We’re less than a week away from the biggest football game of the season, as the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks go head-to-head in Super Bowl LX. These two squads made it here in very different ways, as the Patriots took down the Broncos 10-7 in Denver in snowy conditions, while the Seahawks eliminated the Rams 31-27 at home in a game that featured 875 total yards of offense. New England’s path to the Super Bowl has been historic, as they’ve gone up against the 1st, 2nd and 5th-ranked defenses in terms of total yards from the regular season.
Because of these stout defenses, sophomore QB Drake Maye has looked like a shell of himself compared to his regular-season performance. Maye has completed just 55.8% of his passes and has 2 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost. Although he hasn’t played his best, he’s been able to influence the game in different ways and still has 5 total touchdowns and is averaging 5.88 rushing yards per carry. He’s going up against the 6th-ranked total defense in Super Bowl LX, but there are still multiple Drake Maye player props we can target.
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Drake Maye best bet: Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Maye has faced three defensive juggernauts in this year’s postseason, and if the Patriots capture Super Bowl LX, he’ll have faced four of the top-10 scoring and total defenses from the regular season, which would be quite the feat. Although the 23-year-old hasn’t played his best through three postseason games, I actually expect him to ball out against this Seattle secondary. First off, it’s worth noting that the Seahawks haven’t had to face many elite QBs this season other than Rams QB Matthew Stafford. Since their Week 8 bye, they’ve faced a hobbled Jayden Daniels, three backup QBs, Cam Ward, Philip Rivers, Bryce Young, Brock Purdy and Stafford.
The only QBs they’ve faced this season ranked in the top-10 for passing yards are Stafford, Trevor Lawrence (Week 6) and Baker Mayfield (Week 5). Those three quarterbacks averaged 307.2 passing yards in 5 games, and Stafford torched this secondary for 457 and 365 yards in their last 2 meetings. Drake Maye was a top-4 QB in total passing yards this season and cleared this line in 14 of the Pats’ 17 regular-season contests. He also threw for 268 yards against the Chargers in the Wild Card Round, and although he failed to surpass 180 yards against the Texans and Broncos, both of those games were in adverse weather conditions, and New England relied on their run game to advance.
I know some fans have questions about Maye in the postseason, but I expect the sophomore QB to come up big against Seattle and will gladly back Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-110).
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Drake Maye props: Anytime TD Scorer, 7+ Rushing Attempts and 1+ Interceptions (+1010)
When it comes to Drake Maye player props, there are a few other markets I love, which I’ve combined for a Same Game Parlay at 10-1 odds. The first leg is for Maye to find the endzone at least once against Seattle. The sophomore QB scored against the Broncos in the AFC Championship, and Seattle allowed rushing touchdowns to three mobile QBs this season in Jayden Daniels, Cam Ward and Bryce Young. The second leg of my SGP is for Maye to record 7 or more rushing attempts. The Patriots QB has already shown how dangerous he can be with his legs this season, and he had 10 rushing attempts against the Chargers AND Broncos this postseason.
The final leg of my SGP is for Maye to throw 1+ interceptions. Although I expect him to have a big game in terms of passing yards and with his legs, it’s hard not to see him making a mistake in this game. He’s thrown a pick in 2 of the Pats’ 3 playoff games during this run, and he was picked off in 8 of New England’s 17 regular-season contests. Additionally, Seattle recorded 18 interceptions during the regular season (5th in the NFL) and picked off Brock Purdy in the Divisional Round. Overall, I expect a huge game from the UNC product (with one mistake), which is why I’m betting on Drake Maye to score, record 7+ rushing attempts and 1+ interceptions (+1010).
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