College Football Week 8 Picks & Predictions For 2019

College football week eight picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free college football week eight expert picks below. Get free college football picks every week of the season.

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Pick A Game
Thursday, October 17
7:30pm Lafayette @
9:00pm UCLA @ Stanford
Friday, October 18
6:30pm Marshall @ FAU
7:00pm Pittsburgh @ Syracuse
8:30pm Ohio State @ Northwestern
10:00pm UNLV @ Fresno State
Saturday, October 19
12:00pm Auburn @ Arkansas
12:00pm Clemson @ Louisville
12:00pm Wisconsin @ Illinois
12:00pm West Virginia @ Oklahoma
12:00pm Purdue @ Iowa
12:00pm Florida @ South Carolina
12:00pm Iowa State @ Texas Tech
12:00pm NC State @ Boston College
12:00pm Georgia Tech @ Miami
2:30pm TCU @ Kansas State
2:30pm Oregon State @ California
3:30pm Oregon @ Washington
3:30pm Tigers @ Mississippi State
3:30pm Minnesota @ Rutgers
3:30pm Indiana @ Maryland
3:30pm Duke @ Virginia
3:30pm North Carolina @ Virginia Tech
3:30pm USF @ Navy
4:00pm Missouri @ Vanderbilt
4:00pm Baylor @ Oklahoma State
6:00pm Kentucky @ Georgia
6:00pm Arizona State @ Utah
7:00pm Army @ Georgia State
7:00pm Colorado @ Washington State
7:00pm Kansas @ Texas
7:30pm Florida State @ Wake Forest
7:30pm Texas A&M @ Ole Miss
7:30pm Michigan @ Penn State
9:00pm Tennessee @ Alabama
9:30pm Arizona @ USC
10:15pm Boise State @ BYU
11:00pm Air Force @ Hawaii

Thu, Oct 17th - 7:30pm ET:
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Arkansas State Red Wolves
UL Lafayette -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a disapointing loss against Appalachian State, but they are still the better team in this matchup. These two teams are pretty similar in terms of stats, but there is one place the Ragin’ Cajuns are a lot better, defense. On the season the Ragin’ Cajuns are giving up 20 points per game while the Red Wolves are allowing 38.7 points per game. That Louisiana defense will be the difference in this game and gives the visiting team the advantage. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings played between the two teams. Back the Ragin’ Cajuns against the spread.

Over Under Pick

This number has moved up to 67 and even with the high total, the play is still with the over. The Ragin’ Cajuns are averaging 38.2 points per game and that includes the last game where they only scored seven. They are facing a terrible defense and they should score at least 45 in this game. That doesn’t leave the Red Wolves with too many points to get to cash the over. Over is 5-2 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 7 games overall. Over is 12-5 in Red Wolves last 17 games in October. Back the over in this game.

Thu, Oct 17th - 9:00pm ET:
UCLA Bruins @ Stanford Cardinal

UCLA Bruins
Stanford Cardinal
Stanford -8.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

UCLA has had a couple of weeks to ponder their loss to lowly Oregon State, another one where they were favoured. Still, with the way things have gone in the PAC 12 South a surprise win and they are right back in the race. QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson did not play in the loss to the Beavers and might not play in this one either. Austin Burton was solid in his place and definitely not the reason the Bruins fell. Their defense has become a disaster. After back-to-back wins, including one at Oregon State, Stanford is now 3-3 on the season. The most impressive victory was at home to Washington two weeks ago. Stanford has its own QB injury problems as both KJ Costello and Davis Mills are questionable. They are going to need one of those guys to get on the field and perform, even against UCLA. The defense has come along though, so unless both QB are out, take Stanford, even though the spread is kind of big.

Over Under Pick

UCLA has been explosive on offense at times but the QB situation is murky. Ditto for Stanford which has much better defensive players and a style that is super physical on both sides of the ball. Logically that leads to more unders but they are just 3-3 O/U on the season. The total is medium right now so with Stanford winning I think we can infer an under.

Fri, Oct 18th - 6:30pm ET:
Marshall Thundering Herd @ Florida Atlantic Owls

Marshall Thundering Herd
Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic -5.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Florida Atlantic started off the season with two tough games against UCF and Ohio State. Since then they have played really well and have won four games in a row. In their last game they beat MTSU 28-13, a team that Marshall lost to just a couple of weeks ago by 11 points. The Thundering Herd will struggle to move the ball in this game, and that will be the difference. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Thundering Herd are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Back the Owls to cover the spread in this game.

Over Under Pick

This total is set at 57.5 and it’s one I would stay far away from. I do feel like the Thundering Herd will score as many points like they do against Middle Tennessee and that makes me lean under. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Under is 6-0 in Owls last 6 home games. This is one I would stay away from, but if you have to bet it, take the under.

Fri, Oct 18th - 7:00pm ET:
Pittsburgh Panthers @ Syracuse Orange - NCAAB

Pittsburgh Panthers
Syracuse Orange - NCAAB
Syracuse +3.5 Point Spread
-116
Under 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Pittsburgh Panthers travel to Upstate New York to take on the Syracuse Orange this Friday. The Panthers have had a solid season so far, having won four games and lost two. That said, Pittsburgh’s last outing, against Duke, was dicey. They gave up a 23 point lead before scoring in the final moments of the game for a narrow 33-30 win. Taysir Mack received nine passes for 85 yards, and V’Lique Carter caught a 26-yard touchdown pass from Kenny Pickett with just 38 seconds remaining in the game. The Orange has had a decent year so far, with a split 3-3 record. In their last game against NC State, Syracuse was held at zero until the last three minutes of the game. They were able to score twice, but still lost 16-10. It was a hard loss, The Orange got sacked eight times, and barely avoided a scoreless game. Tommy Devito completed 29 of his 39 passes for 300 yards and a score. Trishton Jackson completed nine passes for 106 yards and a touchdown. Pittsburgh is definitely the stronger team here, and I am sure they will win. Having said that, Syracuse has shown their ability to bounce back this season, and I’m pretty sure they will cover.

Over Under Pick

Both Pittsburgh and Syracuse haven’t shown any dominating offensive force this season. Most of their games have been rather low scoring and close. I don’t see either team scoring higher the low to mid twenties. The Panthers have gone under in 12 of their last 14 road games, and the Orange has gone under in five of their last six road games against a team with a winning record. Take the under on this one.

Fri, Oct 18th - 8:30pm ET:
Ohio State Buckeyes-NCAAF @ Northwestern Wildcats-NCAAF

Ohio State Buckeyes-NCAAF
Northwestern Wildcats-NCAAF
Ohio State -28.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The fourth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will look to stay unbeaten as they pay a visit to Ryan Field for a Friday night showdown with the struggling Northwestern Wildcats. In what is a rematch from last season’s Big Ten Championship Game, the Wildcats will need a lot to go right if they want to pull a major upset. The Buckeyes enter at 6-0 on the season and come off a bye week. Likewise Northwestern is also coming off a bye, however, they haven’t had any real success since their second game of the season. The Buckeyes have covered in each of their last five games. The Wildcats have struggled to cover in their last eight games at home, as they are 2-6-1 ATS in those games. Ohio State has won nine of the last 10 and shouldn’t have any trouble getting their seventh win of the season, and covering the 28-point spread.

Over Under Pick

The Wildcats have held opponents’ totals to well under what they have been averaging in many of their games this season. That includes holding Wisconsin to their lowest point total, as they allowed the Badgers just 24 points in a nine-point loss for Northwestern. The Wildcats’ last game was also well under the total as they came up short in a 13-10 loss to Nebraska. Ohio State could well be another matter however. They can score points, and they don’t seem to be slowing down either. The Buckeyes have put up 34 or more points in all of their games this season. Two of the last three meetings between the Buckeyes and Wildcats the final total was over. Northwestern will have a hard time slowing down the Buckeyes, and that is why an over 49 total is a good call.

LSU poised to snag No. 1 spot in first College Football Playoff rankings

Fri, Oct 18th - 10:00pm ET:
UNLV Rebels @ Fresno State Bulldogs - NCAAB

UNLV Rebels
Fresno State Bulldogs - NCAAB
UNLV +15.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The UNLV Rebels have struggled to start the season, but they are coming off an impressive win. They were 16.5 point underdogs on the road against the Vanderbilt Commodores and dominated them from start to finish to walk away with a 24-point victory. That gives me some hope their offense can have success in this game, and that should be enough to cover the spread. The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Back the Rebels to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

These are both teams who have decent offenses and not great defenses and I think in this game the offense will trump. These teams are giving up over 30 points per game and this feels like once that should see a lot of people scoring. Over is 13-3 in Bulldogs last 16 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Rebels last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Back the over to get the job done.

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Auburn Tigers- NCAAB @ Arkansas Razorbacks

Auburn Tigers- NCAAB
Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas +19.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Tigers are coming off a bye week after losing their first game of the season to the Florida Gators. Arkansas lost their third straight game when they narrowly lost to Kentucky. The Razorbacks were at least competitive in that game, so being at home should at least give them some confidence. The inexperience of Bo Nix showed in the game against Florida and the Tigers will need him to have a bounce back game. The good news is that Nix will be facing a much less impressive defense this week and I think he will have this Tigers offense rolling. Auburn is 3-0 in the last three games against Arkansas straight up, so there is no question that I believe Auburn will win this football game. The only thing that has me off Auburn ATS is being on the road. Nix has not played the best in any of their road games this year, so I would lean slightly to the Razorbacks side.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 55 and I would look to the under. The Tigers are averaging 33.8 points per game, but their defense is allowing 18.3 points per game. The Razorbacks are scoring an average of 27.2 points per game an allowing 27.3 points per game. The problem is I do not see the Razorbacks putting up many points against this Auburn defense. The Tigers had an extra week to prepare for this game and they play LSU in week 9, so they need to look sharp against a below average team. The total has gone under in 6 of Arkansas’ last 7 games and 13 of the last 20 games for Auburn. I look for the score to be around 30-13 and will take the under as a very small lean.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Clemson Tigers - NCAAF @ Louisville Cardinals - NCAAB

Clemson Tigers - NCAAF
Louisville Cardinals - NCAAB
Clemson -24.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 60.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Clemson Tigers go to Louisville to take on the Cardinals this Saturday. The Tigers have had an impeccable season thus far and are coming into this game with an impressive 6-0 record. If the Tigers’ performance in their last game is any indication of how they will play on Saturday, the Cardinals should be scared. The Tigers absolutely crushed Florida State with a final score of 45-14. The Cardinals own a 4-2 record after they narrowly defeated Wake Forest last time out following a rather ridiculous back and forth shootout which ended with a final score of 62-59. Louisville’s quarterback Jawon Pass is officially done for the season, and his coach has yet to announce who will be taking over. Regardless of who it is, an unfamiliar team dynamic will most definitely be detrimental to the Cardinal’s performance. The Louisville defense is ranked 118th for the FBS in points allowed per game, which is bad, because the Tigers are ranked 12th in points scored per game. The Tiger’s defense has been pretty impenetrable this season. I expect  Clemson to win and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

I have a pretty good feeling this one will go over. The Tigers proved their ability to rack up points in their last game against Florida State. The cardinals do have a better defense than the Seminoles, but they definitely have holes as well. They allowed a whopping 59 points against them in their last game, and the Tigers offense is tough enough to give these guys a run for their money. Expect a high scoring game.  

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall
LSU poised to snag No. 1 spot in first College Football Playoff rankings

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAF @ Illinois Fighting Illini

Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAF
Illinois Fighting Illini
Wisconsin -31.5 Point Spread
-115
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Fighting Illini sure gave the Michigan Wolverines all they could handle in their game last week. Yet Illinois will be in for a second-straight match-up against a ranked foe as the sixth-ranked Wisconsin Badgers pay a visit to Memorial Stadium. Illinois was able to score enough points against Michigan to cover the 24-point spread. Wisconsin is coming off their fourth-shutout victory of the season, as they held the Michigan State Spartans scoreless. The Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, while the Illini have covered the spread in three of their six games this season. Wisconsin’s defense and rushing attack behind Jonathan Taylor should prove too much for the Illini to handle. Back Wisconsin to cover the 31.5-point spread.

