Best Player Props for Thursday's NBA Slate (4/22): Ayton fights back

Deandre Ayton player props
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John Hyslop

NBA

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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

NBA player props are electric. There is no denying it. In order to find great ones, you have to dive deep. No casuals here, just us deep divers. But when they come together, it’s pure magic. There’s nothing like watching your guy cash in the first half. Here are a couple first half cash candidates I found for tonight.

I’ve got two player props I like which I will discuss here. Don’t forget to check what our NBA analysts have backed with side and total picks for all six games tonight.

Deandre Ayton over 14.5 points (-125)

Line available at publishing at BetMGM Sportsbook

Last night Deandre Ayton disappointed in a big way. His point prop was 14.5 but he only managed 10 points after taking only eight shots from the field. He had Joel Embiid to contend with so it’s understandable, but still was disappointing.

Tonight is a new night, his number is the same and it is still worth a look. In his last six games, he has only failed to go over this number only two times. Unlike last night, he won’t have to deal with a dominant big man on the other team which is a plus.

His matchup tonight with Tristan Thompson and company is much more manageable to say the least. The C’s big men are fresh off of almost giving up a 30-burger to Nikola Vucevic and a couple games removed from letting Marc Gasol drop 18 on them. They could be without Jalen Brown as well which could impact the defense.

Another bonus is Marcus Smart will be available which is good since he will be on Devin Booker and Chris Paul at times. He’s a good defender that could force the ball into the paint. This is one of my favorite player props of the night.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Phoenix Suns vs. Boston Celtics.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 made threes (+136)

Line available at publishing at FanDuel

Joel Embiid shooting player props

Playing any Joel Embiid player prop on the second night of a back to back seems like a bad idea but is it? He played the second night of a back to back a couple weeks ago against the Thunder and looked fine. He went for 27 and nine that night in only 27 minutes.

Instead of his points prop, I am looking at his three-point prop as it looks like it’s worth a bet. He has never been a guy that will take a ton of threes but he will shoot it from deep from time to time. Tonight looks like it’s one of those times.

We still don’t know if Seth Curry, Tobias Harris or Ben Simmons will play but if they don’t Embiid may launch a few from beyond the arc. Just last night he took four actual attempts, five if you count the last second heave from the other side of the court. He actually hit three of them. It wasn’t just last night though, he has hit multiple threes in three of his last five games.

Only one team in the NBA sees their opponents take more threes than the Bucks. Embiid hasn’t seen them yet this season but in three games last year he hit multiple threes in two of the matchups. In one of the games he took 10 attempts. Given this price, the opponent and the 76ers injury situation, Embiid’s made threes prop is a good bet.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks.

Pickswise is the home of free NBA picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our NBA parlays and ‘NBA prop bets‘ tabs for more expert picks. 

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