The 2021 US Open: Breaking down the top 10 players for the third golf major of the year

Brooks Koepka hits a shot at Riviera.
Photo of Andrew Wilsher

Andrew Wilsher

Golf

Show Bio

Managing Editor of Pickswise. Born and raised in jolly old London, England, with an undying love for the NFL, NBA, soccer and horse racing. A big-time sports bettor who loves futures markets and backing underdogs. Long-suffering New York Jets fan.

The third golf major of the year has arrived with the US Open taking place at Torrey Pines this week.

Will Jon Rahm bounce back from his COVID nightmare a couple of weeks ago? Will Jordan Spieth finally claim another Major? Can Bryson DeChambeau successfully defend his US Open crown?

We’ll be breaking down all of the top 10 players in the betting while also rating their chances of US Open success out of five to ensure you’re as informed as possible before placing your bets.

New to golf betting? Make sure you also check out our handy golf betting guide, which breaks down all the main markets.

But for now, let’s take a look at the key contenders in the US Open, along with their odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jon Rahm (+1050)

COVID robbed the Spaniard of a likely Memorial success last time as he was forced to withdraw after holding a six-shot lead through 54 holes. Rahm was initially required to isolate for 10 days, but because he was asymptomatic, two negative tests 24 hours apart opened the door for him to take part this week, meaning he could leave Ohio and start his US Open preparations. His Memorial form, coupled with a great Torrey Pines record, makes Rahm a huge dangerman as he chases a Major breakthrough this week.

RATING: 4/5

Jon Rahm tees off on the second hole during the Final round of the Zozo Championship golf tournament at Sherwood Country Club.

CREDIT – Kelvin Kuo (USA Today)

Bryson DeChambeau (+1500)

The defending US Open champion should be able to use his incredible power to good effect at Torrey Pines and he is highly likely to put up a fight in defense of his crown. He has missed the cut in his two previous Farmers Insurance Open appearances at Torrey Pines, but the last of them was in 2018, before he turned himself into the Hulk.

3/5

Dustin Johnson (+1500)

The South Carolinian finished the 2008 US Open at Torrey Pines tied for 48th place. Jon Rahm put Johnson’s world-number-one ranking under threat in the Memorial the week before last, but DJ responded with a solid performance in the Palmetto Championship, in which his recently troublesome putting improved. He boasts strong US Open form figures of 4-2-1-MC-3-35-6 in the last seven events. He won the Masters last November, but has missed the cut in the last two Majors.

2/5

Dustin Johnson hits a tee shot on the second hole during the final round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions golf tournament at Kapalua Resort - The Plantation Course.

CREDIT – Kyle Terada (USA Today)

Xander Schauffele (+1500)

The man from San Diego boasts a rock-solid Majors record with eight top-ten finishes in 16 starts. He has an amazing US Open record of 5-6-3-5, and third place in the Masters in April was a disappointment after a horror tee-shot at the 70th hole found water. He has finished second eight times since his last victory. He tied for second in the Farmers in January to end a run of missed cuts in that event on this week’s course.

3/5

Brooks Koepka (+1900)

Koepka tied for second in the PGA Championship last month despite putting poorly, but has been struggling for fitness in the wake of knee surgery and missed the cut by two shots in the Palmetto Championship last week. The two-time US Open champion insists his game is in great shape, but three missed cuts in four starts suggest otherwise.

2/5

Jordan Spieth (+1900)

This year has seen the resurrection of Spieth. After missing the cut in the Farmers at Torrey Pines in January, he dropped to 92nd in the world rankings, but has surged back into the top 25 after a series of strong performances. Victory in the Texas Open was immediately followed by a third-place finish in the Masters, but he blew a golden winning chance at Colonial at the end of last month and has a poor Farmers record.

1/5

Jordan Spieth holds the trophy after winning the Valero Texas Open golf tournament.

CREDIT – Daniel Dunn (USA Today)

Rory McIlroy (+2100)

Victory in the Wells Fargo Championship made the Northern Irishman favorite for the PGA Championship, but he tied for 49th place, following up with 18th place in the Memorial. He added the Farmers to his schedule in 2019, with results of 5-3-16 since. The 2014 PGA Championship was his last win in a Major, and he should probably be avoided this week.

2/5

Patrick Cantlay (+2200)

The Californian can look forward to a home-state Major with winning form behind him — he took advantage of Jon Rahm’s COVID disaster to win the Memorial a week and a half ago. The 29-year-old has never missed a cut in the US Open (21-41-45-21-43), but has struggled both times he has played at Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance.

2/5

Justin Thomas (+2250)

The 2017 PGA champion has underachieved in Majors since that Quail Hollow success and he missed the cut in the PGA Championship a month ago. Seven starts since winning the Players Championship have failed to yield a top-ten finish. He has not played the Farmers since missing the cut in 2015.

2/5

Collin Morikawa (+2550)

The 2020 PGA champion finished eighth in his title defense a month ago. His Major triumph came in his home state of California and he will be looking forward to another local major this week. Morikawa tied for 21st in his only previous Torrey Pines start, but he will expect better this week and he looks like a serious title contender.

4/5

Pickswise is the home of free expert Golf Picks and Predictions. Our PGA expert picks go live every Tuesday, so check out our latest golf picks, best bets and analysis for this week’s tournament now.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets No Matter What

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet of $5

Get $150 in bonus bets no matter what

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Virginia Bettors- Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 in Free Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 in free bets no matter what!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as free bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com..

PointsBet

$500

Get $100 in Free Bets, for 5 Days Straight

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Your First Cash Bet Is On Caesars Up To $1,250

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

If you lose, you get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit - up to $1,250.

AND win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits.

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets, if you Don't Win

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get up to $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply