NFL Picks

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Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
LA Chargers Win +5.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 52.5 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers will travel across the country to take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The Chargers have been a big disappointment this year, but once again most of their losses have been heartbreakers in games they often led early on. They don’t often get beat by lopsided margins, and as such I love grabbing points with them as a sizable underdog. Despite being just 3-7, their point differential is only -13 for the year. Conversely, Buffalo’s is only +7 despite being 7-3, and I think they’re pretty overrated. The Bills are just 3-3 in their last six games, with two of those wins coming against the lowly Jets and Patriots. Justin Herbert has been playing at an elite level, and I think finally getting a win against the Jets this past week will have the Chargers headed in the right direction. The Chargers are going to cover this spread and I think they’ve got a good shot to win this one outright, as well.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

The play I like even more here, though, is the over. Both defenses are overrated, and this one has shootout written all over it. In the Bills’ past two games, there have been a total of 140 points scored. The Chargers quietly have one of the best offenses in the league at the moment, but they just allowed Joe Flacco to put up 28 points on them last week. There have been at least 50 total points in each of the Chargers’ last seven games, and at least 57 in six of those. Oddsmakers aren’t accounting for how good Herbert is, and with the weapons he has at his disposal like Keenan Allen (who had 16 catches last week) and Mike Williams, he should shred this Buffalo defense. Josh Allen should also have a lot of success with key Chargers defenders Casey Hayward, Melvin Ingram, and Uchenna Nwosu all picking up injuries last week.

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Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
TEN Titans Win +3.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 51.5 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans will be battling for first place in the AFC South when they square off in Indianapolis on Sunday afternoon. It is true that the Titans did not play well at home just two weeks ago against the Colts, but momentum is back on their side following a huge overtime win at Baltimore this past weekend. Derrick Henry delivered his second consecutive 100-yard performance by marching for 133 yards against the Ravens, including the winning touchdown in overtime from 29 yards out. Needless to say, that was an impressive win over a Baltimore squad that had just thumped Indianapolis 24-10 during Week 9 action. Despite Tennessee’s Week 10 loss to Indy, Henry still went for 103 yards on just 19 carries (a 5.4 average) in that contest. In a matchup between two good teams–and division rivals–that are evenly matched on paper, I will gladly accept getting more than a field goal. The Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven on the road against opponents with winning home records and 6-2 ATS in their last eight on fieldturf. Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in its last eight against the AFC. It is also worth noting that the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head-to-head matchups. Take Tennessee and the points.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Although Indianapolis boasts a stout rushing defense, it did not do much in the way of stopping Henry in the previous matchup. He is arguably the best back in football and has every reason to be productive again on Sunday. On the other side of the ball, Tennessee ranks 27th in passing defense and 30th in sacks. Philip Rivers won’t be under much pressure this weekend and will have a good chance of exceeding the 300-yard mark just as he did against the Titans earlier this month. A total of 51 points were scored in that showdown; at least that many can he posted this time around. The over is 17-5-1 in the Titans’ last 23 overall, 4-1 in their last five on the road, 6-0-1 in their last seven against the AFC, and 4-0 in their last four against the AFC South. It is also 5-1 in the Colts’ last six overall, 6-2 in their last eight against the AFC, and 4-0 in their last four against the AFC South. Look for this one to go over the total.

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Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
LV Raiders Win -3.0 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 55.5 Game Totals
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The Las Vegas Raiders suffered a narrow defeat to AFC West rivals Kansas City last week on Sunday Night Football, but they can bounce back when they take on the Atlanta Falcons. The Raiders are now 6-4 but have statistically played the hardest schedule of any team so far, and as a result have the easiest remaining schedule. Jon Gruden will know that doesn’t mean anything unless you go out and get the results, and with playoffs firmly within reach I expect his team to head to Atlanta fired up and motivated. The Raiders have put up 31 points or more in each of their last three games, and they have been lethal in both the pass and run game. Derek Carr has thrown just three interceptions all season, and he is complemented by a sturdy tandem backfield of Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker. The Falcons looked woeful against the Saints last week, posting a measly 52 total rushing yards while Matt Ryan was picked off twice. Atlanta had been playing well prior to that performance, but there seems to be a clear difference in quality between this team and Vegas right now. I struggle to see how the Falcons keep this one within a field goal.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

This is a tough one to call, but with a total this high I’ve got to lean towards the under. As mentioned, Atlanta struggled greatly against New Orleans last week and I’m not sure its offense can tally the sort of figure required in this one. It’s worth noting that the Falcons have scored more than 25 points just once in their last seven games. Of course, the Raiders have been playing in a lot of shootouts recently–but I think oddsmakers have caught on and have started compensating for that. In fact, the O/U is 2-2 in Vegas’ last four, and its defense actually being able to practice this week should also help limit the number of points scored.

