NFL DFS Thursday Night Football showdown lineup advice: Broncos vs Browns

Cleveland Browns running back D'Ernest Johnson (30) returns a kick-off against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter at Heinz Field. The Browns won 48-37.
Photo of Howard Bender

Howard Bender

NFL· 1 month ago

Show Bio

I have been working in the fantasy sports industry for more than 20 years. I am the head of fantasy sports content for Fantasy Alarm and DFS Alarm as well as a bi-weekly columnist for the New York Post. Welcome to the #Family.

When it comes to DFS Showdown slates, even the ugly games count. And wow, does this game between the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns have ugly written all over it. The Browns are without Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt for starters. They may also be without Odell Beckham, their offensive line is banged-up and anyone waiting on Jarvis Landry to return may have to wait a little longer as the veteran wideout is a true game-time decision.

On the other side, the Broncos may be healthy, but they’ve been a veritable nightmare lately as head coach Vic Fangio and offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur seem way in over their heads and are getting out-coached every step of the way.

But that’s life in the NFL and even with a game total of 41.5, there will still be some points scored for daily fantasy football. There may not be a lot, but enough to cash some tickets for those willing to put some lineups in. Here’s a look at the plays we like for Thursday Night Football.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Captain/MVP

Courtland Sutton, WR, Broncos

On paper, the Browns’ cover-corners look great, but in reality, they’ve struggled against the opposing #1 receiver, ranking 26th in DVOA and allowing an average of 99 receiving yards per game. Sutton has averaged 107 yards and one touchdown over his last two games and should build off that tonight.

D’Ernest Johnson, RB, Browns

Despite the injuries, the Browns are still a run-first team and Johnson is expected to shoulder the load tonight against a run defense that may not give up a whole lot of yards, but rank 20th in DVOA against the run and have allowed five rushing touchdowns on the year.

Case Keenum, QB, Browns

The Browns are in desperate need of a win in this game and if they have to turn to the pass, they will. Keenum is more than capable of running this pass attack, especially if the Browns can establish the run and allow play-action to open up. We’ve seen head coach Kevin Stefanski turn more to the pass at times and this game could very well be one of them.

Don’t forget to read our same game parlay for Broncos vs Browns (+1450 odds!)

Other Picks

Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Browns

With the likelihood that Odell Beckham sits and Jarvis Landry, recently activated off injured reserve, being a game-time decision, Peoples-Jones slots in as the Browns’ top receiver. He matches up well against the Broncos corners and showed everyone last week that he can be a force on the field.

Melvin Gordon, RB, Broncos

The rest of the world stays on Javonte Williams in search of a breakout, but Gordon does not carry an injury designation into tonight’s action and remains the lead back. Their split on carries has been close to 50/50, but Gordon is still the lead and he sees more work inside the red zone which is key for Showdown slates. It’s not a great match-up, but the Broncos have to try to establish the run.

Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Broncos

If the running game isn’t clicking, Denver will take it to the air and have Bridgewater looking for his receivers downfield. Keep in mind, he does have a foot issue so there is some risk, but it doesn’t sound like it will keep him out of the game. If you believe in the Browns’ run defense, then using Bridgewater could be the play you want.

Demetric Felton, RB, Browns

Should the Browns fall behind in this game which, given their pass defense, could be a distinct possibility, then Felton could be in-play even more. The former UCLA scat-back is expected to see the third-down, pass-catching work and could be a check-down machine for Keenum.

Tim Patrick, WR, Broncos

The Browns’ run defense is their strong suit, so that could push the Broncos into a heavier aerial attack. Patrick runs clean routes and has proven to be very reliable. He got back into the end zone last week and has three touchdowns on the year. If leaned on, he could grab his fourth.

Dart Throws

David Njoku, TE, Browns

With the receivers being banged up, the Browns will likely incorporate their tight ends a lot more into the passing game. Expect a lot of 12-personnel formation which puts two tight ends on the field and while Austin Hooper sees more snaps overall, Njoku has the same number or targets and does more route-running as Hooper stays tethered to the line.

Rashard Higgins, WR, Browns

Whenever there is a change at quarterback, fantasy owners search for the receiver the new guy will jell with the most. That could be Higgins who has worked with Keenum the most at practice. He is the definition of a dart-throw, but one we are ready to use.

Find out our best touchdown scorer bets for TNF, including a 1st TD scorer pick at 13/1!

For a more in-depth breakdown and showdown analysis, be sure to check out DFSAlarm.com for all of your daily fantasy sports needs.

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$50

Get $50 Free - No Deposit Required!

Register for a FanDuel Sportsbook account

Receive $50 in site credits to use on Sportsbook

No Deposit Required!

Winnings paid as CASH. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Win $100 if any team scores a point in any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1+ any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game Money Line

If your team wins, you will be issued a $100 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,001

Get a $1,001 Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Win or lose, you'll receive a free bet matching your initial stake - up to $1,001!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$400

Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.