NFL Picks

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Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
CAR Panthers Win +7.5 Point Spread
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Under 51.0 Game Totals
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NFC South action takes place when the New Orleans Saints host the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has arguably been the best feel-good story in the NFL this season, as it has defied all expectations to enter at 3-3. The Saints are 3-2, but they’ve been a bit of a disappointment considering even in a couple of their wins they’ve looked pretty bad. Drew Brees isn’t playing at the level we’re accustomed to and I don’t think he’s going to have an easy time against this Panthers defense. Carolina has quietly been playing extremely well on that side of the ball, as it ranks first in the league with only 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The unit is also getting some reinforcements this week. Eli Apple appears to be returning from the hamstring injury that has sidelined him for virtually the entire season, and the secondary has completely shut down Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, and Kyler Murray the last three weeks. New Orleans receiver Michael Thomas is now dealing with a hamstring issue in addition to his ankle injury, and there’s no way he’s 100 percent after all of the time off. This spread shouldn’t be over a touchdown.

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Game Totals Pick

I also like the under here in this division rivalry game. Teddy Bridgewater and Carolina’s offense came crashing down to Earth last week, as they only put up 16 points. And they still won’t have Christian McCaffrey for this one. New Orleans is great at getting pressure, and Bridgewater hadn’t faced a ton of it until last week when he struggled mightily. Brees looks over the hill, so the Saints won’t be able to get anything vertical on this Panthers secondary that has been playing at an elite level. I expect the Saints to pound the ball a lot with Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray, keeping the clock churning. There’s a lot of familiarity with these teams obviously, as Sean Payton has coached Bridgewater and knows his weaknesses. Thus I think this one will be pretty low scoring.

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Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Football Team
Washington Football Team
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
DAL Cowboys Win -1.0 Point Spread
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Over 46.0 Game Totals
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Don’t look now, but the Washington Football Team could be leading the NFC East by the end of this week. And yes, this team is also 1-5. Amazingly enough, those two factors are not mutually exclusive; that’s just how bad this division is–again. Out in front at the moment are the Dallas Cowboys (2-4), who will be paying a visit to the nation’s capital on Sunday. Dallas, of course, endured the most notorious injury of this NFL season when Dak Prescott suffered a gruesome dislocated ankle in Week 5. Veteran backup Andy Dalton filled in admirably during that win over the Giants and will be under center for Dallas the rest of the way. Although Dalton was picked off twice by Arizona on Monday night, he also passed for 266 yards and one touchdown and the main culprit was Ezekiel Elliott’s two early fumbles. The Football Team has lost five straight since its opening win over division rival Philadelphia. TWFT has not been competitive, either, with four of its setbacks coming by double-digits (the only exception is a 20-19 decision against the lowly Giants in Week 6). Dwayne Haskins has been benched in favor of Kyle Allen, who has been solid but far from spectacular in two appearances. Washington has failed to exceed the 20-point mark in five consecutive games. This is a great opportunity for Dallas to rebound and extend its NFC East lead.

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Game Totals Pick

The good news for the Football Team is that the Cowboys’ defense is utterly abysmal. It is giving up 410.0 yards per game and is dead last in the NFL in scoring defense at 36.2 ppg allowed. In the past five weeks, opponents’ point totals are 39, 38, 49, 34, and 38. You cannot even make this stuff up, folks. The Cowboys’ offense, meanwhile, is No. 1 in the NFL at 464.0 yards per contest and seventh in yards per play (6.1). Obviously Prescott’s absence hurts, but Dalton had to be considered one of the best backups in the league and certainly isn’t close to being one of the worst starters. Of course, his main task on Sunday will be giving the rock to Elliott; after all, TWFT is surrendering 130.0 rushing yards per game. Dallas is not going to lose faith in Elliott just because he fumbled twice last weekend. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the two teams and it should hit yet again.

