Nuggets vs Thunder Parlay Picks: Expert NBA Same Game Parlay at +445 odds

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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I had an easy Same Game Parlay winner in Sunday’s Celtics vs Clippers game at +414 odds, capping off the week in the best possible way. Monday brings us two more tasty TV games; my focus is on the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder clash at 7.30 pm ET. Can the Nuggets respond after back-to-back defeats in the first two meetings this season?

That game will be live on Peacock as part 1 of their NBA double-header this Monday. I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay bet at +445 odds, including a Spread Pick along with two Player Prop Bets. Don’t forget to go over our NBA Picks for all 5 games taking place this evening, but now let’s get into my selections for this specific game!

Denver Nuggets +7.5 (-112)

Christian Braun 2+ Made Threes (+178)

Jaylin Williams to Record 6+ Rebounds (-400)

Same Game Parlay odds: +445

Denver Nuggets +7.5 (-112)

Aaron Gordon coming back means that the Nuggets are finally back to full strength, that is if Jamal Murray is able to play after his ankle twist in the loss to the Knicks. Denver got blown out by 39 points, but we can give them some leeway considering it was a 2nd night of a back-to-back scenario. Monday’s meetings with the Thunder will be their 3rd this season, they are yet to win a team against SGA and co., with the latest meeting ending in a 6-point road defeat in OT. The defending champs have similar issues, but unlike the Nuggets it hasn’t affected their ability to win games at all. They enter Monday’s affair on a 5-game win streak, the defense has really excelled in their last 4 games holding opponents to just 97,100, 108 and 87 points.

However, I’d still advise caution here given that Isaiah Hartenstein and Jalen Williams have already been ruled out, while Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren are both questionable. From a bettors’ perspective backing the Thunder hasn’t been all that joyful, they’ve failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games overall, while at home they’re just 15-18 ATS in 33 games so far. There’s pressure on both teams given their situations in the standings, but I’d argue there’s slightly more on the Nuggets who just fell to 6th after the Lakers won on Sunday. Gordon coming back is a plus, the team will only get better once he returns to his pre-injury form. I feel way more comfortable backing the Nuggets plus the extra points here.

Christian Braun 2+ Made Threes (+178)

Is it just me or does Christian Braun play well every time these two teams meet? Not only is he averaging 18 points per game over the last 5 meetings, but he also went off in the 2nd meeting between these two teams this season scoring 23 points and grabbing 8 rebounds. That just showed us how important he is to the success of the Nuggets, even as only the 4th or 5th scoring option. It’s been a rough season in terms of injuries for him, but he’s slowly getting back into playing shape – the last 10 games have seen him average almost 13 points per game while connecting on 52% of shots from the field and 31% from three. His opportunity on Monday lies in the fact that OKC allows the 4th most threes in the NBA and the 6th most to opposing shooting guards. He too should benefit from Aaron Gordon’s return as the opposing defenses now have another player to turn their attention to, which gives Braun the opportunity to go slightly under the radar. The Thunder rank 22nd in opponent three-point percentage this season, we can only hope he uses that to his advantage here.

Jaylin Williams to Record 6+ Rebounds (-400)

To wrap up the Same Game Parlay bet I have Jaylin Williams cleaning the glass for the defending champs here. He’s done a fabulous job at doing so over his last 10 games averaging 7.3 rebounds a night. The last 2 of 3 games have seen him go double-digits in the department, the same could be required from him in case Chet Holmgren isn’t able to go here as he battles an illness ahead of tip-off. Williams has shown a lot of improvement in this area of play, especially on the defensive side where he’s upped his rebounding from 4.6 to 4.9 per game compared to last year. In two meetings this season he’s averaging 5 rebounds per game, with the Nuggets ranking 7th for rebounds allowed to opposing PFs there’s no doubt in my mind he can get 6 of them here. He’s had at least 5 in 7 games straight and has cleared this line in 4 of those games.

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