Wimbledon Day 4 best bets: Monfils to march into third round

Gael Monfils plays to the crowd at the 2019 US Open.
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Ricky Dimon

Tennis

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

The rain finally disappeared at Wimbledon on Wednesday, so the rest of the first-round slate was able to be completed. Now we move on to second-round action on Thursday, and with another clean bill of weather the tournament should be back on schedule going into Friday.

Throughout the two weeks in London, Pickswise will be offering plenty of content to help you become a winner at tennis betting. To say we are off to good start would be a gross understatement. Our Wimbledon best bets record is 7-2 overall, including 6-1 in the past two days.

Now it’s time to take a look at some of the best bets for Thursday at Wimbledon, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets for the upcoming fortnight.

Gael Monfils vs. Pedro Martinez Under 38 games (-115)

Monfils has never been the most reliable player and he certainly hasn’t been over the past two seasons, but you still have to feel good about backing him on Thursday. On Wednesday the Frenchman finished off  Christopher O’Connell in a rain-delayed match that lasted a total of five sets. O’Connell is a tougher opponent than Martinez on grass. Martinez has been on tour for eight years and he has played only six total matches on the green stuff.

It should also be noted that there are plenty of fans on the grounds at the All-England Club and Monfils is always a marquee attraction. He has struggled during the pandemic while playing in front of no fans, but he showed signs of life at the French Open when there was more of an atmosphere–like there is at Wimbledon. Monfils should roll, but the under gives us more leeway than the game spread just in case for some reason Monfils is less than 100 percent physically.

Katerina Siniakova -3 games over Coco Vandeweghe (-115)

Siniakova is in stellar form, with a 5-1 record on the lawn this summer. She lost only one game in total to Yafan Wang in the Wimbledon first round. The fact that the Czech is comfortable on grass is no surprise, because she is one of the best doubles players in the world and thrives at the net. Vandeweghe is rounding into form as she returns from injury, but she is not yet back to her best level. The American would have to be at her best to seriously compete with Siniakova.

Marc Polmans +4.5 games over Cristian Garin (-110)

This is one of those matchups in which the surface will likely dictate the outcome. Their only previous meeting came at the 2020 French Open and Garin needed four tight sets to win. That is not encouraging at all for the Chilean, because he is the essence of a clay-court specialist and Polmans most definitely isn’t.

Garin had never won a main-draw match at Wimbledon prior to this week and he needed five sets to beat little-known qualifier Bernabe Zapata Miralles in a match that ended on Wednesday. There won’t be any rest for Garin. Polmans already has four Wimbledon matches under his belt, having qualified for the main draw. The Aussie eased past Yen-Hsun Lu on Tuesday, so he will be well-rested for this one. Polmans’ game works better on grass than that of Garin, so the upset alert needs to be sounded. Getting a handful of games is just a bonus.

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

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