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Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
CIN Bengals Win +3.0 Point Spread
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Over 50.5 Game Totals
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The Cleveland Browns will be trying to get back on the winning track when they visit the AFC North rival Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday afternoon. It was all going so well for the Browns prior to last week, as they were 4-1 and had won four games in a row. However, they came crashing back to Earth with a 38-7 loss to Pittsburgh. Baker Mayfield threw two interceptions before being replaced in the third quarter by Case Keenum. With Nick Chubb sidelined by a knee injury, Kareem Hunt failed to shoulder the load in the backfield (40 yards on 13 carries). Part of the reason for Mayfield’s benching was a chest injury that has him questionable for this weekend, but all signs point to him being able to play. Either way, there is nothing to inspire much confidence in Cleveland’s offense at the moment. The Bengals, meanwhile, may be 1-4-1 but three of their losses are by five points or fewer. Only against an outstanding Baltimore team have they failed to be competitive. This matchup is already the second one of the year between these two teams, with the Browns having survived at home via a 35-30 decision back in Week 2. This one should be even closer, and a Cincinnati win outright is certainly not out of the question.

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Game Totals Pick

There is at least some good news for Cleveland’s offense. When it does not have to face a juggernaut defense, it generally finds success. In fact, prior to last week’s setback the Browns had scored at least 32 points in four consecutive contests. As for the Bengals, last week they managed to pin 27 on the Colts–who have a much better defense than Cleveland. Joe Burrow passed for 313 yards and for the most part has been promising in his rookie season. A total of 65 points were scored in the previous head-to-head matchup involving these two rivals, so this number seems low. The over is 4-1 in the Browns’ last five overall and 7-0 in their last seven against opponents with losing records. It is also 7-3 in the Bengals’ last 10 overall and 7-2 in their last nine against the AFC. Additionally, the over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between the two teams and 4-0 in Cleveland’s last four trips to Cincinnati. Look for this one to go over the total.

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Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
GB Packers Win -3 Point Spread
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Game Totals Pick
Over 56.5 Game Totals
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The Green Bay Packers were embarrassed last week by Tampa Bay in front of most of the country (unless you watched the Jets-Dolphins game instead). Aaron Rodgers was held to 160 yards passing, two picks (one which was returned for a score), and zero touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense was the reason the Green Bay offense was unable to move the ball. The Buccaneers held the Packers to just 3.3 yards per play and 10 points, which were all scored on the first two drives. However, it must be noted that Tampa Bay is the No. 1-ranked defense in DVOA. The Packers’ offense will be back to normal this week against a poor Houston Texans defense, which ranks 27th in DVOA and 28th in defensive passing efficiency. Don’t let one bad performance against a top defense put you off Green Bay here. The visitors will be able to move the ball through the air or on the ground. Houston gives up 5.4 yards per carry on the ground, 7.2 yards per pass attempt, and allowed more than 600 yards of total offense against the Titans last week! Expect a big bounce-back game from the Packers and a ton of points against this Texans defensive unit.

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Game Totals Pick

Expect some fireworks in this ballgame. The Texans had arguably the toughest first three opponents (Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers), so their offensive season numbers don’t tell the full story. If you look at their offensive production over the last three games, you’ll see they can still put up points and move the ball–8.6 yards per pass attempt, 428 yards total offense, and 29.6 points per game. The Packers defense ranks 30th in defensive DVOA and 25th against the pass. This should be a fun matchup. I can’t see how this one ends up below 60.

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Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
New York Jets
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
NY Jets Win +13.5 Point Spread
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Under 45.5 Game Totals
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This is one of the toughest games to call in Week 7, but I’ve got to lean towards the Jets. I know, I don’t like it either, but the Bills appear to have regressed massively in their last two games and there’s no way I can side with them to win by two touchdowns. It’s also worth bearing in mind that they only beat New York by 10 points in their opening game, although the Jets did score the majority of their points in garbage time. Granted, Buffalo’s two defeats have come against Kansas City and Tennessee, but the way they played in those games was not inspiring. On Monday against the Chiefs, Bills quarterback Josh Allen completed barely 50 percent of his passes for just 122 yards, and it’s not a good look that he was also their leading rusher. On the other side of the ball, they allowed 245 rushing yards. It’s hard to trust any team off the back of an effort like that. Yes, the Jets are the worst team in the NFL, and yes they just got crushed 24-0 against the Dolphins, but the tide has to turn sooner or later. The offense does have a couple of bright spots in Jamison Crowder and Breshad Perriman, and given how bad the Buffalo defense has been lately I expect New York to find the endzone at least a couple of times. That in itself might be enough for this bet to cash.

