KBO baseball: Picks, predictions and best bets for Sunday 8/14 - Runs expected for the Lions and KT Wiz

Former Major League Baseball outfielder Yasiel Puig of Kiwoom Heroes gestures during the opening game of the 2022 regular season for the Korea Baseball Organization between Lotte Giants and Kiwoom Heroes at Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea, Saturday, April 2, 2022.
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Matthew Lowrimore

KBO · 1 month ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

The KBO rolls on this week and our experts are back to help you find the best value on Sunday’s slate. Whether you are looking for a single money line pick or a KBO parlay, we have you covered. Note that all these games start at 4:00 am ET on Sunday morning.

KBO betting odds

Here are the KBO betting odds for Sunday, August 14 courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • LG Twins (-140) vs NC Dinos (+116), O/U 11.5
  • Lotte Giants (+144) vs Kia Tigers (-178), O/U 9.5
  • SSG Landers (-174) vs Doosan Bears (+142), O/U 8.5
  • Samsung Lions (+114) vs KT Wiz (-138), O/U 8.5
  • Kiwoom Heroes (-198) vs Hanwha Eagles (+160), O/U 8.5

KBO picks and predictions

Sunday’s slate features plenty of opportunities for value. Let’s dive into the day’s best bets.

SSG Landers vs Doosan Bears – Under 8.5 runs (-116)

Despite the fact that Gwak Been has an ERA above 4.00, looking at an under could be the better play for Sunday morning. Been has allowed 4 or more runs in 5 starts this season. However, in his last 2 starts he has allowed just 2 runs (1 earned), over 9.0 innings. In 4 starts against the SSG Landers, he has allowed 8 earned runs over 20.0 innings. The only reason this stat line is not better is because he last just 2.0 innings against the SSG Landers in his most recent start against them, while still only allowing 1 earned run.

On the other side, Shawn Morinando has allowed 4 or more runs just once in 2022. That only happened because of poor defense behind him as he was hit with 2 unearned runs. Other than that, he has put together 3 solid outings and should not have much trouble slowing down a weak Bears’ offense. Because both starters are in good form, backing the under will be the play for Sunday morning.

Samsung Lions vs KT Wiz – Over 8.5 runs (-134)

The total looks to be the better play with how much both starters have been struggling. Bae Je-Seong has allowed 4 or more runs in 7 starts, which includes his last 3 starts in a row. During this stretch, he has allowed 18 earned runs over 12.2 innings. In 3 starts against the Lions he has allowed 8 earned runs over 17.0, so he has even struggled against a weak offense like Samsung.

On the other side, Baek Jung-Hyun has allowed 4 or more runs in 7 starts. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 10 earned runs over 13.1 innings. In 2 starts against the KT Wiz, Jung-Hyun has allowed 6 earned runs over 8.0 innings — further showing his struggles against just about every team he faces. With both starters having a ton of rough outings recently, backing the over will be the play for Sunday morning.

Kiwoom Heroes vs Hanwha Eagles – Under 8.5 runs (+102)

The total looks to be the better play based on the recent form of Pena and the success that Chan-Heon has had against the Eagles. Felix Pena has allowed 4 or more runs in just 1 start. In 5 of his 6 starts he has allowed 2 earned runs or less, which includes his last 3 starts in a row. During this stretch, he has allowed 5 earned runs over 17.0 innings.

On the other side, Jeong Chan-Heon has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 starts. In 2 starts against the Eagles he has allowed 3 earned runs over 11.1 innings. Because both starters are coming into this game in decent form and because the Eagles’ offense is already near the bottom of the league in total runs, backing the under will be the play.

Looking for a bigger payout? Play these picks as a 3-team parlay with odds of +556.

Extra KBO picks and predictions for Sunday, August 14

NC Dinos ML (+116) over LG Twins

The LG Twins and NC Dinos had their game canceled on Saturday morning due to rain and will hope for better weather on Sunday. The Twins will start Im Chan-Kyu, who has an ERA of 4.68, while the Dinos will counter with Kim Tae-Gyeong, who has an ERA of 3.44. Tae-Gyeong does not have much starting experience this season but has been solid in the games he has started. Meanwhile, Chan-Kyu has been inconsistent for most of the season. For that reason, backing the Dinos looks to be worth a small play.

Kia Tigers ML (-178) over Lotte Giants

The Kia Tigers shut out the Lotte Giants 9-0 on Saturday morning and look to have the advantage again on Sunday. They will start Sean Nolin, who has an ERA of 3.08, while the Giants will start Seo Jun-Woo, who has an ERA of 5.72. For that reason, backing the Tigers looks to be worth a play.

Make sure you check out all of our picks for KBO action every single day!

Pickswise is the home of free expert KBO Picks and KBO Predictions. Check out the latest KBO Picks and game-by-game analysis for each of today’s KBO matches.

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