College football week five picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free college football week five expert picks below. Get free college football picks every week of the season.

Thu, Sep 26th - 8:00pm ET:
Navy Midshipmen @ Memphis Tigers

Navy Midshipmen
Memphis Tigers
Memphis -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The college football week is off to a good start  with this one on Thursday night between the Navy Midshipmen and the Memphis Tigers. Both of these teams are undefeated coming into this game and have been good against the spread. Memphis have an advantage though and it comes down to the competition they have played. They started off the season against Ole Miss and won by five points. They had trouble scoring but they proved that their defense is strong. Ole Miss doesn’t have the best offense, but the Tigers still had to step up to slow them down. That defense will be the difference again in this game. Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Midshipmen are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over Under Pick

This total seems just about right, but it’s a lean to the under. In two of their three games Memphis has given up 10 points or less. In this game I am not sure they will be able to shut down  Navy that much, but I don’t see them scoring more than 20 points. The Midshipmen’s defense has also been strong enough and while the Tigers should score, but I think they will do enough to keep this under. Under is 4-1 in the Midshipmen’s last 5 road games. This is a lean at best, but back the under.

Fri, Sep 27th - 7:00pm ET:
Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB @ Virginia Tech Hokies

Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB
Virginia Tech Hokies
Duke +2.5 Point Spread
-105
Over 52.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams 2-1 and are coming off a bye week, so they should be extra prepared for this ACC matchup. Duke has been the more impressive so far by blowing out their opponents in their two wins. Virginia Tech on the other hand, got a few scares from Old Dominion and Furman and almost lost the game to Furman outright. Besides their first game against Alabama where they scored 3 points, the Blue Devils have managed to score at least 40 points while the Hokies have not yet scored more than 31 points. The trends show that the Blue Devils are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 road games and the Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall, including 0-3 ATS this season. Duke looks like the more complete team so far and I will take them plus the points in this Friday night showdown.

Over Under Pick

With this being an ACC game, I would lean slightly to the over seeing that the total is 52. Duke has only been tested by one team this season and that was Alabama. The Tide scored 42 on them and while the Hokies are nowhere near the level of the Crimson Tide in terms of talent, I do believe they will have success on the Duke defense. Virginia Tech on the other hand, struggled to stop teams like Old Dominion and Furman. Even though both of these teams only scored 17, there are still some clear holes in the Hokies defense. If you look back at week one, the Hokies lost to Boston College an allowed 35 points to an average ACC team. I could see these teams going up and down the field all night and would not be surprised if at least one team reached 30 points. For that reason, I will take the over in this game as a very small bet.

Fri, Sep 27th - 8:00pm ET:
San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons - NCAAF

San Jose State Spartans
Air Force Falcons - NCAAF
Air Force -18.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The San Jose State Spartans and Air Force Falcons will meet on Friday night and both teams enter this game with identical 2-1 records. For the Spartans, this will be the kickoff of their Mountain West schedule while Air Force is already 0-1 in conference play. San Jose beat Arkansas 31-24 last week, but, astonishingly have not won back-to-back games since 2014. Coming into this game the Falcons lead the all-time series 3-1, with San Jose State’s lone victory coming at home in 1997. Back two seasons ago, the Falcons used their running game to take care of the Spartans 41-38. Air Force is known for the best run game in the league and that will cause problems against the Spartans on Friday night. Air Force easily crossed over 700 rushing yards in their first two games and still managed to get 242 rushing yards in a tough game against ranked Boise State Broncos. With a much easier opponent here, the Falcons will rush all over the Spartans.

Over Under Pick

The Falcons love to explode for huge plays and it has shown in the first three games this season. The Over is 15-6 in Falcons last 21 games following an ATS loss as well as 35-16 in Falcons last 51 conference games. With getting 6.5 yards per play, the Falcons will score fast and early. With over 300 rushing yards per game as well as averaging over 30 points per game, this game has Over written all over it. Take the Over and watch this total hit probably in the late 3rd quarter as the Spartans put everything into keeping up with Air Force getting that back-to-back money off their backs.

Fri, Sep 27th - 10:30pm ET:
Arizona State Sun Devils @ California Bears

Arizona State Sun Devils
California Bears
California -4.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This game is definitely more interesting than would have been expected. Arizona State stubbed their toe big time last week, losing at home to Colorado. The defense finally gave way as they gave up 34 points, more than they had in their three wins combined. Freshman QB Jayden Daniels threw his first interception of the season, but has looked really good. What has been surprising is the lack of punch in the run game considering Eno Benjamin rushed for more than 1,600 yards a year ago. Getting the offense going against Cal is going to be tough though. That is their strength. This is their second conference game but they got their toughest out of the way winning earlier at Washington. They are off a small upset win and cover, but have not covered in their two home wins. They do not score a lot so backing them in favorite roles is tough. Still I like them a lot here. Take Cal.