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Game Totals Pick

I also think the under makes sense here, partly for the reasons I’ve outlined above. The Bills’ confidence on offense has to be shot after two lackluster displays in which they scored a grand total of 33 points. They have a great opportunity to get back on track against this woeful Jets defense, but the hosts did show some resilience as they held Miami to just three points in the second half last time. New York’s struggling offense speaks for itself, as it has scored more than 17 points just once all season. The Bills will have to put up the majority of the points for this total to go over, and based on their last two performances I don’t think they’ve got it in them. Lean towards the under.

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Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
DET Lions Win +2.5 Point Spread
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Over 57.0 Game Totals
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Both Detroit and Atlanta returned to winning ways last weekend, and it looks like oddsmakers are overreacting to the Falcons’ 40-23 win over the Vikings. Yes, Atlanta looked a lot better in that resounding win, but after weeks of mediocrity and blown leads can this team really be trusted? The Lions recorded their second win of the season with a comfortable 34-16 victory over the Jaguars, and they are finally looking like the team everyone expected them to be. To be fair to Matt Patricia’s team, it has always looked better than its 2-3 record. D’Andre Swift dropped a game-winning catch in an opening defeat against Chicago, and the Lions held 14-point leads against both Green Bay and New Orleans. Now with Swift looking hotter in the backfield, the sky could be the limit for this Detroit offense and I expect them to flourish against Atlanta’s ailing defense. The Falcons have given up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and allowed 18 passing touchdowns this season–both the highest in the league. When you consider Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford has the likes of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and T.J. Hockenson at his disposal, it’s hard to see Atlanta putting up much of a fight. Take the Lions and the points with confidence.

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Game Totals Pick

This total is extremely high, but given how both teams have played so far it’s hard to see this being anything other than a shootout. As mentioned above, the Falcons have been woeful defending the pass this season while the Lions offense has a whole host of weapons at their disposal to make their opponents pay. However, with the Falcons themselves boasting a mouthwatering array of offensive players, they should have no problems keeping pace. With Julio Jones looking back to his best after two touchdowns against Minnesota, he and Calvin Ridley should give the Detroit secondary all they can handle.

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Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
PIT Steelers Win -2.0 Point Spread
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Over 52.0 Game Totals
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Two of the three remaining undefeated teams face off on Sunday afternoon as the Tennessee Titans host the Pittsburgh Steelers. This should be a fun one to watch, with both teams averaging more than 30 points per game. When you dig into the numbers, the Titans have feasted on a schedule of weak opposing defenses, though. So far, they’ve faced three defenses bottom five efficiency and Minnesota, which ranks 16th. On the one occasion they played a good defense (Denver, sixth), they put up just 16 points. Pittsburgh ranks second, so they will get a much stiffer test on Sunday. They’ll also have to do it without left tackle Taylor Lewan, who suffered a season-ending ACL tear against the Texans in Week 6. Derrick Henry went off last week with 212 yards rushing and two touchdowns, but he’ll now face the top-ranked run defense. I think the Steelers have too much for the Titans and will edge out a road victory. Pittsburgh should be able to move the ball through the air or on the ground, as the Titans give up 5.1 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. I think the number is a bit light. The Steelers get the job done on offense and win by a field goal.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

The over also makes sense in this spot. The Titans passing attack has been one of the best in the league so far this year, averaging 7.6 yards per pass attempt. They rank second in passing efficiency, and I think they will choose to attack Pittsburgh through the air given how good the Steelers are against the run. The one thing putting me off making this a higher confidence play is the lack of production the Titans showed against Denver. The Steelers gave up 29 against the Eagles and 21 against Denver led by Jeff Driskel. They also lost linebacker Devin Bush to a season-ending ACL injury last week. Both teams should be able to put up points, so take the over.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
LV Raiders Win +3.0 Point Spread
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Under 53.5 Game Totals
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Tampa Bay is the toast of the NFL after crushing the previously unbeaten Green Bay Packers, but I like the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot as home underdogs. Jon Gruden’s team has had one of the roughest starting schedules in the league, facing just one opponent with a losing record so far–the New England Patriots. Despite that, the Raiders are 3-2 and last time beat the reigning Super Bowl champion Chiefs. Putting up 40 points on Kansas City shouldn’t be dismissed, and having also secured wins against New Orleans and Carolina, I think people are still taking this Raiders team too lightly. That should only serve to motivate them here on Sunday Night Football. Las Vegas has averaged 8.2 passing yards per attempt this season–the fifth-highest in the league–and Derek Carr has looked sharp with 11 touchdown passes and just one interception thrown. While the Buccaneers looked great on both offense and defense against the Packers, oddsmakers may be overreacting a bit too much to that performance. After all, they are still the same team that was beaten 20-19 by Chicago and has struggled for consistency so far. Visiting this hot Raiders team is a huge test for the Bucs, and Gruden will be desperate to stick it to his old franchise. Take Las Vegas and the points.

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Game Totals Pick

Although these teams respectively scored 40 and 38 points in their last games, this total is a little too high and the under looks the way to go. Tampa’s defense looked phenomenal against Green Bay, completely dominating the Packers offensive line and shutting down Aaron Rodgers. The Buccaneers boast the best run defense in the league, holding rushers to just three yards per carry, and have now kept opponents to 20 points and below in four of their last five games. It’s true that the Raiders have shipped a lot of points in recent weeks, but they have looked somewhat sturdy against the pass. Las Vegas has allowed only seven passing touchdowns this season, which is the second-fewest in the NFL, and I expect Gruden to have Tom Brady well scouted. Roll with the under.

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Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
DEN Broncos Win +9.5 Point Spread
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Under 45.5 Game Totals
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We could be in for our first snow game of the season on Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Denver Broncos in a crunch AFC West matchup at Mile High. The current weather forecast indicates the temperature will be well below freezing and that there could be up to nine inches of snow on gameday. If those conditions do come to fruition then a close, low-scoring game can be expected, and therefore it makes sense to side with the Broncos and the points. Weather aside, Denver has picked up considerably in its last two games. They beat the Jets 37-28 (not so impressive) before edging the Patriots last weekend 18-12 (very impressive). What was interesting about that victory was that all of their points came from field goals, but the defense was strong enough to limit the chances for Cam Newton and company. Of course, this Chiefs offense is in a totally different league, and field goals almost certainly won’t cut it when you’re going up against Patrick Mahomes. It’s tough to get a full read on this game without knowing quite what the weather will be like, but I think the Broncos have proven they’re not as bad as people thought they were, and there’s no doubt the players will be motivated for this divisional game. Further, Denver has lost only two of their last 10 games at Mile High by more than a score. They look worth siding with here.

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Game Totals Pick

It’s rare you see a total so low for a game featuring Patrick Mahomes, but even with that in mind, I’ve still got to take the under here. As highlighted above, the forecast conditions could have a huge impact on how this game plays out, with both teams likely to run the ball if the snowfall is as bad as projected. Denver has been pretty solid against the run, allowing 4.3 yards per carry, and has conceded only three rushing scores this season. The Kansas City defense hasn’t been quite so rigid against the run but has kept opponents to 20 points or fewer in five of their six games this season. It’s hard to see Drew Lock and the Broncos offense changing that, especially given they couldn’t even find the endzone last week. This one is likely to rest on how productive the Chiefs are with the ball, but I’m willing to take them on in this spot.

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San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
NE Patriots Win -2.0 Point Spread
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Under 43.5 Game Totals
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Two teams from opposing conferences that desperately need a win will face off as the New England Patriots host the San Francisco 49ers. San Francisco is coming off a huge win over the Rams in primetime, while the Patriots most recently endured an embarrassing home loss to the Broncos, so this is the perfect buy-low/sell-high opportunity. Just because San Francisco beat the Rams in a game in which Jared Goff played poorly doesn’t mean all their issues are suddenly solved. The 49ers are still besieged by injuries, and without guys like Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas, and Dee Ford on the defensive line, I don’t see them getting much push in the trenches against New England’s O-line–which is the key to beating them. Bill Belichick coached Jimmy Garoppolo for many years, and I think he knows exactly how to game-plan for his weaknesses. Cam Newton isn’t going to have two poor games in a row, and I think he was just shaking off some rust last week against Denver after his COVID-19 absence. That whole game was weird for the Pats, as they couldn’t practice at all. They should look much sharper here. Take the home team.

