College Football Week 12 Picks & Predictions For 2019

College football week twelve picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free college football week twelve expert picks below. Get free college football picks every week of the season.

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National Championship
Pick A Game
Tuesday, November 12
6:30pm Western Michigan @ Ohio
Wednesday, November 13
8:00pm Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)
8:00pm Northern Illinois @ Toledo
Thursday, November 14
7:00pm Buffalo @ Kent State
8:00pm North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Friday, November 15
7:00pm Louisiana Tech @ Marshall
9:30pm Fresno State @ San Diego State
Saturday, November 16
12:00pm Michigan State @ Michigan
12:00pm Indiana @ Penn State
12:00pm Wisconsin @ Nebraska
12:00pm Florida @ Missouri
12:00pm Alabama @ Mississippi State
12:00pm UMass @ Northwestern
12:00pm Kansas @ Oklahoma State
12:00pm TCU @ Texas Tech
12:00pm Alabama State @ Florida State
12:00pm VMI @ Army
2:30pm Navy @ Notre Dame
3:30pm Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
3:30pm Ohio State @ Rutgers
3:30pm Wake Forest @ Clemson
3:30pm Georgia @ Auburn
3:30pm Texas @ Iowa State
3:30pm Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech
3:30pm West Virginia @ Kansas State
3:30pm Memphis @ Houston
4:00pm Minnesota @ Iowa
4:00pm Syracuse @ Duke
4:30pm Stanford @ Washington State
7:00pm Air Force @ Colorado State
7:00pm LSU @ Ole Miss
7:00pm Cincinnati @ South Florida
7:30pm Louisville @ North Carolina State
7:30pm South Carolina @ Texas A&M
7:30pm @ State
7:30pm Oklahoma @ Baylor
8:00pm UCLA @ Utah
10:15pm New Mexico @ Boise State
10:30pm Arizona @ Oregon
11:00pm USC @ California

Tue, Nov 12th - 6:30pm ET:
Western Michigan @ Ohio

Western Michigan
Ohio
Ohio -1.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 61.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Western Michigan Broncos and the Ohio Bobcats face off on Tuesday night and in this game the value lies with the Bobcats. The Broncos have been a different team away from home, and so far this season they are 0-4 on the road. The Bobcats haven’t been exactly perfect at home, but the Broncos average only 25.3 points per game away from home. The home team is 7-3 against the spread the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Back the home team to win the game and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I would stay far away from, and it’s hard to give even a lean because there really isn’t any value on either side. The Broncos defense is terrible on the road giving up 42 points per game and even though the Bobcats don’t have an elite offense, this could be a breakout game for them. It’s a lean but back the over to cash in this one.

 

Wed, Nov 13th - 8:00pm ET:
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)

Bowling Green
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green +18.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Redhawks are at home and have two more wins than the Falcons, but looking at the stats they actually aren’t that much better of a team. These are both poor defensive teams and even though the Redhawks are a little better offensive team they are only averaging a little over five points more per game. Each of the Redhawks’ last three games have been decided by seven points or less and this is too big of a number. The road team is 16-5 against the spread in the last 21 meetings played between the two teams.

Over Under Pick

This looks like a game where the oddsmakers are locked right in on the total, which means a small bet is the only way to go. The Redhawks have been grinding out games as of late and each of their last two games has gone under this number. It’s a lean to the under, but with the way each defense plays this could easily go over the total. I would stay away and put your money on the side.

Wed, Nov 13th - 8:00pm ET:
Northern Illinois @ Toledo

Northern Illinois
Toledo
Toledo -2.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 54.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Northern Illinois Huskies and the Toledo Rockets face off on Wednesday night and in this game the value is with the favorites. The Rockets have been a strong team at home and the Huskies have really struggled on the road. The Rockets currently sit with a 5-0 record straight up and 4-1 against the spread at the Glass Bowl. For the Huskies, they are 1-5 straight up on the road and 3-3 against the spread. The Huskies’ offense is a real issue on the road and they won’t score enough to keep this one close. Back the Rockets to win this game and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

As stated above, the Huskies offense is not good on the road, averaging only 19.3 points per game away from home. That could be a problem as the Rockets’ defense is strong at home, giving up only 22.4 points per game. The Rockets are also a good offensive team at home, but they will be able to cruise late in the game which will keep their points down and keep this total under. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toledo. Back the under to cash in this game.