Over Under Pick

Both teams are giving up less than 40ppg so it is no shock that the total has been set low and is coming down. We have already lost a point to 40.5. That is a really low number to feel comfortable with. Each team could get a few TDs and it still be a low scoring game. I like Cal to grind it out and get the over, 27-20. Small play though.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB @ TCU Horned Frogs

Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB
TCU Horned Frogs
Kansas +15.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

I have had terrible luck betting on the Kansas Jayhawks the last couple of years and a big reason is that they have been so inconsistent. After blowing out Boston College a couple of weeks ago, they struggled at home against West Virginia and lost by five points, 29-24. The Horned Frogs are coming off a bad loss against SMU in their last game which doesn’t give me much confidence for them to cover this large number. TCU is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Back the Jayhawks to cover the 15.5 points.

Over Under Pick

These are both teams who’s defense has actually been alright this year giving up 20 points per game. Although I think the Jayhawks will keep it close, I am pretty sure they will struggle, and that should help keep this number down.  The under is 8-1 in the Jayhawks last 9 games on grass. The Under is 8-1 in the Jayhawks last 9 games on grass. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.  This feels like a 27-17  type of game which should keep it well under the total.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Texas A&M Aggies @ Arkansas Razorbacks

Texas A&M Aggies
Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas +23.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Texas A&M Aggies have faced two difficult opponents through four weeks and have lost both of those games, falling at Clemson 24-10 and at home against Auburn 28-20 this past weekend. Clemson led 24-3 prior to a meaningless touchdown with six seconds remaining was dominating 28-10 midway through the fourth quarter. The Aggies rushed for only 56 yards this past weekend while averaging 2.7 yards per attempt. The Arkansas Razorbacks are also 2-2 with a loss at Ole Miss and an especially disappointing setback against San Jose State. On the bright side, new starting quarterback Nick Starkel has thrown for 661 yards and six touchdowns over the past two contests. Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in its last five against the SEC and 7-18 ATS in its last 25 following a loss. The Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a loss. Lean toward ARKANSAS.

Over Under Pick

The bad news for Starkel is that he threw a ridiculous five interceptions against San Jose State. Texas A&M has surrendered an average of 5.0 points per game in its two victories. Offensively, though, quarterback Kellen Mond has been picked off three times and sacked on five occasions. The under is 11-4 in the Aggies’ last 15 after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. It is also 4-1 in the Razorbacks’ last five overall and 6-1 in their last seven September contests. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Holy Cross Crusaders @ Syracuse Orange - NCAAF

Holy Cross Crusaders
Syracuse Orange - NCAAF
Holy Cross +37.5 Point Spread
Under 54.5 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

The Holy Cross Crusaders will head to Syracuse this weekend to take on the Orange. The Crusaders come into this one with a record of 1-2. They were able to defeat New Hampshire, but lost to Yale and Navy. Syracuse is 2-2, having beaten Liberty and Western Michigan and fallen to Maryland and Clemson. Syracuse has had a shaky season. They were demolished by Maryland (63-20) and Clemson (41-6), and they racked up eleven penalties when they played Western Michigan. Having said that, they’re still looking better than Holy Cross. The Crusaders have scored a rather measly total of 30 total points over the course of its first three games. The Crusaders are looking pretty weak here. Their defense is not strong, and their offense rather seems to have hit a wall this season, a wall which they don’t have the means to climb over. The Orange is by no means a powerhouse team right now, but I do think they’ll have what it takes to win this game. That being said, the spread is rather high here, and I have a feeling that Holy Cross will cover. 

Over Under Pick

Syracuse’s offense should do well here, but I don’t see Holy Cross making it past the single digits. With a total set in the mid-fifties, I’m reluctant to say this one will go over. Syracuse may not have a problem scoring, but not enough to carry this one over single-handedly. Take the under.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Northwestern Wildcats-NCAAF @ Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAB

Northwestern Wildcats-NCAAF
Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAB
Wisconsin -24.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 45.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Northwestern Wildcats are the defending Big Ten West Divison Champions, but their chances of defending that crown look to be running out, as they make a visit to Camp Randall Stadium for a match-up with the Badgers. Wisconsin has destroyed their opponents so far this season, including an impressive win over a ranked Michigan team last week. The Wildcats could not slow down Michigan State to kick-off Big Ten Play and now find themselves at 1-2 on the season. Northwestern is also 1-5 ATS in their last six games. The Badgers, on the other hand, have had strong success covering the spread in their last six, covering in five of those games. Wisconsin has won two of the last three games against Northwestern. The Badgers look like the favorite in the West Division and shouldn’t have any trouble covering the spread in this one.