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Game Totals Pick

I also think the under makes some sense here. New England’s defense still showed out last week even in the loss, holding the Broncos to only 18 points and limiting Drew Lock to just 189 yards and two interceptions. The Patriots are looking to go really run-heavy this year, so don’t expect them to be in too many shootouts moving forward. This San Francisco defense showed this past week that it isn’t rolling over despite some injuries, as it completely shut down the Rams. Cornerback Jason Verrett is playing really well in place of Richard Sherman. The under is 19-7 in New England’s last 26 games following a loss, as the defense usually responds in a big way. There’s no way Garoppolo is going to be able to torch a Belichick defense.

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Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
LA Chargers Win -7.5 Point Spread
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Under 49.0 Game Totals
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The Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars will both be seeking their second win of the season when they collide on Sunday in Los Angeles. That, however, is where the similarities end between the two teams. The Chargers’ four losses have all come by seven points or fewer, including two in overtime–and all of those have come against opponents currently at .500 or better. It is a much different story in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars are 1-5 and have lost four in a row by at least eight points–including three of those four by at least 16 points. And none of those has come against an opponent currently with a winning record (Miami, Cincinnati, Houston, and Detroit). It does not take a genius to figure out why Jacksonville is second-to-last in our Week 7 Power Rankings, better than only the hopeless Jets. Whereas the Jags are in the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes (even though it looks like the Jets won’t win a game all season long), the Chargers are sitting pretty with rookie quarterback Justin Herbert. The former Oregon star has been outstanding, passing for 1,195 yards with nine TDs and three INTs through four starts. Herbert threw four touchdowns and no interceptions in a Week 5 overtime loss at New Orleans. Los Angeles has the added benefit of coming off a bye, so it has every reason to take care of a bad Jaguars team with ease.

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Game Totals Pick

The Jaguars are dealing with a smorgasbord of questionable players on offense, including two on the line plus tight end Tyler Eifert and receivers D.J. Chark Jr. and Lavishka Shenault Jr. Even at 100 percent, Jacksonville’s offense is borderline inept. It is 28th in the NFL in scoring at 20.8 ppg and 23rd at 5.5 yards per play. As for the Los Angeles defense, it may not be the best unit in the business but it held the Chiefs to 23 points during an overtime loss (20 points in regulation). The under is 5-2 in the Jaguars’ last seven against opponents with losing records. It is also 19-7 in the Chargers’ last 26 at home, 8-3 in their last 11 against opponents with losing records, and 5-1 in their last six following a bye week. Back the under with plenty of confidence.

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Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
Sun 25 Oct
Point Spread Pick
ARZ Cardinals Win +3.5 Point Spread
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Under 56.0 Game Totals
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There is no debate that Russell Wilson is playing incredible football right now, but the jury is still out on the Seattle Seahawks despite their 5-0 record. They have won just a single game by more than eight points, and that was against the current 1-5 Falcons. Seattle survived New England (currently 2-3) on the last play of the game and is coming off a 27-26 victory over a Minnesota squad that is 1-5 and just got blown out by Atlanta. The Seahawks’ defense has simply been horrendous. It is dead last in the NFL by a country mile at 471.2 yards per game allowed and it is 29th in yards per play surrendered at 6.2. So don’t be fooled by the fact that Seattle has not been giving an absolute ton of points. This is a bend-but-don’t-break unit that will likely break instead of bend once the competition gets tougher–and that is exactly what it does this week in the form of the AFC West rival Arizona Cardinals. Arizona is 4-2 and fresh off blowouts of the Jets (30-10) and Cowboys (38-10). Sure, a result against the woeful Jets means nothing but Monday’s performance against Dallas was impressive. Kyler Murray has thrown for six touchdowns compared to just one interception over the past three weeks. You have to like the Cardinals getting more than a field goal on Sunday.

