Mon 22 -7pm: Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Away Win OFF Money Line
+100
Over OFF Game Totals
+100

Money Line Pick

Two AL East rivals will kickoff a series here as the Tampa Bay Rays host the Boston Red Sox. Both these teams are fighting for wild card positioning, so this should be a good series. Boston just shockingly lost two of three to Baltimore, so they could especially use a win here. They’ll start Eduardo Rodriguez, while Jalen Beeks will take the mound for the Rays. Beeks usually only pitches a few innings although this is his first start of the season, so it’s unclear how deep they’re going to let him go. The Red Sox always seem to play well when Rodriguez pitches, and they’re 6-1 in his last seven starts, as well as 18-4 in his last 22 road outings. The Rays have slumped a bit over the past week, going just 1-5 in their last six games. Beeks has only made one start in his big league career, so I’m not sure how well he’ll fare against this Boston lineup. Take the Red Sox at nearly even money.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over a lot here. This Boston lineup has really been producing lately, and the over is 13-6 in their last 19 games. In seven of their past 16 games, they’ve scored at least eight runs, so they could easily clear nine by themselves. Rodriguez doesn’t pitch nearly as well on the road, and the over is an incredible 11-1 in his last 12 road starts. Rodriguez has made two starts against the Rays this year, and neither of them went well. Across those two outings, he has a 5.73 ERA. This one should be pretty high scoring.

Mon 22 -7pm: St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
Away Win OFF Money Line
+100
Under OFF Game Totals
+100

Money Line Pick

Pittsburgh will open up this NL Central rivalry with Trevor Williams on the mound to oppose St. Louis’ Daniel Ponce de Leon. Williams has had a rough start to July where he owns a 10.64 ERA to go with a slash line of .400/.466/.700. On the season he owns a 5.17 ERA and 4.49 FIP. Ponce de Leon has been superb for St. Louis posting a 10.44 K/9 and 3.31 BB/9, while he’s kept his ERA low as it sits at 2.80. That is a shiny ERA, but his 3.93 FIP has been more representative of how he’s been performing. Williams is dealing with some bad luck this season owning a .318 BABIP, while Ponce de Leon owns a very fortunate .234 BABIP. I’m rolling with the luckier pitcher and better bullpen here and backing St. Louis on the road.

Over Under Pick

The under has been trending for both these squads where it has hit in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games, and 8 of St. Louis’ last 11 games. In their last 10 meetings, Pittsburgh has averaged 3.90 R/G and St. Louis has been averaging 5.30 R/G, while both these squads are combining to average 16 H/G and K/G. Williams really isn’t as bad as he has been pitching, while Ponce de Leon has been pitching well, has good luck, and is getting solid defense behind him. I’m rolling with the trends here and backing this total to stay under the run threshold.

Mon 22 -7pm: Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
Away Win OFF Money Line
+100
Over OFF Game Totals
+100

Money Line Pick

Washington will be opening up this series with Erick Fedde on the mound to oppose Colorado’s Peter Lambert. Lamberts MLB career has gotten off to a rough start as he owns a 6.06 ERA and 5.97 FIP, while he’s been experiencing normal luck with a .296 BABIP. Fedde does own a shiny 3.50 ERA, but he’s been experiencing fortunate luck owning a .259 BABIP. His 5.23 FIP has been more representative of how Fedde has been pitching. Fedde owns a 4.24 ERA at home, while lefties own a 1.012 OPS against him. Colorado can fill that lineup with lefties. Lambert has been better outside of Coors where he owns a 3.00 ERA with a .667 OPS. I I don’t really trust either pitcher, but lefties have been tearing Fedde up at home so I’m rolling with Colorado and the money line.

Over Under Pick

The over has hit in 6 of their last 10 contests where Washington has averaged 4.30 R/G and Colorado has averaged 5.30 R/G. During that span these squads have combined to average 16 H/G and 17 K/G. The under has hit in 10 of Washington’s last 11 games, while the over has hit in 6 of Colorado’s last 9 games. I really don’t trust these pitchers so I’ll be backing the total to go over the run threshold.