Over Under Pick

Northwestern hasn’t had much luck in scoring points consistently as they have scored 10 or fewer points in two of their three games so far. They managed 30 points in their lone victory so far, but could be in for a long day on Saturday. Wisconsin has dominated their opponents having only surrendered 14 total points through their first three games. including going 10 quarters without allowing any points from an opposing team. The Badgers could very well start another streak, but regardless if the Wildcats can muster any points or not, over 45.5 is a slight lean in this one.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Michigan Wolverines

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Michigan Wolverines
Rutgers +27.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 48.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Scarlet Knights from Rutgers have a tough road ahead, as they make a visit to the Big House for a match-up with the 20th-ranked Michigan Wolverines. Rutgers has lost two in a row coming into this one and has only one victory in their last 10 games. Michigan is reeling from an ugly loss on the road at Wisconsin and will need to get the team refocused if they want to avoid a letdown at home. The Scarlet Knights have had great success covering the spread six of their last eight games. The Wolverines, on the other hand, has failed to cover in each of their last seven games. Michigan has been a bit of a disappointment when it comes to picking against the spread. The Wolverines will ultimately get the victory, but Rutgers is a good pick to cover the 27.5 spread.

Over Under Pick

Rutgers has surrendered 30 points in each of their last two games, but that was against two teams that have the potential to be strong contenders in their respective divisions. Michigan could only manage 14 points, all in the second half when down 35, of their blowout loss at Wisconsin. Michigan has beaten Rutgers soundly in their last three meetings including a 78-0 shutout back in 2016. However, the Wolverines failed to run the football in their last game, and that could be an issue moving forward. Michigan has many questions on both sides of the ball, and therefore the under is a safe lean in this one.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +24.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee will visit another Big Ten School this week as they head to Kinnick Stadium for a match-up with the 14th-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes. The Blue Raiders tested the Michigan Wolverines in their season opener, but couldn’t quite slow them down. Iowa has started the season 3-0 and were able to sweat out a one-point win over rival Iowa State in their last game. Iowa also has a six-game winning streak dating back to last season. Middle Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in their last five games. With this being their second game against a Big Ten team this season, and that the spread is 24, Middle Tennessee should be hungry to compete in this one. Ultimately Iowa will get the win, but the Blue Raiders are a good pick to cover that 24 points, much like they did against Michigan.

Over Under Pick

The Blue Raiders have really enjoyed over totals in their last six games as each of those games the final score total was over. In two of Iowa’s three games so far this season the under was the lean, as their last two games have both finished with under totals. That includes a 30-0 shutout of Rutgers and an 18-17 victory over Iowa State. Given how Middle Tennessee pushed Michigan to score more, the Blue Raiders will likely push Iowa to put up points therefore pushing this game to finish with over 53 total points.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Northern Illinois Huskies @ Vanderbilt Commodores

Northern Illinois Huskies
Vanderbilt Commodores
Northern Illinois Huskies +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 55.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Vanderbilt Commodores are winless heading into their fourth game of the season, which comes against the Northern Illinois Huskies. Vanderbilt hasn’t come close to winning, either. The ‘Dores had their doors blown off by Georgia 30-6, fell at Purdue 42-24, and most recently lost to LSU 66-38 last weekend. As a team (meaning Riley Neal and Deuce Wallace), they have thrown as many interceptions (three) as touchdowns (three). The Huskies have also struggled, but they at least own a victory over Illinois State. Northern Illinois is 34-15-2 ATS in its last 51 on the road, 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 on the road against teams with losing home records, and 6-1 ATS in its last seven against the SEC. The Commodores are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall, 2-6 ATS in their last eight at home, and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Take the HUSKIES and the points.

Over Under Pick

Northern Illinois does one thing especially well on offense and that is distribute the football. Quarterback Ross Bowers has hit five different pass-catchers at least nine times and three have more than 140 receiving yards. NIU gave up 39.5 points per game in its past two outings and Vandy’s defense was downright awful against LSU. The over is 4-1 in the Huskies’ last five on the road, 10-4 in their last 14 on fieldturf, and 5-1 in their last six after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. It is also 4-1 in the Commodores’ last five against opponents with losing records and 4-1 in their last five against the MAC. This should go OVER the total.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:00pm ET:
Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB @ Oklahoma Sooners

Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB
Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma -27.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 72.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

27 points is a lot of points to lay in a Big 12 battle, but with the Texas Tech Red Raiders starting a backup quarterback, it’s still the smart play. With Alan Bowman out the Red Raiders haven’t announced who is replacing him, it would make the most sense for the Red Raiders to turn to Jett Duffey. Even with Duffey under center they don’t have enough offense to keep up with a Sooners offense that is averaging 55.7 points per game. Home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oklahoma. Back the Sooners to cover the large lay number.

Over Under Pick

Even though I don’t think the Red Raiders to score enough to keep this game close, I think they can score enough to push this game over. The Sooners know how important winning these games big are if they want to make the college football playoff, so I wouldn’t expect them to take the foot off the pedal and it wouldn’t be shocking to see them put up 60 points in this one. Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma. Back the over to cash in this one.