Computer Picks

Game Totals Pick

Although nobody can fully stop Wilson right now, Arizona’s defense is a unit that can at least contain him. It is seventh in the NFL in yards per play allowed (5.2, including 4.9 in its past three outings). The Cardinals have surrendered a total of 20 points in the last two weeks and in their four victories opponents have scored 20, 15, 10, and 10 points. On the other side of the ball, star receiver DeAndre Hopkins (ankle) did not practice on Wednesday and is questionable. Seattle, meanwhile, is extremely banged up on the offensive line. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals’ last six overall, 4-1 in their last five at home, 5-0 in their last five against the NFC, and 4-1 in their last five against opponents with winning records. It is also 5-0 in Seattle’s last five trips to Arizona. Look for this one to stay under the total.

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Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
Mon 26 Oct
Point Spread Pick
LA Rams Win -6.0 Point Spread
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Under 45.0 Game Totals
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Monday Night Football is between two solid NFC teams as the Los Angeles Rams host the Chicago Bears. Chicago is 5-1, but it certainly hasn’t been pretty. Only one of the Bears’ wins has been impressive, as I’m not giving them too much credit for beating the Lions, Giants, Falcons, and Panthers all by narrow margins. The switch to Nick Foles hasn’t really changed much for the offense, as Foles has mostly looked dreadful outside of a hot quarter or two here and there. He’s averaging an anemic 5.8 yards per attempt with an interception in each of his four appearances. He hasn’t averaged more than 6.5 yards per attempt in a single game. That’s not going to cut it on the road against the Rams. Los Angeles is hurting after its ugly loss to the 49ers, and everything this team has said this week indicates that it is going to come out fired up for this one. If there’s anyone who can scheme against this Bears defense it’s Sean McVay, and I think he will be able to cook up plenty of easy throws for Jared Goff. Lay the points with the Rams here.

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Game Totals Pick

I also like the under a lot in this spot. As I just laid out above, the Bears have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. It’s arguably looking worse than any other team besides the Jets at the moment. Foles going up against Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey certainly isn’t what the doctor ordered to right the ship. The interior of this Chicago offensive line hasn’t been able to block anybody, so it could get ugly with Donald. Over their last three contests, the Rams are giving up an average of 14.3 points per game. Goff struggles with pressure, as well, so Khalil Mack and company should make his life miserable. The former No. 1 overall pick couldn’t get anything going last week against San Francisco, when the Rams put up only 16 points. When these teams played each other last year, there were only 24 total points scored.

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NFL Parlay Picks

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

Houston Texans Green Bay Packers
GB Packers Win, Money Line
GB Packers @ HOU Texans

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers
CAR Panthers Win +7.5, Point Spread
CAR Panthers @ NO Saints

Pick Reasoning

NFC South action takes place when the New Orleans Saints host the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has arguably been the best feel-good story in the NFL this season, as it has defied all expectations to enter at 3-3. The Saints are 3-2, but they’ve been a bit of a disappointment considering even in a couple of their wins they’ve looked pretty bad. Drew Brees isn’t playing at the level we’re accustomed to and I don’t think he’s going to have an easy time against this Panthers defense. Carolina has quietly been playing extremely well on that side of the ball, as it ranks first in the league with only 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The unit is also getting some reinforcements this week. Eli Apple appears to be returning from the hamstring injury that has sidelined him for virtually the entire season, and the secondary has completely shut down Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, and Kyler Murray the last three weeks. New Orleans receiver Michael Thomas is now dealing with a hamstring issue in addition to his ankle injury, and there’s no way he’s 100 percent after all of the time off. This spread shouldn’t be over a touchdown.

