College football week seven picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free college football week seven expert picks below. Get free college football picks every week of the season.

Sat, Oct 5th - 12:00pm ET:
Oklahoma Sooners @ Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB

Oklahoma Sooners
Kansas Jayhawks - NCAAB
Oklahoma -32.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

I still haven’t figured out when to fade or bet the Jayhawks, so remember that with this pick. I was on the Jayhawks last week against the TCU Horned Frogs and they had no chance of covering the spread from the opening kickoff. They were absolutely dominated and that led to a 51-14 loss and I don’t see anyway they improve this week. The Sooners are coming off a 55-16 victory against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and in this game they will run up the score again. Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Back the Sooners to get the job done. This would be a three star, but games involving the Jayhawks haven’t been kind to me.

Over Under Pick

This total all comes down to how many points you think the Jayhawks are going to score, because the Sooners are going to have no issue scoring in this game. I think the Sooners should be able to put up at least 52 points in this game so it comes down to if the Jayhawks can score 14 points. I don’t think they will be scoring many more than 14 points, but they will do enough to push the game over. Over is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 games following a straight up loss. Back the over to get the job done.

Thu, Oct 10th - 8:00pm ET:
Syracuse Orange - NCAAB @ NC State Wolfpack

Syracuse Orange - NCAAB
NC State Wolfpack
Syracuse +5.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams are coming off a bye week, meaning they have had plenty of time to adjust their game-plan for this ACC Conference game. Syracuse is at least coming off a big win, even though it was against Holy Cross. NC State on the other hand, were blown out by a very bad Florida State team in their last game. Some trends to consider show that the Orange are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games. They are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-1 in these teams last 8 meetings. The Wolfpack are struggling to find an offensive rhythm based on the fact that they have used several different quarterbacks. Even though I do not think the Orange are very good, I like them to cover in this match-up because of the questions surrounding this Wolfpack offense.

Over Under Pick

The total is around 55.5 at most shops and I would lean to the under. The NC State defense may have just given up a ton of points to the Seminoles, but one thing they do well is stop the run. They allow just 71.8 yards per game on the ground. This is the 6th best rush defense in the country. On the other side, it is not like the Orange are throwing up a ton of yards, averaging 385.8 per game. The under is 4-1 in the 5 games played by the Wolfpack this year and 3-2 for the Orange. The under is also 17-5 in the Wolfpack’s last 22 conference games. I would take the under as a small play because of the Wolfpack’s ability to defend the run.

Thu, Oct 10th - 9:15pm ET:
UL Monroe Warhawks @ Texas State Bobcats

UL Monroe Warhawks
Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats +3.5 Point Spread
-116
Under 61.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

UL Moroe and Texas State have the same record, but that is where the similarities end between the two teams. The Warhawks play in faster-paced higher scoring games, while the Bobcats’ defense isn’t great either, but they have a harder time scoring points. The Bobcats are home underdogs in this game, and I don’t think that is the way it should be. On the road this season they are giving up 58 points per game, but only conceding 20 per game at home. Warhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Back the Bobcats to get the job done in this game.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I would stay away from because of the different styles the teams play. At home, I think the Bobcats know they need to slow the pace of play and they really don’t want to let this game get into a shootout. Under is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 home games.  Under is 4-0 in Warhawks last 4 conference games. Under is 9-3 in Warhawks last 12 road games. Back the under to get the job done in this game, but it’s only a lean at best.

Fri, Oct 11th - 8:00pm ET:
Virginia Cavaliers @ Miami Hurricanes - NCAAB

Virginia Cavaliers
Miami Hurricanes - NCAAB
Virginia +2.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 45.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Cavaliers are coming off a bye week and prior to that they lost to Notre Dame 35-20. They were very sloppy in that game, committing five turnovers and having a ton of trouble moving the football. Miami is coming off a bad loss to Virginia Tech where they trailed 28-0 before losing 35-28 in the end. The Cavaliers are 2-0 in the ACC so far, so this is a game that they cannot afford to lose. Especially against an 0-2 team in the ACC like Miami. The Hurricanes are 1-11 against the spread in games played in October. They are also 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Another trend to keep in mind is the underdog is 13-2 in the last 15 meetings and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I like the Cavaliers in this spot to cover on the road and even win outright.

Over Under Pick

The total is 45 in this game, but I still lean to the under. Even though both defenses did not have a great showing in their last game, each allowing 35 points, I think we will see two struggling offenses in this contest. Both sides allow 21 points per game on average, and both sides have top 20 rush defenses. I think this game will see a lot of drives stall because they both have top 50 pass defenses as well. I really do not love this play at all, but my pick would be the under because both of these teams have showed a tendency to commit too many drive-killing turnovers.

Fri, Oct 11th - 10:00pm ET:
Colorado Buffaloes @ Oregon Ducks - NCAAB

Colorado Buffaloes
Oregon Ducks - NCAAB
Colorado Buffaloes +20.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This week’s edition of PAC 12 After Dark looks solid, it’s just too bad that Colorado fell last week otherwise we would have been looking at two division leaders squaring off. Colorado is the dog on the road and that is to be expected. Their offense is solid but their defense is letting them down, giving up more than 30ppg. It would seem their best chance at winning would be in a shoot out but they might be able to keep it close enough to cover. Oregon still has just the one loss to Auburn and looks like the most complete team in the PAC 12 but I am not sure they are elite. They struggled and failed to cover against Cal last week and they were sluggish in a win against Stanford the week before. They can be explosive but we have only really seen it in one game. Take the Buffs to cover.