Over Under Pick

The lowest amount of points the Badgers have scored all season was 24 in a game against the Northwestern Wildcats two weeks ago. Other than that, Wisconsin has scored at least 35 points in their other five games. The Ohio State Buckeyes are lurking in the coming week, but the Badgers shouldn’t have any problems against a struggling Illini team. Two of the last three head-to-heads the Badgers have scored at least 48 points. Roll with an over 49 total here.

 

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Oklahoma Sooners

West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma -33.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 65.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This is a game I don’t love, but it’s hard to bet against the Sooners playing a team that has trouble scoring points. On the season, the Sooners are averaging 50.2 points per game compared to the Mountaineers who are only averaging 24.2 points per game. This is a Mountaineers team that gave up 42 points to the Longhorns and there is a good chance the Sooners could reach 50 or 55 points. The favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Back the home squad to get the job done in this one.

Over Under Pick

Like I said above, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Sooners dropped 55 in this game which means the Mountaineers won’t have to score many points to cover the over. When these two teams face off the over has been the play. The last five games played between these two teams have resulted in overs cashing. I like both of these picks and I think you can parlay them together. Over is 7-1-1 in Sooners last 9 home games. Over is 7-1 in Mountaineers’ last 8 conference games. Back the over in this game.

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Purdue Boilermakers - NCAAB @ Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF

Purdue Boilermakers - NCAAB
Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF
Purdue +18.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Purdue had a good bounce-back as they were able to beat the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. The Hawkeyes will be looking to get back on track after losing two games in a row. Iowa has managed just 15 points in their last two outings and the Boilermakers have won two of the last three head-to-head meetings with the Hawkeyes. Purdue has covered the spread in four of their last five games when playing in Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. Iowa has struggled to cover against Purdue in their last five meetings at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa’s strong defense will lead the Hawkeyes to the win, but Purdue is a good call to cover the 18-point spread.

Over Under Pick

Both Purdue and Iowa have scored an average of over 20 points this season. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings have each finished with over totals. Both teams scored 36 or more points in their meeting last season as Purdue got a 38-36 victory. In five of Iowa’s six games, this season the under was a good play. Purdue likes to push scores higher than most, so over 49 points has value.

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Florida Gators - NCAAB @ South Carolina Gamecocks

Florida Gators - NCAAB
South Carolina Gamecocks
Florida -6.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 48.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The South Carolina Gamecocks are coming off a huge win at Georgia. The question now is how they build on that kind of result. It won’t be easy, in part because consistency has not exactly been the Gamecocks’ strong suit this season. They are 3-3, with losses not only to Alabama, but also at the hands of North Carolina and Missouri. South Carolina has not scored more than 24 points in a game against anyone other than Charleston Southern. It also won’t be easy because the Florida Gators are coming to town on Saturday. The 6-1 Gators will be fired up after suffering their first loss of the 2019 campaign, a competitive 42-28 affair at undefeated LSU. Backup quarterback Kyle Trask continued to impress with 310 passing yards and three touchdowns. Florida is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 overall, 6-2 ATS in its last eight on the road, and 4-1 ATS in its last five after gaining more than 450 total yards in its previous game. It is also worth noting that the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head matchups. South Carolina may have a letdown following last week’s heroics, so go with the GATORS.

Over Under Pick

Trask has performed well in replace of Feleipe Franks, although head coach Dan Mullen made some curious calls by playing Emory Jones in some pressure situations against LSU. Florida’s defense had allowed just 16 total points in its three games prior to facing the high-powered Tigers. The under is 5-2 in the Gators’ last seven overall and 7-3 in their last 10 following a loss. It is also 6-2 in the Gamecocks’ last eight overall and 21-9 in their last 30 against the SEC. Additionally, the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the two teams and 4-1 in Florida’s last five at South Carolina. The UNDER should be the play.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF @ Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB

Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF
Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB
Texas Tech +7.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

After some struggles to start the season, the Iowa State Cyclones have figured it out, but I think in this game they won’t be covering the spread. Texas Tech has had some issues to start the season, but they have played well in the last couple of games. Two games ago they beat Oklahoma State and in their last game against Baylor they went on the road and only lost by three points. The offense has blossomed with Jett Duffey at quarterback and I think in this game at home they should be able to keep it close. Don’t be shocked if the Red Raiders win this game outright and I might drop a couple of dollars on the money line.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I would bet lightly, but it feels like a game that covers the over. Even though the Red Raiders are scoring points, they are also still giving up a ton, and at home this should be one of those good old fashioned shootouts. The over has been covered in eight of the last 11 games played at home by Texas Tech. The over is 7-2 in Red Raiders last 9 conference games. Back the over as a lean to get the job done.

 

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
NC State Wolfpack @ Boston College Eagles

NC State Wolfpack
Boston College Eagles
NC State -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Wolfpack are coming off a 16-10 win over the Syracuse Orange, while Boston College lost their second game in a row when they got beaten by Louisville 41-39. The Wolfpack are now 1-1 in the ACC, so they technically still have a chance to win out and represent the ACC Atlantic Division. Boston College on the other hand, is now 1-2 in conference play, so all they really have to play for is bowl eligibility. One thing the Eagles do extremely well, however, is run the football. They average 252.3 rushing yards per game, good for 9th in the country. NC State however, allows just 66.7 rushing yards per game, which is 5th in the country. I believe the Eagles are going to have trouble establishing the running game and that will force them to throw the ball a lot more. I do not trust the Eagles passing game to beat the NC State defense, so the Wolfpack laying the points is where I would lean in this game.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 51.5 and I would be looking to the under. The NC State defense is allowing 19 points per game on average. The Eagles’ defense is nothing to brag about as they really struggle to stop teams from going up and down the field on them. They allow an average of 28.8 points per game. The under is 19-7 in NC State’s last 26 conference games and 6-2 in Boston College’s last 8 games as a home underdog. I see the Wolfpack doing most of the scoring, but their defense keeping the Eagles run game grounded. I will take the under as a small lean.