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Atlanta Falcons Detroit Lions
DET Lions Win +2.5, Point Spread
DET Lions @ ATL Falcons

Pick Reasoning

Both Detroit and Atlanta returned to winning ways last weekend, and it looks like oddsmakers are overreacting to the Falcons’ 40-23 win over the Vikings. Yes, Atlanta looked a lot better in that resounding win, but after weeks of mediocrity and blown leads can this team really be trusted? The Lions recorded their second win of the season with a comfortable 34-16 victory over the Jaguars, and they are finally looking like the team everyone expected them to be. To be fair to Matt Patricia’s team, it has always looked better than its 2-3 record. D’Andre Swift dropped a game-winning catch in an opening defeat against Chicago, and the Lions held 14-point leads against both Green Bay and New Orleans. Now with Swift looking hotter in the backfield, the sky could be the limit for this Detroit offense and I expect them to flourish against Atlanta’s ailing defense. The Falcons have given up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and allowed 18 passing touchdowns this season–both the highest in the league. When you consider Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford has the likes of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and T.J. Hockenson at his disposal, it’s hard to see Atlanta putting up much of a fight. Take the Lions and the points with confidence.

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Tennessee Titans Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT Steelers Win, Money Line
PIT Steelers @ TEN Titans

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

Sun 25 Oct
DAL Cowboys Win, Money Line
DAL Cowboys @ WAS Football Team

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

New England Patriots San Francisco 49ers
NE Patriots Win, Money Line
SF 49ers @ NE Patriots

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

Los Angeles Chargers Jacksonville Jaguars
LA Chargers Win, Money Line
JAX Jaguars @ LA Chargers

Pick Reasoning

NFL Week 7 Mega Parlay

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NFL Week 7 ATS Underdogs Parlay

New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers
CAR Panthers Win +7.5, Point Spread
CAR Panthers @ NO Saints

Pick Reasoning

NFC South action takes place when the New Orleans Saints host the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has arguably been the best feel-good story in the NFL this season, as it has defied all expectations to enter at 3-3. The Saints are 3-2, but they’ve been a bit of a disappointment considering even in a couple of their wins they’ve looked pretty bad. Drew Brees isn’t playing at the level we’re accustomed to and I don’t think he’s going to have an easy time against this Panthers defense. Carolina has quietly been playing extremely well on that side of the ball, as it ranks first in the league with only 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The unit is also getting some reinforcements this week. Eli Apple appears to be returning from the hamstring injury that has sidelined him for virtually the entire season, and the secondary has completely shut down Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, and Kyler Murray the last three weeks. New Orleans receiver Michael Thomas is now dealing with a hamstring issue in addition to his ankle injury, and there’s no way he’s 100 percent after all of the time off. This spread shouldn’t be over a touchdown.

Computer Picks

Atlanta Falcons Detroit Lions
DET Lions Win +2.5, Point Spread
DET Lions @ ATL Falcons

Pick Reasoning

Both Detroit and Atlanta returned to winning ways last weekend, and it looks like oddsmakers are overreacting to the Falcons’ 40-23 win over the Vikings. Yes, Atlanta looked a lot better in that resounding win, but after weeks of mediocrity and blown leads can this team really be trusted? The Lions recorded their second win of the season with a comfortable 34-16 victory over the Jaguars, and they are finally looking like the team everyone expected them to be. To be fair to Matt Patricia’s team, it has always looked better than its 2-3 record. D’Andre Swift dropped a game-winning catch in an opening defeat against Chicago, and the Lions held 14-point leads against both Green Bay and New Orleans. Now with Swift looking hotter in the backfield, the sky could be the limit for this Detroit offense and I expect them to flourish against Atlanta’s ailing defense. The Falcons have given up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and allowed 18 passing touchdowns this season–both the highest in the league. When you consider Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford has the likes of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and T.J. Hockenson at his disposal, it’s hard to see Atlanta putting up much of a fight. Take the Lions and the points with confidence.

