UFC 267 predictions: Four-fight parlay (+741 odds)

Feb 29, 2020; Norfolk, Virginia, USA; Marcin Tybura (red gloves) fights Serghei Spivac (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Chartway Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 month ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC 267 takes place on Saturday at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. The card will feature a light heavyweight title fight as the main event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC 267 that pays at odds of +741. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 267 predictions for the full 14-fight card.

Jan Blachowicz vs Glover Teixeira – Fight to go the Distance – No (-225)

Both guys have won 5 fights in a row, so even though Jan Blachowicz is a huge favorite here, he could still be a risky play straight up. Four of Glover Teixeira’s last 5 fights have ended inside the distance while 3 of Blachowicz’s last 5 fights have done the same. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.

Petr Yan vs Cory Sandhagen – Fight to go the Distance – No (+100)

Petr Yan is a big favorite here, but seeing that he could be disqualified, he is now hard to trust. Six of Sandhagen’s 9 UFC fights have ended inside the distance, while 5 of Yan’s 8 UFC fights have done the same. Both guys like to fight at a fast pace, so backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.

Alexander Volkov vs Marcin Tybura – Fight to end by TKO/KO (-110)

Alexander Volkov comes into this fight 7-3 in the UFC. Volkov is averaging 4.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. He is absorbing 2.88 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is only decent, averaging 0.57 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 70% and a takedown defense of 67%.

Tybura comes into this fight 9-5 in the UFC, most recently beating Walt Harris by TKO/KO back in June of this year. Tybura is averaging 3.63 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 3.31 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is solid, averaging 1.67 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 45% and his takedown defense is 82%.

Tybura has come on strong in his last couple of fights, suggesting he might be undervalued here. Combined these guys have 31 wins by TKO/KO, so backing this fight to end by TKO/KO will be the play.

Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev Win by Finish (-190)

Khamzat Chimaev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-0. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Gerald Meerschaert by TKO/KO back in September of 2020. Chimaev is averaging 9.03 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 72%. He is absorbing 0.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.67 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 3.1 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 75% and has not had to defend a takedown in the UFC.

Chimaev has been far too good to believe he will not win here. Though his price is also way too high. He has finished every one of his career fights, so backing him to do the same here looks like a must play.

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