Sat, Oct 19th - 12:00pm ET:
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Miami Hurricanes - NCAAB

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Miami Hurricanes - NCAAB
Miami Florida -18.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 45.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Yellow Jackets got blown out once again last week, losing to Duke 41-23. They have not transitioned well under their new head coach and have just one win for a reason. They have also not even covered a point spread, so that is something to consider as well. Miami is coming off a close win over Virginia 17-9. Miami did not actually play well in this game, but still got the much-needed win. Trends show that the favorite is 8-3 against the spread in the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. This is a lot of of points to lay with a below-average Hurricanes side. However, Georgia Tech has shown me nothing that would give me confidence to take them plus the points. I will take Miami to win this game by at least three scores. This is a very small lean because we saw how bad Miami can play as they lost outright to Virginia Tech a few weeks ago.

Over Under Pick

The total for this game is 45.5, and I would look to the over. That is despite the fact that ehe Yellow Jackets are scoring an average of 16.5 points per game – 124th in the country. Against ACC teams, however, they score an average of 19.6 points per game and their defense allows 32 points per game overall. Against their three conference opponents, they have given up 43.6 points per game. The Hurricanes are better defensively, allowing 26.3 points per game against conference opponents and scoring 25.6 points per game in ACC play. At some point you would think the Yellow Jackets will start clicking on offense and I think they could score 20 or more in this game. It will be their defense that continues to struggle and that is why I like the over to be the play.

Sat, Oct 19th - 2:30pm ET:
TCU Horned Frogs @ Kansas State Wildcats

TCU Horned Frogs
Kansas State Wildcats
TCU -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Two teams who have really struggled coming into this game face off on Saturday and this is a really difficult game to handicap because both have been so inconsistent. The Horned Frogs have lost two of their last three games with the only win coming against the Jayhawks. The Wildcats have lost two in a row and the offense is really struggling. A big issue for the Wildcats is quarterback Skylar Thompson who hasn’t been explosive. Over his last two games he has thrown for less than 350 yards total and only one touchdown. TCU has still been scoring and I think that will be the difference in this game. Back the Horned Frogs to win this game and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set low at 44 and the play is with the over. Iowa State is a good defense and the Horned Frogs scored 24 points against them. Working off that, I think they will score at least 30 points in this one. TCU has also struggled on defense at times and the Wildcats should be able to drop at least 17 or 20 points. That won’t be enough to win, but it will be enough to push this number up. Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 conference games. Back the over to get the job done.

Sat, Oct 19th - 2:30pm ET:
Oregon State Beavers @ California Bears

Oregon State Beavers
California Bears
Oregon State +11.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Oregon State has been competitive this season, mostly. They just lost to Utah 52-7, but they have been 4-2 ATS thanks to an offense that has been very good. Against the Utes, Quarterback Jake Luton threw his first interception of the season on a day where nothing was working on offense. Utah can do that to teams and the big problem for the Beavers is that so can Cal. They need to bounce back but it will not be easy on the road against the Bears. Cal is also looking to bounce back. After a nice 4-0 start they have dropped their last two games. They were off last week and should have a much easier time with Oregon State at home than they did with Oregon on the road. They really struggle offensively though and that could be a challenge in this one. Their defense is legit but when you can’t score you just can’t put away teams. I am going to back the Beavers here, to keep it close enough.

Over Under Pick

The current total in this one would the highest for Cal to date. I like them to win at home, but since I backing the Beavers to cover I see this as being a low-scoring affair. Oregon State will stay in it because the Bears just won’t be able to pull away and the Beavers’ coach knows offense. Eventually, he finds something to keep them close, but Cal doesn’t let it become too effective.  Take the under in this chess match.

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
Oregon Ducks - NCAAB @ Washington Huskies- NCAAB

Oregon Ducks - NCAAB
Washington Huskies- NCAAB
Oregon -2.5 Point Spread
-116
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

With a win the Ducks can pretty much sew up the PAC 12 North before we even get to Halloween. They have been perfect in the conference and their lone loss was that opener to Auburn. They were impressive in whipping Colorado last week, but what stands out most to me is that they have not given up more than 7 points in any of their five wins. Hitting the road at Washington will be the toughest test they have had since Auburn, but this team is changing somewhat under Mario Cristobal…and I like it. Washington took out their disappointment of losing at Stanford on Arizona last week. They were six-point road favorites and won by 24. The teams that have given them the most trouble this season have been those that can actually play defense (Stanford and Cal). Oregon certainly fits that description which is why I like them to win at Washington on Saturday. Having a QB that might be the first pick in the draft will only make it easier. Take the Ducks.

Over Under Pick

With that great defense, the Ducks have played in 5 unders in their six games. The lone exception was a whipping they put on a terrible Nevada team where they covered the number on their own. Washington is pretty balanced but I don’t see them having a ton of success moving the ball or scoring. Take the under in this one.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
LSU Tigers - NCAAB @ Mississippi State Bulldogs

LSU Tigers - NCAAB
Mississippi State Bulldogs
LSU -19.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 61.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

From a resumé standpoint, arguably no team in college football has been better than the LSU Tigers this season. They are 6-0 (2-0 SEC) with wins over Texas (on the road) and Florida (42-28 this past Saturday). Quarterback Joe Burrow is on fire to the tune of 2,157 passing yards and 25 touchdowns compared to only three interceptions. The oddsmakers have him as the second favorite for the Heisman Trophy behind Tua Tagovailoa and ahead of Jalen Hurts. The Mississippi State Bulldogs, on the other hand, have been mostly dreadful in 2019. They are 3-3 overall, 1-2 in the SEC, and coming off a 20-10 loss at the hands of lowly Tennessee. Quarterback Tommy Stevens got benched after throwing two interceptions in the first half against the Volunteers. LSU is 6-2 ATS in its last eight overall, 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road, 12-4 ATS in its last 16 against the SEC, 5-2 ATS in its last seven after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game, and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. This should be beatdown city in favor of the TIGERS.