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New York Giants
New York Giants
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
NY Giants Win -5.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 43.0 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The New York Giants are firmly in the playoff hunt despite being 3-7 and they can bolster their hopes when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincy’s season was already written off, but having quarterback Joe Burrow go down with a season-ending knee injury will likely result in this team losing out. The Bengals had already suffered a stinging loss to the Steelers where their offense showed virtually nothing, and that continued with a woeful effort against Washington last week. Ryan Finley posted just 30 yards off 10 attempts after he came in for Burrow, and since losing Joe Mixon the Bengals’ run game has also been non-existent. The Giants, meanwhile, have been much improved–winning three of their last five and losing by more than a score only twice all season. Daniel Jones has been solid at quarterback, while Wayne Gallman has stepped up nicely out of the backfield. That’s bad news for a Bengals defense that is giving up five yards per carry this season–the second-most in the NFL. All things considered, I have no idea how Cincinnati will be able to score points in this one. The Giants’ offense hasn’t been spectacular, but even a modest performance should see them win this one by a touchdown. Go with New York.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Although this is a pretty low number, you still have to go with the under. As mentioned, Cincinnati’s offense is in a tailspin right now, and even the biggest optimist will struggle to make a case for Finley and Samaje Perine putting points on the board. The Giants have also been lackluster in scoring, racking up over 23 points just twice all season. Furthermore, the under has cashed in four of New York’s last five. Expect a low-scoring game in Cincinnati.

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Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
New York Jets
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
NY Jets Win +7.0 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 44.5 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The Miami Dolphins’ hopes of winning the AFC East were dealt a blow with defeat to the Broncos last week, and they bid to get things back on track when they take on the New York Jets. Miami stormed to an easy 24-0 victory when these teams faced off last month, but I expect it to have a much tougher game this time around. For starters, the Jets are finally looking like having all of their key offensive starters playing together (i.e. Darnold, Becton, Crowder, Mims, and Perriman). At least one or more of those have been absent all season, and it’s really affected the Jets’ offense. However, those three receivers have played in the last two games and the Jets have been much improved, scoring a combined 55 points. Both of those resulted in one-score defeats against the Patriots and the Chargers, and I think they can keep things close here even against a top-notch Dolphins defense. Despite winning five of its last six, Miami’s offense hasn’t been all that great and even resulted in Tua Tagovailoa being benched during that loss to Denver. A date with the Jets’ secondary should be just what he needs to get his confidence back, and although it will be a surprise if the ‘Fins don’t win outright I think the Jets keep this within a touchdown.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

This is a pretty conservative game total and I’ve got to roll with the over. I highlighted that the Jets’ offense has looked much better recently, with Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims in particular really starting to show up. Whether it’s Darnold or Flacco under center, I think those two receivers can give Miami’s elite secondary all they can handle–with Crowder ready to move the chains in the flat. New York’s secondary, meanwhile, does not feature a cornerback drafted higher than the fifth round, and it has shown in recent weeks. Last week Justin Herbert threw for 366 yards and three touchdowns, while Patrick Mahomes posted 416 yards and five touchdowns at the start of the month. There have been plenty of points in the Jets’ last two games, and I’m leaning towards another one even with Miami’s lackluster offense.

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Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
CAR Panthers Win +3.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 51.0 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

Carolina snapped a five-game losing streak with a shutout of Detroit last week and now the Panthers go on the road looking to claim the scalp of another NFC North outfit. Despite being without Teddy Bridgewater, the Panthers still moved the ball well with DJ Moore quickly getting on the same page as stand-in QB PJ Walker. Bridgewater should return from injury on Sunday to face the team that picked him in the first round of the 2014 draft and will find his receiving core all in form — Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, and Moore each caught at least seven passes against the Lions.

That trio could carve up a defense that has given up the ninth-most passing yards and struggled to put Dallas quarterback Andy Dalton under pressure in the 31-28 Week 11 loss to the Cowboys. The Vikings threw that game away last week in a damaging blow to their playoffs hopes and have now failed to cover in three of five games when starting as the favorite. Their chances of covering in this game haven’t been helped by Adam Thielen potentially being ruled out with COVID, meaning Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson’s plates could be pretty full.

If Thielen is out, the Panthers have what it takes to keep this close against a Minnesota side who have lost four out of five at home this season.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

With two bad defenses on show and both offenses having some nice pieces, it is best to side with the over. Even without Christian McCaffrey for the majority of the season, the Panthers are still averaging a respectable 23 points per game and have seen two of their last three games go over.

Vikings’ games have gone over seven out of 10 times this season and even if Thielen is missing, Cook and Jefferson can provide the offense with enough weapons to put up a fair wedge of points. Minnesota have scored the eighth highest number of touchdowns this year and even with the Panthers defense shutting out the Lions last week, they don’t look to have the tools to keep the Vikings quiet all game.

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Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
CLE Browns Win -6.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 49.0 Game Totals
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Browns teams of old would have definitely fallen on their face in this trap game against the Jaguars, but this iteration of Cleveland are made of much sterner stuff. They had to battle the weather and the Philadelphia Eagles last week to move to 7-3 and are closing in on a first playoff berth in 18 years. Even with Baker Mayfield still blowing hot and cold, the Browns rushing attack has been enough to see them over the line and Sunday’s clash in Florida should be a case of rinse and repeat for the Cleveland running backs against the Jags.

Jacksonville have proved durable on defense, limiting Pittsburgh to 27 points in Week 11 as they slumped to a ninth straight loss. The bigger problems were on offense, where rookie quarterback Jake Luton looked out of his depth and it is no surprise to see him benched for this game. Rather than a return for ‘Minshew Mania’ though, Mike Glennon, who has a career record of 6-16, will get the start against the Browns. Glennon should lift the level of the Jags offense slightly but it is still tough to take the Jags to cover, which they’ve only managed four times this season. Even with Cleveland missing their two best defensive players in Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward, the Browns are still more than a touchdown better than Jacksonville.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Both the Browns and Jaguars are 5-5 this season when it comes to going over the points line, with Cleveland going under the last three weeks straight. The weather has had a big say in the final score of those games and could play its part again on Sunday with rain forecast. The Browns’ preferred ground-and-pound approach doesn’t lend itself to high-scoring games and they shouldn’t have to air it out too often against Jacksonville, who look unlikely to get ahead.

The Jags are averaging a shade over 20 points per game this season, fifth-worst in the NFL, while Cleveland is hovering just shy of the 24 points mark. Throw the weather into the mix and the under is the big play in this game.

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Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
ARZ Cardinals Win -2.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 49.5 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

It has been a bit of a role reversal for the Arizona Cardinals and New England Patriots heading into this Week 12 contest in New England. While the once-proud Patriots franchise is now struggling at 4-6 in its first season of the post-Tom Brady era, the Cardinals are in playoff contention at 6-4. Now it is Arizona that has an MVP candidate at quarterback. Kyler Murray probably isn’t going to pass Patrick Mahomes (or even Russell Wilson) in that race, but being a +1400 fourth choice certainly isn’t bad. In the past five games, Murray has thrown 11 touchdown passes compared to only two interceptions. His team’s two most recent victories have come against Seattle and Buffalo–clubs that will likely find themselves in the playoffs (in fact, the Bills are currently blowing away New England in the AFC East). For a brief moment it looked like the Patriots were turning things around, but a two-game winning streak ended with a terrible loss to Houston last weekend. They are also dead last in the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed (8.7). Arizona is 9-3-2 ATS in its last 14 on the road and 7-2 ATS in its last nine against opponents with losing records. The Patriots are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. Giving less than a field, you have to like the Cardinals.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Murray is going to put up some impressive numbers in this one, but 49.5 is a big number for any game involving the Patriots. Only one of their last seven contests has exceeded 47 points in total. Their rushing defense is at least decent, but low-scoring affairs have more to do with the weakness of their own offense. Cam Newton has three more interceptions (seven) than touchdown passes (four) in 2020. Although he has done a fair amount of damage on the ground, any NFL defense can be effective when the opposition is one-dimensional. And it’s not like Arizona’s defense is that bad in the first place. It has surrendered only six scores on the ground, tied for the third-fewest in the league. The under is 7-3 in the Cardinals’ last 10 overall, 5-0 in their last five on the road, and 4-0 in their last four against opponents with losing records. It is also 5-2 in the Patriots’ last seven overall and 5-1 in their last six at home. Go with the under.

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Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
PIT Steelers Win -5.0 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 44.5 Game Totals
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Note: This preview was written prior to Lamar Jackson testing positive for COVID-19. It will be updated once we have further clarity on the status of the game, and when oddsmakers reopen lines.

