MLB picks and MLB predictions every day of the 2019 season. Get free MLB expert picks for all 2,430 games of the MLB regular season and playoffs.

MLB Parlay Of The Day
SD Padres @ MIL Brewers
MIL Brewers Money Line
MIA Marlins @ ARI Diamondbacks
ARI Diamondbacks Money Line
KC Royals @ OAK Athletics
OAK Athletics Money Line
+221

Mon 16th - 4:10pm ET: Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
BAL Orioles Money Line
-141
Under 9.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Detroit will finish up this series with Tyler Alexander on the mound to oppose Baltimore’s John Means. Means has put in an all-star season as he owns a 7.14 K/9, 2.16 BB/9, and 1.31 HR/9, while he has posted a stellar 3.47 ERA and 4.35 FIP. He has however worn down in the second half of the season where he owns a 4.94 ERA, .243 BAA, and .729 OPS. The rookie Alexander has been okay in his short stint in the big leagues where he owns an 8.45 K/9, 1.17 BB/9, and 1.64 HR/9, while he owns a 5.40 ERA and a more representative 4.18 FIP. Baltimore has gone just 2-6 SU in their last 8 games versus Detroit at home, but this time around they have an actual pitcher worthy of pitching in the big leagues in Means, so I’ll back him to out-duel the rookie Alexander. Back Baltimore and the money line here.

Over Under Pick

The under has hit in 6 of their last 10 meetings where Detroit’s averaged 5.10 R/G and Baltimore has averaged 4.60 R/G. During that span these squads have combined to average 18 H/G and 17 K/G. The under has actually hit in 5 of their last 7 meetings, while it has also hit in 8 of Detroit’s last 11 games on a Monday. Not a whole lot of offense from either side and we have some decent pitchers taking the mound that neither lineup has much experience against. I’ll back this total to stay under the 9 run threshold.

Mon 16th - 6:40pm ET: Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
MIN Twins -1.5 Run Line
-135
Over 9.5 Game Totals
-111

Run Line Pick

The Minnesota Twins have led the AL Central the majority of the season, and they are close to locking up the division title, as they currently have a 4.5 game lead in the division over the Cleveland Indians. The Chicago White Sox are a young and competitive team despite being 19 games below .500. The Twins are 8-2 in their last home games against the White Sox. The Twins are also 2-1 in their previous three games against the White Sox when Jose Berrios starts. I look for the Twins run line to be the best play in this game.

Over Under Pick

The Minnesota Twins are the 2nd best team in the league in terms of runs per game this season while the White Sox are giving up the 9th most runs. Reynaldo Lopez also has an ERA of 5.35 this season for the White Sox. The over is 2-1 in Lopez’s last three starts against the Twins while the over is 2-0-1 in the previous three starts for Berrios against the White Sox. I look for the over 9.5 total to be the play in game one of the series on Monday.

Mon 16th - 7:40pm ET: San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers picks, expert predictions & betting tips

San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL Brewers Money Line
-156
Over 9.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Milwaukee will be sending out Zach Davies to open this series, while San Diego will be sending out Garrett Richards who will be making his first appearance all season. Richards has been a solid pitcher in the big leagues where he owns a career 7.80 K/9 and 3.24 BB/9, while he has a stellar 3.54 ERA and 3.62 FIP. Davies doesn’t blow you away much as he owns a 5.81 K/9, 2.97 BB/9, and 1.24 HR/9, while he owns a solid 3.77 ERA, but a more revealing 4.74 FIP. He’s taken a stumble in the second half of the season where he’s posted a 5.14 ERA to go with a .241 BAA and .737 OPS. Davies is hard to trust at home as he owns a 4.71 ERA and .803 OPS there , but you’d have to imagine Richards isn’t going to be too sturdy coming out of the gates in his first big league start of the season. Small lean, but San Diego has lost 6 straight on the road, so I’m rolling with Milwaukee at home.

Over Under Pick

The over has hit in 6 of their last 10 meetings where Milwaukee’s averaged 4.40 R/G and San Diego’s averaged 4.80 R/G. During that span these squads have combined to average 18 H/G and 17 K/G. The over has actually hit in 6 of their last 8 meetings, and 5 of their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. It’s also hit in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games, and it has hit in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games on a Monday. Rolling with the trends here and backing this total to go over 9 runs.

Mon 16th - 7:45pm ET: Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals Money Line
+125
Over 9.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The series should be an exciting one between two playoff-caliber teams. The Cardinals currently have a two-game lead in the NL Central over the 2nd place Chicago Cubs. Meanwhile, the Nationals aren’t going to win the NL East, but they currently have a 1.5 game over the Cubs for the top wildcard spot in the National League. The Nationals are coming off a 1-2 series loss over the weekend while the Cardinals are coming off a 1-2 series loss against the Brewers. The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games against the Nationals, and are also 47-28 at home this season. All signs point to the Cardinals winning game one on Monday.

Over Under Pick

The Nationals rank 7th in the league in terms of runs per game at 5.33, however, the Cardinals are giving up the 4th-fewest runs this season. The Nationals also have one of the better pitching staffs in the league this season, allowing the 10th-fewest runs. The total is 5-5 in the last ten meetings between these teams. However, in the previous five games of the series, the over is 4-1. I give a slight edge to the under 8 total for Monday’s game.

Mon 16th - 8:05pm ET: Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
CHI Cubs Money Line
Over Game Totals

Money Line Pick

The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Monday and in this game the value lies with the home team, but it’s only a lean. On the mound for the Cubs is Cole Hamels who has been up and down this year, but in three of his last four games he has given up two runs or less. The Reds are using an opener in this game, sending out Kevin Gausman who has been mostly used out of the bullpen. Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 games in Chicago. Away from home this year Gausman has an ERA of 6.28, and the Cubs’ offense should get to him.

