Wimbledon Day 12 best bets: Time for a Barty party at the All-England Club

Ashleigh Barty
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Tennis

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

It all comes down to this on the women’s side at Wimbledon: Ashleigh Barty vs. Karolina Pliskova. Barty can prove her worth as the as the world No. 1 and top seed, while Pliskova could win her first Grand Slam title. It should be an interesting contrast of styles on Saturday at the All-England Club.

Throughout the two weeks in London, Pickswise has been offering plenty of content to help you become a winner at tennis betting.

Now it’s time to take a look at some of the best bets for Saturday at Wimbledon, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets for the fortnight.

Ashleigh Barty -1.5 sets over Karolina Pliskova (+123)

I don’t love the outright price on Barty (-240) and the Over/Under is set perfectly (an under bet would be tempting, but only if the number was higher than 21.5). However, there is good value on getting Barty to win in straight sets at well into plus money.

The top seed has won 11 sets in a row dating back to the first round, looking by far the best player this fortnight. There are other factors to like about Barty as well. She is already a Grand Slam champion (she won her only previous Slam final at the 2019 French Open), whereas Pliskova is 0-1 lifetime in major championship matches after losing in the 2016 US Open final. Barty also leads the head-to-head series 5-2.

Pliskova to serve more double-faults than Barty (-125)

Both players have been double-faulting a fair amount throughout this tournament. If the second-serve woes for just one of them continue on Saturday, it will likely be Pliskova who keeps it up. She doubled a ridiculous nine times in the third round against Tereza Martincova even though a total of just 18 games were played (Pliskova won 6-3, 6-3).

The Czech serves a lot bigger than Barty on both first and second serve, which naturally leads to more misses. Pliskova will likely be serving especially hard in the final, because she knows she cannot hang with her opponent from the baseline. She knows she has to win free points with her serve if she is going to have any chance.

It works the other way for Barty. The Aussie knows she will win most of the baseline rallies, so she doesn’t have to risk a lot on her own serve by going for too much. All in all, Pliskova can be expected to finish with more DFs, and perhaps by a wide margin.

Karolina Pliskova

Under 5.5 total service breaks (-105)

This correlates nicely with a straight-sets win for Barty, so you would do well to take the Barty 2-0 bet at +123 in addition to this match prop. Obviously if the final lasts only two sets instead of three, there is a better chance for a low number of service breaks. Either way, you have to like the under.

Barty and Pliskova are two of the best servers on tour, and they are playing on grass, the surface that yields the fewest breaks. Pliskova’s serve is one of the three best in the women’s game; she isn’t going to lose it a lot. Her returning, however, is relatively weak for a top 15 player. It’s hard to see her breaking Barty more than once or twice on Saturday.

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on Bills vs. Patriots & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply