Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions

Wed 2/24 9:30 ET
Alabama
Alabama Crimson Tide
18-5
17-5
Arkansas
Arkansas Razorbacks
Bud Walton Arena

Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis

Point Spread Prediction
Alabama
Odds
Bonus
Game Totals Prediction
Over
Odds
Bonus

Point Spread Prediction

Arkansas hosts SEC foe Alabama inside Bud Walton Arena Wednesday night in Fayetteville. Both programs are safely in the field of 68 come Selection Sunday, and are attempting to better their seed lines as the tournament nears. These two schools previously met back on January 16 in Tuscaloosa, as Alabama cruised to a 90-59 home victory. In the win, Alabama shot an impressive 15-of-36 from three-point range, scoring 1.15 points per possession while holding Arkansas to 4-of-17 three-point shooting and 0.76 points per possession. The Crimson Tide are a tough matchup for the Razorbacks, as both schools are stylistically similar. Alabama and Arkansas want to turn games into track meets while employing stout defenses. Alabama is a bit more polished version of how Arkansas wants to play, and as a result the Crimson Tide are the recommended side in this one. 

While the Crimson Tide have the ability to score 85+ points on any given night, Alabama rates out more efficient on the defensive side of the floor, only allowing opponents to score 88 points per 100 offensive possessions (second in D-1.) The Crimson Tide excel in defending the three-pointer, as they only allow opponents to shoot 29.2 percent on the season (13th in D-1.) Expect Arkansas to once again struggle from three against an elite Crimson Tide perimeter defense. While Arkansas has been playing solid basketball of late as they enter Wednesday night riding a four game winning streak, the current one-point spread is too generous in favor of the Razorbacks. Arkansas lacks the offensive firepower capable of matching that of Alabama. Ride the Crimson Tide.

Game Totals Prediction

The over is the recommended side as this game figures to be played at a fast pace. Alabama ranks second in the nation in average possession length on offense, averaging only 14.1 seconds per possession. Arkansas is not too far behind, as they average 15.9 seconds per offensive possession (37th in D-1.) Both schools also average over 80 ppg, and do a solid job of taking care of the basketball. In conference games, Arkansas ranks second in the SEC only turning the basketball over on 17.8 percent of their offensive possessions while Alabama ranks fourth, turning the basketball over on 19.1 percent of their offensive possessions. The under has taken some money since this total opened at 156, and as a result we get a slightly better number (154.5) to ride the over.

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