Mon 22 -7pm: Cleveland Indians @ Toronto Blue Jays picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
Away Win Money Line
-175
Over 9.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The Cleveland Indians are entering this series with the Toronto Blue Jays hot. They’ve won seven of their last eight games, and will look to keep the momentum going with Mike Clevinger on the mound here. They’ve really been picking up steam and are gaining ground rapidly on the Twins in the AL Central, going 23-8 over their last 31 games. The Indians have even gotten it done away from home, as they’re 6-0 in their last six road games. The Blue Jays on the other hand have been struggling recently, and they’ll turn to Ryan Borucki for his first start of the season to try and get things turned around. Borucki has been out all year with an elbow injury, and only has a few minor league rehab starts under his belt. Borucki should definitely be rusty here, and the Blue Jays are just 1-5 in his last six starts anyway. I’m laying it with the Indians here.

Over Under Pick

The over also makes a lot of sense here. Borucki hasn’t pitched in the majors since last season, and there’s no way he’s that sharp here. He only started 17 games last year in his rookie season, and he had a high 1.32 WHIP. The Indians’ offense has been on fire recently, as they’ve scored 44 runs over their last seven games. They’ll get to Borucki easily, and I can see them putting up nine runs by themselves. Clevinger has only made seven starts this season due to an injury of his own, and the Indians aren’t letting him pitch particularly deep into games. Both teams should have some success offensively.

Mon 22 -8pm: Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
Home Win -1.5 Run Line
-120
Over 8.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Two AL West teams that are both hot at the moment will square off here as the Oakland Athletics visit the Houston Astros. Gerrit Cole will start for the Astros, while the newly acquired Homer Bailey takes the mound for Oakland. Simply put, Cole has been brilliant recently. In ten of his last 11 starts, Cole has given up two or fewer earned runs. He’s been even better at home, and unsurprisingly the Astros are 22-5 in Cole’s last 27 home starts. The Astros have won five straight games, and they’ve also won each of the last four times they’ve hosted Oakland. Cole has a good history against his division rival, and Houston is 5-1 in his last six starts against the A’s. Oakland has been playing well recently, but there’s no way you can take them here. With Bailey on the mound the Astros should win by multiple runs, so the run line is a safe play.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over a lot in this spot. Bailey actually had a pretty solid first start with the A’s, but he isn’t going to make it two in a row here. He had a 4.80 ERA in 18 starts with the Royals this year before being traded, and he had a 6.09 ERA with the Reds last year. Houston has one of the best lineups in the league, and they’ve scored 67 runs in their past ten games. I expect another dominant performance from this offense, and they should light up Bailey. Oakland’s lineup isn’t anything to sleep on either, and they should be able to get at least a few runs here. If they do, this one will easily clear the total.

Mon 22 -8pm: Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
Home Win Money Line
-125
Under 9.0 Game Totals
-120

Money Line Pick

Winners of five of their last six games, the Milwaukee Brewers are not about to let the Cubs run away with the National League Central. Milwaukee just took three of four at Arizona and now goes home to entertain the Reds and Cubs this week. Cincinnati finds itself nine games off the division pace after dropping each of its last four series’. Milwaukee rookie second baseman Keston Hiura has multiple hits in eight of his last 10 contests, and at least one hit in 17 of his last 19, batting .392 during this stretch. The Reds are 1-5 in their last six overall, 2-8 in their last 10 on the road, 1-5 in their last six against right-handed starters, 1-5 in their last six against opponents with winning records, and 2-5 in right-hander Sonny Gray’s last seven starts on four days of rest. Milwaukee is 4-1 in its last five after scoring at least five runs in its previous outing. A slight edge goes to the BREWERS here as the Reds just can’t get it together.

Over Under Pick

Gray is enjoying one of the best four-game stretches of his career (2-1, 1.65 ERA, and 35 strikeouts over 27.1 innings). Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA in 13 career starts against Cincinnati. Three of the five shutouts the Brewers have suffered this season have come against the Reds. The under is 42-16-1 in the Reds’ last 59 on the road and 4-0 in Gray’s last four starts. It is also 5-2-1 in the Brewers’ last eight at home against opponents with losing records. Additionally, the under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings between the two teams and 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last five starts against Cincinnati. Roll with the UNDER.

