NHL Playoffs New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Eastern Conference Finals series predictions: Tampa Bay too much for New York

NHL Tampa Bay Lightning Forward Nikita Kucherov
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

NHL· 3 months ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to continue their defense of the Stanley Cup when they face the New York Islanders in the Eastern Conference Finals.

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins in six games to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals and now will have a much tougher task in front of them.

Stanley Cup Odds:

Tampa Bay Lightning: +160
New York Islanders: +600

Above are the Stanley Cup odds for each team now that we are down to a Final Four so to speak. Now let’s see how this series might play out.

New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning predictions

Series Odds:

Tampa Bay Lightning: -250
New York Islanders: +200

Tampa Bay come into this series as the heavy favorite, which is fitting seeing what they did to the Carolina Hurricanes in the second-round. The Lightning beat the Hurricanes in just five games, scoring 15 times (averaging 3.0 goals per game). Their defense held up as well, allowing an average of 1.8 goals per game. Plenty of Tampa Bay’s top player contributed points in this series, led by Nikita Kucherov with seven. Brayden Point added six, and Steven Stamkos had five. These three guys among others will be crucial in this series.

As mentioned, the New York Islanders pulled an upset over the Boston Bruins, beating them in six games. This was a bit of a surprise given how good Boston had looked in the first-round against Washington. Nonetheless, the Islanders are full of confidence right now and look to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals in a long time. Like Tampa Bay, New York had plenty of contributors in the series with Boston. They were led by Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Kyle Palmieri, and Matthew Barzal each with six points in this series. Josh Bailey and Jordan Eberle each had five points and Brock Nelson and Noah Dobson each had four points. Clearly this Islanders team is deep and they are going to need every bit of that depth to beat the Lightning four times.

As for the Islanders scoring, they had 22 goals over the course of the six games with Boston, averaging 3.6 goals per game. Their defense had problems at times, allowing 17 goals in six games, an average of 2.83 goals per game.

Recent head-to-head meetings

Given the Covid guidelines during the regular season, these teams have not played each other this season.

Final thoughts

As good as the Islanders have looked throughout the playoffs, I think Tampa Bay is just a little strong. This is especially because they have one of the best goalies between the pipes in Andrei Vasilevskiy. He saved 142 of the 151 shots he saw, giving him a save percentage of 0.940 in the series against Carolina.

The Islanders used two goalies in their series against Boston with Ilya Sorokin playing in Game 1 and Semyon playing the rest of the series. Sorokin struggled a bit in his one start, posting a save percentage of 0.897. Meanwhile, Varlamov managed to save 170 of the 182 shots against him and had a save percentage of 0.934. Even though Varlamov looked just as good as Vasilevskiy, I ultimately think the Lightning will be too much here. The Islanders are a solid home team, so they will probably win a game or two, but I will back the Lightning to advance to the Finals.

Verdict: Tampa Bay Lightning in 6

Pickswise is the home of free NHL Picks and Predictions. Check back for our daily NHL Best Betsincluding our favorite NHL Prop Bets

See All
BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet + a free NFL Jersey!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $5,000 + a free NFL Jersey

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $1 On Any NFL Football Game & Get $150 In Free Bets Instantly!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1 on any Pro Football game

Instantly get $150 in free bets

FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 in cash if the Cowboys or Eagles win!

Bet $5 on the Cowboys or Eagles to win

Win $150 in CASH if your team wins!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account to claim

Must be 21+ to play. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.