 

Thu, Nov 14th - 7:00pm ET:
Buffalo @ Kent State

Buffalo
Kent State
Buffalo -6.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

These are two teams who are heading into different directions and that leaves a lot of value with the favorites. After a bit of a slow start to the season, the Bulls have picked it up winning three games in a row and each of those wins was by at least 21 points. For the Golden Flashes they have lost three games and a big reason has been because of the defense struggling. In two of the last three games they have given up 35 points. This is too small of number and the Bulls should have no issue covering the spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 56.5 and with the way the Golden Flashes defense has been playing, it’s a lean to the under. The Bulls offense has been clicking as of late averaging 35 points per game over the last three, and the Kent State defense is giving up 34.3 points during the same stretch. This is a lean at best but the play is with the over.

Thu, Nov 14th - 8:00pm ET:
Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh

Tar Heels
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams are coming off a bye, meaning they have both had plenty of time to prepare for this game. The Tar Heels lost their last game 38-31 to the Virginia Cavaliers, while Pittsburgh beat Georgia Tech 20-10. The Tar Heels are looking to win two more games to officially become bowl eligible, while the Panthers are still fighting to represent the ACC Coastal division in the ACC title game. Having already lost to Virginia really hurts the Panthers and they will need them to lose another conference game if they are going to win the Coastal. Pittsburgh has won four of their last five games and because they are playing better football at the moment, I will lean to the home side to get the win and the cover.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set around 50.5 and I would be looking to the under. The Pittsburgh defense has been rock solid for the most part, allowing just 20.1 points per game. On the other side of the ball, the Panthers score just 20.9 points per game, so North Carolina should have some success stopping them as well. The under is 7-2 in Pittsburgh games this year and 7-1 in their last 8 conference games. I do not trust either offense at this point in the season and therefore I will take the under.

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Fri, Nov 15th - 7:00pm ET:
Louisiana Tech @ Marshall

Louisiana Tech
Marshall
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +4.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 56.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have won eight in a row – five against Conference USA rivals – since losing their season opener to Texas. They have defeated their four most recent opponents by at least 15 points. Senior quarterback J’Mar Smith has thrown 14 touchdown passes compared to just four interceptions and he has also rushed for 226 yards and two scores. The Marshall Thundering Herd are a decent 6-3, three of their victories have come by no more than five points. Marshall is just eighth in CUSA in passing defense. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four overall, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 on the road, 4-1 ATS in their last five against Conference-USA, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight against opponents with winning records. Marshall is 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall and 2-12 ATS in its last 14 at home. You may not even need the points with LOUISIANA TECH, but take them nonetheless.

Over Under Pick

An in-form Smith should be able to have his way with Marshall’s defense. At the same time, Louisiana Tech has not yet dealt with anything quite like the Thundering Herd rushing attack. The over is 14-5 in the Bulldogs’ last 19 after scoring more than 40 points in their previous outing. It is also 9-3 in the Thundering Herd’s last 12 overall, 5-0 in their last five at home, and 6-1 in their last seven against opponents with winning records. Look for this one to go OVER the total.