Over Under Pick

Even though it might play against reputation four of the five Ducks games this season have gone under. The only one that didn’t was a total mismatch against Nevada where they covered the total all on their own, scoring 77 points. Colorado games have been the opposite, four of five have gone over. The total here is pretty modest and I expect both offenses to have some success. The Ducks will be more than happy to oblige a light Colorado defense. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
South Carolina Gamecocks @ Georgia Bulldogs

South Carolina Gamecocks
Georgia Bulldogs
South Carolina +24.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 52.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The South Carolina Gamecocks are pretty much out of the SEC East race–which is expected to be won by the Georgia Bulldogs–with two conference losses, but they are by no means terrible. Their 24-20 loss to North Carolina is starting to look not bad at all and they played Alabama tough for a half. The ‘Cocks are coming off a 24-7 win over Kentucky in which they limited the Wildcats to 212 total yards and forced two turnovers. Georgia is 5-0 (2-0 SEC) but struggled with Notre Dame and did not pull away from lowly Tennessee last weekend until the second half. Although quarterback Jake Fromm has not yet thrown an interception in 2019, a conservative passing attack is not conducive to blowing out opponents on a consistent basis. South Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at Georgia. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five against opponents with losing records and 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS win. Getting more than three touchdowns should be enough for the GAMECOCKS to cover.

Over Under Pick

What Georgia does do incredibly well is run the football. Four running backs have amassed more than 100 yards this season, including 460 yards on 66 attempts (7.0 average) for D’Andre Swift. Both Swift and Brian Herrien have four touchdowns (Swift also has one receiving TD). South Carolina has scored 13 rushing touchdowns already this year. The over is 5-2 in the Gamecocks’ last seven against opponents with winning records. It is also 4-0 in the Bulldogs’ last four against opponents with losing records. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the two teams and 4-1 in South Carolina’s last five at Georgia. Go with the OVER.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Indiana Hoosiers

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Indiana Hoosiers
Rutgers +27.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

A pair of bottom-tier Big Ten East teams square off as the Rutgers Scarlet Knights pays a visit to Memorial Stadium to face the Indiana Hoosiers. The Hoosiers have performed well against far better talent, with their two losses coming against Ohio State and Michigan State thus far. The Scarlet Knights have lost four-straight games since their season-opening victory over UMass. Rutgers is 1-4 ATS in its last five games while Indiana has covered the spread in four of their last six games at home. Rutgers has handled itself pretty well in the last five meetings against Indiana. The Scarlet Knights covered in four of those five games. Indiana has ultimately come out on top in each of the last three games. Rutgers is a good bet to cover the 28-point spread, but the Hoosiers will still get the win.

Over Under Pick

Rutgers has been held to 17 points or less in each of their last two meetings with Indiana. The Hoosiers have averaged at least 32 points in each of the last three meetings with the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers has gone scoreless twice in their last four games. Indiana has scored over 31 points in four of their five games so far this season. Behind Michael Pennix Jr the Hoosiers should be able to score around 30 points once again, but as Rutgers has shown they struggle to score against fellow Big Ten teams. Take a close under here.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas Longhorns

Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
Texas +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 75.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

One of the big matchups on Saturday is the Red River Rivalry between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns. The Sooners come into this game with a perfect record. Their smallest margin of victory has been 18 points and they have not been challenged seriously. This will be their biggest test by far. The Longhorns have played in a big time game, and even though they lost to the LSU Tigers it was only by a touchdown. The Sooners have proven all you need is an offense to keep it close and that is what the Longhorns have. Don’t be shocked if the Longhorns win this game outright. I will take the points though, and this is one of the best plays of the entire weekend.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I am staying far away from, and I would advise you do the same. Five of the last six games played between these two teams has ended in the under being covered. This is a half star play at best, but the under is the play.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
Memphis Tigers @ Temple Owls

Memphis Tigers
Temple Owls
Temple +6.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The Memphis Tigers head to Philly this Saturday to take on the Temple Owls. both these teams have had solid seasons so far. The Tigers are coming into this one with a 5-0 record. In their game against UL Monroe, Brady White threw for three touchdowns and Kenneth Gainwell rushed for 209 yards and two touchdowns, leading to an easy win for Memphis. Temple comes into this one with a 4-1 record. In their most recent victory against East Carolina, Re’Mahn Davis rushed for 157 yards and one touchdown, while Anthony Russo threw for 208 yards and one touchdown. Brandon Mack caught nine passes for 107 yards, while Isaiah Wright had 104 yards receiving and one touchdown. Both teams quarterbacks have played well this season, having each thrown 11 total touchdowns. With all that said, I like the Tigers a lot more here. They have yet to lose a game and Brady White and Kenneth Gainwell have proven to be a spectacular duo. I’m sure Memphis will take this one, but I have a feeling Temple will cover. 

Over Under Pick

Both of these teams are pretty tough. They both have solid defenses which should be able to withhold the opposing offensive efforts. A lot of people seem to think this one is going over given that both teams have a lot of talented players who have proven to be point-gaining power houses, but I think these guys are going to hold each other at bay. It’s going to be close, but I see this one going under. 

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
Michigan Wolverines @ Illinois Fighting Illini

Michigan Wolverines
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois +21.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Michigan Wolverines and Illinois Fighting Illini face-off for the first time since the 2016 season. However, it is their first meeting at Memorial Stadium in Champaign since 2011. The 16th-ranked Wolverines were able to survive a heavy defensive battle against Iowa in their last game. Illinois has lost three-straight games since starting the season 2-0. Michigan has won 10 of the last 12 head-to-heads against the Illini. Illinois is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games, while the Wolverines have covered in just two of their last nine games. Not only that, Michigan has covered just once in their last seven games on the road. Illinois doesn’t have the talent to keep up with the Wolverines, but the Illini are still a good pick to cover the 21.5-point spread.

Over Under Pick

Michigan has seen over totals in five of their last seven games. The Illini have favored the under four of their last six games. Each of the last three head-to-head meetings, the final total was under in each of those games. Michigan has scored at least 31 points in each of the last three games against Illinois. However, there are still many questions about the Michigan offense, which makes an under 49 a worth pick.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:00pm ET:
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Tennessee Volunteers

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Tennessee Volunteers
Tennessee +6.5 Point Spread
-105
Over 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

It is still early, but these look like two of the worst teams in the SEC. Although the Tennessee Volunteers grab most of the bad headlines, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have quietly underwhelmed through five games. The Bulldogs lost to Kansas State at home on Sept. 14 and they are coming off a 56-23 setback against Auburn–during which they trailed by a ridiculous 49-9 margin late in the third quarter. Former quarterback Nick Fitzgerald is gone and MSU now has a QB quandary on its hands with Tommy Stevens and Garrett Shrader. Neither has set the world on fire and they have been sacked a combined 11 times. Tennessee played Georgia tough until the final moments of the first half last weekend, so that was at least a somewhat encouraging performance. Mississippi State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven on the road and 1-8 ATS in its last nine on the road against opponents with losing home records. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. A slight edge goes to TENNESSEE, but only with the points.

Over Under Pick

Tennessee freshman QB Brian Maurer is the main reason why Vols fans have some semblance of optimism. He replaced Jarrett Guarantano and threw for 259 yards and two touchdowns against Georgia. Part of the bad news for UT, though, is that it has allowed 38.5 ppg in its two SEC outings. The over is 5-1 in the Bulldogs’ last six overall and 5-1 in their last six after allowing more than 450 yards of offense in their previous outing. It is also 4-1 in the Volunteers’ last five at home and 17-7 in their last 24 against opponents with winning records. Additionally, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams. Take the OVER.

Sat, Oct 12th - 12:30pm ET:
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Duke Blue Devils - NCAAB
Duke -17.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will head to Wallace Wade Stadium in North Carolina this Saturday to take on the Duke Blue Devils. It’s been a rough season for the Yellow Jackets. They are 1-4, and their only victory was a close one against South Florida. The Blue Devils have had better luck so far this season, sporting a record of 3-2. Duke has played well, showcasing an impressive ability to bounce back from seemingly bleak situations. Saturday’s loss for example was well fought by Duke, who overcame a 23-point deficit before falling to Pittsburgh by a final score of 33-30. Their second loss was also close, as the Blue Devils took the lead with just a minute and a half remaining, before allowing the Panthers to score a winning touchdown less in the final seconds of the game. Georgia Tech has been a strong opponent in the past, but they have been off this season. Duke, on the other hand, has been playing well, and their losses were extremely well fought. I have a feeling that Duke will take this one, but the Yellow Jackets will cover. 

Over Under Pick

Neither one of these defenses has been playing well recently, especially the Yellow Jackets, who are adequate against the pass but haven’t been stopping the run. Duke has a season average of 32 points a game, which I think they will reach rather easily. The over is 4-1-1 in Yellow Jackets last six road games and 4-1-1 in their last six conference games. On top of this, the over is 4-0 in Blue Devils last four games overall and 5-0 in their last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 12th - 3:30pm ET:
Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAB

Michigan State Spartans
Wisconsin Badgers - NCAAB
Wisconsin -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Michigan State’s (4-2) tough stretch continues as they pay a visit to Camp Randall Stadium for a showdown with the Wisconsin Badgers (5-0). The Spartans came up short on the road at Ohio State, while Wisconsin steamrolled Kent State in their last game. Jonathan Taylor continues to run all over opposing teams but will face his biggest test yet as the Spartan defense will look to slow him down. Michigan State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games. The Badgers have covered in five of their last six games. The Spartans have covered the spread in six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Badgers. Wisconsin has won two of the last three. The Spartans should be able to hang around early, but Jonathan Taylor will prove to be too tough to slow down. Back the Badgers to not only get the win but also cover the 10.5 spread.

Over Under Pick

The Spartans not only couldn’t slow down Ohio State in their last game, but they also couldn’t find much points production for the second time in their last four games. They only scored 10 points, and it seems to be a common theme for MSU on offense. Wisconsin is coming off its third shutout victory of the season. The Badgers have given up just 29 points so far this season. The under has some value in this match-up but at an over-under of 40, the rate Wisconsin has been able to score, I’ll take the over.

Sat, Oct 12th - 3:30pm ET:
Washington State Cougars - NCAAF @ Arizona State Sun Devils

Washington State Cougars - NCAAF
Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State -1.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 58.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

If any team needed an off week is it was Wazzu. After their crushing home loss to UCLA they hit the road and got beaten up by Utah. Being on the road again a couple of weeks later is not ideal but they need a reset, especially after the coach layed into them. Washington State can throw the ball around the field as well as anyone but this team overall is “soft”.  That’s the coach speaking. They are good enough to win though. Arizona State is playing good football but it does not look like much fun. They have been into a number of close games thanks to a defense that has really surprised – just 14ppg allowed. QB Jayden Daniels has been good but they do not want to ask him to do too much. This would be a perfect game to get RB Eno Benjamin going to see if they can make the Cougars submit.  Pick’em kind of line, take the home side here.

Over Under Pick

With a stingy defense and not much offense it is no surprise that the Sun Devils have played four unders in five games. Washington State has also played more under than overs this season. Since they last played they have replaced their defensive coordinator. That might shake things up in a good way.  Go under here.

Sat, Oct 12th - 3:30pm ET:
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Houston Cougars

Cincinnati Bearcats
Houston Cougars
Cincinnati -7.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Apart from a loss to high-powered Ohio State, the Cincinnati Bearcats are undefeated at the expense of UCLA, Miami (OH), Marshall, and UCF. Cincinnati was especially impressive in a 27-24 victory over UCF last Friday night, when it forced four turnovers. On the other side of the ball, running back Michael Warren II has exceeded the 100-yard mark in two of the last three matches and has scored three touchdowns during this stretch. As for the Houston Cougars, they are off to a dreadful 2-3 start with a loss to Tulane plaguing their resume. Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last five overall, 5-1 in its last six against opponents with losing records, and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between the two teams. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five against the American Athletic Conference and 1-5 ATS in its last six against opponents with winning records. It is also worth noting that the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four head-to-head matchups. The BEARCATS should be able to maintain momentum.

Over Under Pick

With his team 1-3 through four contests, Houston quarterback D’Eriq King decided to take a redshirt to preserve another year of eligibility. Clayton Tune filled in and did not have to do much this past week against North Texas, so he remains unproven. King is still the Cougars’ leading rusher in 2019 despite missing the last game. The under is 4-1 in the Bearcats’ last five overall, 7-2 in their last nine on the road, and 5-2 in their last seven conference contests. It is also 17-5-1 in the Cougars’ last 23 following an off week. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.

Sat, Oct 12th - 3:30pm ET:
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Texas A&M Aggies

Alabama Crimson Tide
Texas A&M Aggies
Alabama -17.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 59.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Texas A&M Aggies battled in some thrillers more than five years ago, but the Johnny Manziel era ain’t walkin’ through that door for Texas A&M. Instead, the Jimbo Fisher era is here–and the Aggies are paying their head coach a lot of money for little return so far. They have already lost twice this season (albeit to tough competition in Clemson and Auburn) while also struggling with Arkansas during a 31-27 victory two weeks ago. The Razorbacks racked up 395 yards of total offense, 55 more than Texas A&M. Alabama is 5-0 (2-0 SEC) and no game has been more competitive than a 24-point margin. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa remains the Heisman Trophy favorite with 1,718 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and no interceptions in addition to a pair of rushing scores. Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS in its last six against the SEC, 7-19 ATS in its last 26 following an off week, and 7-19 ATS in its last 26 October games. This should be beatdown city in favor of ALABAMA.

Over Under Pick

Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond has thrown 10 touchdown passes in 2019 and he is one of four team members who has more than 100 rushing yards. Tagovailoa is on fire and has led Alabama to between 42 and 62 points in all five of its games. The over is 3-1-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last five on the road, 3-0-1 in their last four against the SEC, and 5-0-1 in their last six after allowing more than 450 yards in their previous game. It is also 5-1 in the Aggies’ last six at home and 5-1 in their last six against opponents with winning records. Take the OVER.

Sat, Oct 12th - 3:30pm ET:
Florida State Seminoles @ Clemson Tigers - NCAAF

Florida State Seminoles
Clemson Tigers - NCAAF
Clemson -27.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 60.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Florida State face an uphill battle as they travel to duke it out against the Clemson Tigers. The Seminoles arrive at Memorial Stadium in South Carolina with a 3-2 record. They won their most recent game against NC State, which swayed their record in a winning direction. The Seminoles will definitely be looking to continue this trend. Florida State’s quarterback, Alex Hornibrook had a solid game in his outing against the Wolfpack. He connected on 29 of his 40 pass attempts for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tamorrion Terry was worked fantastically in tandem with Hornibrook, hauling in 5 catches for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns. Having said all that, the Clemson Tigers are on another level and come into this one with an undefeated 5-0 record. In his last outing, Trevor Lawrence connected on 18 of his 30 pass attempts for 206 yards and a touchdown, and Tee Higgins was his top target. He hauled in 6 catches for 129 yards and a TD. The Seminoles have been playing well, especially recently. Clemson has been showing signs of weakness in their last few games, but not enough to prevent them from taking the W. Clemson is just an all-around better team. They should win this one and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The Tigers have a pretty vicious offense that has been able to compensate for their defensive issues this season. On top of this, the Seminoles seem to be pulling things together and playing better ball in their last few outings. If they can keep their offensive momentum, they should be able to get some points on the board. Finally, the Seminoles have been playing well, but they have had a shaky season so far. Their defense has fallen apart in the past, and if ever there was a team to get the best of them it would be Clemson. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 12th - 4:00pm ET:
UNLV Rebels @ Vanderbilt Commodores

