The Dog House: Three best NFL underdogs for Week 5

Nick Chubb NFL underdogs
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John Hyslop

NFL· 2 weeks ago

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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

While everybody else is laying points I’m taking them. Let me tell you a little about NFL underdogs. They cover and win every single week. All you have to do is dig a little deeper and figure out which ones have bite and which ones just bark. It’s actually easy once you figure out what to look for. Here are three NFL underdogs that I think have no chance of losing this weekend.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ NFL picks this week. It’s just a smart thing to do. Also, bets can be added to the card, so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action? Once lineups are announced for some of these games, there is a chance for opportunity to knock.

Cleveland Browns +2 (-110)

Everyone is saying that Baker Mayfield’s torn labrum is an issue but I don’t think it is. Labrum, schlabrum. It’s not even attached to his throwing arm. If anything it helps because at the end of the day, the Chargers can’t stop the run and the Browns have the best run game in the NFL. It’s actually better that Mayfield has a torn labrum. Plus the best way to heal one of those is to hand the ball off to a running back like Nick Chubb or Kareem Hunt. We saw what the Dallas Cowboys did to the Chargers on the ground in Week 2 with 2 different guys going for 70+ rushing yards. That’s going to happen again this week and Cleveland can end up covering because of it. This NFL underdog is clearly a biter.

Be sure to read our full game preview for Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110)

It sucks to take the Chicago Bears to do anything other than lose but that’s what we’re doing here. This is partially the fact that Justin Fields is starting and partially because the Las Vegas Raiders are not that good. The Raiders may be 3-1 but wins over the Miami Dolphins and this year’s version of the Pittsburgh Steelers are not that impressive. They had trouble moving the ball against a top-10 defense (DVOA) in the Los Angeles Chargers last week and now they get another one this week. It’s hard to imagine them hanging points all over the Bears with the 30th-ranked run game as even the Browns could muster only 26 points on Chicago. I don’t know if they win this one straight up but the Bears can definitely cover 5.5 points. This NFL underdog has bite.

Don’t forget to read our full game preview for Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders

Buffalo Bills +3 (-110)

We’ll have to wait until the night game for this NFL underdog but I’m fine with that. This is by far the best game on the Sunday slate and it is only right that it is the standalone matchup. As good as the Kansas City Chiefs’ offense is, their defense is worse. They’re coming in at 32nd (DVOA) and it’s not even close. The issue this week is, I don’t know how many points their offense can put up on Buffalo, which has far and away the best defense (DVOA) in the NFL. Granted the Bills have not seen a real offense yet but they’ve also already shut out 2 teams (the Dolphins and Texans). That’s not easy to do in today’s NFL. We can’t expect them to shut out the Chiefs, but if they were to hold them to 30 or less then they can easily cover 3 points.

Be sure to read our full game preview for Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Pickswise is the home of free NFL picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our NFL parlays and NFL prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

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