XFL Week 7 parlay picks at mega (+909) odds: Roughnecks hit a rough patch

St. Louis Battlehawks wide receiver Marcell Ateman (3) celebrates with St. Louis Battlehawks wide receiver Darrius Shepherd (11) after scoring a 2-point conversion against the Seattle Sea Dragons during the first half at Lumen Field

We’re into the second half of the XFL season, and I’m back with another XFL mega parlay for the week. Last week, I cashed a +1062 XFL Week 6 mega parlay and I’m looking for another winner in Week 7. I’ve analyzed the 4-game slate and have taken a pick from 3 of the 4 games this week to create a mega parlay.

Along with our XFL Week 7 predictions, here is my mega parlay that pays out at more than 9/1 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Brahmas ML (+125)

Defenders/Guardians o44.5 (-110)

Battlehawks ML (+135)

Parlay odds: +909

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San Antonio Brahmas ML (+125) over Vegas Vipers

The Vegas Vipers were embarrassed in Week 6. They took on the St. Louis Battlehawks in Vegas, but home-field advantage did not help, as they lost 29-6. That loss makes the Vipers 1-5 on the season, with their only win coming against the Orlando Guardians, who are 0-6 entering Week 7. Vegas’ offense was their issue at the beginning of the season, but it’s been their defense that has struggled recently. In their last few weeks, the Vipers have allowed 29, 32, 32 and 30 points, and it’s hard to win a football game when you’re giving up that many points.

Vegas welcomes in the Brahmas for their Week 7 matchup, and although San Antonio does not have the most dynamic offense, their defense has been suffocating. They have allowed 9, 12 and 15 points in their last 3 games, so I’m confident that they can limit an average Vegas offense. The bottom line is that the Vipers do not deserve to be the favorite against anybody, so I’ll happily back the better team at plus odds. 

DC Defenders vs Orlando Guardians over 44.5 (-110)

It’s become clear that the Defenders have the best offense in the XFL. They just scored 37 points against the Roughnecks, who were known as one of the best defensive teams in the league. But before that, DC scored 28, 32 and 34 points, so their offense is only improving with time. DC has 17 touchdowns this season, which is tied for the 2nd-most in the league. However, the Defenders lead the league in 2-point attempts by a wide margin, so while most teams just take the 1-point after a score, DC goes for 2. That’s yet another reason why their offense scores so many points per game.

DC will be facing the Guardians, who are still searching for that elusive first win. It likely won’t come in this game since they are 10-point underdogs, but their offense has improved since Quinten Dormady took over at quarterback. Paxton Lynch was horrendous, and after several bad losses, the Guardians finally moved on to Dormady. He can lead Orlando to a few scores, and that should be enough to hit this over – unless DC does it as a team first. 

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St. Louis Battlehawks ML (+135) over Houston Roughnecks

The Roughnecks were once the big, bad wolf in the XFL. However, they have lost their last 2 games, and their once invincible defense has become vulnerable. Houston has allowed 58 points in their last 2 games, and now the Battlehawks have an excellent chance to make it hurt for the Roughnecks. AJ McCarron is coming off of a stellar Week 6 game against the Vipers, as the quarterback was 23/29 for 236 yards and 3 touchdowns. McCarron is clearly the best quarterback in the league, and if Houston was beaten by Jordan Ta’amu and Ben DiNucci recently, they will be shredded by McCarron. The Battlehawks are a better team than oddsmakers are projecting them as, and at plus odds, I’ll back St. Louis to extend Houston’s losing streak.

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