UNLV Rebels
Vanderbilt Commodores
UNLV +14.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 57.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

UNLV and Vandy are both desperate for a win to improve their 1-4 records. Vandy has been getting blasted each and every week, while UNLV cannot seem to score more than 17 points. This is not a game to look forward to, but there are a few edges to be found. First off, Vandy is 0-5 against the spread this season. They either get blown out by 20+ or in the case of their one win, allow a late touchdown for the backdoor cover. The Runnin’ Rebels are also getting blown out pretty much every week, but have at least covered in two of their five games. Vandy also tends to play down to their competition and therefore are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent with a losing record. This is not a game I would be looking to bet, however, my lean would be with the road dog, UNLV, because they are catching two touchdowns.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 57, and I have to lean to the under. Both sides are allowing about 37 points per game, but they are now playing each other and neither team can score. The Runnin’ Rebels are averaging 23.4 points per game and Vandy scores an average of 19.6 points per game. The under is 8-3 in Vanderbilt’s last 11 non-conference games and I think both defenses will be up for the challenge to try and turn their seasons around. I will take the under as my play, but this should only be a small bet.

Sat, Oct 12th - 4:00pm ET:
Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF @ West Virginia Mountaineers

Iowa State Cyclones - NCAAF
West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia +10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 53.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The West Virginia Mountaineers have been a hard team to figure out this year, and even though they didn’t cover the spread in their last game against Texas, they gave them a good fight. For the Cyclones they are coming off a huge win at home against TCU, but they struggled their one game on the road losing against Baylor. 10.5 points is a lot of points to lay on the road, and I think the Mountaineers to can do enough to cover it. Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Back the home squad to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 53 and it’s a lean to the over. The Mountaineers have been involved in a lot of overs, and I think this game will work out a lot like against Texas. The Cyclones will score and the Mountaineers will do enough to keep it close and that will help push this over. Over is 7-0 in Mountaineers last 7 conference games. Over is 7-1 in Mountaineers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Back the over to get the job done in this one.

Sat, Oct 12th - 4:00pm ET:
Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB @ Baylor Bears - NCAAB

Texas Tech Red Raiders - NCAAB
Baylor Bears - NCAAB
Texas Tech +11.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 58.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This is a side play I would stay away from, because the Red Raiders have been a team I can’t figure out. Two games in a row they scored under 17 points and the offense was really struggling, but in their last game they looked like a whole different team against Oklahoma State putting up 45 points and that led to a win by 10 points. I feel that with their offensive talent, the team we saw in the last game was the real Red Raiders, but I wouldn’t put big money on it. Back the Red Raiders against the spread, but it’s a lean.

Over Under Pick

The Red Raiders don’t have a good defense but they have proven they can have a good offense and I think in this game the offense is going to produce. The Bears’ defense has been good for the most part, but with this total being only 58 it feels like it’s a little too low. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. ver is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 6-2 in Red Raiders last 8 conference games. Over is 20-8 in Bears last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Back the over to get the job done in this one.

Sat, Oct 12th - 4:00pm ET:
Rhode Island Rams - NCAAB @ Virginia Tech Hokies

Rhode Island Rams - NCAAB
Virginia Tech Hokies
Hokies -25.5 Point Spread
-120
Under 65.5 Game Totals
-120

Against The Spread Pick

The Rhode Island Rams will take on the Hokies in Virginia this Saturday for some good old fashioned college football action. Deshawn McClease who boasts 279 rushing yards and a touchdown will lead Virginia. Rhode Island is led by Vito Priore who has a whopping 1,287 passing yards and nine touchdowns. Though Virginia Tech is the favorite here, a lot of people wonder whether or not Priore will lead his team to an unlikely upset. The fact of the matter is the Hokies are the far superior team. Their defense and offense are worlds stronger than those of the Rams. They have also proven resilient in the past, overcoming losing situations. Take for example Herndon Hooker’s 63-yard game-winning touchdown drive following Virginia Tech’s botched four-touchdown lead against Miami last week. It’s always nice to see the underdog pulls off an upset, but that won’t happen here. Take the Hokies, they will win and cover. 

Over Under Pick

I’m pretty sure the Hokies will have no problem lighting up the board on Saturday. With that said, I really don’t see Rhode Island scoring much. Virginia Tech’s defense is at a much higher level than the Ram’s offense and should have no problem shutting down Rhode Island. Given this, for this game to go over the Hokies would have to score an exorbitant amount of points. I really don’t see the Hokies sweeping Rhode Island badly enough to take this one over 65.5. Take the under.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:00pm ET:
Ole Miss Rebels @ Missouri Tigers

Ole Miss Rebels
Missouri Tigers
Ole Miss +12.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 56.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Ole Miss bounced back from a blowout loss to the Crimson Tide in week 5 by crushing Vandy 31-6 in week 6. Missouri destroyed Troy last week 42-10, but may have lost their quarterback in the process. Kelly Bryant took a cheap shot from a Troy defensive player and was forced to leave the game with a left knee sprain. He is listed as probable for this game, but without him, the Tigers might have some trouble. It is not like the Rebels defense is very good, but laying double-digits with the Tigers is not something I trust. Because of some uncertainty with Kelly Bryant, I will grab the points with the Rebels on the road. Ole Miss was able to cover against a powerhouse like Alabama and I think they will have enough offense to score against Mizzou and keep this one close.