Sadly the Thanksgiving feast between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers was postponed from Thursday Night Football to Sunday, but hey, at least it’s still likely to go ahead at all this week! The Ravens have been dogged by coronavirus issues and are already going to be without running backs JK Dobbins and Mark Ingram. As if Baltimore didn’t already have enough problems! Since starting the season 5-1, this team is 1-3 in its past four outings–a stretch that includes a loss to none other than Pittsburgh. The Steelers, on the other hand, have just kept rolling. They improved to 10-0 with this past week’s 27-3 drubbing of Jacksonville, marking their third blowout of at least 24 points in the last six contests. Even if the Ravens were 100 percent, Pittsburgh would still have a good chance of covering this alarmingly small spread. Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, 1-4 ATS in its last five against opponents with winning records, and 1-8 ATS in its last nine following a loss. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall, 4-0 ATS in their last four at home, and 6-0 ATS in their last six against the AFC. Go with Pittsburgh and do so with confidence.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

The spread is small because almost all of these PIT-BAL rivalry games are decided by a field goal or less; the total is small because they are often physical, hard-nosed, ugly affairs. But that is just living in the past. There is no reason why the Steelers can’t have their way with Baltimore’s defense. They scored 28 points in the first meeting this season and since then Ben Roethlisberger, Chase Claypool, James Conner, and the rest of the gang have thrived. Pittsburgh hasn’t been held to fewer than 24 points all year long and it is averaging more than 37 points in its past three home contests. Meanwhile, Baltimore just got shredded by Titans’ RB Derrick Henry and WR Corey Davis during an overtime loss. On the other side of the ball, the visitors may be without two running backs but they still have Gus Edwards to take some of the burden off QB Lamar Jackson. The over is 4-1 in the Ravens’ last five following a loss. It is also 3-1-1 in the Steelers’ last five at home. Look for this one to go over the total.

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New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
DEN Broncos Win +6.0 Point Spread
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Under 43.5 Game Totals
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Taysom Hill will look to follow up on his promising first start at quarterback when the New Orleans Saints visit the Denver Broncos. Unfortunately for Saints fans, I don’t think he’ll have as much success here. After getting to play Atlanta’s defense at home, he’ll now be going on the road to play a much tougher unit. This Broncos’ defense is better than a lot of people realize, and they made Tua Tagovailoa look so bad last week that Brian Flores benched him midway through the game. Drew Lock finally made some strides last week, and although I doubt he lights it up here he should be competent enough to help cover this inflated spread. Jerry Jeudy has shown plenty of flashes, and with Noah Fant, Tim Patrick (who had 119 yards last week), and K.J. Hamler at his disposal, he quietly has some solid weapons. Denver is a really tough place for visitors to play with the altitude, and there’s a little bit of value in this number. I’m betting it small, though.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

The play here that I really like is the under. As I just detailed above, I think Hill is going to struggle–especially now that teams have a week of film to see what Sean Payton’s game-plan with him is. The Falcons were essentially going in blind last week. Justin Simmons is one of the league’s best safeties, A.J. Bouye and Bryce Callahan are both healthy now at corner, and they still have a ferocious pass-rush that sacked Tagovailoa six times. Vic Fangio is a defensive genius and should be able to scheme well against Hill. On the flip side, the Saints’ defense is playing better than any other in the league right now and they just held the Falcons to nine points last week. In their two games prior to that effort, they gave up only 13 to the 49ers and three to the Bucs.

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San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
SF 49ers Win +6.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The San Francisco 49ers’ season has been all but curtailed due to a catalog of injuries, but I think they can at least keep things respectable when they take on the Los Angeles Rams. Let’s not forget that the 49ers won 24-16 when these teams met earlier this season, and have had an extra week to prepare following their bye week. San Fran will also be boosted by the news of Richard Sherman and Deebo Samuel returning to practice, among others. As hot as the Rams looked against the Buccaneers on Monday night, they still only won that game by three points, and their backfield trio was unable to get any sort of run game going. Given the 49ers have allowed the sixth-fewest yards per carry this season, and a longest run of just 25 yards, it will likely be up to Jared Goff to guide the Rams offense to victory. In among his brilliance with Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods were a few shaky passes, and the potential return of Sherman could see those mistakes punished. Sure, the Niners will likely struggle against Los Angeles’ elite defense as well, but I think they will have enough to keep this one within a touchdown.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

A lot of the points I mentioned above are also why I think the under is the way to go in this one. The 49ers should be able to take care of the Rams’ rushing offense, and cornerbacks K’Waun Williams and Richard Sherman can cause Jared Goff all sorts of problems in the passing game. Goff completed just 50 percent of his passes for 198 yards when these two teams faced off last month. The Rams defense speaks for itself and has allowed more than 24 points just once this season (two of Miami’s touchdowns came on defense and special teams in that 28-17 loss). It’s hard to see an offense led by Nick Mullens cracking that figure. Go with the under.