Over Under Pick

MSU QB Garrett Shrader replaced Stevens last week and has been solid of late with three TDs and only one INT in his two most recent appearances. Whoever is under center will have to be awesome against LSU, which is leading the entire nation at 52.5 points per game. This is an unusual Tiger squad in that its offense is far better than its defense. The over is 7-1-1 in the Tigers’ last nine overall, 4-0 in their last four on the road, and 7-1 in their last eight after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. It is also 5-2 in the Bulldogs’ last seven overall and 4-1 in their last five against opponents with winning records. Look for this one to go OVER the total.

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Minnesota -28.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have found their way to 6-0 on the season thus far and propelled themselves into the top-25 rankings at number 20. Rutgers has lost five straight games since its season-opening win against UMass. This will be just the second meeting between these teams. Rutgers was able to cover the spread in a two-point loss back in the 2016 season, but the Scarlet Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and they have been shutout twice in their last three games. The Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in October. Minnesota has been playing some great football, and are a worthy pick to cover the 28.5-point spread against Rutgers. The Knights have struggled to produce and could be in for yet another shutout.

Over Under Pick

In the only previous meetings between the Gophers and Scarlet Knights, Minnesota squeaked out a 34-32 victory. Minnesota has had seven of their last 10 games finish with under totals. Likewise, Rutgers has favored the under in four of their last five games. The most points Rutgers has scored in their last five games is 16 points. They have been held to seven points or less in the other four games. Minnesota has the tools to not only win this in big fashion but could possible shutout the Scarlet Knights for the fourth time this season. With that in mind under 47.5 total points is a good play.

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
Indiana Hoosiers @ Maryland Terrapins - NCAAF

Indiana Hoosiers
Maryland Terrapins - NCAAF
Indiana -5.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 59.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Indiana Hoosiers have built some good momentum since dropping games to Ohio State and Michigan State while the Maryland Terrapins got run over by Purdue in their last game. Indiana has won three of their last five head-to-head meetings with Maryland and covered the spread in four of those five games. The Terrapins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games at home. Indiana has had good luck against Maryland at Memorial Stadium, but this season’s meeting is at Maryland Stadium. Michael Pennix Jr has really brought something flashy to the Hoosier offense. Take the Hoosiers and the points.

Over Under Pick

Maryland comes into this match-up still averaging a pretty high number, yet they have lost three of their last four games. The Terps sit at an average of 41 points per game this season. Indiana has scored 31 or more points in each of their last three games. Each of the last three head-to-head meetings the Hoosiers and Terrapins have combined to score at least 52 points. Yet this match-up has an over-under of 59, a slight lean to the under 59 has value.

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB @ Virginia Cavaliers

Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia -3.5 Point Spread
-105
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Duke’s Blue Devils will head to Virginia this Saturday to take on the Cavaliers. One should expect an intense game as both of these teams are fighting for the top spot in the ACC Coastal. The Blue Devils are 4-2 this season, having lost their first game to Alabama, and their fifth game to Pittsburgh. Duke recovered well from that loss in their sixth game when they crushed Georgia Tech 41-23. The Virginia Cavaliers also boast a 4-2 record, however they are beginning to show signs of weakness. They won their first four games, but have lost their most recent two. Virginia’s poor performance could likely be connected to Bryce Hall’s absence. The star running back is a key member of the team, and without him the Cavaliers have struggled. With all that said, Virginia has yet to lose a game at home this season. They have shown that they can handle Duke’s offense in the past, and after two losing games I think they will have adjusted their strategy to account for Bryce Hall’s absence. I expect the Cavaliers to win and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The Blue Devils have had a strong season, and if their game against Georgia Tech is an indication of anything it is that they have the ability to rack up points. The Cavaliers, despite their last two games have also scored well this season. Both teams have strong defenses, but their offenses are nothing be bat an eye at either, even if Bryce Hall is on the sidelines for Virginia. I have a feeling this will be a high scoring game. Take the over.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Tech Hokies

North Carolina Tar Heels
Virginia Tech Hokies
North Carolina -3.5 Point Spread
-115
Under 57 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Tar Heels are coming off a bye week and got a win last time out against the Yellow Jackets. Mack Brown is doing a great job with North Carolina and looking at their schedule their record does not tell the story. They have lost three games by a combined 10 points. They lost to Clemson, who play in the Atlantic Division, so they still have everything to play for to make an appearance in the ACC Championship. Virginia Tech is 4-2 on the season, but already have two losses in conference play. They beat Rhode Island at home last week 34-17, but the last time they played a home game against the ACC, they were blown out by Duke 45-10. Also, the Hokies have Notre Dame on deck and I believe this could be a game where they come out flat. UNC has played some good football and I like them to win this game by a wide margin.

Over Under Pick

The total is 57 in this game and I would look to the under. The Hokies defense has been awful this year when playing their conference opponents. In three ACC games, VT has allowed 38.3 points per game. North Carolina is allowing 22.6 points per game in their three conference games. The under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. I like the Tar Heels to score in the high 20’s or the low 30s by themselves and the Hokies will struggle to score more than 20 points. My play for this game would be the under. This is a very small lean because the Hokies defense could easily give up close to 40 points.

Sat, Oct 19th - 3:30pm ET:
South Florida Bulls @ Navy Midshipmen

South Florida Bulls
Navy Midshipmen
Navy -14.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Navy has gotten off to one of their better starts in recent history at 4-1 and has won two in a row, including a 45-17 victory against Tulsa on the road last week. Meanwhile, South Florida is sitting at .500 on the season. They have, however, won two in a row after their loss to SMU and have outscored their opponents 75-45 in those games. The Bulls are at a disadvantage in this game as they have a below-average run defense and are going against the top running offense in college football. The Midshipmen, on the other hand, have a good defense against both the run and pass. In this game, they are going against a team that is well below average at both. Navy should look dominant in a win in this game and should win by more than the 14-point spread.

