Filip Tomic
The NBA Finals are reaching the boiling point with the series snow tied at 2-2 as we head into Oklahoma City for Game 5. With the series lead on the line it promises to be an exciting game, I’ve gone in-depth and prepared a +409 odds Same Game Parlay.
Don’t forget to bookmark our NBA Picks page as we’ll be posting our predictions on every single game left in this series. Let’s get into my Thunder vs Pacers Game 5 SGP!
OKC Thunder ML (-400)
Chet Holmgren to record a double-double (+130)
Pascal Siakam Over 26.5 Pts + Reb (-108)
Same Game Parlay odds: +409
OKC Thunder ML (-400)
When his team needed him the most, the MVP stepped up to the table. Down 7 points entering the 4th quarter the Thunder were in a tough spot, but for knows what time this season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander saved the day. With 15 points scored in the final frame, combined by his team’s stellar performance on the defensive end, he turned the game upside down and saved the season for OKC. Now it’s time to deliver the knockout punch as the series switches back to Oklahoma City for Game 5, with home court advantage back in the Thunder’s possession.
Playing at home should make all the difference for OKC here – as home favorites this year they are 35-15-2 ATS, plus they’ve covered the spread 49 times in 81 games played following a win. With the likes of SGA and Jalen Williams in hot form scoring the basketball, Indiana will have a hard time keeping up here, we’ve seen their struggles in road games this postseason. If it wasn’t for that miracle comeback in Game 1, they’d likely be looking at a 3-1 deficit entering this game. The Thunder are 9.5 point favorites for Game 5, which does sound like a lot, so I believe going for just the Money Line is the way to go here. They’ve won 7 of 8 home games and are 18-2 SU in 20 games vs Eastern Conference opponents. Back OKC to take Game 5.
Chet Holmgren to record a double-double (+130)
Holmgren has really stepped up his game in this series, particularly on the rebounding front recording double-digit boards in the last two games. Head coach Mike Daigneault experimented with starting two centers in Game 4 with Hartenstein and Holmgren, but that strategy quickly backfired and he reverted back to just playing Holmgren which resulted in his highest minutes total so far in the series (37) and the most rebounds he has collected so far through the 4 games played (15) and his 2nd highest rebounding total of this postseason run in general. With the series going back to OKC for Game 5 I am expecting yet another double-double performance from Chet, as his averages usually go up in wins compared to losses. This game has the potential to be a momentum swinging game, without a proper performance by Holmgren I’m afraid the Thunder won’t be able to come out on top.
Pascal Siakam Over 26.5 Pts + Reb (-108)
The consistency displayed by Pascal Siakam not only this postseason, but also in the NBA Finals has been truly remarkable. Although he shrunk a bit in the final frame of Game 4, he still made a massive impact with 20 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 steals becoming only the 5th player ever in NBA Finals history with a 20/5/5/5 stat line. Having already won an NBA Championship he has the necessary experience for moments like these and it doesn’t get bigger than a Game 4 with the series tied at 2-2. A lot is expected out of Siakam on the road in Monday’s game and I feel very comfortable backing him to have yet another solid scoring and rebounding game. So far in the series he has cleared this line in 3 of the 4 games, he’s put together a mini run of back-to-back 20+ point games as well. The Eastern Conference Finals MVP leads his team in scoring and rebounding through the 4 meetings with Oklahoma City, we can only hope that remains the case after Monday’s game.