Sat, Sep 28th - 12:30pm ET:
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens @ Pittsburgh Panthers

Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Pittsburgh Panthers
Delaware +27 Point Spread
Under 52.5 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

Delaware’s Fightin’ Blue Hens will head to Pittsburgh this weekend to take on the Panthers. Delaware comes into this game at 3-1 so far. The Hens lost to North Dakota State in their third game but otherwise have defeated Rhode Island, Delaware State and Penn. The Hens’ quarterback Nolan Henderson threw 260 yards with three scores against Penn, and Andre Robinson secured 61 yards rushing. Thyrick Pitts was the top receiver with 128 yards and a score. The Panthers are 2-2 so far this season. Pittsburgh lost to Penn State and Virginia but was able to take out Ohio and UCF. The Panthers’ quarterback Kenny Pickett threw 224 yards with a touchdown, and AJ Davis secured 65 yards and a score rushing. Taylor Mack added 87 yards on six grabs. Pittsburgh is probably the better team, and I have a feeling they will win, but the Blue Hens have done well recently and I think they will cover. 

Over Under Pick

A lot of people seem to think this game will be a huge blowout. So, for the sake of this argument, let’s move forward with those assumptions. The total is rather high here, and if the Blue Hens do in fact get smoked by the Panthers to the level which people predict, the Panthers won’t be able to account for the total single-handedly. Furthermore, I don’t think people are giving The Hens enough credit. Their defense looks solid, and I have a feeling they will put up a good fight this weekend. Take the under.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Virginia Cavaliers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish - NCAAB

Virginia Cavaliers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish - NCAAB
Virginia +12.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Notre Dame is coming off a tough loss at Georgia and Virginia had to stage a comeback to beat Old Dominion. The Fighting Irish proved a ton of people wrong by hanging with Georgia and even had a great chance to win the game. The Cavaliers were losing at halftime to the Monarchs, and needed a 21-0 run in the second half to beat them. That should raise a red flag for the Cavaliers going forward and even though they are 4-0, going into South Bend is going to be a huge issue. The only problem I have with Notre Dame is a lack of confidence that they will be able to come into this game with the same focus that they had against Georgia. They know their playoff chances are slim to none, and I believe Virginia could take advantage of that and play very well. I do not like this spot for Notre Dame, so my lean is on the Cavaliers to keep this one close enough to cover.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at around 49.5 for this contest and I would lean to the over. The Fighting Irish are averaging 39.3 points per game, while Virginia is averaging 35.2 points. The Virginia defense has played well, but they really have not been tested like they are going to be against the Irish, so I think Notre Dame will have a ton of success on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 7-3 in the Cavaliers’ last 10 non-conference games and I think we could see a game where both teams score in the mid to high 20’s. The over would be my play for this game because I think the Fighting Irish could have a hangover defensively after playing so well against the Dawgs last week.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan State Spartans

Indiana Hoosiers
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State -14.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Indiana Hoosiers will look to use their two quarterbacks to try and outfox their rival the number 25-ranked Michigan State Spartans at Spartan Stadium. The Hoosiers enter the Old Brass Spittoon Game at 3-1 on the season, bouncing back from their ugly loss against Ohio State two weeks ago. The Spartans return home after a strong performance on the road in a win versus Northwestern. Like the Hoosiers, MSU is also 3-1 on the season. Indiana is 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Michigan State. The Spartans have had their way with the spread against the Hoosiers in their last 10 meetings, with the Spartans covering in eight of those games. At a spread of 14 for this match-up, there isn’t much that should stand in the way of the Spartans covering. The Spartans have covered in four of the last five meetings, and they are a great play to do so once again.

Over Under Pick

The last 10 meetings between the Hoosiers and Spartans have produced many different types of games. There have been blowouts and close games, along with games that were down to the wire only to see the score get run-up. The last four meetings have have split equally between under and over totals. The Spartans were able to get a nice 35-21 victory in this game last season. At an over-under of 44 for this season’s match-up, the value lies in the over in this one. Michigan State looks to have found some rhythm.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Clemson Tigers - NCAAF @ North Carolina Tar Heels - NCAAB

Clemson Tigers - NCAAF
North Carolina Tar Heels - NCAAB
Clemson -26.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 61.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Clemson is coming into this game 4-0 after routing their week three opponent, Charlotte. North Carolina started the season with two upset wins, but just lost in back-to-back games. In week three, they lost to Appalachian State 34-31 and are back to being the North Carolina team that we expected. This will be just the second road game for the Tigers, but we saw what they did to Syracuse a few weeks ago. The Tigers average 42.2 points per game, while the Tar Heels defense allows an average of 25.8 points per game. The Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games and this one has blow out written all over it. If the Tar Heels did not just lose to App State, I may have taken a chance with UNC to cover, but they lost, so I like the Tigers to roll to an easy win and cover the spread as well.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 61 and I would have to lean to the over because of how explosive this Clemson offense is. They have already scored 50+ points twice this season and are averaging 46.5 points per game in their two ACC games. Also, keep in mind that the Tar Heels just allowed 34 points to App State, so this one could get out of hand very quickly. Some trends to consider show that the over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 games when the Tar Heels were an underdog. This is going to be a game where Clemson does majority of the scoring, but I do believe the Tar Heels will be able to find the end-zone a few times to push the total over. This should be a small bet because we do not know which UNC team will show up against the top-ranked Tigers, but nonetheless, the over is the play I would look at.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Boston College Eagles