Fri, Nov 15th - 9:30pm ET:
Fresno State @ San Diego State

Fresno State
San Diego State
San Diego State Money Line
-111
Over 42.5 Game Totals
-111

Money Line Pick

The San Diego State Aztecs are a stellar 7-2 this season and will be eager to bounce back from a home loss to Nevada last weekend. It is safe to say that the Fresno State Bulldogs are without much momentum these days. Fresno State is saddled with a losing record both overall (4-5) and in the Mountain West Conference (2-3). San Diego State’s ability to stop the run could be the difference in this contest. The Aztecs lead the Mountain West by surrendering a mere 65.3 rushing yards per game on 2.4 yards per attempt. Fresno State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous outing. The Aztecs are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 against opponents with losing records. Go with SAN DIEGO STATE and don’t bother taking the one point.

Over Under Pick

Despite SDSU’s awesome run defense, a decent amount of points could be scored and this total is not high at all. Fresno State ranks in the top half of the conference in both rushing and passing offense, led by running back Ronnie Rivers (655 yards, 11 touchdowns). The over is 5-0 in the Bulldogs’ last five overall, 5-2 in their last seven following a loss, and 5-2 in their last seven after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous games. Lean toward the OVER.

Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Michigan State @ Michigan

Michigan State
Michigan
Michigan State +13.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Paul Bunyan Trophy is on the line, as the Michigan State Spartans visit the Big House in Ann Arbor for the annual clash with the 14th-ranked Michigan Wolverines. This rivalry tends to be a tough, gritty battle on the field. The Spartans looked to have the spread covered in their last game against Illinois, but blew a comfortable lead in the fourth quarter en route to a loss. Michigan is coming off a well-earned bye week and will be looking for their second consecutive victory over the Spartans. The Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Wolverines. However, MSU has struggled ATS in recent games, as they have failed to cover in each of their last five games. Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six games. This is a make-or-break game for the Spartans, which is why they should be able to hang around early, but the Wolverines have found a good balance on offense and have the tools to get the win, but a cover by the Spartans seems possible. Back the Spartans to cover 13.5 points.

Over Under Pick

The Spartans were able to score the most points they have scored in more than a month in their last game against Illinois. Michigan have scored 38 or more points in three of their last four games. The last three head-to-head meetings have been some of the lowest point totals in years.  The last two meetings have finished with 28 combined points or less. The Wolverines have had over totals in six of their nine games this season. If both teams can play to their potential an over 44 total is reachable. But based on recent head-to-heads, both teams play their hearts out and slow each other down. Back an under 44 total.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Indiana @ Penn State

Indiana
Penn State
Indiana +14.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 54.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Hoosiers have had an impressive year to this point as they find themselves 7-2 on the season. They will face yet another test as they make a visit to Happy Valley for a showdown with the 9th-ranked Nittany Lions. Penn State couldn’t quite overcome a tough road game with Minnesota, and they came up short. The Hoosiers have only beaten Penn State once in their last 10 tries. The Nittany Lions have covered the spread in just two of their last five games. Indiana is 5-1 ATS in their last six games. The Hoosiers will have a tough time overcoming the endless crowd noise to get the victory, but they are still a good bet to cover 14.5 points.

Over Under Pick

Both Indiana’s and Penn State’s offenses have been able to put points on the board this season. The Hoosiers have scored 31 or more points in each of their last six games. The lowest point amount being 31 in a nine-point loss at Michigan State. Penn State hasn’t been able to score the same amount of points they saw early in the season, as they have scored fewer than 30 points in each of their last four games. The Hoosiers and Nittany Lions have combined for over 50 points in each of their last three head-to-head meetings. Which favors the over in this match-up. With that in mind, an over 54.5 total is a good play.

 

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Wisconsin @ Nebraska

Wisconsin
Nebraska
Wisconsin -14.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 51.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Wisconsin Badgers will look to stay in the race for the Big Ten West Divison crown, as they visit Memorial Stadium in Lincoln. Nebraska has lost three-straight games since their last victory against Northwestern. The Badgers will be looking for their seventh consecutive win over the Cornhuskers. Covering the spread hasn’t been Wisconsin’s favorite thing to do as of late, they are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. Nebraska has seen an ugly stretch as they haven’t covered in any of their last six games. The Badgers have covered in five of the last eight head-to-head meetings against the Huskers. Wisconsin is the far better team and that is why they are a good pick to cover 14.5 points.

