Filip Tomic
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My +551 odds Same Game Parlay on last night’s Lakers vs Nuggets game cashed so let’s try for another big win today! Denver has booked a place in the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history, and now it’s up to Miami to join them. Game 4 of Celtics vs Heat tips off at 8:30 pm ET on TNT and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
Don’t forget to bookmark our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for every NBA game. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Over 216.5 points (-110)
Gabe Vincent 2+ made threes (-360)
Jimmy Butler over 5.5 assists (-148)
Jaylen Brown over 2.5 made threes (+112)
Celtics vs Heat Same Game Parlay odds: +642
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Over 216.5 points (-110)
It’s been all about the points in this series so far with an average of 228.2 scored per game and the over cashing in all 3 games. It has been a rough stretch for the Celtics, but they’ve knocked down double-digit threes in each game so far. Aside from Game 2, Miami has done the same, connecting on 16 and 19 threes in Games 1 and 3. These are the 2nd and 3rd-best teams in terms of offensive efficiency in the postseason, with only the Nuggets topping them. Boston has gone over in 11 of 14 games, and in 6 of 7 played on the road. For Miami, the over has cashed in 5 of 6 games, plus they’re now 27-22 on the O/U for the season when playing at Kaseya Center. The teams’ head-to-head meetings have now produced 5 overs and just 1 under in the last 6 games, so I’ll be sticking with that bet until we get a different outcome.
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Gabe Vincent 2+ made threes (-360)
Gabe Vincent was the main story of Game 3 for the Heat as he led the scoring with 29 points, including 6 threes made on 9 attempts. He has been letting it fly all series, and after 3 games he’s averaging 3.3 threes per game on 55.6% efficiency. The stellar play has now elevated him to 3rd in points per game on Miami, and even the biggest Vincent advocates couldn’t have seen that coming. I see no reason why things should change for Game 4. The Celtics have been obliterated from three-point land in this series, they’re allowing 47.8% made shots from deep, on Sunday Miami shot 54.3% in a blowout win. With a chance to head back to the finals for the first time since 2020, I’m expecting Vincent and co. to step up.
Jimmy Butler over 5.5 assists (-148)
Although he was only the 4th leading scorer in the blowout victory on Sunday, Jimmy Butler’s imprint on the game was massive as he finished with a +24 on the +/- figure when on the court. He had a team-high 6 assists, matching his postseason average of 5.6 per game. He has now cleared this line in all 3 games of this series and in 5 of his last 6 games if we also count the Knicks series. Closeout games are the most difficult ones and in these type of situations the leaders must step up. Butler has carried Miami all year, and it’s only right that he shares the rock and gets everyone involved. We know Butler can put the ball into the basket, but his team thrives the most when he shares the ball. He’s averaging 8 assists per game in his last 10 games, so getting to 6 shouldn’t be an issue.
Check out our Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat predictions
Jaylen Brown over 2.5 made threes (+112)
Not much has gone right for Jaylen Brown in this series and Game 3 was by far his worst performance in the postseason. Through 3 games he has made 2 threes from 20 attempts, and that kind of drop-off is exactly why the Celtics find themselves in this position. It’s not all on Brown, though, as other players have also disappointed. There’s still time to turn it around, though. Brown became eligible for a max extension when he made the all-NBA team, so he’s still trying to prove his worth for the Celtics. He was on fire against Philadelphia in the Eastern Conference semis, averaging 2.3 threes per game on 43.2% efficiency. Prior to this series he had made 3 threes 8 times in 10 games played, it’s hard to believe he forgot how to play basketball overnight. If the Celtics are going out tonight, Brown should at least let it fly from distance.
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