Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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In what seems to be one of the oddest NBA Conference Finals in recent memory, we face a second possible series sweep in back-to-back days. The Celtics (+2) are 0-3 and in Miami tonight. Much has been made about the ineptitude of Celtics head coach Joe Mazzulla, along with the questionable play of stars Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Heat coach Erik Spoelstra has put on a clinic this postseason and finds himself one win away from reaching the NBA Finals for a second time in 4 years. All eyes will be on Jimmy Butler tonight in a close-out game as his playoff prowess continues to grow with each and every taunt of the Celtics. Lock in our Celtics vs Heat predictions for tonight’s game, but for now, let’s dive into our best player prop bets.
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Bam Adebayo over 27.5 points and rebounds (-110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Adebayo has looked the best he has all postseason in this series. He’s hit this line in 2 of 3 games and the one miss was the blowout Game 3 where he only saw 25 minutes and had 5 field goal attempts. I’m not expecting another 29-point performance from Gabe Vincent and this should be more of the Jimmy/Bam show as we’ve seen in the previous two matchups. Bam is getting to the charity stripe consistently with no less than 5 free-throw attempts in any of the games. He’s hit this line in 5 of 7 games where he sees at least 5+ free throws attempted. I have Bam projected at 20-9 tonight so this line fits nicely. 1U
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Malcolm Brogdon over 19.5 points, rebounds and assists (-120)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
It’s tough to take anything away from Game 3 for how much of a stomping it was. Brogdon only played 18 minutes and was 0-6 from the field; let’s throw that one out the window. In Game 2 he finished with 19 PRA in 26 minutes and Game 1 Brogdon had 22 PRA in 37 minutes. Like most things in life, the truth is somewhere in the middle. Brogdon has averaged 21 PRA this entire postseason, including his 4 PRA in Game 3; if we take that out, it goes up to 22 PRA. I have Brogdon down for 30 minutes tonight and when he gets to that mark, he hits this line in 5/5 games. 1.5U and you can play to 20.5 PRA.
We cashed last night’s SGP — get tonight’s Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Same Game Parlay
Celtics vs Heat Same Game Parlay Lotto (+3177)
- Bam Adebayo 25+ Points
- Jayson Tatum 4+ 3PM
- Robert Williams 8+ Rebounds
$10 pays $317
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