. We have MLB picks on every game, every day from opening day through to the World Series itself.
There are 2,430 total games in the MLB regular season and our expert MLB picks provide insight and analysis including an MLB Expert Pick for every game, if you’re looking for the best MLB bets today we have you covered.
We offer our MLB expert picks throughout the 6-month MLB season with great success. We have you covered with Today’s MLB Picks, available for all of the MLB games today. Our MLB picks cover the marquee matchups as well as the under-the-radar plays away from the spotlights where you often find tremendous value. Pitching matchups, weather, injuries, travel schedule, and many other factors are all taken into account to find the best MLB picks in all of the MLB games today.
MLB picks provide a real test across such an action-packed and long season. The age-old cliche of it being a marathon and not a sprint is most applicable to MLB picks during the 2,430 game season.
Our experts spend hours researching and analyzing all of the key information such as statistics, pitchers, team news, weather, travel, and more before making our MLB picks for every game of the 2021 MLB season.
With 2,340 regular season matches, and an entire MLB postseason to breakdown, the level of detail required for long-term wagering success is huge. That’s where our experts shine, we do the research so you don’t have to, bringing you a full game preview and the best free MLB picks for every game of the 2021 season.
The most popular way to bet on MLB is via the Moneyline. This means games are basically handicapped based on each of the team’s starting pitchers. “Sure thing” pitchers such as Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw are going to cost you, often requiring a $200 or more wager to make $100 (-200). Finding an even pitching matchup or one of those stud pitchers that may be fatigued and going against them is the best way to make money in MLB betting. Our free MLB money line picks help you identify these profitable matchups for every game of the baseball season.
The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’. Many bettors feel there isn’t as much value laying -200 on an all-star caliber pitcher because even elite pitchers can turn the game over to his bullpen who will subsequently blow the game and cost them the win. Therefore betting on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB prices compared to the Moneyline. A Clayton Kershaw pick on the ML (win outright) for example might be -240 but betting that same game to win by 2 runs or more (run line) could be priced at -120. MLB run line betting works in the opposite way too. There are a lot of 1-run games in baseball and betting on a team +1.5 runs is a great way to string together wagering wins if you think teams can keep games close.
There’s no other sport where the stadiums and the weather are so crucial to the scoring as the MLB. This is why our free MLB picks on the totals see almost as much wagering from the public as each side of the game itself.
The dimensions of the MLB parks are also different and need to be factored in when making your MLB picks. Coors Field for example is located in the high altitude of Denver, Colorado which means it’s not unlikely to see scores similar to 11-8 three or four times a week. Minute Maid Park in Houston for example has a left-field wall that is just 315 feet from home plate compared to AT&T Park in San Francisco that has a right-center field alley of 421 feet.
Weather is a major factor when picking our MLB picks today. The ball travels better on 92 degree Summer days in Arlington, Texas, or when the wind is blowing out to left field at 23 MPH at Wrigley Field in Chicago. So before you head to the window make sure you check the weather report to give your ticket the best chance of cashing, particularly with those MLV Totals picks.
Our experts do all of this research and analysis for you and our accompanying match preview will detail all of the key factors in making our MLB Totals Picks for each game.
There are numerous ways to have success betting on MLB. For example, if you are confident in a team’s starting pitching but have reservations on their bullpen and relievers, sportsbooks offer the first 5 innings lines.
Also if you are really confident in a particular matchup you can bet on alternate run lines or taking a team to win by -2.5 or even -3.5 runs with increasing payouts. Another fun way to essentially bet on all MLB games of the day at once is with a grand salami wager, in which you’re wagering on the over/under for total runs scored in all games on a given day. There’s plenty of fun to be had on a daily basis with our MLB picks.
The 2021 MLB Schedule sees a welcome to return to somewhat a normal baseball season. While fans and attendances will remain limited on a state-by-state basis, baseball is back! And so is the full schedule of games.
The 2021 Major League baseball season will begin on April 1st, 2021 with all 30 Major League teams playing on opening day for the fourth consecutive year. Just five games are scheduled to be played on Friday, April 2nd but the first weekend of the season is packed, with a full 15 games on Saturday 3rd and 13 games on Sunday 4th. The 2021 MLB Schedule is certainly starting with a bang.
The inter-league schedule for 2021 will see the AL West vs. NL West, AL East vs. NL East, and AL Central vs. NL Central. One key takeaway from the inter-league schedule is that the New York Mets will host the New York Yankees at Citi Field across September 10th-12, 2021 – the first time the two New York sides will play each other on September 11th as the league observes the 20th anniversary.
The 2021 MLB playoffs are scheduled to start on October 5th, with a World Series start date planned for Tuesday 26th October.
Pickswise will provide expert analysis on every game of the 2021 MLB Schedule, including who we have winning the world series in 2021.
In addition to free daily MLB picks, we also provide insight into MLB playoffs betting. From wild card ‘play-in’ matchups to Game 7 of the World Series, there’s nothing quite like the excitement of October baseball. In the MLB playoffs, pitching rotations are shortened and home-field becomes an even bigger advantage but it’s important to make sure the lines reflect that. Our experts analyze every playoff game and give you their expert MLB picks to help you make the best selections in the MLB Playoffs to finish off the season strongly and in profit.
The World Series is the prize in which all 30 teams dream of winning at the start of the season, but some teams have a better chance of winning it than others. You can wager on the World Series winner as soon as the previous season concludes and the odds will fluctuate throughout the offseason in reaction to trades and both player and team news. You can also wager on your World Series picks at any stage throughout the season, with the world series odds also updated in reaction to how the season pans out. Our expert handicappers will provide analysis and expert world series picks before the season as well as highlighting value picks throughout the 2021 MLB season.
Baseball is a notoriously difficult sport to bet on day today. Teams will typically play each other in mini-series over a few days, and it’s common to see the sides split these games. Trying to find out which team is primed on any given day in a league built around parity is no easy task. To make the most informed decision about any matchup or wager requires a lot of time and research ahead of making our MLB baseball picks. Our expert handicappers will consider everything from pitching lineups, bullpen strength, the number of days on the road, player injuries, the stadium, the weather, and a whole host of advanced statistical models before making our baseball picks. With 2,340 regular-season games and up to 15 on any given day, that’s a lot of hours’ worth of research for any one person. That’s where we at Pickswise come to the fore. Our team of baseball, experts do the research for you. All of our baseball picks and free and come with full reasoning, analysis, and a confidence rating. Check out our MLB Best Bets page for our favorite plays today