Over Under Pick

The total for this game is 56.5 and I lean to the under. The under is 4-1 in Missouri’s last 5 games. The Tigers have scored nearly 40 points per game, but in their one SEC game, they scored 34 points. The Rebels’ defense was shredded by Alabama, but they are on a different level than Missouri, so I think we will see them play better here. Against SEC teams not named Alabama, the Rebels have allowed 23 points total in two games. Especially with a banged up Kelly Bryant, the Rebels should have some success slowing down the Tigers. I lean to the under, but this should be a small play because if Kelly Bryant gets into a groove, the Tigers could light up the scoreboard in a hurry.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:00pm ET:
Army Black Knights @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Army Black Knights
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky +4.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 43.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Army is much better than their record would indicate. The two losses the Black Knights have suffered this season came by 10 points or less. Last week was their worst loss of the season falling to the Tulane Green Wave at home 33-43. Meanwhile, the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky have won in back-to-back weeks, including a 20-3 win on the road last Saturday against Old Dominion and enter this game with a 3-2 record. Western Kentucky has one of the better run defenses in college football, which will keep this game close against the running attack of Army. I look for Western Kentucky to cover with the 4.5 points.

Over Under Pick

The defenses in this game are two of the better units in college football. Western Kentucky is only allowing 25 points per game while Army has an even lower average at 16.25. Both teams have defenses that match up well against what the opposing teams like to do on offense. Army’s pass defense ranks 19th in college football while Western Kentucky’s run defense ranks 42nd against the run. The defense on both sides will keep this game close, and I look for the total to go under the 43 Vegas has set.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:00pm ET:
Fresno State Bulldogs - NCAAB @ Air Force Falcons - NCAAF

Fresno State Bulldogs - NCAAB
Air Force Falcons - NCAAF
Fresno State +3.5 Point Spread
-116
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-105

Against The Spread Pick

Air Force and Fresno State have been inconsistent this season, having fared better as underdogs than as favorites. Both enter this game still in the division race in the Mountain West, but neither can afford to lose a conference game. This game will be Fresno State’s first in-conference clash of the season while it will be the third for Air Force. The Falcons have split their first two conference games having won against San Jose State 41-24 after losing to Boise State on the road 19-30. Fresno State’s run defense is one of the best in the country ranking 34th in yards allowed per game and 38th in rushing yards per attempt, which bodes well against the team that averages the 2nd most rushing yards per game and the 19th most yards per attempt. I look for this game to be close, and I look for the road team, Fresno State, to cover with the 3.5 points based on their defense.

Over Under Pick

The two offenses in this game are prolific ranking 40th and 67th in college football in points per game. Fresno State is averaging 30.5 while Air Force is averaging 34.5. However, both defenses have held their own this season in points allowed per game as well. The Bulldogs are allowing 26.5 while the Falcons are allowing 21 points per game. The two defenses should be able to keep this in the under column as they both match up well against the opposing offenses. Air Force is 53rd in college football against the pass while Fresno State, as stated earlier, is 34th in run defense this season. All reasons point to the under 50.5 being the play in this game.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
Penn State Nittany Lions-NCAAF @ Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF

Penn State Nittany Lions-NCAAF
Iowa Hawkeyes-NCAAF
Penn State -4.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 40.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Penn State should be in for their biggest test yet, as they pay a visit to Kinnick Stadium for a showdown with the Iowa Hawkeyes. The Nittany Lions have looked strong on both sides of the ball, as they have dismantled opponents each week. The Hawkeyes are coming off a gut-wrenching loss on the road in Ann Arbor. Penn State is 5-0 on the season but is just 3-2 ATS so far this year while Iowa has covered in just two of their five games this season. The Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Hawkeyes and Iowa has lost each of its last three head-to-head meetings with Penn State. The last two meetings finished with a margin of five points or fewer. Penn State is a good pick to sneak out a win and to cover the four-point spread.

Over Under Pick

Like most of the last four meetings, this match-up should be close.  It could even be a defensive duel – Iowa and Michigan dueled to just 13 total points last week – but Penn State has scored 35 or more points in four of their five games this season. In two of the last three meetings, the final total was over and in each of their last three match-ups, the Nittany Lions and Hawkeyes have combined for 40 or more points. This match-up has an over-under of 40.5, which seems pretty reachable given both teams can reach the same level. Back an over 40.5 total.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB

Arkansas Razorbacks
Kentucky Wildcats - NCAAB
Arkansas +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 53.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

There is no denying that these teams have had a very rough start to the season. Both Arkansas and Kentucky are 2-3 and lost their last games, which were back in late September. Coming off a bye, they should be well rested, which is particularly important for Kentucky, whose quarterback, Sawyer Smith, is recovering from a shoulder injury. He is listed as probable for this game. Without Smith, Kentucky will be in a world of trouble, but with him they will most likely win this game. Arkansas played a good game against Texas A&M a couple of weeks ago after an embarrassing loss to San Jose State the week prior. They still lost to the Aggies, but they did show some improvement. Because of the questions surrounding the Kentucky quarterback, I would have to lean to the Razorbacks. I like Kentucky to win this game at home, but my pick is Arkansas plus the points.

Over Under Pick

The total is set at 53.5 and this feels too low. The Razorbacks allow 28 points per game on average an also score 28 points per game on average. They have played two SEC games so far and have allowed 31 points in each contest. The Wildcats are a little better defensively, allowing an average of 24.4 points per game. However, in three SEC games this year, the Wildcats have allowed an average of 27 points per game. I like for this to be a game where both teams score in the mid to high 20s and I lean to the over to be the play. Proceed with caution on this over play because if Sawyer Smith is unable to play, I do not see Kentucky scoring much at all.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
USC Trojans @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish - NCAAB

USC Trojans
Notre Dame Fighting Irish - NCAAB
USC +11.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 57.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Now that we are at the part of the season where coaches are starting to get fired you have to wonder if USC boss Clay Helton is just one bad effort away from being booted. They are on the road this week against a good ND team but they can take some confidence that they did beat Utah a few weeks back, the best team on their schedule.  They have the talent to win on the road but the QB is going to have to play well. Notre Dame’s only blemish on the season is a loss to Georgia (they covered), a team expected to participate in the playoffs again this season.  I was impressed with the way they handled Virginia with relative ease. They were strong in all phases of the game in that one but Bowling Green last week was a glorified practice. I like USC’s talent to keep them in the game here.

Over Under Pick

If they are going to keep it close it is because the Trojans are moving the ball and converting. Notre Dame has scored it pretty well this season, 41ppg, and I can see this one going back and forth a bit.  I like USC to be able to match their average of 29ppg.  Look for this one to go over, even if ND is control for most of it.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
Louisville Cardinals - NCAAB @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Louisville Cardinals - NCAAB
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 64.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Louisville Cardinals will head to BB&T Field to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this Saturday. The Cardinals are entering this game in a good spot, with a record of 3-1. Louisville has played well, despite questionable performances from quarterback Jawon Pass. Malik Cunningham has managed to compensate for the pass, and the duo has combined for a 9:2 touchdown to interception ratio. The Deacons have been relatively impenetrable this season. They are 5-0 and have taken down some solid teams including Utah State, North Carolina, and Boston College. Jamie Newman, who boasts an impressive 14:3 touchdown to interception ratio, has led what has proven to be a strong passing offense. Wake Forest’s defense is just as strong their offense, while Louisville relies too heavily on offense. This spread is pretty reasonable and definitely favors the Deacons. Wake Forest will definitely win, and I’m sure they will cover.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Demon Deacons have the better offense here, the Cardinals can still score often and fast. The Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last seven games in October as well as 4-0 in Cardinals last four games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Deacons’ offense will have no problem scoring against the Cardinals lack-luster defense, and I’m sure that Louisville will be able to secure a few points against the Deacons. Take the over here.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
Navy Midshipmen @ Tulsa Golden Hurricanes

Navy Midshipmen
Tulsa Golden Hurricanes
Navy Money Line
-105
Under 52.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The Navy Midshipmen bounced back from their first loss of the season with an impressive 34-25 win over Air Force at home to improve to 3-1 on the season. Meanwhile, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane had a 30-9 lead at the start of the 4th quarter against 24th ranked SMU only to see the lead evaporate and ended up losing the game 37-43 in triple overtime. When a team loses that kind of lead in a game, it usually doesn’t bode well for the following week. Many are going to want to go with Tulsa in this game based on the fact that they almost beat SMU last week. However, that’s not the smart play. The smart play is to go with Navy in this game outright. That’s the right side in this game.

Over Under Pick

Navy has one of the best three-and-out defenses in college football, in fact, they rank 1st in time on the field with just over 22 minutes. The offense of the Midshipmen loves to control the clock by running the ball, something they excel at doing. Navy’s offense ranks 1st in time of possession and 1st in rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the run defense of Tulsa is well below average, ranking 96th in run defense with 175.75 yards per game. Navy will be able to run the ball against Tulsa, and as a result, they will be able to control the clock. I’m honestly surprised that the total is as high as it is, and I look for the game to go well under the 52 points.

Sat, Oct 12th - 7:30pm ET:
Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Minnesota Golden Gophers- NCAAB
Nebraska +7.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Nebraska Cornhuskers will be looking to stay in the Big Ten West race as they make a stop at TCF Bank Stadium to face the unbeaten Minnesota Golden Gophers. The Huskers were able to beat Northwestern on a walk-off field goal in their last game. The Gophers had their way with Illinois. Nebraska could be in for some luck as they have beaten Minnesota two out of the last three meetings. That includes a high scoring victory last season. Nebraska has also covered the spread against Minnesota in two of the last three meetings. Minnesota has covered in their last five games when the underdog, yet they are actually favored in this match-up. Nebraska has failed to cover in each of their last three games. Minnesota looks to be the dark horse of the division and should be able to sneak out the win, but Nebraska is a good pick to cover 7.5 points.

Over Under Pick

The past two meetings between the Cornhuskers and Gophers, have seen their fair share of big numbers. In 2017 the Gophers were able to score over 50- points en route to a 54-21 victory. Nebraska returned the favor last season with a 53-28 victory over Minnesota. The over-under in the last six head-to-heads meetings favors the over at 5-1. With an over-under of 49.5 in this match-up, the over is a good call especially if the teams can replicate how five of their last six games have gone. Take the over.

Sat, Oct 12th - 8:00pm ET:
Utah Utes @ Oregon State Beavers

Utah Utes
Oregon State Beavers
Utah -13.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 59.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Utes did not play last week so they should be excited to jump all over Oregon State. The last time we saw them they had rebounded nicely from their loss at USC to beat Washington State at home. Running back Zack Moss did not play last week but is probable for this one. His bruising style gives the Utes great balance on offense. Utah should have no trouble beating up the Beavers even on the road. I suppose Oregon State should not be completely dismissed. They did beat UCLA in Los Angeles and have covered in four straight games. They have an offense, having scored at least 28 points in every game this season. QB Jake Luton has not thrown an interception this season and if the Beavers were even halfway decent he might be getting Heisman buzz. I will admit the Beavers are better than expected, but I still like Utah on the road to cover.

Over Under Pick

Utah got exposed against USC because they couldn’t cover the receivers of the Trojans. Oregon State is going to try to do the same things but I don’t think they will be as successful. Still, they are going to keep coming at Utah even if they get down in a big way so I like the over. The Beavers are actually pretty feisty this season.

Sat, Oct 12th - 8:00pm ET:
Florida Gators - NCAAB @ LSU Tigers - NCAAB

Florida Gators - NCAAB
LSU Tigers - NCAAB
Florida +13.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 54.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

It is not often that you see a double-digit spread between two of the most well-respected programs in college football that are both undefeated six weeks into a season. But that is the case as the 6-0 LSU Tigers prepare to host the 5-0 Florida Gators on Saturday. It is true that the Tigers have been incredibly impressive, but at the same time they allowed 38 points to both Texas and Vanderbilt. The Gators remain perfect through five games despite playing three-plus contests without starting quarterback Feleipe Franks. Kyle Trask has filled in to the tune of seven touchdowns compared to just two interceptions, including a 4-to-0 ratio over the past two outings (two TDs, zero INTS in last week’s win over Auburn). Florida has held three opponents to no more than three points (two shutouts). The Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road, 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road against opponents with winning home records, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 following a win. LSU is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 at home against Florida. Go with the GATORS.

Over Under Pick

Trask has completed more than 72 percent of his passes in 2019 and has been especially stellar over the past two contests. Joe Burrow, his far more heralded LSU counterpart, has inserted himself among the Heisman Trophy hopefuls. He has already thrown for 1,864 yards and 22 TDs while completing an awesome 78.4 percent of his attempts. The over is 4-0-1 in the Gators’ last five on the road. It is also 6-1-1 in the Tigers’ last eight overall, 7-3 in their last 10 against opponents with winning records, and 6-1 in their last seven after scoring more than 40 points in their previous outing. Look for this one to go OVER the total.

Sat, Oct 12th - 10:15pm ET:
Hawaii Warriors @ Boise State Broncos

Hawaii Warriors
Boise State Broncos
Hawaii Money Line
+350
Over 59.0 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

Everyone knows what kind of team the Boise State Broncos are, but there still seems to be a lot of questions about the nature of the Rainbow Warriors. They have had a lot of success this year with their only loss coming against the Washington Huskies, but they still aren’t a team I am sold on. The Warriors are a good offensive team, but they struggle on defense, and I think that will ring true in this game. That said, I think this is a game that Boise State overlooks and there is a ton of value taking the Rainbow Warriors on the ML.

Over Under Pick

The even better play in this game is the total. The Warriors have proven they can run up the score and they have also proven they can’t play any defense. Against the Washington Huskies they gave up 52 points but were still able to score 20 points. The Warriors are going to give up their points, but they will also score enough to keep pace and find a way to pull it out late. Over is 8-3 in Rainbow Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-2 in Rainbow Warriors last 7 road games. Back the over to get the job done in this one.

Sat, Oct 12th - 11:00pm ET:
Washington Huskies- NCAAB @ Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB

Washington Huskies- NCAAB
Arizona Wildcats - NCAAB
Arizona +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 58.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Washington laid an egg last week losing at Stanford by 10.  A few years back that might have been OK but this season, definitely not. They are 1-2 in the conference now which seems like it eliminates them from contention for the league title. This is not a bad team but heavy losses in talent to the NFL might have caught up with it a bit and new QB Jacob Eason has not been the game changer they were hoping for. They can still be dangerous though if motivated. Arizona is the only undefeated team in the PAC 12 South so this game is huge. They have to be happy catching the Huskies in a letdown spot because their margins are slim. Khalil Tate played well last week against Colorado, throwing for more than 400 yards. I still think he is most dangerous when he runs but it gives the Huskies something they need to think about. Arizona as a home dog is a bet I like a lot.

Over Under Pick

The key number on the total is probably 30.  When the Wildcats have gone over that number the total has gone over, 3 out of 5 games this season. Since I see the Wildcats as being in this one and maybe even winning it I like their offense to succeed. Washington has been 50/50 in terms of total this season but they have played a number of teams with sputtering offense. Arizona might be the best they have seen all season. Go Over. 

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