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Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 29 Nov
Point Spread Pick
KC Chiefs Win -3.5 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 56.0 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers dropped to 7-4 with defeat to the Rams on Monday Night Football last week, and they could be in for another tough time when they host the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite their record, the Bucs have been very inconsistent this year with quarterback Tom Brady not quite looking like his old self. Tampa was embarrassed at home against New Orleans a couple of weeks ago, and just prior to that they went down to the wire against a 3-7 Giants team. They may be able to get away with it against weaker teams, but not against the Chiefs. Kansas City improved to 8-1 with a victory against Las Vegas, and their scoring lately has been out of this world — averaging 36.5 points in their last four games. While the Bucs boast a mean defense, they were somewhat found out against the Rams as Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods carved them apart inside the slot, combining for an insane 275 yards off 23 receptions. Now they face another uphill battle with Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill to contend with. That said, I’d feel a lot better about this pick if the Chiefs were just a 3-point favorite, so it’s just a lean for now.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Despite saying how hot the Chiefs offense has been, I think you still have to go with the under on this one. First off, this is a huge total to cover, and it could easily be a shootout and still not go over. In addition, the Buccaneers do still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and I expect them to be looking to make a statement after getting torched by Jared Goff last week. Granted, Kansas City has given up 31 points in its last two games, but they have allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards per attempt this season, and Brady had an absolute howler against the Rams last week. Lean towards the under in this one.

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Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
Mon 30 Nov
Point Spread Pick
SEA Seahawks Win -5.0 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Under 50.0 Game Totals
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Point Spread Pick

It will be a battle between division leaders when the Seattle Seahawks visit the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football. Of course, that’s just about where the similarities end. Seattle is tied atop the best division in football (the NFC West) with the Rams at 7-3, while Philadelphia’s 3-6-1 is good enough to have them in front of the rest of the moribund NFC East. The Seahawks have lost only to three teams likely headed for the playoffs (the Rams, Arizona–in overtime–and Buffalo). They have earned six of their seven wins by margins of at least five points, which is the line for this one. Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz has struggled mightily with as many touchdowns as interceptions (14 apiece), and he has been sacked a ridiculous 40 times so it’s not like he is getting much help. Seattle is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 Monday night games, 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine on the road against opponents with losing home records, and 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to Philadelphia. The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 overall and 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. It is also worth noting that the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head matchups. Go with Seattle and do so with confidence.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

It’s true that Seattle’s defense is nothing special, but even this unit can handle Wentz and company. The Seahawks boast the fourth-best run defense in the NFL both overall and in terms of yards per carry. If they can force Wentz to pass the ball more often than he wants to, it may not be pretty. On the other side of the ball, Philadelphia is sixth in the league against the pass and second in sacks with 34. Russell Wilson won’t be allowed to just sit back in the pocket and pick the home team apart. The under is 7-2 in the Eagles’ last nine on the road against opponents with losing home records. It is also 4-0 in the Eagles’ last four overall, 20-7 in their last 27 at home, and 4-0 in their last four against the NFC. Additionally, the under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the two teams. Lean toward the under.

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NFL Parlay Picks

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay

New England Patriots Arizona Cardinals
ARZ Cardinals Win, Money Line
ARZ Cardinals @ NE Patriots

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay.

Minnesota Vikings Carolina Panthers
CAR Panthers Win, Money Line
CAR Panthers @ MIN Vikings

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay.

Cincinnati Bengals New York Giants
NY Giants Win, Money Line
NY Giants @ CIN Bengals

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay.

Buffalo Bills Los Angeles Chargers
BUF Bills Win, Money Line
LA Chargers @ BUF Bills

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay.

Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans
TEN Titans Win, Money Line
TEN Titans @ IND Colts

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay.

Atlanta Falcons Las Vegas Raiders
LV Raiders Win, Money Line
LV Raiders @ ATL Falcons

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay.

Philadelphia Eagles Seattle Seahawks
SEA Seahawks Win, Money Line
SEA Seahawks @ PHI Eagles

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Money Line Parlay.