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Boston College Eagles
Wake Forest -6.5 Point Spread
-116
Over 69.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons travel to Boston this Saturday to duke it out with the Boston College Eagles. Wake is coming into this game strong with a 4-0 record. The Demon Deacons have taken out Utah State, Rice, North Carolina and Elon in that order. In last week’s win Jamie Newman threw for 351 yards, five scores and a solitary interception. Kenneth Walker had 91 yards and a score, and Scotty Washington led the receivers with 141 yards and two touchdowns. BC has done well so far as well. They are currently 3-1, having lost to Kansas and taken out Virginia Tech, Richmond and Rutgers. Both teams are strong here but the Demon Deacons are definitely the stronger team. They’ve been pretty consistent in each of their games, and have scored at least 38 points in three of their four outings. This paired with their tough offense makes me believe they will have no problem covering. 

Over Under Pick

Boston College has gone over the last four times they played at home, and Wake Forest has gone over in seven of their last 10 road games. Wake Forest has been on a scoring spree recently, and if they continue this trend, they should have no problem securing the points needed to take this one over despite the high line.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
USC Trojans @ Washington Huskies- NCAAB

USC Trojans
Washington Huskies- NCAAB
USC +10.0 Point Spread
-116
Over 59.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

After beating Utah it looks like the Trojans are in driver’s seat in the PAC 12 South. If they can get a win in this one then they might have beaten the toughest conference opponents on their schedule before we even get to October. Third-stringer Matt Fink was great in relief of Kedon Slovis, whose status is uncertain. What is certain is that USC’s strength is their receiver group and they might be catching UW when their secondary is not full of players that are NFL bound. These teams have both played BYU in Provo this season. USC lost while Washington just whipped them pretty good. The only blemish on their record is a home loss to Cal. Another loss here would drop them to 0-2 in the standings in the PAC 12 North and basically eliminate them from contention. Transfer QB Jacob Eason is starting to look better and better leading the offense. Washington deserves to be favored but not by more than a TD. Take USC.

Over Under Pick

Three of Washington’s four games have gone over, while USC is 2-2 O/U. The Trojans’ defense is not as tight as it has been in their glory days and the same can be said about the Huskies. The winner of this will be whoever doesn’t make the big mistake. I think the offenses will rule though. That 59 total looks low. Take the over.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Temple Owls

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Temple Owls
Temple -8.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Temple Owls will take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets this Saturday afternoon in Philly.  The Owls will be looking to bounce back from their first loss last week against the Buffalo Bulls. The Owls have had a surprisingly impressive season so far and they managed quite the upset when they beat Maryland in their second game of the season. The Yellow Jackets, on the other hand, have been struggling more than expected. They’ve lost two of their first three games, and are averaging only 173.7 yards per game, which is 61st in the country. The Temple Owls are usually pretty strong at home. They know how to buckle down defensively and grind for a victory. Georgia Tech is going to have a hard time against Temple’s defense, especially given how they have played recently. I have a feeling Temple will win and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The Owls have gone over in their last four games against ACC teams, and the Yellow Jackets have played over in 4 of their last 5 road games. The Owls haven’t necessarily been scoring high this season, aside from their game against Bucknell, but I have a feeling they’ll do well against the recently weak Yellow Jackets. The Jackets have averaged around 17 points a game, which should work in conjunction with the Owl’s score to bring this one over.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB @ Purdue Boilermakers - NCAAB

Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB
Purdue Boilermakers - NCAAB
Minnesota -1.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Minnesota has had some tight games so far this season and will be looking to get off to a good start in the Big Ten West as they make a stop in West Lafayette for a match-up with the Purdue Boilermakers. Both teams were off in week four, so this will make for an interesting Big Ten opener for each of them. Purdue came up short against TCU in their last game. The Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. This game, like the spread of only a single point, will definitely be a close one, as both teams feature flashy players on both sides of the ball. The Gophers have won seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Purdue has covered the spread in two of the last three meetings. Minnesota has yet to cover in any of their games so far this season, but the Gophers have a little bit more firepower on both sides of the ball, so give the edge to Coach Fleck and Minnesota in this one.

Over Under Pick

Both the Gophers and Boilermakers are averaging over 30 points per game this season and Minnesota has scored at least 42 points in two of the last three games against Purdue. On the other side of the ledger, the Boilermakers were only able to score 10 points in last season’s meeting and injuries on both sides could play a major factor. The Gophers could be without two of their very useful running backs while Elijah Sindelar, the quarterback for Purdue, continues to deal with a concussion. I don’t see these teams being able to reach a combined 56 points in this match-up.

