The best NFL prop bets for Week 3

Deshaun Watson playing for the Texans
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Andrew Ortenberg

NFL · 2 years ago

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I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

With the NFL back there are a ton of side and total bets to be made this weekend, and you can view the best of those on our ‘NFL picks‘ tab, but there are also a lot of props with value. Each week we’ll be bringing you the best player prop bets, and without further ado here’s what we like on the third Sunday of the 2020 NFL season.

1. QB Deshaun Watson over 24.5 rushing yards

Watson should be in for a big day on the ground here against the Steelers. Pittsburgh has a dominant defensive front, so they should be able to get a lot of pressure. That will force Watson to scramble a lot, and to extend plays with his legs.

He only has 44 yards rushing through his first two games, and is due for a breakout. I wouldn’t be surprised if Houston coach Bill O’Brien dialed up a couple of designed runs for Watson early on to try to keep the defense on their toes and neutralize the pass-rush.

2. RB Miles Sanders over 82.5 rushing yards

Sanders managed to put up 95 yards on the ground last week, and that was in a game that his team lost by 18 points. The Eagles are relatively large favorites this week at home against the Bengals, so the game-script should be much more favorable to Sanders this time around.

Sanders is the unquestioned workhorse in this backfield, as Boston Scott received only four carries last week to Sanders’ 20. The Penn State product also has the added benefit of going up against a Cincinnati run defense that can’t stop anybody at the moment. The Bengals are still without their top interior run-stuffer in defensive tackle Geno Atkins, and in their most recent game they gave up 215 yards rushing to the Browns.

3. WR Darius Slayton over 44.5 receiving yards

DraftKings opened Slayton at 44.5, and that’s way too low. The Giants’ promising second-year pro had 102 yards in the opener, and only had 33 in Week 2 but that was mostly due to New York’s offense struggling as a whole against Chicago. Sterling Shepard is now out with a toe injury and Saquon Barkley is done for the year with his ACL tear, leaving Slayton as the clear top option moving forward.

The San Francisco defense he’ll be going up against isn’t anything close to what it used to be. Top corner Richard Sherman is still out with his calf injury, and a string of guys along the defensive line like Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas, and Dee Ford are out. New York is going to be able to move the ball here, and Slayton will be the biggest beneficiary.

For the best NFL prop plays all season long, be sure to check out our ‘NFL props‘ tab.

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