MLB Prop Bets

Welcome to the home of our MLB Prop Bets. Prop betting is becoming an increasingly popular and fun way to have a wager on a game, and one in which you aren’t necessarily betting on the outcome of the match itself. With many different MLB prop bet markets on offer for each game, our expert handicappers go through the entire slate to highlight the best matchups and angles to profit from through MLB prop bets.

Our MLB best bets will be released at the latest at 11 am EST once all lines have become available with sportsbooks.

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Zack Greinke Outs, DET Tigers @ HOU Astros
Zack Greinke Outs Pick
Over
Odds
Bonus

Reasoning

I see no issue with going back to the well of good RHP vs the Detroit Tigers today. I’ve utilized the outs prop several times against Detroit, each time successfully – this is a team that just cannot hit right-handed pitching. RHP’s vs Detroit are 7-0 in 2021 in going at least 6 innings (18 outs), and Greinke is easily as efficient as any of them. As I pointed out in my article about Kenta Maeda last week, the average pitches per batter faced of the initial 5 RHP vs the Tigers was approximately 3.85. Greinke’s was 3.83 in 2019 and 3.88 in 2020, and he also had a lower WHIP in both of those seasons than practically every pitcher the Tigers have faced this season. All of this is to say: he’s perfectly positioned for longevity today.

As referenced in that prior article, I noted that DET ranked 28th in wRC+ and 27th in wOBA vs RHP in 2020. The Tigers have hardly improved in 2021, ranking 23rd in wRC+ and 24th in wOBA in the early going. They also strike out a ton, with a bottom-five K% in the league. Greinke has exceeded 17.5 outs in both of his starts this season, and worked up to nearly 100 pitches in his last outing, suggesting that as long as he is somewhat efficient, he’ll be in line for an outing that can carry him through the sixth. Additionally, one underrated factor is the Astros preference for starters to log longer outings than what has become ‘typical’ in MLB. In 2020, Astros starters averaged more than 5 IP per start, and many of those starts including a rotation cobbled together following the departure of Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander’s Tommy John surgery. Detroit’s proclivity for soft contact plus Greinke’s control should result in a few very quick innings and an extended start today.

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MLB Prop Bets

What Are Our MLB Prop Bets

Our MLB Prop Bets will vary from game to game depending on which advantage our expert handicappers have unearthed while analyzing statistics, trends, form, team news, and much more ahead of comparing our findings with the sportsbooks MLB betting odds.

Player props and Team props are typically available on every game of the MLB season, and for the most part, odds for many of these will stay roughly the same game on game.

With this in mind, it’s key to analyze every morsel of information ahead of a matchup, including pitching lineups, the strength of the bullpen, the stadiums’ dimensions, and weather to figure out the best opportunities and best value MLB prop bet selections.

That’s what this page here will highlight. In going through the MLB matchups, our experts will highlight the best MLB prop bet plays on today’s MLB action for those bettors who enjoy a wager away from the traditional money line, spread, and totals markets, all of which can be found on our MLB Picks and Predictions page here.

What MLB Player Prop Bets Can I Wager On

MLB player props include any wager based on individual player stats in a particular match. Typical MLB player props will involve either a player vs player scenario or an over/under.

As you’d imagine the most popular player prop bet markets revolve around hitting and pitching stats, such as Most Strikeouts among starting pitchers, Over or under a certain number of strikeouts, to hit a home run, or to record over or under a certain number of RBI’s or hits.

There are countless ways in which you can wager on player prop markets with the bigger games, including the World Series having even more markets on offer.

The key to finding good spots to bet a player prop bets is in researching the matchup. In the age of technology and statistics, we conduct a lot of statistical analysis in order to find the best MLB player prop bet opportunities across the spectrum of possible markets, within the vast number of games on offer each day, and all of our best MLB prop bets can be found right here. 

What MLB Team Prop Bets Can I Wager On

Similar to the MLB Player props, the MLB team props are wagers based on a team’s statistical performance during a match and are not completely dependent on the outcome of the game.

With MLB team prop bets, you can either wager on markets pitting the two sides against one another, on a specific team’s statistical performance, or even on the combined match stats.

An example of MLB team props where you’re putting the two sides against one another could include which side will hit the most home runs, a race to 3 or 5 runs, or who will score first in the match.

Markets such as a specific team’s run total allow you to wager on one particular team’s performance rather than both. You can also wager on the over/under on Total Hits, Runs, and Errors for individual teams, both teams combined.

Research is vital in MLB team prop bets with pitching and batting lineups key components in finding a good spot to place a prop bet wager. Our experts spend hours analyzing the matchups and match conditions, alongside a comparison of sportsbooks odds to find the best mix of opportunity and value before making an MLB team prop bet prediction.

You can find all of our MLB team props and other MLB prop bets right here on the MLB prop bets page throughout the entire MLB season, right through until the World Series.