Over Under Pick

Like most Cubs games, make sure to check out which way the wind is blowing to get a better idea if this is something you want to bet on. With the way Gausman has pitched, this feels like a game where the Cubs can run up the score.  The over is 4-0 in the Cubs’ last 4 games following a win, 4-0 in the Cubs’ last 4 vs. the National League Central, and 4-1 in the Cubs’ last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mon 16th - 8:40pm ET: New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies picks, expert predictions & betting tips

New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
COL Rockies Money Line
+140
Over 13.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The popular pick in this game is going to be the Mets, but I still think this is a very tough game for them to have success in. They might be the better team but they are coming off a hard-fought battle with the Dodgers over the weekend in New York. They played on Sunday Night baseball and then have to fly most of the way across the country and adjust to the elevation. I think that is enough to take a flier on the Rockies, who are sitting at plus money.

Over Under Pick

Steven Matz has been good this year for the Mets, but this is at Mile High and the Rockies’ bats are starting to heat up. For the Rockies it’s Antonio Senzatela, who has an ERA of 6.87. The over is 4-0 in the Rockies’ last 4 overall, and 8-2-1 in the Mets’ last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. If you like pitching duels, make sure not to tune into this game. Back the over to get the job done in this one.

Mon 16th - 9:40pm ET: Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
ARI Diamondbacks Money Line
-213
Under 9.0 Game Totals
-120

Money Line Pick

The Arizona Diamondbacks are slumping and their National League wild-card hopes are just about gone, but the Miami Marlins generally cure whatever ails any opponent. That is especially the case when right-hander Pablo Lopez pitches on the road. The 23-year-old Venezuelan, who is 0-3 in four starts since defeating Pittsburgh on June 15, has compiled a 7.71 ERA in eight road outings as opposed to a 3.22 mark in 10 home starts. Arizona shortstop Ketel Marte went 2-for-4 on Sunday to raise his batting average to .327. Miami is 16-38 in its last 54 overall, 28-73 in its last 101 on the road, 21-47 in its last 68 series openers, 7-20 in Lopez’s last 27 starts, 2-8 in his last 10 road starts, and 0-4 in its last four at Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last five at home and 41-18 in their last 59 against opponents with winning percentages under .400. ARIZONA is the play.

Over Under Pick

Miami was limited to five runs during its entire three-game weekend series against San Francisco. On the bright side for the Fish, their starters recorded 1.96 ERA in those three contests against the Giants. The under is 4-1 in the Marlins’ last five overall and 4-1 in their last five against the National League West. It is also 6-1-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last eight overall, 4-0 in their last four at home, and 19-7-1 in their last 27 against right-handed starters. Expect this one to stay UNDER the total.

Mon 16th - 10:07pm ET: Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics picks, expert predictions & betting tips

Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
OAK Athletics Money Line
-303
Over 9.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The Oakland Athletics are coming off a three-game sweep of Texas to surge into the lead in the American League wild-card race. They have won six in a row and now return home for a six-game home-stand, starting with the hapless Kansas City Royals. In other words, the Athletics are feeling great about themselves these days. The same cannot be said of Kansas City and right-hander Glenn Sparkman (4-11, 5.94 ERA). Sparkman struggled at home against Oakland on Aug. 29, when he was lit up for seven runs on nine hits in 4.1 innings of a loss. Kansas City is 4-11 in its last 15 series openers, 14-47 in its last 61 against the American League West, 1-9 in Sparkman’s last 10 starts, 1-6 in his last seven road starts, 0-5 in his last five starts on four days of rest, and 1-4 in the last five meetings between the two teams. The Athletics are 52-24 in their last 76 overall, 41-19 in their last 60 at home, and 5-2 in their last seven against right-handed starters. Take OAKLAND with confidence.

Over Under Pick

Oakland crossed the plate an incredible 28 times during its three-game humiliation of the Rangers. Shortstop Marcus Semien hit his 30th home run on Sunday, giving the A’s three players with at least 30 dingers this season. The over is 12-4 in the Royals’ last 16 overall, 5-0 in their last five on the road, and 4-1 in Sparkman’s last five starts. It is also 7-3-1 in the Athletics’ last 11 against right-handed starters and 3-1-1 in their last five against starters with WHIPs over 1.30. Go with the OVER.

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The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’. Many bettors feel there isn’t as much value laying -200 on an all-star caliber pitcher because that hurler can turn the game over to his bullpen who will subsequently blow the game and cost them the win. Therefore betting on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB prices compare to the Moneyline. A Clayton Kershaw pick on the ML (win outright) for example might be -240 but betting that same game to win by 2 runs or more (run line) could be priced at -120. MLB runline betting works in the opposite way too. There are a lot of 1-run games in baseball and betting on a team +1.5 runs is a great way to string together wagering wins if you think teams can keep games close.

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The dimensions of the MLB parks are also different and need to be factored in when making your MLB predictions. Coors Field for example is located in the high altitude of Denver, Colorado which means it’s not unlikely to see scores similar to 11-8 three or four times a week. Minute Maid Park in Houston for example has a left field wall that is just 315 feet from home plate compared to AT&T Park in San Francisco that has a right-center field alley of 421 feet.

Weather is a major factor when picking our your MLB predictions today. The ball travels better on 92 degree Summer days in Arlington, Texas or when the wind is blowing out to left field at 23 MPH at Wrigley Field in Chicago.  So before you head to the window make sure your check the weather report to give your ticket the best chance of cashing.

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