
The year's 4 golf Majors are in the record books, and victories for Rory McIlroy, Aaron Rai, Wyndham Clark and Ryan Fox have served as a reminder to always expect the unexpected when it comes to golf betting. McIlroy had an injury-hit run into the Masters and that, coupled with the poor results of defending champions, put off many of his would-be supporters, while Clark had form in the book ahead of the US Open but had mental scars to overcome. Rai and Fox both defied their treble-figure odds to win the PGA Championship and Open Championship, all of which is a roundabout way of saying that bettors should think twice about taking on Scottie Scheffler in this week's 3M Open.
World #1 Scottie Scheffler is a somewhat surprising entrant for the 3M Open, which takes place at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, for the 8th successive year. Scheffler shrugged off a rare missed cut in Scotland to finish 4th at the British Open, producing magnificent numbers from tee-to-green but failing to get to grips with the Birkdale greens. His B-game - or even his C-game - might prove good enough to win at Twin Cities, but there's no denying that a high-stress 4 days of links golf is not the best warm-up for this week's 3M debut. Twin Cities, a 7,431-yard par-71 layout, does not encourage any one type of player, and while it's noticeable that long drivers Matt Wolff, Cameron Champ, Tony Finau and Kurt Kitayama have all won there, all of them flashed with their irons when doing so. Let's break down my expert golf predictions for the 3M Open this week.
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
2 weeks ago I successfully picked Tom Kim to win the Scottish Open at +8800 odds, and I'm taking him to strike again this week in the 3M Open as my best bet.
Kim is closer to 2020 champion Michael Thompson and 2023 winner Lee Hodges when it comes to distance off the tee, but the South Korean is statistically the best iron player in this year's field, ranking 5th on the PGA Tour for strokes-gained approach - 9 places ahead of Scheffler.
The Scottish Open champion missed the cut at Birkdale, but he was still excellent with his irons and a weekend off is no bad thing when taking travel into consideration. 2 previous attempts at Twin Cities have resulted in 26th and 28th-place finishes, the most recent of which came last year when the 23-year-old was well short of his best.
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Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
This looks like a good chance for Pierceson Coody to earn an elusive first PGA Tour win. The 26-year-old was 3rd at Twin Cities 12 months ago when primarily a Korn Ferry Tour professional, but this year he returns as a member of the world's top 60 on the back of a top-30 finish on his British Open debut.
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Mac Meissner has similarly robust form - his last 8 starts have included a 9th-place finish at the Myrtle Beach Classic, 3rd at the Charles Schwab Challenge and 6th in the John Deere Classic, and he has struck his irons well in 2 previous visits to Twin Cities, including when 14th last year.
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Big-priced longshots have delivered in previous 3M Opens and, with that in mind, it's worth taking a chance on Gordon Sargent. The powerhouse finished runner-up in the Corales Puntacana Championship last Sunday, where he finally found something with his irons.
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Aaron Wise is another longshot to consider, who has form figures of 39-3-15 from the last 3 weeks. Wise, who took time away from the PGA Tour to prioritize his mental health, could be close to finding the form that took him to the world's top 40 in 2022.
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