New England Patriots Super Bowl Odds, Season Predictions and Best NFL Futures Bets 2023

New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) throws the ball against the Baltimore Ravens during the second half at Gillette Stadium.

The 2023 NFL season is on the horizon, and it’s no secret that the AFC East is expected to be one of the most difficult divisions in the game. The team that is expected to be in the basement of the division is the New England Patriots, who seem to be looking up at the Bills, Dolphins and Jets this season. But can they make some noise and surpass expectations this upcoming season?

Let’s take a look at some of the odds and best bets to be made on the New England Patriots in 2023. 

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New England Patriots breakdown

2022 record: 8-9

2022 ATS record: 7-9-1

2022 O/U record: 8-9

Key players in: JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR), Mike Gesicki (TE), Trace McSorley (QB), Trey Flowers (DE)

Key players out: Jonnu Smith (TE), Nelson Agholor (WR), Isaiah Wynn (RT), Damien Harris (RB)

2023 NFL Draft class: Christian Gonzalez (CB), Keion White (DE), Marte Mapu (LB), Jake Andrews (C), Chad Ryland (K), Sidy Sow (G), Atonio Mafi (G), Kayshon Boutte (WR), Bryce Baringer (P), Demario Douglas (WR), Ameer Speed (CB), Isaiah Bolden (CB)

Head over to the Pickswise NFL futures guide for odds and predictions on various betting markets 

New England Patriots 2023 NFL season odds

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

New England Patriots Super Bowl odds

The Patriots are +6500 to win Super Bowl LVIII. That’s tied with the Commanders, Giants and Packers for the 5th-worst odds to win it all. 

New England Patriots AFC Championship odds

New England is +3500 to win the AFC, which puts them only in front of the Raiders (+4000), Titans (+5500), Colts (+7000) and Texans (+10000).

New England Patriots AFC East odds

At +800, the Pats have the worst odds to win the AFC East. Buffalo is the favorite at +120 followed by New York at +270 and Miami at +300.

New England Patriots win total odds 

The Patriots’ win quota is 6.5 games, with the over priced as a -140 favorite and the under coming in with +120 odds. They are +550 to finish with exactly 9 victories.

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New England Patriots 2023 schedule

Week 1: vs Philadelphia Eagles

Week 2: vs Miami Dolphins

Week 3: at New York Jets

Week 4: at Dallas Cowboys

Week 5: vs New Orleans Saints

Week 6: at Las Vegas Raiders

Week 7: vs Buffalo Bills

Week 8: at Miami Dolphins

Week 9: vs Washington Commanders

Week 10: vs Indianapolis Colts

Week 11: BYE

Week 12: at New York Giants

Week 13: vs Los Angeles Chargers

Week 14: at Pittsburgh Steelers (Thursday)

Week 15: vs Kansas City Chiefs (Monday)

Week 16: at Denver Broncos

Week 17: at Buffalo Bills

Week 18: vs New York Jets

We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2023 season 

New England Patriots 2022 season recap

Last season was a rollercoaster for Mac Jones. The Alabama product didn’t have the best start to the season which led to Pats fans demanding for backup Bailey Zappe to replace him. That’s never a good sign for a guy that is supposed to be the franchise quarterback. He did bounce back for a decent end to the season, but New England failed to make the playoffs. Oh, the Tom Brady era feels so long ago at this point! But there were other positives, like their cornerback group ascending to a top-10 rank in football as well as Rhamondre Stevenson becoming New England’s primary back.

Read our AFC Championship predictions and best bets, including a +1500 longshot 

New England Patriots 2023 NFL season predictions

The Patriots were in the DeAndre Hopkins mix for a few weeks, but unfortunately for New England and Mac Jones, Hopkins landed with the Titans. So once again, receivers are expected to be the Patriots’ weak link. Last season, Jones couldn’t seem to find any chemistry with a receiver besides Jakobi Meyers, but that’s going to have to change because Meyers is now on the Raiders. New England’s defense is going to be solid, but can Mac get on the same page as his receivers?

Here are a couple of my New England Patriots-related predictions for the upcoming season.

Best bet: New England Patriots Over 6.5 Wins (-140)

New England’s 2023 schedule is treacherous — and I don’t say that lightly. The Pats have the hardest schedule in the NFL for this upcoming season which is why I understand that their win total is as low as it is. However, I still think that the line is too low. New England is coming off an 8-9 season in which they showed some potential to reach 8 wins again, and I’m optimistic about their 2023 season. Obviously, I’m expecting losses against the Bills, Chiefs, Eagles and Chargers, but I think they have a chance to reach 7 wins by beating the Commanders, Broncos, Saints, Colts, Giants, Steelers and Raiders. Make no mistake, I don’t expect the Pats to be a playoff team, but they are an above-average team in an incredible AFC East. Getting 7 wins seems attainable for New England in 2023.

New England Patriots season record prediction: 7-9

There’s a chance the Pats could finish with anywhere from 6 wins to 8 wins this season. Six wins if they lose the games they are expected to and fumble some games they should win, but 7 or 8 wins is reachable if they win the right games. As we saw last season against the Bengals and Raiders, the Patriots had a habit of blowing games in the final minutes (roll the clip in their Week 15 loss to Vegas), so it was absolutely possible for them to end with a 10-7 record. Now, their schedule is much, much harder this season. But that doesn’t mean 7 wins is out of the question. The AFC East is difficult, but I still believe the Pats can finish with a respectable 7-9 record.

Find out which players we are targeting for our NFL MVP best bets

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Pickswise is the home of free Expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2023 NFL Season. 

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