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF @ Baylor Bears - NCAAB

Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF
Baylor Bears - NCAAB
Baylor +3.0 Point Spread
-116
Under 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Iowa State Cyclones haven’t shown anything to me yet this year that suggests they should be the favorite going on the road against any Big 12 team, except maybe the Jayhawks. The Cyclones had trouble getting past an FCS level team in week one, lost to the Hawkeyes in Week Two, and then blew out a bad ULM team in the last game. The Bears struggled to score in their last game against Rice, but I think their offense can get back on the right track in this game. The Cyclones are only 2-6 against the spread in their last eight meetings in Baylor. Back the home squad to get the job done in this game.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I am staying away from. I would not be shocked if this is a high scoring game, but equally I would not be shocked if the defenses dominated and it is a low scoring afternoon. Although I do think that Baylor’s offense will be better, when these two teams face off it tends to be a low scoring affair, which makes me think this game will stay under. The under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between the two teams. This is a lean at best, but back the under to get the job done.

 

Sat, Sep 28th - 3:30pm ET:
Ole Miss Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide

Ole Miss Rebels
Alabama Crimson Tide
Ole Miss +35.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 61.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Alabama Crimson Tide are off to a 4-0 start, but the jury is still out somewhat given lackluster competition and at times some unspectacular play. They scored zero points in the first quarter against Duke and their opening half at South Carolina was more competitive than the 24-10 margin suggested. Take out a 75-yard scamper by receiver Henry Ruggs III and Alabama is averaging a mediocre 4.8 yards per rush this season. The Ole Miss Rebels are no stranger to going up against the Crimson Tide, often in more competitive fashion than expected. They are coming off a 28-20 loss to 23rd-ranked California in which they got stopped at the one-yard line on the final play of the game. Ole Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall, 1-5 ATS in their last six following a win, and 1-4 ATS in their last five September outings. The REBELS are probably getting enough points to cover.

Over Under Pick

Tua Tagovailoa is having a huge season (17 touchdowns, no interceptions), but he has not been getting much help from the running game. In Ole Miss’ first conference contest of the year (a 31-17 defeat of Arkansas), it limited the Razorbacks to 61 yards on the ground. Rebels quarterback Matt Corral is day-to-day with bruised ribs. The under is 5-2 in the Rebels’ last seven overall, 20-9-1 in their last 30 on the road, and 4-0 in their last four against the SEC. Expect this one to stay UNDER the total.

Sat, Sep 28th - 4:00pm ET:
Towson Tigers @ Florida Gators - NCAAF

Towson Tigers
Florida Gators - NCAAF
Towson Tigers +37 Point Spread
-120
Over 61.5 Game Totals
-120

Against the Spread Pick

The Florida Gators are staying afloat in the absence of starting quarterback Feleipe Franks, with a 4-0 record heading into this Saturday’s date with the Towson Tigers. In fact, things have actually improved since Franks went down with a season-ending knee injury against Kentucky. Kyle Trask helped Florida outscore the Wildcats 19-0 in the fourth quarter en route to a 29-21 comeback victory before Trask and company hammered Tennessee — another SEC East rival — 34-3 last weekend. The Gators also beat Miami (FL) 24-20 in their 2019 opener in what was a dreadfully played football game all around. Towson’s 3-1 record includes a 28-21 defeat of the Citadel, which upset Georgia Tech on the road earlier this month. The Tigers, who went 7-5 in 2018, have suffered their only loss in overtime via a 52-45 decision against Villanova. Quarterback Tom Flacco has accounted for eight total touchdowns (six passing, two rushing). TOWSON should be able to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

Trask has been stellar in his relief role, passing for 459 yards and three touchdowns while completing more than 71 percent of his passes. Flacco has been picked off only once to go along with his six passing scores. Towson is averaging exactly 40 points per game, also thanks in part to a running game led by Flacco (227 yards on 34 keepers) and Shane Simpson (162 yards, two touchdowns, 7.4 ypc average). Short-yardage specialist. Yeedee Thaenrat has already scored eight touchdowns. Go with the OVER.

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:00pm ET:
UConn Huskies @ Central Florida Knights

UConn Huskies
Central Florida Knights
UConn Huskies +43.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 64.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Huskies enter this American Athletic Conference game 1-2 after getting demolished by Indiana last week 38-3. UCF lost their first regular season game in over a year when they fell to the Pitt Panthers 35-34. The Knights have pretty much ruined their chances of making a case for the College Football Playoff because of how bad they played against the Panthers. For one, they were double-digit favorites in this game and lost on a trick play with about 10 seconds remaining in the game. This is a bad spot for the Huskies because the Knights are upset with their performance last week and will be looking to bounce back strong in front of their home fans. There is no way that UCF does not win this game given their opponent. However, after seeing how they played last week, I am not prepared to lay more than 40 points even against a team as bad as UConn. This is a very small lean, but I have to take the Huskies plus the points to somehow keep it within a 40-point game.

Over Under Pick

With the total being set at 64.5, it is likely going to rely on how the Huskies play. The Huskies are averaging just 16.7 points per game. This is ranked 125th in the country out of 130 teams. The good news is the UCF defense looked very bad against Pitt, so there is a chance the Huskies will be able to score a few times. UCF also committed a ton of penalties on the defensive side that helped Pitt keep some of their drives alive. On the other side, UConn allows an average of 30 points per game and with how explosive the UCF offense is, they are sure to score in the high 40’s or the low 50’s. I hate playing an under when the Knights are on the field and with as bad as Connecticut has been defensively, I have to lean to the over here. This is a game I would bet small or not at all because trusting the Huskies to score is a huge risk.

