New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions: Same game parlay at +370 odds - Is it time for an Aaron Judge home run?

New York Yankees hitter Aaron Judge
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Mark Lammey


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I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email
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Just about the entire league had off yesterday, as there were just 4 games going on. However, these AL East rivals didn’t take any time off. They got things started up in Toronto last night with the Blue Jays taking the opener. The Yankees have clinched a postseason berth, but not the division. They could have if they had won last night, but they were unable to close it out. It’s still going to be a tall task for the Jays to steal the entire division away, but we can at least break down this game in the meantime. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our MLB picks for all of today’s games.

Bo Bichette 2+ total bases (-110)

Aaron Judge 2+ total bases (-125)

Alejandro Kirk to record a hit (-235)

Parlay odds: +370

Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.

Bo Bichette 2+ total bases (-110)

Much like the Red Sox vs Yankees rivalry, games between these teams can be very difficult to predict. The weekend demonstrated that, with Boston and New York having all 4 games decided by either 1 or 2 runs. Even last night took extra innings to decide a winner. With this game being priced just as evenly, tonight could be very much the same. That’s been the case for both starters on the mound as well. Yankees Jameson Taillon is a dead-even 2-2 against the Blue Jays this season, and Jays starter Jose Berrios is 1-1 against the Bronx Bombers. All of that illustrates why it is more beneficial to target some player props when it comes to Tuesday night’s game.

Let’s get things started with one of the hottest hitters this month. Bo Bichette is easily recognizable for his flowing hair, but his bat is becoming just as prominent. His 294 total bases are the 2nd-most in the AL, behind only the Yankees’ Aaron Judge. However, he is not nearly as dependent on home runs. Along with 24 homers, Bichette’s 42 doubles are tied for the most in the AL. Similarly, his 178 are the most in the AL, proving he can cash this prop with either multiple hits or a single swing. He’s also had success against Taillon this season. Bichette is hitting .357 against him with a .500 slugging percentage. Rather than depending on either team to win the game, let’s start out by isolating the all-star shortstop instead.

Be sure to check out our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions

Aaron Judge 2+ total bases (-125)

There’s no way we could break down a Yankees game without breaking down Aaron Judge. He is still going for his 61st home run to tie Roger Maris and the AL record. He’s been doing so for a week now, and ESPN has even been cutting into other games to double-box in his at-bats. It’s become the story of the end of the season, and it truly has been thrilling to watch. And it’s time. A play on his home run prop should absolutely be made as a single play. Berrios has allowed the 3rd-most home runs in the league, and Rogers Centre in Toronto is a great ballpark for them.

That also supports his total base prop. We’re using this so that we don’t ruin our other props in case he doesn’t hit number 61. Judge has been roping doubles over the last week and his 172 hits are the 3rd-most in the AL. He’s also had success against Berrios, as has many hitters this season. The Jays starter has allowed the 2nd-most runs in the league, and Judge is hitting .333 against him. He also has a .556 slugging percentage against Berrios, which demonstrates his efficiency at the plate. This truly is a great spot for Judge to tie the record, which in turn means he would hit this prop.  

Also check out our YRFI/NRFI best bets for today – we hit our play last night!

Alejandro Kirk to record a hit (-235)

For all of the big names in the Blue Jays lineup, there’s one that consistently flies under the radar. George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are known for their home-run power, and Bo Bichette’s long-flowing hair is easily recognizable. However, it’s catcher Alejandro Kirk that was a starter in this year’s all-star game. He’s quietly had a career-best season, and facing the Yankees has been an aid to that. 

Specifically, Kirk has hit well against Taillon. He’s ahead of all 3 of the aforementioned Blue Jays with a .385 average against the Yankees starter this season. That includes 2 doubles for a .538 slugging percentage. We don’t even need that from him tonight, and his ability to make contact has been prevalent all season. He’s just 1 hit away from averaging a hit-per-game, and now has the hitter-friendly conditions of Rogers Centre in Toronto. Given his matchup tonight, take the value on the all-star catcher.

Don’t miss our MLB mega parlay for tonight’s action (+845 odds!)

What is a Same Game Parlay?

Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?

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