Filip Tomic
The NBA Finals are reaching the boiling point with the series now tied at 2-2 as we head into Oklahoma City for Game 5. With the series lead on the line it promises to be an exciting showdown, and I have gone in depth and prepared a +409 Same Game Parlay.
Don’t forget to bookmark our NBA picks page as we’ll be posting our predictions on every single game left in this series. Let’s get into my Thunder vs Pacers Game 5 SGP!
OKC Thunder ML (-400)
Chet Holmgren to record a double-double (+130)
Pascal Siakam Over 26.5 Pts + Reb (-108)
Same Game Parlay odds: +409
OKC Thunder ML (-400)
When his team needed him the most, the MVP stepped up to the table. Down 7 points entering the fourth quarter, the Thunder were in a tough spot — but for who knows what time this season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander saved the day. With 15 points scored in the final frame, combined by his team’s stellar performance on the defensive end, he turned the game upside down and saved the season for OKC. Now it’s time to deliver the knockout punch as the series switches back to Oklahoma City for Game 5, with home-court advantage back in the Thunder’s possession.
Playing at home should make all the difference for OKC. As home favorites this year the Thunder are 35-15-2 ATS, plus they have covered the spread 49 times in 81 games played following a win. With the likes of SGA and Jalen Williams in hot form scoring the basketball, Indiana will probably have a hard time keeping up. We have seen their struggles in road games this postseason. If it wasn’t for that miracle comeback in Game 1, they would likely be looking at a 3-1 deficit entering this game. The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites for Game 5, which does sound like a lot, so I believe just the money line is the way to go. They have won 7 of 8 home games and are 18-2 SU in 20 games against Eastern Conference opponents. I’m backing OKC to take Game 5.
Chet Holmgren to record a double-double (+130)
Holmgren has really stepped up his game in this series, particularly on the rebounding front recording double-digit boards in the last 2 games. Head coach Mark Daigneault experimented with starting 2 centers in Game 4 with Hartenstein and Holmgren, but that strategy quickly backfired and he reverted back to just playing Holmgren — which resulted in his highest minutes total so far in the series (37), the most rebounds he has collected through the 4 games played (15) and his second-highest rebounding total of this postseason run in general. With the series going back to OKC for Game 5, I am expecting yet another double-double performance from Chet; his averages usually go up in wins compared to losses. Monday has the potential to be a momentum-swinging game, and without a proper performance by Holmgren I’m afraid the Thunder won’t be able to come out on top.
Pascal Siakam Over 26.5 point + rebounds (-108)
The consistency displayed by Pascal Siakam not only this postseason but also in the NBA Finals has been truly remarkable. Although he shrunk a bit in the final frame of Game 4, he still made a massive impact with 20 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 steals — becoming only the fifth player ever in NBA Finals history with a 20/5/5/5 stat line. Having already won an NBA championship, he has the necessary experience for moments like these — and it doesn’t get bigger than a Game 4 with the series tied at 2-2. A lot is expected out of Siakam on the road in Monday’s contest and I feel very comfortable backing him to have yet another solid scoring and rebounding game. So far in the series he has cleared this line in 3 of the 4 games; he has put together a mini run of back-to-back 20+ point games; as well. The Eastern Conference Finals MVP leads his team in scoring and rebounding through the 4 meetings with Oklahoma City, so we can only hope that remains the case on Monday.