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:00pm ET:
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Auburn Tigers- NCAAB

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers- NCAAB
Auburn -11.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 46.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Few teams have impressed more than the seventh-ranked Auburn Tigers in the first month of the college football season. Their 4-0 record includes victories over Oregon and Texas A&M. The Tigers beat Oregon at a neutral site, rolled to two home wins over less daunting opponents, and beat Texas A&M 28-20 on the road last weekend (it was 21-3 going into the fourth quarter). They feature five different ball-carriers (including quarterback Bo Nix) with more than 100 rushing yards while averaging 5.4 yards per attempt as a team. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 3-1 with a home loss to Kansas State on Sept. 14. Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road and 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road against opponents with winning home records. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five overall, 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, and 4-1 ATS in their last five September contests. Expect AUBURN to take care of business with relative ease.

Over Under Pick

Nix has not been overly impressive through the air, with five touchdowns and two interceptions. MSU’s Tommy Stevens comes in with the same TD-to-INT ratio. Auburn is surrendering just 15.8 points per game. A mere 32 total points in last year’s showdown between these two SEC rivals. The under is 7-2 in the Bulldogs’ last nine on the road and 8-3 in their last 11 against opponents with winning records. It is also 11-5 in the Tigers’ last 16 at home and 21-9-1 in their last 31 against opponents with winning records. Additionally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams. Roll with the UNDER.

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:00pm ET:
Stanford Cardinal @ Oregon State Beavers

Stanford Cardinal
Oregon State Beavers
Stanford -4.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This game will be an important indicator for Stanford. They are down this season, there is no doubt of that, but losses to USC and UCF and Oregon are hardly terrible, even if they did not look good in doing so. Oregon State would be different. Stanford has beaten them 9 straight times (6-3 ATS). They have been double digit favorites in the last five but sit just -3.5 for this one. Stanford needs a good performance or else they are the worst team in the PAC 12 North. Oregon State has not beaten an FBS opponent yet this season. They have covered their last two, losing to Hawaii and beating Cal Poly, but it is still hard to tell whether the program is on the way back to mediocrity. They are getting more offense than they have in the last few seasons and if they can put up some early scores on Stanford that would be great. Most likely the overwhelming recruiting edge that Stanford has wins the day. Buying opportunity with a struggling side. Take the Cardinal.

Over Under Pick

Looking at the recent history in this series does not guide us in terms of the total, 5-0 O/U. Stanford has been 2-2 and the Beavers 1-2 in totals so that doesn’t help much either. Without much to build on I am going back to the handicap above. Oregon State will try and fling the ball around but Stanford has better athletes. They will be in control and that generally means keeping the score low. Take the under.

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:00pm ET:
Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys

Kansas State Wildcats
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Kansas State +4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 60.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Kansas State Wildcats have had a nice start to their season under their new head coach and now go on the road to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Wildcats have won their first three games of the season and had a week to rest heading into this game. For the Cowboys, they are coming off an emotional loss against the Texas Longhorns and I expect they will start this game slow. The Cowboys defense is struggling, and that will be enough to keep the Wildcats in it. The Wildcats are 7-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings played between the two teams. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma State. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Back the visiting squad.

Over Under Pick

These are two great offensive teams and with the way the Cowboys defense is going to struggle, I think the over is going to be the play. In the Cowboys’ last game they gave up 36 points and I don’t see any reason the Wildcats can’t score that many in this game. Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma State. The only thing that scares me is the Wildcats’ defense could lock down, but I think the Cowboys offense is good enough to overcome that. This is going to be a shootout, back the over.

 

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:30pm ET:
Ohio State Buckeyes-NCAAF @ Nebraska Cornhuskers

Ohio State Buckeyes-NCAAF
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska +17.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The number five-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes continue to blow out opponents, but should be tested as they pay a visit to Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska to face the Cornhuskers. The Buckeyes roll into this match-up on fire with a 4-0 record. Nebraska is 2-1, after surviving a tough match-up with Illinois in week four.  Ohio State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, while Nebraska is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games. To go along with a 4-1 record against the Cornhuskers, the Buckeyes have also covered the spread in four of those five games. Last season’s meeting was a close one, and that is why a slight lean towards the Huskers covering in this one as well. Unless Ohio State goes off again. Back Nebraska to cover, but the Buckeyes will still be too much for them to handle.

Over Under Pick

In the Buckeyes’ four games so far this season, they have scored no less than 42 points in each one. Nebraska has also been producing points at a high rate, with their lowest output coming in their loss at Colorado where they were held to 31 points in a three-point loss. The Buckeyes and Huskers combined for 67 points in last season’s meeting in a 36-31 victory for Ohio State. Ohio State and Nebraska could be in for a back-and-forth match-up and that will help push the total over 67 in this game.

