Wimbledon Day 5 best bets: Muguruza continues bid for second title

Garbine Muguruza
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Tennis

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

Wimbledon heads into the third round on Friday, with only 32 players left on the both the men’s and women’s sides. Spots in the prestigious second week are at stake, so the pressure is building. Who will handle it better than others on the grass courts of the All-England Club? We will try to answer that question here.

Throughout the two weeks in London, Pickswise will be offering plenty of content to help you become a winner at tennis betting. To say we are off to good start would be a gross understatement. Our Wimbledon best bets record is 9-3 overall, including 8-2 in the past three days.

Now it’s time to take a look at some of the best bets for Friday at Wimbledon, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets for the upcoming fortnight.

Garbine Muguruza -2.5 games over Ons Jabeur (-115)

Jabeur became the first Arab player to win a WTA title last month in Birmingham and has done well to reach the Wimbledon third round for the first time in her career. She is a nice story. Muguruza is bona fide title contender. There’s a difference. Jabeur may be playing well, but it’s not time to put her at–or even near–the same level of Muguruza. The Spaniard has triumphed at Wimbledon once before (2017) and also reached the final in 2015. Through two rounds she has not dropped a set and three of her four set scores are 6-0, 6-1, and 6-1. Muguruza won’t win quite so convincingly, but this should be another straight-setter.

Dan Evans over Sebastian Korda (-115)

Korda won a clay-court title in Parma and reached the quarter-finals on the grass of Halle, which is why the odds are basically even for this match. But the market has overreacted to those results, as Evans should be a considerable favorite here. Korda is still a novice on grass, whereas Evans has always been stellar on this surface. The Brit has home-court advantage, too, and he will have a ton of crowd support on Centre Court. He already has experience on the most famous court in tennis, while Korda has obviously never played on it. Evans is coming off a quarter-final performance at Queen’s Club and he is through to the Wimbledon third round for the third time in his career.

Andrey Rublev vs. Fabio Fognini Under 35 games (-120)

Don’t be fooled by the 6-2 head-to-head series lead for Fognini. Rublev rose to prominence starting early in 2020, and they have faced each other only once since that time. In their meeting earlier this season, the Russian dominated 6-1, 6-2. Since dropping his first set of this tournament, Rublev has won via set scores of 6-4, 6-1, 6-2, 6-1, 6-2, and 7-5. This should be another straight-setter. But even if it goes to four it can still stay under. After all, Fognini is usually good–or bad–to lose at least one set 6-0 or 6-1. In fact, he just lost one 6-0 to Laslo Djere in the second round.

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$125

Bet $5, Get $125 in Free Bets - Guaranteed!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up of $5 on any sport

Receive $125 in free bets regardless of the outcome of your wager

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply