College football week nine picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free college football week nine expert picks below. Get free college football picks every week of the season.

Thu, Oct 24th - 7:30pm ET:
SMU @ Houston

SMU
Houston
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SMU -14.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 65.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Coming into the season, the Houston Cougars had high expectations for the year, but they have almost tanked in a way and it has led to some big troubles. Senior quarterback D’Eriq King decided to redshirt and come back next season, which has created uncertainty on the offense. They have become a run-first team and they have really struggled at times. In their last game against UConn, they only managed to score 24 points and although they won, that is a disappointing result. SMU has been able to move the ball and score against everyone they have played and they should have no issue winning this game and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 67 and it’s going to come down to how many points Houston can put on the board because SMU is going to run up the score. SMU is averaging 44 points per game while giving up 27.3 on the defensive side. SMU should have no issue scoring 45 points in this game which means Houston needs to score 22 to cover this over. The over is 7-2 in HOU last 9 conference games. The over is 9-4-1 in HOU last 14 games overall. This is a lean with the under being the stronger play.

Fri, Oct 25th - 9:00pm ET:
USC @ Colorado

USC
Colorado
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USC -13.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 62.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

After back-to-back road losses the Trojans looked good against Arizona at home last week. They still have a great shot at capturing the PAC 12 South, but it won’t be easy. Key is avoiding a loss in a game they should win like this one. QB Kedon Slovis has looked good since coming back from injury and I am not seeing how Colorado can slow down the Trojan’s passing attack. There is good reason the Trojans are significant favorites as they return to the road. Colorado had some nice moments early in the season, fooling us into believing they were going to be a factor in the division this year. They do return home but they were outscored 86-13 over two games and they have struggled all season long to get more out of their best player, receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. They should play better than what we have seen of late but that is not going to make them a threat in this game. Take the Trojans on the road.

Over Under Pick

There is a very good chance that there is no defense played in this one. USC definitely likes their chances of using their receivers to create advantages and if Colorado gets their offense going they can do the same. Mel Tucker has not given Colorado the defensive boost I was expecting. They just might not have the talent. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Appalachian St @ South Alabama

Appalachian St
South Alabama
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Appalachian St -26.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are the cream of the crop this season in the Sun Belt and they enter this game with a record of 6-0. The Mountaineers have dominated conference play, outscoring conference opponents 125 points to 51. Meanwhile, the South Alabama Jaguars are one of the league’s worst teams at 1-6, including 0-3 in conference play. Unlike the Mountaineers, the Jaguars have been outscored 87 to 47 in their conference games. Appalachian’s strength this season is their running game as they rank 26th in college football in rushing yards per game and 25th in rushing yards per attempt. Meanwhile, South Alabama has done an awful job of stopping the run ranking 107th in rushing yards allowed per game and 89th in rushing yards allowed per attempt. The running game will be the difference in this game, and I look for Appalachian State to win and cover the 26.5-point spread on Saturday.

Over Under Pick

The game on Saturday is likely to feature a lot of running from the Mountaineers as that is their biggest strength, while the run defense of South Alabama is the Jaguars’ biggest weakness. South Alabama has been below average in both rushing and passing this season, ranking 120th in passing yards per game and 76th in rushing yards per game. I look for the Mountaineers to take control of this game early and bleed the clock. As a result, I don’t see the over cashing. Instead, I look for the under 51.5 points to be the play here.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Illinois @ Purdue

Illinois
Purdue
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Illinois +10.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 61.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Illinois is coming into this game after possibly the biggest upset of the season. Having just beat the Wisconsin Badgers, they are probably still partying, meaning this could be a dangerous spot for backing them. It is not like Purdue is much better, however, and they are coming off a 26-20 loss to Iowa. Purdue has beaten Illinois three years in a row, but I do believe the Fighting Illini are going to have confidence in this game. Purdue are still missing their starting quarterback, so I think the Fighting Illini are going to keep this game close. They also are missing their best receiver, so I do not see how Purdue is going to win this game by double-digits. This would just be a lean, but I like Illinois to keep this game within 10 points.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is 61 and that number feels way too high. Not that Illinois is a defensive juggernaut, but they just held Wisconsin to 23 points. They still allow 29.6 points per game, but with Purdue missing some key pieces, I think they will be able to slow them down. On the other side, Purdue is a decent offense at best and they are scoring just 26.3 points per game. Their defense also allows around 29.3 points per game. The under is 28-10 in Illinois’ last 38 games played on grass. In the last ten meetings between these teams, the total has gone under 61 in 7 of of the 10 games. Both teams have injuries starting to stack up, so I lean to the under in this game.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Wisconsin @ Ohio State

Wisconsin
Ohio State
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Wisconsin +14.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

In what could be one of the most interesting games of the Big Ten schedule sees the 13th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers pay a visit to the Horseshoe for a tilt at the 3rd-ranked Buckeyes. Ohio State continues to roll through opponents, as shown in their 52-3 defeat of Northwestern in their last game. In contrast, the Badgers were upset by Illinois in their last one and could be facing their second straight road loss. Wisconsin has just one win in their last 10 games against Ohio State. The Badgers have covered the spread in six of their last eight games. The Buckeyes have been able to cover the spread in each of their last six games. This could be a defensive battle, but it could also be a blowout rather quickly. Ohio State will get the victory, but the Badgers are still a good bet to cover 14 points.

Over Under Pick

Both the Badgers and Buckeyes are scoring points at a high rate this season. Wisconsin is averaging 42 points per game, while Ohio State is averaging nearly 50. The Badgers have, however been held to an average of just 13 points in their last three head-to-head meetings with Ohio State. Their last two meetings have been decided by seven points or less. At an over-under of 50, that seems pretty reachable. Take the over 50 in this game.

 

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M

Mississippi State
Texas A&M
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Mississippi State +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Texas A&M Aggies have been wildly inconsistent in 2019, alternating wins and losses the entire way. If the trend continues, Texas A&M will lose at home to the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday. Okay, that probably won’t happen … but it could be more competitive than expected. Aggies head coach Jimbo Fisher announced earlier this week that senior Larry Pryor is no longer part of the program, leaving an already thin secondary even thinner. Fisher’s team is averaging just 4.4 yards per rush, while quarterback Kellen Mond has thrown six interceptions and has been sacked 18 times. The Bulldogs feature a run-heavy offense that will shorten the game, giving them a better chance of keeping it close. Mississippi State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. The Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last five against the SEC and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 at home against opponents with losing road records. Look for the BULLDOGS to cover, but we may need every single one of the 10.5 points.

Over Under Pick

It is true that Texas A&M’s schedule has been rough, but at the same time its offense has been thoroughly underwhelming — especially on the ground. MSU is starting a freshman (Garrett Shrader) at quarterback and he has as many interceptions as touchdowns (four of each). The under is 15-7 in the Bulldogs’ last 22 overall, 8-3 in their last 11 on the road, 36-16 in their last 52 against the SEC, and 9-4 in their last 13 against opponents with winning records. It is also 5-2 in the Aggies’ last seven against opponents with losing records and 4-1 in their last five after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Take the UNDER.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Iowa @ Northwestern

Iowa
Northwestern
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Iowa -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 37.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The 20th-ranked Hawkeyes pay a visit to Ryan Field for a match-up with the Northwestern Wildcats. Iowa was able to rebound from back-to-back losses with a victory over Purdue in their last game while Northwestern was completely run off their own field last time out, as they lost their fourth in a row. Iowa has won three of their last five games, but have only been able to cover in just one of those five games. The Wildcats are 3-6 ATS in their last nine. Iowa has been on a bit of a cold streak, having lost each of the three head-to-head meetings with Northwestern. However, the Wildcats are struggling this year and after you add in five straight losses against Big Ten foes, the Hawkeyes are a good call to cover 10.5 points.

Over Under Pick

Iowa comes into this match-up averaging nearly 25 points per game on the season. Northwestern hasn’t been a high producing team averaging less than 14 points per game. Not to mention they have scored 10 or fewer points in four of their six games so far this season. The Wildcats are coming off a three-point performance in a loss to Ohio State. Iowa has had five of their last six games finish with under totals. Likewise Northwestern has favored under totals as well with four of their last six games finishing with under totals. Back the under in this match-up.

 

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Liberty @ Rutgers

Liberty
Rutgers
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Liberty -7.5 Point Spread
-105
Under 44.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Rutgers comes into this game having been blown out again. This time they lost 42-7 against Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights are in disarray right now and there are plenty of FCS schools that I believe would destroy this team. Speaking of former FCS schools, Liberty will look for their 6th win when they travel to New Jersey. Liberty is currently riding a five-game win streak and for their second season in the FBS, they are really holding their own. A win this week would see them become eligible for a bowl game and I do not see how they are not going to win if I am being honest. The spread is currently set at 7.5 in favor of the Flames, but there is no way I am going to trust this Rutgers team to cover. This is an easy play for me as I believe the Flames blow out the Scarlet Knights.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at a very low 44.5, but the under is the only way I would look. Starting with the Flames, they are scoring 29.6 points per game. The Scarlet Knights are easily one of the worst offenses in all of college football and are averaging 11.1 points per game. Defensively, Liberty is also superior as they allow 24.3 points per game compared to 36.9 points per game allowed by Rutgers. I do not see the Flames covering this number by themselves and I think the Scarlet Knights are going to struggle to put up more than 14 points. That said, I will take the under as my play.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Oklahoma @ Kansas State

Oklahoma
Kansas State
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Oklahoma -23.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Oklahoma Sooners look like they have all the makings of a team that can make the college football playoff as long as they don’t have any slip-ups. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has hurt opponents with his passing and rushing and no one really has an answer on how to slow him or them down. On the season, the Sooners are averaging 50.4 points per game and even against a good defense, I think they should run up the score and have no issue. The Wildcats just don’t have the offense to keep this game close. Road team is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings. Back the Sooners to get the job done.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 57.5 and the play is with the over. The Wildcats’ defense has been good, but they haven’t faced an offense like the Sooners. The Sooners also haven’t faced a defense as good as the Wildcats but I don’t think they are going to have an issue running up the score and I expect they will get at least 45 points. That doesn’t leave many points left that the Wildcats need to score to push this total over. The over is 14-5-1 in the Sooners last 20 games as a favorite. The over is 18-7 in the Sooners last 25 games in October. Back the over to get the job done.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:00pm ET:
Miami Florida @ Pittsburgh Panthers

Miami Florida
Pittsburgh Panthers
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Pittsburgh Panthers -6.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 43.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Miami Hurricanes will head to Pittsburgh this Saturday to take on the Panthers. Miami is coming into this game with a 3-4 record. They lost their last game against Georgia Tech in overtime, with a final score of 28-21. N’Kosi Perry leads Miami offensively with 67/112 completed pass attempts for 871 yards. Perry has a touchdown/interception ratio of 8/1, but may not be on the field. Pittsburgh is 5-2 so far this season and are coming off a road win against Syracuse which had a final score of 27-20. The Panthers’ quarterback Kenny Pickett has completed 60% of his passes for 1,602 yards and has thrown for 8 touchdowns. Pittsburgh has 36 sacks defensively and have forced 8 turnovers. To be honest I would have gone with Pittsburgh on Saturday even If I hadn’t known that it’s looking like Perry will be out for the Hurricanes on Saturday, which will be a huge blow to their attack. Pitt’s offense is more impressive and I think they have a more solid defense. I figure the Panthers will win and cover the spread. 

Over Under Pick

These teams have gone under in three of their last four matchups. On top of this, the Panthers have gone under in three of their last four home games this season. I see the Hurricanes struggling offensively this Saturday without Perry. Finally, Miami’s defense will be prepared to pull out all the stops in an effort to make up for their weakened offense. Expect a low-scoring game this Saturday between two teams with tough defenses. Take the Under.

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:30pm ET:
Syracuse @ Florida State

Syracuse
Florida State
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Syracuse +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 59.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Syracuse Orange will head south to Florida this Saturday to duke it out against the Florida State Seminoles. The Seminoles fell to 3-4 this season after they were defeated last Friday by the Panthers. Tommy DeVito leads the Orange’s offense with 1,635 yards, 12 touchdowns and five interceptions so far this season. Cuse’s leading rusher is Moe Neal with 370 yards and three touchdowns, and Trishton Jackson is the leading receiver with 575 yards and six touchdowns. Lakiem Williams leads tackles with 51. The Seminoles are in a similar boat to the Orange. They have a record of 3-4 after losing to Wake Forest last week. James Blackman has thrown for 1,316 yards and 11 touchdowns and five interceptions to lead Florida State. Cam Akers leads the Seminoles in rushing with 773 yards and eight touchdowns, and Tamorrion Terry leads receivers with 522 yards and six touchdowns. Hamsah Nasirideen leads the Seminoles in tackles with 41. I have a feeling this will be a close game, but the Seminoles have a balanced offense with Akers as their secret weapon. I think this will be the determining factor on Saturday, as the Orange’s defense has been shaky recently. The Seminoles will win, and Syracuse will cover. 

Over Under Pick

both of these teams have struggled defensively recently which makes me think that this will be a high scoring game. Both teams have allowed nearly 880 combined offensive yards per game. These two factors make it easy to believe that these teams will have a solid shootout Saturday. In essence, expect a high-scoring offensively-driven game this Saturday. Take the over. 

Sat, Oct 26th - 12:30pm ET:
Virginia @ Louisville

Virginia
Louisville
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Virginia -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 52.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The Virginia Cavaliers will head to Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky on Saturday to take on the Louisville Cardinals. The Cardinals are 4-3 this season, and will enter this game following a humiliating beatdown at the hands of Clemson last week. The Cardinals took a hard 45-10 loss. Malik Cunningham is Louisville’s leading passer with 883 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Javian Hawkins leads in rushing for the Cardinals with 751 yards and four touchdowns. Tutu Atwell is the leading receiver with 546 yards and six touchdowns, and Khane Pass leads Louisville in tackles with 56. The Cavaliers are 5-2 so far this season, and enter this game after crushing Duke last week with a final score of 48-14. Bryce Perkins is Virginia’s leading passer with 1,570 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has also rushed for 253 yards and five touchdowns. Even though the Cardinals often do well against the Cavaliers, I’m going with Virginia. Their defense has been impenetrable, and they have done a solid job of scoring this season. On top of this, the Cardinals got smoked last week, revealing their shaky defense. Virginia will win and cover.

Over Under Pick

This one is going to be close. These teams went over in their last two matchups, but having said that, the Cavaliers have had trouble scoring on the road this season, scoring just 29 points in total in the last two road games. On top of this, I don’t see the Cardinals getting past Virginia’s defense. Take the under here.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Texas @ TCU

Texas
TCU
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Texas +1.0 Point Spread
-116
Over 58.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Texas Longhorns and the TCU Horned Frogs face off on Saturday and I really like the Longhorns to get the job done in this game. The Longhorns are coming off a win against the Kansas Jayhawks and although they almost lost, I think it was a great wakeup call for them. The big advantage they have in this game is Sam Ehlinger who has been lighting up defenses. On the season he has thrown for 2,057 yards, 21 touchdowns, and three interceptions. The Horned Frogs aren’t going to have an answer for him and that is going to lead to the Longhorns covering the spread.

Over Under Pick

These are both teams who enjoy playing a lot of offense and not playing much defense and that is going to lead to a high scoring affair. Over is 5-2 in Longhorns last 7 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games following an ATS loss. Over is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Back the over to get the job done.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Auburn @ LSU

Auburn
LSU
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Auburn +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 58.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

There’s a lot to like about the LSU Tigers, such as a 7-0 record and wins over then-No. 9 Texas and then-No. 7 Florida. That being said, 10.5 points are a lot to give to an opponent like the Auburn Tigers, who are 6-1 with their only loss at Florida on Oct. 5. Auburn boasts victories over then-No. 11 Oregon and then-No. 17 Texas A&M. Six different players have rushed for more than 100 yards in 2019, three of whom have exceeded the 200-yard mark. Running back JaTarvious Whitlow has carried 110 times for 544 yards and seven touchdowns. Quarterback Bo Six should also be able to do some damage this weekend at the expense of a generous LSU secondary. Auburn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine overall, 13-4 ATS in its last 17 against the SEC, and 4-1 ATS in its last five against opponents with winning records. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two teams. AUBURN may not win, but 10.5 points are too many to pass up.

Over Under Pick

At many sportsbooks LSU quarterback Joe Burrow has become the Heisman Trophy favorite, tied with Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts. And why not? Burrow has thrown for 2,484 yards while completing almost 80 percent of his passes to go along with 29 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The over is 4-1 in Auburn’s last five overall. It is also 7-2-1 in the Bayou Bengals’ 10 overall, 3-1-1 in their last five at home, and 4-1 in their last five against opponents with winning records. Additionally, the over is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four trips to LSU. Roll with the OVER.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Penn State @ Michigan State

Penn State
Michigan State
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PSU -6.5 Point Spread
-109
Over 44.5 Game Totals
-109

Against the Spread Pick

A battle for the Land Grant Trophy takes the stage as the 6th-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions, visit Spartan Stadium for a match-up with Michigan State. The Nittany Lions are favored for the 14th time in their last 16 road games. The Spartans are coming off a bye week and could use a bounce-back win in a big way after dropping back-to-back games against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Penn State were able to survive against Michigan in their last game. The Spartans have won six of the last 10 meetings with the Nittany Lions. Not to mention they have been able to cover the spread in seven of those 10 games. Penn State have struggled to cover in their last five head-to-head meetings with Michigan State. However, Penn State have the defense and offensive weapons that should be able to not outlast the Spartans on the road but cover the 6.5-point spread.

Over Under Pick

Penn State have been consistent scoring 17 or more points in each of their games so far. The Spartans have really lost their offensive consistency as they have scored 10 or less more in each of their last two games against ranked Big Ten teams.  That includes being held scoreless in their last game against Wisconsin. Penn State have been held to 28 or fewer points in their last two games. Three of the last four head-to-head meetings the Nittany Lions and Spartans have finished with over totals. Which is why an over 44.5 point total is a good call.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Maryland @ Minnesota

Maryland
Minnesota
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Minnesota -15.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 56.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Maryland Terrapins seem pretty desperate for a victory and soon, after two consecutive losses. Minnesota has been on fire as they are 7-0 for the first time since the 1960s. The Gophers haven’t lost a game since November 24th last year. Maryland has struggled to cover in their last seven games on the road, with only one of those games resulting in the Terps covering the spread. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Not only that the Gophers have also covered in each of their last five Big Ten games. Maryland has had better fortune against the Gophers winning two of their three meetings and also covering the spread in those games. However, Minnesota looks like a far better team and shouldn’t have any trouble covering 17 points in this match-up.

Over Under Pick

The Terrapins come into this match-up averaging nearly 37 points per game on the season. Similar to that average Minnesota is also averaging around 36 points per game. Minnesota has held its opponent to just seven points in each of their last two games. The Terrapins have been up and down in scoring this season, and that makes it a hard call for this match-up to reach over 56.5 points. Two of their last three head-to-head meetings have had over totals. The Terps and Gophers have combined for exactly 55 points in each of their last two meetings. Lean under 56.5 here.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Tulane Waves @ Navy

Tulane Waves
Navy
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Navy -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This game could go a long way in deciding the Western Division in the AAC. Both teams already have one loss in the conference. However, neither has played SMU this season. The winner of the game will still be in the divisional race while the loser is likely out. Navy has won their last three in a row after losing on the road to Memphis at the end of September, outscoring opponents 114 to 45 in the process. Meanwhile, the Tulane Green Wave suffered their second loss of the season last Saturday on the road against Memphis and were embarrassed in the process of losing the game 17-47. Both teams feature a run-heavy offense with Tulane ranking 4th in rushing yards per game and Navy ranking first. However, the better run defense belongs to the Navy Midshipmen. Navy has held opponents to the 8th fewest rushing yards in college football. I look for the run defense to be the critical difference in Navy’s win and cover in the game.

Over Under Pick

Both offenses love to run the ball this season and both teams rank in the top five in rushing this season. Navy ranks 1st in rushing yards per game and 18th in rushing yards per attempt. Meanwhile, Tulane ranks 4th in rushing yards per game and 5th in rushing yards per attempt. However, Navy has one of the best run defenses in college football this season, holding opponents to the 8th fewest rushing yards per game. Tulane, on the other hand, ranks 58th in rushing yards allowed per game. I look for both teams to attempt to control the game on the ground, which should lead to the under 53 points hitting in the end.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Indiana @ Nebraska

Indiana
Nebraska
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Indiana +1.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Nebraska is fresh off a bye week and will look to rebound after getting destroyed by Minnesota in their last game. Their season is effectively over in terms of having a chance for a Big Ten Championship game, but they still could become bowl eligible by winning two of their final five games. Indiana on the other hand, is currently riding a two-game win streak but they also find themselves just trying to make it to a bowl game. It is worth noting that the starting quarterbacks for both teams are listed as questionable ahead of this game. For Nebraska, their second string quarterback is also questionable. Knowing that Nebraska may be down to their third choice at QB has me off of the Cornhuskers, and I will lean to the Hoosiers to win as a one-point underdog.

Over Under Pick

The total for this game is 53 and I still would look to the under. In Big Ten games, Nebraska is averaging 17.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are averaging 27.5 points per game in their four Big Ten games. Neither defense has been very good, but I believe we will see a lower pace of play especially with backup quarterbacks potentially starting for both of these teams. The under is 5-2 for Nebraska this season and 4-3 for Indiana. That said, the under is my play as a small lean.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Arizona Wildcats @ Stanford

Arizona Wildcats
Stanford
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Arizona -1.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 52.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Arizona is 4-2 but when you look at their remaining schedule there is pressure for a win here if they want to get to a bowl game. Last week they were drubbed by USC and QB Khalil Tate was taken out of the game. His replacement played well and now you have to wonder if he is the right way to go for the rest of the season. Kevin Sumlin was supposed to turn Tate into a Manzielesque star but that has not happened and time is running out. The problem is fading the Wildcats means you are backing the Cardinal. That is not a great proposition because they have QB problems of their own, mainly that their top two are out with injuries. The third-stringer, Jack West, just got his first start and does not look ready at all. That was against UCLA too. Hardly a defensive monster. Take the Wildcats on the road and they have slightly more going for them right now.

Over Under Pick

This one is a really tough call as both teams have holes. Arizona is a bad offensive team but are they bad enough to make Stanford look good?  Similarly, if the Stanford defense good enough to have the Wildcats struggle no matter who is helming the team. Stanford let UCLA get to them and I am not sure how much resistance they have left. Take the over here.

Sat, Oct 26th - 3:30pm ET:
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State

Oklahoma State
Iowa State
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Oklahoma State +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are coming into this game off back-to-back losses, but I am not sold that they are as bad as the last two games have shown. The defense has struggled at times, but just a few games back they gave up only 13 points to the Kansas State Wildcats. Even though the defense has had its problems they are still scoring points, and that will keep them in this game. Cowboys are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Back the visiting squad to at least keep this game close and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

Reading the above you should know exactly where we are going with this play. Iowa State has scored at least 34 points in each of the last three games and against TCU a few games ago they put up 49 points. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games on grass. Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games in October. Over is 10-2 in Cowboys last 12 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Back the over to cash in this game with some ease.

