Wimbledon Day 10 best bets: Pliskova to power into final

Karolina Pliskova
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Tennis

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

And then there were four. It’s down to the semi-finals on the women’s singles tournament at Wimbledon, and the final matchup will be determined on Thursday. World No. 1 Ashleigh Barty is joined by 2018 champion Angelique Kerber, 2016 US Open runner-up Karolina Pliskova and No. 2 seed Aryna Sabalenka. Will it be a No. 1 vs. No. 2 championship match at the All-England Club on Saturday? We’re about to find out.

Throughout the two weeks in London, Pickswise has been offering plenty of content to help you become a winner at tennis betting.

Now it’s time to take a look at some of the best bets for Thursday at Wimbledon, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets for the fortnight.

Karolina Pliskova +3.5 games over Aryna Sabalenka (-122)

This will be the biggest-hitting matchup in women’s tennis that does not involve Serena Williams. You can be sure that service breaks will be few and far between. In fact, even if Pliskova loses in straight sets she could still cover a +3.5 game spread because there will likely be at least one tiebreaker played. But I don’t see the Czech losing in straight sets. Actually, I don’t see her losing at all. Pliskova +3.5 games is the safe play, but I would sprinkle some — maybe even a fair amount — on the +170 money line.

The 29-year-old has been the most dominant performer throughout this fortnight. She is 10-0 in total sets and has not even been pushed to a tiebreaker. Eight sets in a row have been 6-3 or worse, including five of the 6-2 variety. Pliskova trails the head-to-head series with Sabalenka 2-0, but both of those contests came in 2018 — one ended 7-5 in the third set and the other went to 7-6 in the third set. The Belarusian has never played in a Grand Slam semi-final, in fact, she had never been past the fourth round of any Slam prior to arriving at Wimbledon. Sound the upset alert.

Ashleigh Barty vs. Angelique Kerber over 21.5 games (-114)

All signs point to this being a good one, even though Barty is a considerable favorite (-225). Neither one of these women is a huge hitter like either Sabalenka or Pliskova, they don’t blow people off the court. Barty-Kerber rallies are going to be long, and the match as a whole will likely be the same. Barty routed Ajla Tomljanovic in the quarter-finals, but that was expected. She needed 21 games in both the third and fourth round and she lost a set in the first round to Carla Suarez Navarro.

Now the top seed faces a former Wimbledon champion in Kerber, who is on fire on grass. The German, who also won the Australian Open and US Open in 2016, is on a ten-match winning streak — five on her way to the Bad Homburg title and five at Wimbledon. It should also be noted that this head-to-head series is all tied up at 2-2. I think Barty will get the job done, but it’s not going to be easy. 



Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet for Steelers vs. Colts

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on Steelers vs. Colts & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet for Steelers vs. Colts

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on Steelers vs. Colts

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply