Wimbledon Day 7 best bets: Roger Federer could be in trouble
The first week at Wimbledon has come and gone, setting the stage for the biggest day in tennis. And it will be the last one of its kind, because this is the final year in which there will be no play on “Middle Sunday” at the All-England Club. What a day off means is that everyone–men and women–remaining in the singles draws take the court on “Manic Monday.” That won’t be the case again starting in 2022, when play will continue on Sunday–leaving fewer matches for the next day. But we do get to enjoy the Monday craziness one final time.
Throughout the two weeks in London, Pickswise will be offering plenty of content to help you become a winner at tennis betting.
Now it’s time to take a look at some of the best bets for Monday at Wimbledon, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets for the upcoming fortnight.
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Iga Swiatek -1.5 games over Ons Jabeur (-109)
Jabeur has been playing great, but throwing up on court because of nerves during her third-round win over Garbine Muguruza was a bit concerning. Okay, that’s not why I’m picking her to lose; but it’s still something. Jabeur had previously never advanced past the second round at Wimbledon. Swiatek is at her best on clay (she won the French Open last fall), but right now she is one of the best players in the world regardless of surface. And the Pole won her only previous matchup with Jabeur on the hard courts of Washington, D.C. in 2019.
Ajla Tomljanovic -1 game over Emma Raducanu (-120)
Raducanu was one of the breakout stories of week one. After all, the 18-year-old is ranked No. 338 in the world and finds herself in the fourth round at the All-England Club. She has faced three unseeded opponents, so it has to be said that the draw has been favorable. She will meet another unseeded foe in Tomljanovic, but the Aussie is playing like she should be seeded. Tomljanovic is coming off great wins over Alize Cornet and Jelena Ostapenko. She also has the experience to handle the big stage better than Raducanu.
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Upset of the day: Lorenzo Sonego over Roger Federer (+310)
I already know everyone is going to freak out that I’m picking against the great Roger Federer at Wimbledon, but seriously just calm down. At what age does Federer have to be before you stop being surprised that he loses tennis matches every now and then? 40? 45? 50? 60? 75? He is 39 years old now and has played little tennis over the past two seasons. Federer is still a great player, but he is not one the top two or three in the world. He can lose — and has been of late.
Federer fell at a grass-court warmup event in Halle to Felix Auger-Aliassime. He was also losing to Adrian Mannarino — two sets to one — in the Wimbledon first round before Mannarino retired after he injured his knee while slipping on the slick grass. Things won’t get any easier against Sonego, who is a stellar all-court player and especially adept on grass. The 27th-ranked Italian’s grass-court success includes the 2019 Antalya title, a runner-up performance last week in Eastbourne, and now a run to the Wimbledon fourth round.
Sonego has won nine of 10 sets so far this week and in the only four-set match he has played resulted in a 6-1 fourth. Eight of his nine victorious sets have been won without requiring a tiebreaker. This is also a guy who soundly beat Novak Djokovic last fall in Vienna. Sound the upset alert!
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