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:30pm ET:
NC State Wolfpack @ Florida State Seminoles

NC State Wolfpack
Florida State Seminoles
NC State +6.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 60.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The NC State Wolfpack will square off against the Florida State Seminoles this Saturday. The Wolfpack has had a decent season so far, boasting a record of 3-1. They have taken out East Carolina, WCU and Ball State, and lost to West Virginia. In the win over Ball State, Wolfpack quarterback Matthew McKay put up 175 yards and a pick, and scored twice on the ground. Thayer Thomas was the leading receiver with 51 yards. The Seminoles are 2-2, having lost to Boise State and Virginia and beaten LA-Monroe and Louisville. Alex Hornibrook had 255 yards and two touchdowns in the game against Louisville, and Cam Akers had 112 yards rushing with three scores. The Seminoles have scored pretty well this season, but they’ve also allowed a lot of points. Considering the fact that NC State is one of the country’s top scoring teams, with an average of 34 points a game, they should have no problem beating the Seminoles and covering the spread. 

Over Under Pick

The Wolfpack have gone over in four of their last five road games, and the Seminoles have gone over in four of their last five games overall. The Seminoles have done a decent job scoring this season, but a poor job of ensuring teams don’t score against them. Finally the Wolfpack has shown itself to be a scoring machine this season. Take the over. 

Sat, Sep 28th - 7:30pm ET:
Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB @ South Carolina Gamecocks

Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina -3.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Kentucky Wildcats contended for a while in the SEC East last season and may have had designs of doing the same when they led Florida 21-10 in the fourth quarter of their conference opener. But they lost that game 29-21 and then fell at Mississippi State 28-13 last weekend. And quarterback Terry Wilson is out for the year with a knee injury. The South Carolina Gamecocks are also 0-2 in the SEC, but they at least looked good for one half against Alabama. Four different running backs have amassed more than 100 yards in 2019 and they are all averaging at least 5.2 yards per carry. The Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven against the SEC, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against opponents with losing records, and 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. South Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 following a loss. Go with the GAMECOCKS.

Over Under Pick

South Carolina’s Rico Dowdle has rushed 41 times for 268 yards and three touchdowns. Fellow RB Kevin Harris also has three TDs. UK also boasts two stellar running backs (Asim Rose and Kavosiey Smoke) who can take some of the pressure off new quarterback Sawyer Smith. The over is 6-1 in the Wildcats’ last seven overall and 6-2 in their last eight against opponents with losing records. It is also 7-3 in the Gamecocks’ last 10 at home. Additionally, the over is 7-2 in Kentucky’s last nine trips to South Carolina. The OVER should be the play.

Sat, Sep 28th - 10:00pm ET:
Washington State Cougars - NCAAF @ Utah Utes

Washington State Cougars - NCAAF
Utah Utes
Utah -5.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 55.5 Game Totals
-105

Against the Spread Pick

Both of these teams are coming off losses. For Washington State, their loss at home to UCLA might be the type the buries a program, or at least tests coach Mike Leach in a way that goes well beyond his schematic mastery. For Utah, losing at USC is not nearly as depressing, just disappointing for a team that though it might be the best in its division and the conference. Even though they lost the game to UCLA do not expect the Cougars to play any differently. They are going to fling the ball around and expect to make enough plays to get a big road win. Utah has one of the best defensive lines, but their secondary was skewered by USC third-string QB Matt Fink. I still like this Utah team a lot and think that the results for both of these teams last week created a buying opportunity. Take Utah.

Over Under Pick

These programs have met in each of the five seasons. Washington State has had a lot of success against Utah winning four of five and not surprisingly the overs have cashed often too, also four out of five. Utah has not been as good offensively as they are in some time and I think that will be obvious here. The Wazzu defense could be a bit shell shocked too. Take the over.

Sat, Sep 28th - 10:30pm ET:
UCLA Bruins @ Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB

UCLA Bruins
Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB
Arizona -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 72.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Bruins needed an epic comeback last week to steal a game from Washington State. It was exciting and definitely provides some breathing space but there is still a lot to be concerned about in Westwood. Other than the win the greatest positive was that the offense came to life. Prior to scoring 67 against Wazzu the Bruins has scored exactly 14 in each game. The Bruins gave up 62 points and are averaging 40ppg against but if the offense is real they can be a lot more competitive. Arizona is a home favourite and coming off a win that probably deserved to get more attention. They were home dogs to Texas Tech but won outright, 28-14. Kahlil Tate dit not have a good game throwing but he did running, 129 yards with a touchdown. It is about time they let him do what he does best. I don’t have much faith in UCLA’s ability to slow him down but I do like what I saw from the Arizona defense last week. Take the Wildcats at home.

Over Under Pick

If you look at series data you see that these teams have played four straight overs. The start of that streak was with different coaches for both teams though. UCLA started the season with three unders but them zoomed to an over last week. It might have been an outlier but I like them to be better than they were early. Arizona has problem playing a game at pace that will allow both teams to put up points. Take the over.

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