Sat, Oct 26th - 4:00pm ET:
Duke @ Tar Heels

Duke
Tar Heels
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North Carolina -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 53.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

We have an in0state rivalry here as Duke’s Blue Devils will head to UNC this Saturday. The Tar Heels have had a relatively solid season. They are 3-4, but their last loss was extremely close. They went down against Virginia Tech last week after going into sextuple overtime, with a final score of 43-41. Duke is 4-3, but their performance seems to have taken a hit recently. They  lost the last game, marking their second loss in three games. It wasn’t a close game either, as Duke was destroyed by Virginia with a final score of 48-14. The Blue Devils have had a series case of the turnover bug lately and it makes me worry for them this Saturday. On top of this North Carolina’s 3-4 record could have been a 7-0 if a few plays went their way. Their four losses have come by a measly 12 combined points. North Carolina is led by Sam Howell who has 1,892 passing yards and 20 touchdowns. Duke’s offense is led by Quentin Harris who has 1,271 passing yards and 12 touchdowns. The disparity between these two players stats this season do a good job of showing why The Tar Heels will win and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The under is 4-1 in the Blue Devils’ last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record. The under is 16-6 in their last 22 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. North Carolina has gone under 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in North Carolina. Duke’s offense has fallen short at important moments this season, and the Tar Heels don’t necessarily win via blowouts. I would take the under on this one.

Sat, Oct 26th - 4:00pm ET:
South Carolina @ Tennessee

South Carolina
Tennessee
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South Carolina -4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Despite a loss to Florida last week, the South Carolina Gamecocks appear to be figuring it out following a rough 1-3 start to the season. They beat SEC East rivals Kentucky and Georgia in succession before competing well with the 7-1 Gators, even taking a 20-17 lead into the fourth quarter before coming up short. The ‘Cocks gave up a total of just 24 points to UK and UGA, an especially impressive feat considering their game against the Bulldogs went into double-overtime. As for the Tennessee Volunteers, they are 1-4 in their last five outings and were not competitive in any of those setbacks. Adding insult to injury, or vice versa, quarterback Brian Maurer is questionable due to a concussion. South Carolina is 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 on the road, 5-2 ATS in its last seven against the SEC, and 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 trips to Tennessee. The Volunteers are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 at home and 0-6 ATS in their last six against opponents with losing records. It is also worth noting that the road team is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 head-to-head matchups. Go with the GAMECOCKS.

Over Under Pick

Maurer may be out and former starter Jarrett Guarantano has been bad, so freshman J.T. Shrout could start this weekend. Tennessee is averaging a dreadful 3.9 yards per rush as a team. That does not bode well for the home team’s chances of moving the ball on a stout South Carolina defense. Meanwhile, SC is averaging just 17 points in two SEC road games. The under is 4-0 in the Gamecocks’ last four on the road and 21-10 in their last 31 against the SEC. It is also 4-1 in the Volunteers’ last five overall and 13-6 in their last 19 against opponents with losing records. Additionally, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams and 4-0 in South Carolina’s last four at Kentucky. Back the UNDER with confidence.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:00pm ET:
Texas Tech @ Kansas

Texas Tech
Kansas
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Texas Tech -4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 64.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This is a game I would stay away from because both of these teams are so inconsistent. The Jayhawks have lost four straight games, but gave the Longhorns are a run for their money in their last time out with quarterback Carter Stanley playing his best game of the year. The Red Raiders have lost two games in a row, but actually played decently in both of them. The Jayhawks are coming off a nice game but this is usually the point where they really struggle. That makes me lean the Red Raiders in this game but I would advise to look for something better on the board.

Over Under Pick

The Jayhawks proved against the Longhorns that the offense is improving, but the defense is still leaving a lot left to be desired. This should be a game where both teams move the ball up and down the court and don’t care about playing much defense. Over is 3-0-1 in Red Raiders last 4 games overall. Over is 4-0-1 in Red Raiders last 5 games in October. Over is 4-1 in Jayhawks last 5 games overall. Back the over to get the job done in this game.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:00pm ET:
Arkansas @ Alabama

Arkansas
Alabama
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Arkansas +32.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa will be sidelined when the Alabama Crimson Tide host the Arkansas Razorbacks. Tagovailo suffered a high ankle sprain in the second quarter of last week’s game against Tennessee and did not return. Mac Jones replaced him and went a modest 6-for-11 with 72 yards, no touchdowns, and no interceptions. Alabama struggled offensively throughout that game and Tagovailoa’s absence is the biggest reason why Arkansas could be competitive on Saturday. As for the Razorbacks, themselves, their losses to Texas A&M and Kentucky came by a combined eight points. Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a double-digit home loss and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. The Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall, 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home, 1-4 ATS in their last five against the SEC, and 0-6 ATS in their last six against opponents with losing records. Getting more than four touchdowns should be enough for the RAZORBACKS to cover.

