NBA Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks: Dallas surprises in Game 1 at +476 odds

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Filip Tomic


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Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email
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It will be experience against youth tonight in Oklahoma City as the Thunder host Game 1 of their second-round series against the Dallas Mavericks. I was able to cash our Pacers vs Knicks Same Game Parlay at +509 odds yesterday and I’m hoping to go back-to-back here. Tip-off is at 9:30 pm ET on TNT, and I’ve come up with my best Mavericks vs Thunder Same Game Parlay picks. You can also find out our NBA picks on the side and total for this matchup as well as Cavaliers vs Celtics tonight.

Mavericks +3.5 (-110)

Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points (-120)

Chet Holmgren over 1.5 made threes (+104)

Same Game Parlay odds: +476

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Dallas Mavericks +3.5 over Oklahoma City Thunder (-110)

The regular season series between these teams went the Thunder’s way 3-1, but one of those games didn’t matter as Dallas rested everyone in the final game of the season. I really like the Mavs’ chances here, as their performance against the Clippers in Game 6 was impressive. Momentum should on their side as OKC hasn’t played in 8 days after their sweep of the Pelicans, so rust could be a factor here. As a group, this team hasn’t yet been this far in the postseason so I’m curious to see how they react.

Dallas was able to hold SGA to just 22 points per game in those 4 regular-season meetings, and if they can translate that into the postseason as well, I’d pick them to advance. Let’s not get too ahead of ourselves though. For the underdog Mavs, Game 1 is all about catching the Thunder off guard, just like Minnesota did against the Nuggets. Take Luka Doncic and company to cover here.

Find out Prop Holliday’s best NBA player prop bets for today, featuring a pick from Mavs vs Thunder

Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points (-120)

To say that Kyrie Irving has matured would be the understatement of the year. When this man focuses solely on just basketball, he is one of the best in the world and the first-round series against the Clippers proved just that. His experience will be invaluable for the Mavericks as nobody on either roster has done what Irving has so far in his career, so I’m looking for the veteran to school the young pups in Oklahoma City.

During the regular season, Irving averaged 30.5 points per game in 2 meetings on impressive efficiency from the field (62.2%) and also from downtown (42.9%). He also punished the Thunder from the foul line at 90% and averaged 10 dimes per game. After seeing him dominate the Clippers and clear this line twice in the last 3 games, I’m going to continue backing the hot hand of Irving here.

Chet Holmgren over 1.5 made threes (+104)

Holmgren won’t win the Rookie of the Year award, but he still balled out this season and continued to do so in the first Round against New Orleans. His three-point efficiency has dropped off a bit, but that’s understandable for someone experiencing their first postseason run. Still, I expect him to bounce back here as the Thunder open the series at home. He averaged 37.6% of makes from three-point land at Paycom Center in the regular season, making 1.6 shots per game. In 4 meetings against Dallas, that percentage went all the way up to 40%, with him averaging just 24 minutes a night. We’ve seen the Mavs struggle at times containing the three-ball, most notably in Game 4 when LA went 18-for-29 from downtown. Look for Chet to exploit his matchup with the Dallas bigs and draw them out to the perimeter. We can only hope he converts on a couple of long-distance shots here.

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