Filip Tomic
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Expectations are high in Milwaukee as the Bucks tip-off their postseason run with a home game against the Miami Heat. The two teams split the 4 regular season meetings, which promises a highly competitive series opener. Catch the game live from 5:30 pm on TNT, I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
We also have predictions on the side and total for the 3 other Sunday games on our NBA Predictions page, don’t forget to check those out.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Giannis Antetokounmpo to Record 12+ Rebounds (-145)
Tyler Herro 5+ Made Threes (+500)
Parlay odds: +866
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Giannis Antetokounmpo to Record 12+ Rebounds (-145)
We’ve seen Miami struggle quite a bit on the boards vs Atlanta in the play-in game on Tuesday. They were able to correct that in the win over Chicago, but their lack of presence on the inside is what will ultimately decide the outcome of this series. Giannis is one of the leading rebounders in the NBA this season, averaging 11.8 per game. If we don’t count the last game vs Miami in which he got injured after 6 minutes, he’s recorded 17 and 15 rebounds in his last 2 meetings against the Heat. Miami plays one of the slower paces in the NBA this season, but I think the Bucks are going to look to push the tempo here which will result in more rebounding opportunities. Giannis averaged 11 rebounds per game in just 30.1 minutes a night over his last 10 regular season appearances, and with him playing 35+ minutes here, he should easily get 12 of them.
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Tyler Herro 5+ Made Threes (+500)
The Heat are a very limited team when it comes to the offensive side of the ball, I think that was very much highlighted in the 2 play-in games where they put up just 105 and 102 points vs Atlanta and Chicago. Facing Milwaukee will be a completely different challenge, they’ll need the likes of Herro and Struss to produce on a nightly basis if they are to stand any chance in this series. We saw Herro put up 26 points in the loss to Atlanta, and that was the 5th time he had over 20 points in his last 10 outings, proving that he has quite a big role on offense for head coach Erik Spoelstra.
He is also known for being a streaky shooter, and knocking down a couple of threes early could open up the flood gates. In his last 3 visits to Fiserv Forum, he’s scored 6, 2 and 3 threes on 44% efficiency. He’s also scored 5 threes twice in his last 4 road games overall, so let’s hope he can give the Heat a boost in this game with his shooting.
Check out our Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions
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