Over Under Pick

Jones did not do anything wrong against Tennessee, but he also did not do anything great. Alabama scored only one offensive touchdown in the final 39 minutes of game time during that contest. Arkansas, meanwhile, was limited to 20 points by Kentucky and to 10 by Auburn last weekend. QB Ben Hicks has thrown only two touchdowns in 119 pass attempts this season. The under is 6-2 in the Razorbacks’ last eight overall, 7-1 in their last eight on the road, and 4-1 in their last five agains the SEC. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:30pm ET:
Notre Dame @ Michigan

Notre Dame
Michigan
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Notre Dame +1.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 51.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

A big rivalry match-up as the 8th-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish pays a visit to the Big House for a showdown with the 19th-ranked Michigan Wolverines. Notre Dame is coming off a bye, while Michigan came up short at Penn State. The Irish will be looking to end their four-game losing streak in Ann Arbor. Michigan has covered the spread in just three of their last 11 games, while Notre Dame rolls in having covered in four of their last five games. Along with winning two of the last three head-to-heads, the Irish have also covered the spread in two of the last three games. The Irish have won the last two in this series,  each of them has been single-digit spreads. Keeping up the run of close spreads, Michigan comes in to this one as a 1-point favorite. The Irish are a good play to sneak out a win.

Over Under Pick

Both teams enter this week averaging 30-points or more per game. Notre Dame looks to be a bit more explosive than the Wolverines averaging nearly 40 points per game. Each of the last two meetings has had under totals, as the Irish and Wolverines have combined 41 or fewer points in their last two meetings. In each of Notre Dame’s last three games, the Irish have combined with their opponents for 52 or more points. An over 51-point total is a good play.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:30pm ET:
Boston College @ Clemson

Boston College
Clemson
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Clemson -34.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 58.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Boston College’s Eagles will travel to Clemson North Carolina this Saturday to take on the Tigers this Saturday. It’s going to be a tough day for the Eagles, as the Tigers are entering this game with a perfect record. To call the Eagles underdogs in this situation would be an understatement. Boston College must avoid a shootout at all costs, but they often do poorly when slow. Boston College is currently scoring 35 points per game on offense and giving up 28 points per game on defense. Boston College will need to control the clock with its ground game which is led by AJ Dillon (178 carries, 968 yards,9 TDs). Clemson will take the field with one of the most well-rounded relentless teams in the NCAA. they are scoring 40 points per game on offense and letting up just 12 points per game on defense. The Tigers are well balanced, and can score from anywhere on the field. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence (1,534 yards, 14 touchdowns, 8 interceptions) paces his team and if he can avoid too many turnovers, Clemson take this one and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

Clemson’s offense will no doubt have a field day against the Eagles, But BC should be able to get some points on the board as well. They have shown themselves to have a strong offense, and the Tigers tend to falter offensively when they face strong attacks. I expect the eagles to score in the high teens at least, which will ensure that this one carries over in the event that the Tigers don’t take it there themselves. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:30pm ET:
Missouri @ Kentucky

Missouri
Kentucky
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Kentucky +10.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 46.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

It’s back to the drawing board for the Kentucky Wildcats and Missouri Tigers as they prepare for this SEC East showdown. Missouri had been undefeated in conference play, but based on their performance last week that had more to do with an easy schedule than with their own excellence. Following victories over South Carolina and Ole Miss, the Tigers lost at Vanderbilt 21-14. Thus began a three-game road trip, which includes a visit to Georgia in addition to Saturday’s date with Kentucky. That is bad news for Missouri, which is 0-2 on the road in 2019 (also fell to Wyoming). Quarterback Kelly Bryant has thrown only two touchdown passes in the last two outings and he has been picked off in five of seven games this season. Kentucky is 1-4 in its last five, but QB Sawyer Smith could return this week. Missouri is 2-7 ATS in its last nine on the road and 0-5 ATS in its last five on the road against opponents with losing home records. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last nine overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four at home. Ten points are way too many to pass up for KENTUCKY supporters.

Over Under Pick

Kentucky has used three quarterbacks in 2019 and it is unclear who will be under center against Missouri. Converted receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. played against Georgia and completed just two of 15 passes for 17 yards in a rain-soaked affair. The Wildcats did not score a single point. UK is averaging 11.0 ppg over its past four contests. The under is 5-1 in the Tigers’ last six overall and 7-2 in their last nine against the SEC. It is also 4-0 in the Wildcats’ last four overall. Additionally, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams. Take the UNDER with a fair amount on confidence.