Over Under Pick

In a game that has a team that has a run-heavy offense and one of the better defenses in college football, it’s a surprise that the total for this game is at 53.5 points. South Florida has looked good on offense the past two weeks, but still rank 83rd in points scored per game. The Bulls also can’t seem to stop the run, which is what the Midshipmen are best at doing. This game should be lower scoring than the total. I don’t see USF being able to move the ball easily against the defense, and I look for the run offense of Navy to have an easy game against USF. I would recommend a small play on the under 53.5 for the game on Saturday.

Sat, Oct 19th - 4:00pm ET:
Missouri Tigers @ Vanderbilt Commodores

Missouri Tigers
Vanderbilt Commodores
Missouri -21.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Vanderbilt Commodores are quite simply by far the worst team in the SEC (Arkansas is also 0-3 in conference, but have been competitive for the most part). In addition to being 1-5 overall, Vanderbilt lost to Georgia 30-6, gave up 66 points to LSU, and fell at Ole Miss 31-6. Quarterback Riley Neal has thrown only four touchdown passes in six games while also getting picked off three times. The Missouri Tigers, meanwhile, have won five in a row with two SEC wins by double-digits over South Carolina and Ole Miss. Quarterback Kelly Bryant has accounted for 13 total TDs (12 passing, one rushing). Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last five overall and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 against opponents with losing records. The Commodores are 0-7 ATS in their last seven overall, 0-5 ATS in their last five at home, and 0-6 ATS in their last six following a loss by more than 20 points. It is also worth noting that the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven head-to-head matchups. The TIGERS should be able to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

As Vanderbilt’s aforementioned scores suggest, it is hopeless on offense — especially against SEC defenses. Neal does not do much through the air and the ‘Dores are averaging just 4.5 yards per rush as a team. Only two of Missouri’s opponents have exceeded the 14-point mark. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers’ last five overall, 6-2 in their last eight against the SEC, and 17-7 in their last 24 against opponents with losing records. It is also 7-3 in the Commodores’ last 10 overall, 5-2 in their last seven at home, and 5-1 in their last six against the SEC. Additionally, the under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the two teams. Go with the UNDER.

Sat, Oct 19th - 4:00pm ET:
Baylor Bears - NCAAB @ Oklahoma State Cowboys

Baylor Bears - NCAAB
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Baylor +3.5 Point Spread
-116
Under 66.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Baylor Bears have an undefeated record, but they have had a couple close calls. A couple of games ago they beat Iowa State by only two points, and in their last game, against a struggling Texas Tech team, they only won by three. For the Cowboys they are coming off a loss against that same Texas Tech team, and I think in this game the wrong team is favored. These teams are scoring about the same amount of points a game, but the Bears are giving up almost ten points less per game. I think the Bears win this game outright. Take the points to be safe.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I would stay away from because of how good both offenses can be. In this game I think the defenses are going to reign supreme and this is going to be a lower scoring game. That said, these are two teams who can run up the score, which makes me pause a bit. Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 conference games. Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 road games.

Sat, Oct 19th - 6:00pm ET:
Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB @ Georgia Bulldogs

Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB
Georgia Bulldogs
Kentucky +25.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 48.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Bulldogs may have seen their College Football Playoff hopes slip away when they were stunned by South Carolina this past weekend. In contrast, Kentucky playing the Razorbacks got another win, but the game went back and forth and they barely hung on. Georgia is in a spot where they have to win out if they want to win the SEC East and appear in the SEC Championship. Kentucky on the other hand is just looking for a few more wins to become bowl eligible. The Wildcats have not beat the Dawgs in a decade, going 1-9 against them in the last 10 meetings. However, the Wildcats should feel that they have Georgia in a vulnerable spot because of how poorly they played against the Gamecocks. I think the Bulldogs will respond well to their upset loss, but laying 24 to 26 points feels like way too many. I like the Wildcats to do enough to keep this game within four scores.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 48 and I would look to the over. Georgia tends to start slow on the defensive side of the ball, so I like the Wildcats to score some points early on. Also, remember that Georgia is coming off that heartbreaking loss, so I think they could bounce back in a big way. Even though Georgia struggled offensively, they still have a top 20 rushing offense. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings with Kentucky. The Dawgs average nearly 40 points per game and I think they could get to 35 with no problem against a shaky defense. This is more of a lean because of how the Bulldogs looked last week, but my pick would be the over.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 6:00pm ET:
Arizona State Sun Devils @ Utah Utes

Arizona State Sun Devils
Utah Utes
Utah -13.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 48.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Right now there are four teams tied with 2-1 record in the PAC 12 South. Two of them face off here. Arizona State has just one loss on the season, to Colorado, and they will be in great shape if they beat Utah, who many think is the best team in the group. All season long they have been winning with defense, but sometimes they are a little leaky. In two of their last three they gave up 34 points. They will need to be stout to be competitive on the road. Utah’s lone loss is to USC in a game that their defense failed them. Since then they have given up just 20 points over two games and are looking more like what we thought they were. Utah might be the most balanced offense in the league and quarterback Ty Huntley has not thrown an interception all season. They are hard to bet against at home too. Take Utah to show some tiering in the PAC 12 South.

Over Under Pick

With both of these teams strong on D it is no surprise that the total is under 50. Combined for the season these teams are 3-9 O/U so the stats are jiving with the results. Utah might have scored 52 last week but that one went under too. Look for them to cover easily again and the total to go under again here.

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:00pm ET:
Army Black Knights @ Georgia State Panthers

Army Black Knights
Georgia State Panthers
Army -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Army entered this season with higher than usual expectations. However, they are sitting at 3-3 at the midpoint of their schedule. The Black Knights have lost two games in a row after last week’s road loss to the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky by a score of 8-17. Meanwhile, the Georgia State Panthers have been somewhat of a surprise team this season at 4-2. The Panthers have looked strong offensively, ranking 27th in points per game at 36.40. Both sides are similar on paper as they both like to play clock control with their running offenses, and both rank in the top 20 in rushing yards per game. However, unlike Army, Georgia State has one of the worst run defenses in college football ranking 126th in rushing yards per attempt. This game bodes well for Army and a bounce-back win. I also look for the Black Knights to cover the 6.5 points in the victory.