Computer Picks

Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks
ARZ Cardinals Win +3.5, Point Spread
SEA Seahawks @ ARZ Cardinals

Pick Reasoning

There is no debate that Russell Wilson is playing incredible football right now, but the jury is still out on the Seattle Seahawks despite their 5-0 record. They have won just a single game by more than eight points, and that was against the current 1-5 Falcons. Seattle survived New England (currently 2-3) on the last play of the game and is coming off a 27-26 victory over a Minnesota squad that is 1-5 and just got blown out by Atlanta. The Seahawks’ defense has simply been horrendous. It is dead last in the NFL by a country mile at 471.2 yards per game allowed and it is 29th in yards per play surrendered at 6.2. So don’t be fooled by the fact that Seattle has not been giving an absolute ton of points. This is a bend-but-don’t-break unit that will likely break instead of bend once the competition gets tougher–and that is exactly what it does this week in the form of the AFC West rival Arizona Cardinals. Arizona is 4-2 and fresh off blowouts of the Jets (30-10) and Cowboys (38-10). Sure, a result against the woeful Jets means nothing but Monday’s performance against Dallas was impressive. Kyler Murray has thrown for six touchdowns compared to just one interception over the past three weeks. You have to like the Cardinals getting more than a field goal on Sunday.

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NFL Picks

The Home Of Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2020/21 Season

Even though there are just 17 weeks in the regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sports wager. NFL point spreads and season win total prop bets are one of the few in the major sports that are openly discussed by announcers and fans alike. Because of betting, and the popularity of fantasy football, every single game of the NFL season is important, widely discussed, analyzed, and a great opportunity to get in on the action with our free NFL expert picks.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over unders, parlays, prop bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a wager type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to be diverse and wager as many ways as they can on a game. Both types of players can be successful with a disciplined and calculated strategy which is the great thing about NFL betting.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points (Philadelphia -7 for example) or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect (Chicago +3.5). The great thing about ATS NFL betting is that the team you wager on can lose outright, but your bet can still be a winner (a Chicago 17-20 loss). Our NFL picks against the spread are our most popular bet on site, and the game lines are widely discussed by sport shows and experts in the lead up to matches. A fun stat worth noting is that the team who covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

NFL Over / Under Free NFL Picks

When you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win in an NFL game, or would rather wager on the game, rather than a team, another exciting way to still get in on the action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. This is why last-second field goals in 24 point blowouts are still edge-of-your-seat moments as they can push the total over or under the set line. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in each game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread.

Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of wagerers enjoy money line (ML) NFL expert picks. The best way to describe ML bets is that you simply wager on either a winner or loser with no spread involved. If you’re confident in an underdog, ML bets are also a great way to increase your profits. If a team is +10 ATS, for example, they may be upwards of +350 on the money line to win outright meaning a $100 bet would pay you $350.

NFL Schedule 2020/21

Unlike other sports that have had their seasons widely disrupted due to the Covid-19 pandemic, With the NFL season not due to start until August 2020, it is not yet known the implications the recent events will have on the 2020 NFL schedule.

As things stand, the NFL season is expected to start on the 10th September with the Super Bowl Champions, Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium.

The NFL regular season schedule is expected to run as normal, with 17 game weeks through until January 3rd, 2021, with the Wild Card round of the playoffs scheduled for the weekend after, across the 9th and 10th January 2021.

Super Bowl LV is scheduled for February 7th, at Raymond James Stadium, the home of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Regular Season NFL Expert Picks – NFL Picks This Week

Some sites solely focus on the marquee games of an NFL slate but our system features expert picks for every game of the NFL season. The best way to have success in NFL betting is by finding those under-the-radar games like Miami at Jacksonville that do not draw as much public betting interest as Dallas vs. Green Bay. Our expert handicappers spend just as long researching the under-the-radar games, as they do for a Thursday Night Football or Primetime Football games. Our NFL picks this week are the best ways to get a breakdown and a reading of all the games on an NFL slate, with a complete game preview alongside our best NFL picks for each game.

NFL Futures Bets & Playoff Picks

Throughout the NFL season, we also give you other betting options such as our futures picks and individual player prop bets. Not only do we publish our previews and picks for every game of the NFL regular season but we do the same for the playoffs as well. There’s a lot of money to be made in the relatively short NFL season – why not make the most of it? The stakes in the NFL playoffs are even higher and the margins between the teams are usually even smaller. With more on the line and the best against the best, the hours of research and analysis our NFL experts put in are at even more of a premium. Follow our NFL playoff picks throughout the entire NFL postseason, right through to the Super Bowl itself.

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We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, and College Football and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.