The average NFL bettor will stumble upon this spread and immediately ask many questions. For starters, how are the 5–0 Chiefs underdogs in this spot, especially considering how clumsy the Seahawks looked last Thursday night? Kansas City, on the other hand, looks more like the championship-caliber team we were used to seeing before a regrettable 2025.
The reigning Super Bowl champions more than doubled the Broncos in total yards at Denver, but one mistake after another, most notably two interceptions by Sam Darnold, paved the runway for a Broncos win. Seahawks bettors like yours truly were dumbfounded by many of Darnold’s decisions. In Week 6, he threw 27-51 for just 5.5 yards per pass, taking five sacks as well. He has thrown seven interceptions through six games.
Still, Seattle overwhelmingly out-produced the Broncos in total yards, 353-168, and first downs, 24-13. By every metric except turnovers and penalty yardage, the Seahawks were clearly the better team, even on the road in a tough environment. With 10 days to prepare and make up for their transgressions, we imagine Seattle will look far more buttoned up in Week 7.
That still doesn't mean that they can pull away from the Chiefs. Andy Reid seems to have done it again, rebuilding a Chiefs roster that desperately needed new talent. Patrick Mahomes, who tore his ACL last December, is also playing as well as he ever has. Even with a wide receiver room that's been marred by injury, Mahomes is top-10 in QBR and owns a 3-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Perhaps the Chiefs’ most transformative addition is Super Bowl 60 MVP Kenneth Walker III, who leads the NFL in rushing yards (665) despite an early bye-week.
On both sides of the ball, Kansas City ranks in the top 5 in most categories. Defensively, teams can’t move the ball on them nor do they pull off explosive plays (KC is second overall). In terms of yards per game, no one is gaining more on average (414).
Everything about this contest is high-level – two Super Bowl-winning coaches, two Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks, and two defenses that are schemed and disciplined as well as any units in the NFL. Considering Seattle's clumsy performance in Week 6, we would be shocked if they didn't come out looking more like the championship team we saw at the end of last season. From the visitors, we haven't seen anything but exceptional effort and results. This should be a very close, very entertaining clash.
Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction: Chiefs +2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 1.5 (-110).
