MLB Saturday YRFI/NRFI best bets: We are 21-5 in our last 26 first-inning plays

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Alex Wood (57) pitches the ball against the San Diego Padres during the first inning at Oracle Park.
Photo of Caleb Wilfinger

Caleb Wilfinger

MLB · 2 weeks ago

Show Bio

Deputy Editor for Pickswise. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC.

Here at Pickswise, we are on a 21-5 run in our last 26 NRFI/YRFI best bets. With more than a dozen MLB games taking place each day, one of the quickest bets you can make is if a run will be scored in the first inning. There is value to be had and this market has become very popular over time. If you don’t like sweating out your bets for 3 hours, this one will only take about 15 minutes.

Before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our free picks on the side and total for every MLB game.

There are 2 NRFI/YRFI bets I like on Saturday, so let’s get right into it.

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers: NRFI (-110)

While the series opener turned out to be an offensive explosion, I still think the Dodgers/Giants series is one that will be predicated on good starting pitching. And while Saturday’s contest doesn’t feature either team’s best pitcher, both are still solid. In particular, Julio Urias has been very good for the Dodgers, especially at home. Posting a 2.89 ERA and WHIP of 1.02 for the season, the lefty is more than capable of setting down a middling Giants lineup. Urias has surrendered a first-inning run in just 2 of his last 7 outings. I don’t expect that to change against a team that he’s pitched very well against in recent meetings.

On the other side, former Dodger Alex Wood has gone through some ups and downs this season. However, his xERA is 0.70 lower than his actual ERA metric, meaning that Wood has been quite unlucky. Wood doesn’t walk many batters, and still gets opposing hitters to chase at a decent clip. As long as his command is solid, the Giants starter should have early success in a familiar ballpark.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for SF Giants vs LA Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds: YRFI (-145)

While the previous contest was about the strengths of each pitcher, I think plenty of runs will be scored in this NL Central matchup. To start, the Cardinals offense has been solid, and they should get a favorable matchup against Mike Minor. Minor has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 6 of his 8 starts this season. Additionally, the Reds starter has been touched up in the first inning in multiple starts. Minor will be facing the top of the Cardinals lineup to start the game, and that includes Paul Goldschmidt — who is 6-for-12 lifetime against Minor with multiple extra-base hits. If St. Louis can get a man on base, Minor could be in serious trouble against the Cardinals’ MVP candidate.

Even if Minor doesn’t allow a run, Steven Matz could easily surrender one in the bottom half. Matz has an ERA over 6.00 and WHIP over 1.400 this season, and the lefty has allowed 13 runs in his last 3 starts. There’s a reason the total is set at 10 for this game, and it’s the poor starting pitching on both sides. Therefore I like backing the YRFI in Cincinnati.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.