Filip Tomic
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The Knicks and Heat run it back after a dominant Miami win in Game 3. Will New York even things up before we move to Madison Square Garden for Game 4? Or will the Heat take full control of the series and go up 3-1? Tip-off is at 7.30 pm ET on TNT. Check out my Same Game Parlay down below.
Don’t forget to also check our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total for Game 4 of Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Josh Hart Over 10.5 Points (-120)
Julius Randle Over 8.5 Rebounds (+102)
Bam Adebayo To Record 1+ Blocks (-165)
Same Game Parlay odds: +452
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Josh Hart Over 10.5 Points (-120)
Hart is the energy guy for the Knicks, and if there’s something they lacked in Game 3, it was just that. Hart did his part by scoring 15 points on a relatively solid percentage from the field, he also contributed massively on the boards with 12 rebounds. With the likes of Randle, Brunson and R.J. Barrett combining to shoot just 16-for-51 on Saturday, it will be up to Hart to pick up the slack, as he has done already a couple of times in these playoffs. Most notably in Round 1 vs the Cavaliers, he had 2 games where he scored 17 and 19 points, both of which the Knicks won. He’s yet to score under 10 points in this series, while clearing this line in the previous 2 games. Hart is now averaging 10.4 points per game on over 70% efficiency from the field and 62.5% from three in 5 games vs Miami. That’s enough of a sample size for me to back him to score 11 points in a pivotal Game 4.
Read our New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Predictions
Julius Randle Over 8.5 Rebounds (+102)
Just as we praised Randle for his efforts in Game 2 on the offensive end, he laid an egg on that end in Game 3, scoring just 10 points on a pedestrian 4-for-15 shooting. The good news is he was still very active on the boards collecting 14 of them, 10 of which were on the defensive end. With Mitchell Robinson’s minutes falling in 3 straight games, and him playing a measly 11 minutes in Game 3, it’s pretty clear that the Knicks will rely on Randle for rebounding moving forward. That does make a lot of sense as he and Bam Adebayo are pretty much the same height, plus Randle has averaged 10.3 rebounds per game in 38 regular season games this season. He has now gotten double-digit boards in back-to-back games versus Miami, and if the two teams continue shooting below 40%, he will continue that streak, but let’s play it a bit safer and back him to get 9 of them tonight.
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Bam Adebayo To Record 1+ Blocks (-165)
The lack of aggressiveness and points scored inside the paint is exactly what the Knicks lacked in Game 3. Miami outscored them in that area 50-36, I think head coach Tom Thibodeau will make a few adjustments for Game 4 which should result in a few more attacks towards the rim. That should increase the chances of Bam Adebayo getting some blocks in this game. His presence down low has been a major factor so far in the series, in the last 2 games he’s blocked at least 1 shot and has collected 5 and 4 personal fouls, which tells us he’s staying active and contesting shots.
During the regular season, he averaged exactly 1 blocked shot in 4 meetings vs the Knicks, clearing this line 3 times and doubling it on 1 occasion. In 2 of the 3 games played in this series, the Knicks have shot just 20% from downtown, look for the likes of Randle, Brunson and even Barrett to take it to the hole more frequently here.
Check out our NBA first basket scorer predictions for Monday
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