Over Under Pick

The total of 57 for this game is somewhat of a surprise despite the Panthers being one of the highest-scoring teams in college football. Both sides are built around the run, which usually leads to lower scoring games. The Panthers have one of the worst scoring defenses this season. However, Army likes to play at a slower pace than the majority of teams in college football. As a result, the under has hit in four of the six games this season for Army. I look for this game to be no different, with the under 56.5 points being an easy choice for this game.

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:00pm ET:
Colorado Buffaloes @ Washington State Cougars - NCAAF

Colorado Buffaloes
Washington State Cougars - NCAAF
Colorado Buffaloes +13.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 71.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

These teams are both 3-3 coming into Saturday. Even though their records are the same Colorado has been a pleasant surprise while Washington a disappointment, having lost all of their conference games. The Buffs just got waxed at Oregon, scoring just three points in the process. They are much better than that offensively really and that might have created a buying opportunity. Their passing offense gives them a chance at the upset against Wazzu. The Cougars have lost back-to-back-to-back games, each a little different. They have collapsed (UCLA), been beat up (Utah) and now lost a close one (ASU). Mike Leach is a tactical wizard, but is he going to be able to get his team to rise up in this one. It will help being at home, but Colorado is not exactly the kind of opponent kids dream of beating so motivation could be a problem. They will get the win but no cover. Take Colorado.

Over Under Pick

If Washington State is going to be back in form then an over is a strong possibility. They have split results over the first 6 games but they are more than capable of a significant offensive performance. Colorado has played more overs than unders this season as their defense under new coach Mel Tucker just isn’t there yet. I would side with the over in this spot. Their offense is good too. Go over.

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:00pm ET:
Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB @ Texas Longhorns

Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB
Texas Longhorns
Texas -21.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 61.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

I still haven’t figured out when to fade and when to take the Jayhawks, so keep that in mind with this prediction. The Jayhawks have looked bad in their last couple of games against TCU and Oklahoma while the Longhorns are coming off a loss against the Sooners. Texas have been good against the spread this year covering four of their six games this year while Kansas have only covered one spread in the last three games. I just don’t see the Jayhawks defense doing much and that is going to lead to a blowout. Back the Longhorns to cover the large spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 61 and it’s a slight lean to the under. The Longhorns are going to run up the score but this feels like a game where the Jayhawks only score 10 or 14 points. They only scored 14 points against TCU and I think they will struggle in this game to get above that. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between Texas and Kansas. Under is 15-7 in Longhorns last 22 home games. Under is 6-2 in Jayhawks last 8 games on fieldturf. Back the under to get the job done.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:30pm ET:
Florida State Seminoles @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Florida State Seminoles
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest -2.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 69.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Florida State Seminoles duke it out with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at BB&T Field in Winston-Salem, North Carolina this Saturday. The Seminoles are currently 3-3 this season, having given up their winning record after being smashed in their last game by Clemson with a final score of 45-14. FL State seems to have fallen apart during this game. Both their quarterbacks threw interceptions in the first half and James Blackman threw another in the second half which Clemson returned for a touchdown. Wake Forest has had a great season so far. They enter this game with a 5-1 record, with their first loss occurring last game against Louisville. The loss was one which was extremely well fought. They lost very narrowly in the final moments of the game by a final score of 62-59. Aside from their last (rather odd) game, Wake Forest has been crushing it. The Seminoles have had a decent season, but not nearly as solid as the Deacons. Wake Forest’s offense should have no problem holding off FL State, and their defense has withheld offenses that are much stronger than the Seminoles this season. Wake Forest will win and cover. 

Over Under Pick

Wake Forest may have scored 59 points last game, but I’m still reluctant to take the over on this one. 69 is just too high. Even if the Deacons sweep the Seminoles, I don’t see them scoring more than 40 or so. The Deacons have a strong defense and FL State will be lucky if they can bag double digit points. The Deacons’ offense should be able to handle the Seminoles, but not to the extent that they would need to in order to take this one over. Take the Under.

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:30pm ET:
Texas A&M Aggies @ Ole Miss Rebels

Texas A&M Aggies
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss +6.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 56.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Texas A&M Aggies are paying head coach Jimbo Fisher a lot of money for little as far as results so far. It is true that their schedule has been rough, but they underwhelmed against Clemson, Auburn, and Alabama while just barely scraping past Arkansas en route to a current 3-3 overall record. Following a relatively fast start, Texas A&M’s defense has allowed at least 27 points in three straight games — including 47 to the Crimson Tide this past weekend. The Ole Miss Rebels (3-4, 1-2 SEC) are 3-1 at home this season with their only loss to then-No. 23 California in the final seconds. Quarterback John Rhys Plumlee rushed for 143 yards and accounted for four total touchdowns in last week’s 38-27 setback at 5-1 Missouri. The Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last four against the SEC, 1-4 ATS in their last five against opponents with losing records, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 October games, and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 following a loss. Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS in its last four against the SEC and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two teams. Six points is enough to jump on the REBELS.

Over Under Pick

Texas A&M’s struggles have been no fault of quarterback Kellen Mond. He has thrown for 1,597 yards with 12 touchdowns and four interceptions in addition to 200 rushing yards and three scores. In the last three contests Mond has accounted for eight TDs (seven passing, one rushing) while getting picked off just once. The over is 4-1 the Aggies’ last five after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-0 in their last four after allowing more than 280 passing yards in their previous game. It is also 4-1 in the Rebels’ last five overall and 15-7 in their last 22 at home. Lean toward the OVER.

Sat, Oct 19th - 7:30pm ET:
Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions-NCAAF

Michigan Wolverines
Penn State Nittany Lions-NCAAF
Penn State -9.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 45.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

A huge Big Ten East showdown will be worthy of its primetime kick-off as the 16th-ranked Michigan Wolverines visits Happy Valley to face the 7th-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions. The Wolverines couldn’t quite cover the 24-point spread in their last game against Illinois, but still were able to get the win. Penn State has covered the spread well as they are 4-2 ATS in their last six games. Michigan, on the other hand, has only covered twice in their last 10 games. Michigan has covered the spread in four of their last five games against Penn State. Penn State was able to cover a 7.5-point spread the last time the teams played in Happy Valley. Penn State will get tested, but they are still a good pick to cover the 9-point spread.

