The Dog House: Three best NFL underdogs for Week 10

Matt Ryan NFL underdog
Photo of John Hyslop

John Hyslop

NFL· 3 weeks ago

Show Bio

You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

It’s NFL underdog time, people. These are by far the most fun bets every week because at the end of the day, if we lose, we just say, “well, they weren’t supposed to win anyway.” The thing is, NFL underdogs have been winning at a ridiculous rate this year. They are 78-57-1 on the season. That’s crazy. That’s almost as good as this article’s 16-11 +4 unit mark. Here are 3 more for this week.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ NFL picks this week. It’s just a smart thing to do. Also, bets can be added to the card, so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action? Once lineups are announced for some of these games, there is a chance for opportunity to knock.

Atlanta Falcons +8 (-110) over Dallas Cowboys

NFL underdogs have nothing to do with stats. They are all about look and feel and this one has the look of a pitbull. Not the cute, friendly and well-trained kind but the might-bite-a-kid type. The Falcons are scary and as scary as they are to bet on, they might be turning the corner. For starters, they haven’t been beaten by this much since Week 2. Even that game was fluky as the Buccaneers got 2 pick-6s by the same guy in the 4th quarter. What are the odds of that? The Cowboys just got smoked last week and while they may respond, I don’t know if they cover. I think the Falcons go into Dallas and put a scare into ‘Dem Boys.

Be sure to read our full game preview for Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks +3 (-110) over Green Bay Packers

NFL underdogs are all about recognizing narratives and this game is full of them. We’ve got Russell Wilson coming back from injury. We’ve got Aaron Rodgers telling everyone he’s vaccinated and then he’s not vaccinated. It’s a mess but it’s a mess we should definitely bet into. I don’t think the Packers are going to be able to stop the Seahawks on defense. They played last week like it was the Super Bowl and still came up short. Somehow, someway, Russell Wilson will get it done in Lambeau on Sunday afternoon. I’ve seen this movie before.

Don’t forget to read our full game preview for Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 (-110) over Kansas City Chiefs

NFL underdogs are all about recognizing when good teams aren’t good anymore. A good example is the Kansas City Chiefs. They were good last year. We know because they were in the Super Bowl. But Tom Brady broke them and now they are a 5-4 team we can’t even trust to cover 2.5 points against the Raiders. It’s sad when you think about it but it’s true. We just got done winning the Packers +7.5 against them last week. We all saw them have trouble with Jordan Love. I’m not making that up. Now they have to stop the great Derek Carr and company after an embarrassing loss last week to the Giants. I just don’t see it. I think the Raiders win straight up.

Be sure to read our full game preview for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Pickswise is the home of free NFL picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our NFL parlays and NFL prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

See All


Bet $10, Win $200 If Your Team Covers +40 Points!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $10+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team covers +40 points

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Bet $20, Get $200 - Regardless of Outcome!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+.

Bet $20 on any game in any sport!

As soon as your game is over, you'll receive a $200 bonus - no matter whether your initial bet won or lost!

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,001 Free Bet + A FREE NBA JERSEY!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Win or lose, you'll receive a free bet matching your initial stake - up to $1,001! You'll also be given a gift card for a FREE NBA JERSEY!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing


$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.