Sat, Oct 26th - 7:30pm ET:
Arizona State @ UCLA

Arizona State
UCLA
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UCLA +4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

ASU is looking to rebound on the road at UCLA. Last week they went to Utah and they looked lifeless, scoring just three points in a loss. Give credit to the Utes for being good and to the Sun Devil defense for giving up just 21 points on the road but you have problems when you don’t score and don’t seem to have an answer other than needing to be better. They have averaged only 22ppg on the season with a freshman QB at the helm. They should, however, have an easier time against the Bruins. UCLA is coming off a win for just the second time all season. They went up to Stanford last week and scored a huge upset. Sure, Stanford is down a tick or two, but the way the Bruins played was a surprise, especially the way the defense showed up. Josh Kelley ran wild against the Cardinal and he will be key again against a good ASU defense. UCLA is a home dog that gives us some margin for error. Take the Bruins.

Over Under Pick

The Sun Devils went way under in their game against the Utes, with the two teams scoring only 24 points. There is not a lot to like about their offense right now so looking at another under seems the sharp play. Last year we saw a close contest that went under the total with these two and I can see that being the case again. UCLA does not play with the pace we might have in our mind and that is a factor too. Take the under.

Sat, Oct 26th - 10:00pm ET:
California @ Utah

California
Utah
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Utah -21.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 37.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Cal needs to stop the bleeding on their season. After starting 4-0 they are now 4-3 with the latest loss being at home against Oregon State. The Beavers are better than you think, but that is a game you have to have if you are Cal and trying to build something. The defense has stayed strong but the offense is non-existent. Part of it is injuries at the QB position, but it is more than that. Still they might be forced to go with their third-stringer, on the road. Utah got a nice win and an important one last week against Arizona State. They basically cannot afford a slip up in conference and they have already lost the tie-breaker to USC in the PAC 12 South. They could not be getting Cal in a better spot. The Utes always play a heavy game and that is something the Bears do no seem ready for right now. They are kind of hanging by a thread, even with a strong defense. Take Utah.

Over Under Pick

This game has a super low total, so low it would seem like picking the under is a joke. I am really worried about the Cal offense being able to produce much and Utah only allowed 3 points last week. The question is whether Cal ineptitude provides lost of easy scoring for Utah. That is what I am banking on when I recommend the over.

Sat, Oct 26th - 10:15pm ET:
Utah State Aggies @ Air Force

Utah State Aggies
Air Force
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Air Force -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Air Force and Utah State are two of the better teams in the Mountain West this season. However, Air Force cannot afford to lose this game as they are 3-1 in conference play and have already lost to Boise State. Meanwhile, Utah State remains undefeated in the conference at 3-0 and has outscored conference opponents 93 to 51 in the process. Not much separates these two teams on paper as they both have balanced offenses and defenses to match with the main difference being the weakness of the pass defense for the Aggies. I look for this game to be closely contested, and I give a slight edge to the Falcons.

Over Under Pick

This game is going to be tightly contested between the Aggies and Falcons. Both offenses have well-balanced attacks on offense. However, the critical difference in this game is the pass defense for the Falcons. Air Force ranks 74th in passing yards allowed per game and 45th in yards per attempt. Utah State, on the other hand, ranks 110th in passing yards allowed per game and 74 in passing yards allowed per attempt. I look for Air Force to attempt to move the ball through the air more than they usually do and for the Aggies to keep pace through the air as well. The game flow is likely to end with the over 57.5 points hitting in the game between these two teams.

Sat, Oct 26th - 10:30pm ET:
Washington State @ Oregon

Washington State
Oregon
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Washington State +14.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 64.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Wazzu might have stopped the bleeding last week as they whipped Colorado 41-10. The Buffs are not a great opponent, but the Cougars needed a win after three straight losses. Now they travel to Oregon to take on the best team in the division so the good times might be shortlived. Washington State are the top passing team in college football so we know how they are going to attack Oregon. I am not sure though that their defense is good enough to beat a good team on the road. The Ducks were pushed last week, winning 35-31 at Washington. The win might have sealed up the North Division, but if Oregon has loftier goals then they have to keep winning and hope for some help. It was the best game of the season for QB Justin Herbert and that is a good sign because Oregon had really been winning more with defense than on the back of its NFL-bound QB. I like the Ducks to win but WSU will hang around enough to cover.

Over Under Pick

The Colorado result might have made it look like the Cougars play good defense. If you look at the entire season that is more of an outlier, especially in conference play. I like the over because I see the game going like this:  Oregon takes the lead and extends and then WSU goes even more pass-happy and moves the ball in catchup mode, and repeat till the final gun. That model puts points on the board for both. Take the over.

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