Over Under Pick

The winning team between Michigan and Penn State has scored at least 42 points in each of the last three head-to-head meetings. The final total was over in six of Michigan’s last eight games. The Wolverines average 28 points per game so far this season, while Penn State is averaging 47 points per game. Penn State was held to just 17 points for the second time this season in a tough defensive duel against Iowa. This game should be close for a while but Penn State has a better performing offense and should be able to pull away late for an over 45.5 point total.

Sat, Oct 19th - 9:00pm ET:
Tennessee Volunteers @ Alabama Crimson Tide

Tennessee Volunteers
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama -35.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 62.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Tennessee Volunteers are 2-4 overall (1-2 SEC) with a setback against Georgia State and blowout losses to Florida by 31 points and Georgia by 29 points. That last one is looking especially bad given the Bulldogs’ performance against South Carolina this past weekend. Tennessee cannot figure out its quarterback position, as Brian Mauerer temporarily took over from Jarett Guarantano only to throw two interceptions and zero touchdowns last week against Mississippi State. The Alabama Crimson Tide have not come close to losing and QB Tua Tagovailo is right there at the top of the Heisman Trophy race with former teammate Jalen Hurts (now at Oklahoma). He has no fewer than 27 touchdown passes compared to only one interception. The Volunteers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall, 1-4 ATS in their last five against the SEC, and 1-7 ATS in their last eight following a win. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five October games and 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings between the two teams. Count on the CRIMSON TIDE soaring past the spread.

Over Under Pick

The Tide have scored at least 42 points in all six of their outings. Receivers Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith are two of the best in the game, having combined for 40 catches, 1,174 yards, and 15 touchdowns. Alabama’s defense has underwhelmed the past two weeks, however, surrendering 31 points to Ole Miss and 28 to Texas A&M. The over is 17-8 in the Volunteers’ last 25 against opponents with winning records. It is also 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last five overall, 4-0-1 in their last five against the SEC, and 6-1-1 in their last eight after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Additionally, the over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams. Roll with the OVER.

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Sat, Oct 19th - 9:30pm ET:
Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB @ USC Trojans

Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB
USC Trojans
USC -10.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This is an important game in the PAC 12 South. Arizona and USC are two of the four teams tied with 2-1 records. Arizona had been playing good football, winning four in a row, until Washington roughed them up last week. Still they are 9th nationally in yards. Khalil Tate was back from injury last week against the Huskies but did not play well. I still think this team is at its best when they use him more as a runner to set up some throws. USC is favored at home in this one even though they have lost their last two games. They were competitive last week at Notre Dame and covered while pressing the Irish to the final gun. QB Kedon Slovis is back and he looked good, plus the running game came alive vs. ND. USC can have a very dangerous and balanced attack if they want to. They need it as the defense is not strong this season. I still like them at home though. Take USC.

Over Under Pick

Neither of these defenses should scare the other team much so look to the over here. USC has one of the most explosive passing games in college football with three receivers that are NFL calibre. Put those against the 128th ranked pass defense and USC should be able to move the ball easily and get points. Tate will make some plays and get some for the Wildcats too. Go Over.

Sat, Oct 19th - 10:15pm ET:
Boise State Broncos @ BYU Cougars

Boise State Broncos
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Boise State is once again the top team in the Mountain West as they sit at 6-0. They have outscored their opponents at an almost 2:1 rate this season. Meanwhile, BYU is sitting at 2-4 and has lost three in a row, including last week’s 23-27 loss at South Florida. Boise State has one of the most prolific passing offenses in college football and ranks 11th in passing yards and 16th in passing yards per attempt. However, BYU has one of the better passing defenses this season and has the best passing defense the Broncos have seen this season. The Cougars rank 24th in passing yards allowed per game as well as 33rd in passing yards allowed per attempt. This game is likely to be more closely contested than the record would indicate, which is why BYU with the 6.5 points is the right pick at home.

Over Under Pick

BYU has one of the most reliable pass defenses in college football. However, they have one of the worst run defenses ranking 123rd in rushing yards allowed per game. Boise State is a middle of the road running offense ranking 66th, but to win this game, they must run the ball against BYU. Meanwhile, it might be harder for the Cougars to move the ball against the Broncos. Boise State ranks 43rd against the run and 42nd against the pass. I look for the Broncos to feature their running game more in this match up, which should equate to the under 49.5 points being the right side in this game.

Sat, Oct 19th - 11:00pm ET:
Air Force Falcons - NCAAF @ Hawaii Warriors

Air Force Falcons - NCAAF
Hawaii Warriors
Air Force -3.0 Point Spread
-105
Over 64.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

In a Mountain West clash, the Air Force Falcons travel to take on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Both teams enter this game with a record of 4-2 and have one loss in conference play. Hawaii is coming off a road loss against Boise State by a score of 37-59, but has not lost a game at home this season. Meanwhile, the Falcons are coming off a 43-24 win at home against Fresno State, but have lost their last two road games this season. The key to this game will be Hawaii’s passing offense against Air Forces pass defense. Hawaii ranks 4th in the nation in terms of passing yards per game while the defense of Air Force ranks 44th in pass defense this season. Air Force’s success will be dependent on running the ball against Hawaii. The Falcons rank 2nd in rushing yards per game while the Rainbow Warriors rank 90th against the run. Air Force is the rightful favorite in this game, and I look for them to cover the 3 points against Hawaii on Saturday easily.

Over Under Pick

Both offenses in this game sit pretty high in the college football rankings. The Falcons are 37th in points per game while the Rainbow Warriors rank 27th. Air Force has the superior defense in this game and should be able to slow down the air attack of Hawaii. Still, I think this game will be one of the highest-scoring games of the week, and I look for the over 64 to be the right side in this match-up.

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