The Bills showed they aren't as good as we thought they were in loss to Titans

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is sacked by Tennessee Titans linebacker Harold Landry
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NFL · 1 year ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The Buffalo Bills were dealt their first loss of the season, falling to the Tennessee Titans in lopsided fashion on Tuesday night. Obviously it’s important to never overreact too much to one game in the NFL, but Tuesday’s defeat revealed flaws that have been apparent the whole time.

The Bills simply aren’t as good as many hyped them up to be, and I don’t think the regression necessarily stops here. There are large question marks surrounding this team, and Tennessee only illuminated what was already lying beneath the surface.

They’ve faced a soft schedule

The easiest explanation for the Bills’ 4-0 start is that they had a cakewalk of a schedule. Their first two wins came against the Jets and Dolphins, and they barely beat Miami. The only impressive win they have this season was over the Rams, and that took a very controversial pass-interference penalty on fourth down to not blow a once-massive lead.

Unfortunately for Buffalo, it’s about to toughen up considerably. Three of its next four games are against the Chiefs, Patriots, and Seahawks. Then at the end of the season there’s a stretch where the Bills have to play the 49ers, Steelers, and Patriots again in a span of four games.

They’ve got a gauntlet coming up, and they won’t be able to make nearly as many mistakes during it. Josh Allen went back to his pre-2020 form on Tuesday with two interceptions, and if he doesn’t get it cleaned up they aren’t going to be able to compete with the league’s truly elite teams.

The Bills’ defense is a lot worse

Buffalo’s defense isn’t as good as it was last year, and it isn’t particularly close. The secondary is especially weak, and they’re giving up the fourth-most passing yards per game of any team. They’re now starting Josh Norman at outside corner thanks to the injury to Levi Wallace, and Norman showed on Tuesday that he’s thoroughly washed.

The pass-rush is nothing to write home about and neither is the run defense. They gave up 42 points to the Titans, 23 to the Raiders, 32 to the Rams, and 28 to the Dolphins. You’re not going to win a championship giving up those kinds of totals on a regular basis, and the only team that wasn’t able to consistently move the ball on them was the lowly Jets all the way back in Week 1.

I trust Sean McDermott schematically, but with the talent they lost this offseason and now all the injuries, I don’t think this unit is going to magically get much better anytime soon.

The bottom line

I think everyone got a bit ahead of their skis with their over-the-top praise of Allen and this Bills team. They got off to a hot start against a couple of bad teams, and are now crashing down to Earth. The schedule is about to get very difficult and there are major question marks on defense, so I think things could get worse before they get better for the Bills.

Pickswise is the home of free NFL predictions. Check out the latest NFL props and NFL parlays as well as expert underdog predictions and computer picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet on Dolphins vs. Bengals

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5+ on Dolphins or Bengals ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any NFL pre-game ML

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets on Dolphins vs. Bengals ML

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet on Dolphins vs. Bengals

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet on Dolphins vs. Bengals

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$500

Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets on Dolphins vs. Bengals ML With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.