Saturday college basketball five-team mega parlay (+2225 odds)

Ayo Dosunmu of the Illinois Fighting Illini
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

NCAAB · 1 year ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

As March Madness draws closer and closer, we have another jam-packed Saturday of college basketball on our hands. Two all-Top 25 showdowns pit Kansas against Texas Tech and Texas against West Virginia. Among the other teams in action are Gonzaga, Illinois, Alabama, Virginia, and Florida State.

Here’s our five-team parlay for Saturday:

Illinois -4.5 (-110)

Georgia Tech -2.5 (-115)

Arizona State +8.5 (-110)

Auburn ML (+165)

TCU ML (-335)

Parlay odds: +2225

For this parlay we mix in two favorites against the spread, one underdog and the points, and two money line winners (one favorite and one underdog). Let’s break down each of the five legs one by one.

Illinois -4.5 over Minnesota (-110)

Illinois has won six in a row. This is a team that can run hot and cold, so winning and not playing their best is kind of a step forward. Star guard Ayo Dosunmu underwhelmed in the first meeting with Minnesota this season and the Fighting Illini still dominated by 27 points. The Golden Gophers had no answer for Kofi Cockburn down low. Minnesota big man Liam Robbins fouled out after playing only 18 minutes. Another 27-point blowout may be too much to ask of Illinois, but this rematch should not be competitive.

Georgia Tech -2.5 over Miami (FL) (-115)

Miami played only once in the last two weeks and it will have just seven scholarship players available when they entertain Georgia Tech. Like they have for many teams this season, coronavirus issues have wreaked havoc on the Hurricanes. Among their absences are second-leading scorer Chris Lykes (15.5 points per game) and fifth-leading scorer Earl Timberlake (9.3 ppg). Timberlake is also averaging 5.0 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 1.7 steals per game, so his absence hurts a lot even though he isn’t quite averaging double-figures in points. Neither Lykes nor Timberlake is expected to return in 2021. Even at full strength, Miami has not been good this season. It 7-12 overall, 3-11 in the ACC, and has won just a single game since Jan. 16 (and that was against Duke, which may not even make the NCAA Tournament). Georgia Tech guard Jose Alvarado is doing it all on both ends of the floor with 16.8 ppg and 2.8 spg. He is a bad matchup for Miami, which is in the red in turnover margin this season.

Arizona State +8.5 over UCLA (-110)

Oddsmakers have the Bruins as nearly double-digit favorites for this one, and that is simply too high. It becomes clear when you dig into their wins and losses that they have been a lucky team this season. Incredibly, eight of their last 10 victories have come by six points or fewer. As such, I don’t see how you could consider laying this many points to the Sun Devils. UCLA was only able to beat a 4-17 Washington team by three points and also just lost outright to Washington State. Arizona State has been a big disappointment this season, but it still boasts a ton of talent. When these teams played earlier this year, it was an extremely tight game that went to overtime.

Remy Martin and Bobby Hurley of the Arizona State Sun Devils

Auburn ML over LSU (+165)

It has been months since Kansas State has won a game. The Wildcats have not earned a victory since December 29 and they are currently going through a 13-game losing streak. And for the most part they are getting crushed, too. A lot of their struggles has to do with the fact that they are the least-efficient offense in the Big 12. They have an effective field-goal percentage of 45.5 (last), 27.2 from three-point range (last), and 67.0 from the free-throw line (last). Given Kansas State’s lack of ability to defend pretty much everywhere on the court, TCU is likely going to be able to score plenty. The Horned Frogs on the money line is a safe play.

TCU ML over Kansas State (-335)

It’s hard to see LSU’s defense shutting down Auburn’s offense. The Tigers rank 139th in the country in defensive efficiency, so the argument could be made that they are getting a bit lucky with how their opponents are shooting against them. Only nine teams in Division I give up more three-point attempts to their opponents than LSU. Despite that, LSU’s opposition is only shooting 30.4 percent on those attempts, which is the 38th-lowest percentage in the country. Auburn shoots the 25th-most threes in the country. Of course the Tigers will have to make a decent percentage of them, but it won’t be a surprise to see them fork up 30 threes in this game. Auburn ranks 26th in the country in offensive rebounding rate, which should scare LSU and its 305th-ranked defensive rebounding rate. Even if Auburn is missing from the perimeter, it can make up for it by controlling the glass.

Pickswise is the home of free NCAA basketball picks and predictions. We will provide predictions on both the side and totals for all of the power-conference and Top 25 games during the 2020-21 season.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.