Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and NFL Picks for Sunday, 11/01/26

Not shockingly, both these AFC squads have struggled in October. Las Vegas’ 3-0 start has evaporated, having lost four straight games capped off by a 35-21 home setback to the Rams last Sunday. The Jets started the season with a victory at Tennessee, but are 1-5 in the past six games, including a 1-3 mark in October. New York couldn’t knock off winless Miami last Sunday in a 28-25 home defeat, as its 25-point outburst was its highest of the season. The Jets have done a solid job slowing down the run, ranking seventh in defensive EPA/Rush. However, New York’s pass defense has struggled, sitting 25th in EPA/Pass, but has given up no more than 208 passing yards in any of its three home games.

The three teams the Raiders have defeated (Dolphins, Chargers, and Saints) are a combined 3-16 this season. In the past four losses, Las Vegas has faced squads with a 19-7 mark, including home setbacks to first-place teams Kansas City and Buffalo. Raiders QB Kirk Cousins sits third in the NFL in passing yards (1,877) despite all the rumors of the veteran potentially getting benched for top pick Fernando Mendoza. Las Vegas has been listed as an underdog in each of the past six games (4-2 ATS) since blowing out Miami as a favorite in Week 1. The Jets are a favorite for the fifth time since 2025, posting a 1-3 ATS mark in their first four opportunities. Both teams are going backwards but the Raiders have been a product of a difficult schedule recently. Let’s back Las Vegas to cash as a short dog against New York.

Raiders vs Jets prediction: Raiders +1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to Raiders +1 (-110).

The Raiders began the season with consecutive unders against the Dolphins and Chargers, who are two of the three lowest-scoring teams in the league through seven weeks. However, Las Vegas has gone on a 5-0 over streak, while allowing at least 30 points in each of the past four defeats. In all four unders for the Jets, New York and its opponents combined for 37 or fewer points. In two of the three overs, the Jets and its opponent put up at least 50 points, including in last Sunday’s 28-25 setback to the Dolphins.

The Raiders have moved the ball with QB Kirk Cousins, as Las Vegas sits at ninth in the league in EPA/Pass. The Jets have allowed 5 TD passes in the past two losses to New England’s Drake Maye and Miami’s Malik Willis. In the previous two games against Cleveland and Chicago, New York only yielded 1 TD pass, while Cousins has thrown multiple TD tosses in six of seven games. However, this is the second-highest total for the Jets this season (45.5), and it feels a bit rich for an offense that has been very inconsistent to this point. The Raiders are averaging 26 points per game on the road, but that comes from a small sample size against bad defenses. To expect the Jets to capitalize off their highest offensive output of the season may be asking a lot, so we'll roll with the under at MetLife Stadium.

Under 45.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.5