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NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay

Buffalo Bills Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers Win +5.5, Point Spread
LA Chargers @ BUF Bills

Pick Reasoning

The Los Angeles Chargers will travel across the country to take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The Chargers have been a big disappointment this year, but once again most of their losses have been heartbreakers in games they often led early on. They don’t often get beat by lopsided margins, and as such I love grabbing points with them as a sizable underdog. Despite being just 3-7, their point differential is only -13 for the year. Conversely, Buffalo’s is only +7 despite being 7-3, and I think they’re pretty overrated. The Bills are just 3-3 in their last six games, with two of those wins coming against the lowly Jets and Patriots. Justin Herbert has been playing at an elite level, and I think finally getting a win against the Jets this past week will have the Chargers headed in the right direction. The Chargers are going to cover this spread and I think they’ve got a good shot to win this one outright, as well.

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Cincinnati Bengals New York Giants
NY Giants Win, Money Line
NY Giants @ CIN Bengals

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay.

Minnesota Vikings Carolina Panthers
CAR Panthers Win +3.5, Point Spread
CAR Panthers @ MIN Vikings

Pick Reasoning

Carolina snapped a five-game losing streak with a shutout of Detroit last week and now the Panthers go on the road looking to claim the scalp of another NFC North outfit. Despite being without Teddy Bridgewater, the Panthers still moved the ball well with DJ Moore quickly getting on the same page as stand-in QB PJ Walker. Bridgewater should return from injury on Sunday to face the team that picked him in the first round of the 2014 draft and will find his receiving core all in form — Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, and Moore each caught at least seven passes against the Lions.

That trio could carve up a defense that has given up the ninth-most passing yards and struggled to put Dallas quarterback Andy Dalton under pressure in the 31-28 Week 11 loss to the Cowboys. The Vikings threw that game away last week in a damaging blow to their playoffs hopes and have now failed to cover in three of five games when starting as the favorite. Their chances of covering in this game haven’t been helped by Adam Thielen potentially being ruled out with COVID, meaning Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson’s plates could be pretty full.

If Thielen is out, the Panthers have what it takes to keep this close against a Minnesota side who have lost four out of five at home this season.

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New England Patriots Arizona Cardinals
ARZ Cardinals Win, Money Line
ARZ Cardinals @ NE Patriots

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay.

New York Jets Miami Dolphins
NY Jets Win +7.0, Point Spread
MIA Dolphins @ NY Jets

Pick Reasoning

The Miami Dolphins’ hopes of winning the AFC East were dealt a blow with defeat to the Broncos last week, and they bid to get things back on track when they take on the New York Jets. Miami stormed to an easy 24-0 victory when these teams faced off last month, but I expect it to have a much tougher game this time around. For starters, the Jets are finally looking like having all of their key offensive starters playing together (i.e. Darnold, Becton, Crowder, Mims, and Perriman). At least one or more of those have been absent all season, and it’s really affected the Jets’ offense. However, those three receivers have played in the last two games and the Jets have been much improved, scoring a combined 55 points. Both of those resulted in one-score defeats against the Patriots and the Chargers, and I think they can keep things close here even against a top-notch Dolphins defense. Despite winning five of its last six, Miami’s offense hasn’t been all that great and even resulted in Tua Tagovailoa being benched during that loss to Denver. A date with the Jets’ secondary should be just what he needs to get his confidence back, and although it will be a surprise if the ‘Fins don’t win outright I think the Jets keep this within a touchdown.

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Jacksonville Jaguars Cleveland Browns
CLE Browns Win, Money Line
CLE Browns @ JAX Jaguars

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 12 Mega Parlay.

Las Vegas Raiders Kansas City Chiefs
KC Chiefs Win, Money Line
KC Chiefs @ LV Raiders

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 11 Mega Money Line Parlay.

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NFL Week 12 ATS Underdogs Parlay

Buffalo Bills Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers Win +5.5, Point Spread
LA Chargers @ BUF Bills

Pick Reasoning

The Los Angeles Chargers will travel across the country to take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The Chargers have been a big disappointment this year, but once again most of their losses have been heartbreakers in games they often led early on. They don’t often get beat by lopsided margins, and as such I love grabbing points with them as a sizable underdog. Despite being just 3-7, their point differential is only -13 for the year. Conversely, Buffalo’s is only +7 despite being 7-3, and I think they’re pretty overrated. The Bills are just 3-3 in their last six games, with two of those wins coming against the lowly Jets and Patriots. Justin Herbert has been playing at an elite level, and I think finally getting a win against the Jets this past week will have the Chargers headed in the right direction. The Chargers are going to cover this spread and I think they’ve got a good shot to win this one outright, as well.

Computer Picks

New York Jets Miami Dolphins
NY Jets Win +7.0, Point Spread
MIA Dolphins @ NY Jets

Pick Reasoning

The Miami Dolphins’ hopes of winning the AFC East were dealt a blow with defeat to the Broncos last week, and they bid to get things back on track when they take on the New York Jets. Miami stormed to an easy 24-0 victory when these teams faced off last month, but I expect it to have a much tougher game this time around. For starters, the Jets are finally looking like having all of their key offensive starters playing together (i.e. Darnold, Becton, Crowder, Mims, and Perriman). At least one or more of those have been absent all season, and it’s really affected the Jets’ offense. However, those three receivers have played in the last two games and the Jets have been much improved, scoring a combined 55 points. Both of those resulted in one-score defeats against the Patriots and the Chargers, and I think they can keep things close here even against a top-notch Dolphins defense. Despite winning five of its last six, Miami’s offense hasn’t been all that great and even resulted in Tua Tagovailoa being benched during that loss to Denver. A date with the Jets’ secondary should be just what he needs to get his confidence back, and although it will be a surprise if the ‘Fins don’t win outright I think the Jets keep this within a touchdown.

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Minnesota Vikings Carolina Panthers
CAR Panthers Win +3.5, Point Spread
CAR Panthers @ MIN Vikings

Pick Reasoning

Carolina snapped a five-game losing streak with a shutout of Detroit last week and now the Panthers go on the road looking to claim the scalp of another NFC North outfit. Despite being without Teddy Bridgewater, the Panthers still moved the ball well with DJ Moore quickly getting on the same page as stand-in QB PJ Walker. Bridgewater should return from injury on Sunday to face the team that picked him in the first round of the 2014 draft and will find his receiving core all in form — Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, and Moore each caught at least seven passes against the Lions.

That trio could carve up a defense that has given up the ninth-most passing yards and struggled to put Dallas quarterback Andy Dalton under pressure in the 31-28 Week 11 loss to the Cowboys. The Vikings threw that game away last week in a damaging blow to their playoffs hopes and have now failed to cover in three of five games when starting as the favorite. Their chances of covering in this game haven’t been helped by Adam Thielen potentially being ruled out with COVID, meaning Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson’s plates could be pretty full.

If Thielen is out, the Panthers have what it takes to keep this close against a Minnesota side who have lost four out of five at home this season.

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NFL Week 12 ATS Favorites Parlay

Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens
PIT Steelers Win -5.0, Point Spread
BAL Ravens @ PIT Steelers

Pick Reasoning

Note: This preview was written prior to Lamar Jackson testing positive for COVID-19. It will be updated once we have further clarity on the status of the game, and when oddsmakers reopen lines.

Sadly the Thanksgiving feast between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers was postponed from Thursday Night Football to Sunday, but hey, at least it’s still likely to go ahead at all this week! The Ravens have been dogged by coronavirus issues and are already going to be without running backs JK Dobbins and Mark Ingram. As if Baltimore didn’t already have enough problems! Since starting the season 5-1, this team is 1-3 in its past four outings–a stretch that includes a loss to none other than Pittsburgh. The Steelers, on the other hand, have just kept rolling. They improved to 10-0 with this past week’s 27-3 drubbing of Jacksonville, marking their third blowout of at least 24 points in the last six contests. Even if the Ravens were 100 percent, Pittsburgh would still have a good chance of covering this alarmingly small spread. Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, 1-4 ATS in its last five against opponents with winning records, and 1-8 ATS in its last nine following a loss. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall, 4-0 ATS in their last four at home, and 6-0 ATS in their last six against the AFC. Go with Pittsburgh and do so with confidence.

Computer Picks

Cincinnati Bengals New York Giants
NY Giants Win -5.5, Point Spread
NY Giants @ CIN Bengals

Pick Reasoning

The New York Giants are firmly in the playoff hunt despite being 3-7 and they can bolster their hopes when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincy’s season was already written off, but having quarterback Joe Burrow go down with a season-ending knee injury will likely result in this team losing out. The Bengals had already suffered a stinging loss to the Steelers where their offense showed virtually nothing, and that continued with a woeful effort against Washington last week. Ryan Finley posted just 30 yards off 10 attempts after he came in for Burrow, and since losing Joe Mixon the Bengals’ run game has also been non-existent. The Giants, meanwhile, have been much improved–winning three of their last five and losing by more than a score only twice all season. Daniel Jones has been solid at quarterback, while Wayne Gallman has stepped up nicely out of the backfield. That’s bad news for a Bengals defense that is giving up five yards per carry this season–the second-most in the NFL. All things considered, I have no idea how Cincinnati will be able to score points in this one. The Giants’ offense hasn’t been spectacular, but even a modest performance should see them win this one by a touchdown. Go with New York.

Computer Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars Cleveland Browns
CLE Browns Win -6.5, Point Spread
CLE Browns @ JAX Jaguars

Pick Reasoning

Browns teams of old would have definitely fallen on their face in this trap game against the Jaguars, but this iteration of Cleveland are made of much sterner stuff. They had to battle the weather and the Philadelphia Eagles last week to move to 7-3 and are closing in on a first playoff berth in 18 years. Even with Baker Mayfield still blowing hot and cold, the Browns rushing attack has been enough to see them over the line and Sunday’s clash in Florida should be a case of rinse and repeat for the Cleveland running backs against the Jags.

Jacksonville have proved durable on defense, limiting Pittsburgh to 27 points in Week 11 as they slumped to a ninth straight loss. The bigger problems were on offense, where rookie quarterback Jake Luton looked out of his depth and it is no surprise to see him benched for this game. Rather than a return for ‘Minshew Mania’ though, Mike Glennon, who has a career record of 6-16, will get the start against the Browns. Glennon should lift the level of the Jags offense slightly but it is still tough to take the Jags to cover, which they’ve only managed four times this season. Even with Cleveland missing their two best defensive players in Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward, the Browns are still more than a touchdown better than Jacksonville.

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NFL Picks

The Home Of Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2020/21 Season

Even though there are just 17 weeks in the regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sports wager. NFL point spreads and season win total prop bets are one of the few in the major sports that are openly discussed by announcers and fans alike. Because of betting, and the popularity of fantasy football, every single game of the NFL season is important, widely discussed, analyzed, and a great opportunity to get in on the action with our free NFL expert picks.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over unders, parlays, prop bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a wager type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to be diverse and wager as many ways as they can on a game. Both types of players can be successful with a disciplined and calculated strategy which is the great thing about NFL betting.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points (Philadelphia -7 for example) or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect (Chicago +3.5). The great thing about ATS NFL betting is that the team you wager on can lose outright, but your bet can still be a winner (a Chicago 17-20 loss). Our NFL picks against the spread are our most popular bet on site, and the game lines are widely discussed by sport shows and experts in the lead up to matches. A fun stat worth noting is that the team who covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

NFL Over / Under Free NFL Picks

When you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win in an NFL game, or would rather wager on the game, rather than a team, another exciting way to still get in on the action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. This is why last-second field goals in 24 point blowouts are still edge-of-your-seat moments as they can push the total over or under the set line. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in each game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread.

Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of wagerers enjoy money line (ML) NFL expert picks. The best way to describe ML bets is that you simply wager on either a winner or loser with no spread involved. If you’re confident in an underdog, ML bets are also a great way to increase your profits. If a team is +10 ATS, for example, they may be upwards of +350 on the money line to win outright meaning a $100 bet would pay you $350.

NFL Schedule 2020/21

Unlike other sports that have had their seasons widely disrupted due to the Covid-19 pandemic, With the NFL season not due to start until August 2020, it is not yet known the implications the recent events will have on the 2020 NFL schedule.

As things stand, the NFL season is expected to start on the 10th September with the Super Bowl Champions, Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium.

The NFL regular season schedule is expected to run as normal, with 17 game weeks through until January 3rd, 2021, with the Wild Card round of the playoffs scheduled for the weekend after, across the 9th and 10th January 2021.

Super Bowl LV is scheduled for February 7th, at Raymond James Stadium, the home of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Regular Season NFL Expert Picks – NFL Picks This Week

Some sites solely focus on the marquee games of an NFL slate but our system features expert picks for every game of the NFL season. The best way to have success in NFL betting is by finding those under-the-radar games like Miami at Jacksonville that do not draw as much public betting interest as Dallas vs. Green Bay. Our expert handicappers spend just as long researching the under-the-radar games, as they do for a Thursday Night Football or Primetime Football games. Our NFL picks this week are the best ways to get a breakdown and a reading of all the games on an NFL slate, with a complete game preview alongside our best NFL picks for each game.

NFL Futures Bets & Playoff Picks

Throughout the NFL season, we also give you other betting options such as our futures picks and individual player prop bets. Not only do we publish our previews and picks for every game of the NFL regular season but we do the same for the playoffs as well. There’s a lot of money to be made in the relatively short NFL season – why not make the most of it? The stakes in the NFL playoffs are even higher and the margins between the teams are usually even smaller. With more on the line and the best against the best, the hours of research and analysis our NFL experts put in are at even more of a premium. Follow our NFL playoff picks throughout the entire NFL postseason, right through to the Super Bowl itself.

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We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, and College Football and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

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