Mon 22 -8pm: New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
Away Win Money Line
-120
Under 11.0 Game Totals
-120

Money Line Pick

The New York Yankees are running away with the American League East and they are the best team in the AL–yes, better than even the Minnesota Twins. Minnesota was the cream of the crop for much of the first half of this season, but they’ve cooled off as of late. The Yankees are still going strong to the tune of a 5-1 record in their last six contests. D.J. LeMahieu contributed a solo home run in Sunday’s 8-4 loss to Colorado to extend his hitting streak to eight games, during which he is 12-for-35 with two homers, four RBIs, and six runs scored. Aaron Hicks also went deep and has now hit safely in 17 of his last 21 games. New York is 56-24 in its last 80 overall, 7-3 in its last 10 on the road, 8-3 in its last 11 against left-handed starters, and 27-10 in its last 37 at Minnesota. The Twins are 2-5 in their last seven overall, 2-5 in their last seven at home, and 20-58 in the last 78 meetings between the two teams. Look for the YANKEES to stay hot.

Over Under Pick

New York left-hander C.C. Sabathia has been solid in recent weeks and sports a 20-9 record with a 3.09 ERA in 39 career starts against Minnesota. Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez is just 3-for-23 with six strikeouts in his past six contests. The under is 8-3-1 in the Yankees’ last 12 overall, 3-0-1 in their last four against left-handed starters, and 6-2-1 in Sabathia’s last nine starts against the American League Central. It is also 8-2 in the Twins’ last 10 overall, 5-2 in their last seven at home, and 4-0 in their last four after scoring at least five runs in their previous outing. Take the UNDER.

Mon 22 -9pm: Baltimore Orioles @ Arizona Diamondbacks picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles
Home Win Money Line
-227
Under 9.0 Game Totals
-105

Run Line Pick

The Diamondbacks send out Robbie Ray to the mound, which means they are a really safe play, especially against the Orioles. On the season he has an 8-6 with an ERA under four. As of late he has been getting better and in two of his last three games he has given up only one run. The Orioles only have 31 wins on the season and I don’t see any way they keep this game close. Baltimore is just 4-9 in the last 13 meetings between these teams, and 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Back the Dbacks to get the job done.

Over Under Pick

This total is going to come down to how many runs the D-Backs can score because the Orioles will be lucky to get even two or three. Even though the Dbacks are going to score, I don’t think they are going to score enough to get to the total.  The under is 4-1-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last 6 interleague home games, and 4-1-1 in the Orioles’ last 6 interleague games. Ray should completely shutdown this pathetic Baltimore lineup.

Mon 22 -9pm: Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants picks, expert predictions & betting tips
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
Away Win Money Line
-120
Under 8.5 Game Totals
+100

Money Line Pick

I don’t love this play because Alec Mills doesn’t have a ton of experience for the Cubs, but Shaun Anderson has really struggled as of late for the Giants. In each of his last three games he has gone five innings or less and given up at least four runs. Both of these teams are hot, but I can’t back Anderson. The Giants are  just 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Back the Cubs to get the job and although this isn’t the strongest play on the board, I am still pretty confident in this pick.

Over Under Pick

This isn’t a total I would touch and I would advise you to only bet the money line in this game. This is in San Francisco at night and when these two teams face-off, it’s usually a low scoring game. The under is also 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Back the under as a slight lean. This really isn’t a one-star play, rather more of a 0.5 star play.

Mon 22 -10pm: Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners picks, expert predictions & betting tips
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
Home Win Money Line
-125
Over 10.0 Game Totals
-105

Money Line Pick

The Texas Rangers will send out Adrian Sampson to the mound, and that is what will cost them in this game. On the road this year Sampson has been terrible, going 1-4 with an ERA of 7.64. Marco Gonzales hasn’t been great this year but he has been better and you don’t have to lay a big number with the Mariners in this one. The Rangers are just 1-4 in Sampson’s last 5 starts, and 0-8 in his last 8 road starts. Back the Mariners to get the job done.

Over Under Pick

Sampson has been terrible and Gonzales has an ERA over five in his last three starts. I expect this will be a game where both offenses score a ton of runs. The over is 6-1 in Gonzales’ last 7 starts during game 1 of a series, 5-2 in Gonzales’ last 7 starts with 5 days of rest, and 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these division rivals in Seattle. Back the over.

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