Over Under Pick

The Badgers have scored an average of 34 points in each of their last three games against Nebraska. The Cornhuskers have picked up their scoring as of late, after a stretch of scoring 13 or fewer points in three straight games. Nebraska has been able to score 27 or more points in their last two games. The Badgers have favored the under in five of their last six games, while Nebraska has been heavy on the over in their recent games. Given how high scoring the last six games between these teams have been, an over 51 total is worth backing.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Florida @ Missouri

Florida
Missouri
Florida -7.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Florida Gators almost certainly won’t be going to the SEC Championship with two losses, but it’s not like they are throwing in the towel. They rebounded from a loss to Georgia two weeks ago by hammering Vanderbilt 56-0. And it has to be said that Florida’s losses are nothing to be ashamed about; a 42-28 result against now-No. 1 LSU in a game that was closer than the score suggests and a 24-17 setback against the Bulldogs. Quarterback Kyle Trask continues to excel in his backup-turned-starter role. He has thrown 19 touchdowns compared to just six interceptions and 18 of his TDs have come in the past seven games. The Missouri Tigers have dropped three in row – two at the hands of Kentucky and Vanderbilt. The Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall, 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, and 5-1 ATS in their last six against the SEC. Missouri is 0-4 ATS in its last four overall and 0-4 ATS in its last four against the SEC. Back FLORIDA with plenty of confidence.

Over Under Pick

You can’t like Missouri’s chances of scoring many points on Saturday. They have combined for just 21 over its past three outings and quarterback Kelly Bryant has been dealing with a hamstring injury. Florida’s defense had no trouble shutting out Vanderbilt last weekend. The under is is 16-7 in the Gators’ last 23 after scoring more than 40 points in their previous outing. It is also 7-1 in the Tigers’ last eight overall, 7-1 in their last eight at home, and 5-1 in their last six against the SEC. Don’t think twice about taking the UNDER.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Alabama @ Mississippi State

Alabama
Mississippi State
Alabama -20.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 64.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Alabama Crimson Tide may take their anger out on the Mississippi State Bulldogs after suffering their first loss of the season to LSU this past weekend. Alabama had previously been cruising – beating every opponent by at least 19 points and everyone other than Texas A&M by at least 24 -before falling to the now-No. 1 team in the nation. The good news is that Tua Tagovailoa returned from a sprained ankle and threw for 418 yards and four touchdowns. Mississippi State disposed of lowly Arkansas in its most recent outing but had previously lost four in a row by double digits. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road against opponents with losing home records. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five against opponents with winning records. Count on the CRIMSON TIDE making this a rout.

Over Under Pick

It’s safe to say Tagovailoa is back with a vengeance. Alabama has scored at least 35 points in every contest this season and more than 40 all but once. The over is 4-1-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last six on the road and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight against the SEC. It is also 7-3 in the Bulldogs’ last 10 overall and 5-2 in their lasts seven against opponents with winning records. Lean toward the OVER.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
UMass @ Northwestern

UMass
Northwestern
UMass +40.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 56.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The UMass Minutemen have had about as ugly of a season as a team can have. The Wildcats aren’t too far behind. Both teams will be looking for just their second win of the season. The Minutemen have faced one other Big Ten foe this season and were routed by a struggling Rutgers team. Northwestern is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games, while UMass has failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games. The Wildcats have been near awful this season but should have a good shot at getting their second win of the year. However, backing the Minutemen to cover 40.5 points is the right call, as neither team’s offense has been very good this season.

Over Under Pick

Points have been tough to come by for both teams in this match-up. The Minutemen have given up 56 or more points in each of their last four games. The Wildcats were able to score the most points they have since September 14th, as they put up 22 points in a two-point loss to Purdue in their last game. UMass comes into this match-up averaging 20 points a game, while Northwestern has an average of 11 points per game. Both teams have struggled to score the football, and that is no different here. An over 56.5 point total just doesn’t seem reachable. Take the under.

Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Kansas @ Oklahoma State

Kansas
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -17.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Les Miles has improved the Kansas Jayhawks in his first season as head coach. Kansas enters this game with a record of 3-6 and is coming off 10-38 loss at home to Kansas State on Saturday. The Jayhawks are unlikely to make it to a bowl game as they have another tough opponent on Saturday against Oklahoma State. Meanwhile, the Oklahoma State Cowboys enter this game ranked 22nd in college football with a record of 6-3 and have won their previous two games in a row, including a 34-27 win over TCU. Oklahoma State is a superior team to Kansas this season and shouldn’t have a problem covering the 17.5-point spread.

Over Under Pick

Oklahoma State’s offense has been one of the best scoring offenses in college football, but that shouldn’t be a surprise as they are usually near the top in scoring each season. The defense of the Cowboys, on the other hand, has been dreadful as they rank 80th in points allowed per game with 29.33. Meanwhile, Kansas has been dismal on offense this season, ranking 88th in points per game with 25.78, and their defense has been worse ranking 110th in points allowed per game with 33.33. Given the way, the Cowboys can score points on offense, and the Jayhawks haven’t been able to stop anyone on defense this season, the over 67.5 points is looking like a solid play.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
TCU @ Texas Tech

TCU
Texas Tech
Texas Tech +3.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The TCU Horned Frogs came close to handing the Baylor Bears their first loss of the season. However, Baylor prevailed 29-23 in overtime. Meanwhile, the Texas Tech Red Raiders finally ended their three-game losing streak with a road win over the West Virginia Mountaineers by a score of 38-17. Both teams are in must-win mode if they are going to make it to a bowl game this season. They need to take two of their next three to do so. Texas Tech has been the better team in the series as of late winning six of the last 10 games and covering in seven of the previous 10 games. I look for that trend to continue with a Texas Tech cover in this game.

Over Under Pick

The offenses for both teams have been solid this season, with TCU ranking 48th and Texas Tech ranking 53rd with 32.22 and 31.56 points per game, respectively. Meanwhile, the defenses have also been solid this season, ranking 57th and 71st in points allowed per game this season. With the defenses only being average in this game, I’m on the over 55.5 points in this match-up on Saturday.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
Alabama State @ Florida State

Alabama State
Florida State
ALST +40.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 53 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Florida State bounced back in a big way by beating Boston College last week 38-31. They are now just one win away from becoming bowl eligible. Facing Alabama State is their cupcake game, so there is no reason why they should not win in a blowout. The Hornets are a FCS school out of the SWAC conference, and have won their last two games. In the FCS level, they have a playoff system, but Alabama State will not likely clinch a playoff spot. In their season opener against UAB, they lost by just 5 points, so there is a chance they will be able to keep this game within the number. This is not a game I would play because these teams are just on a different level. That being said, I have no faith in the Seminoles to cover, so my pick would be a very small lean on the Hornets.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is about 53 and I would probably look at the under. The Seminoles are scoring 28.3 points per game an are allowing 29 points per game. Alabama State scores 24.4 points an allows 25.8. Keep in mind that the Hornets play FCS level opponents, so look for them to have a lot more trouble. The under is 6-4 in Florida State games this season and that is where I lean for this game as well.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 12:00pm ET:
VMI @ Army

VMI
Army
Army Black Knights -34.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 62.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

This season has been disappointing for the Army Black Knights. Army entered this season with a lot of promise, and some expected them to finish with double-digit wins. However, the Black Knights sit at 4-6 and are in danger of not becoming bowl eligible. Army does have what should be their easiest game of the season this week againstVirginia Military Institute. The VMI Keydets are not a Division 1-A school. Instead, they play in Division 1-AA and are unlikely to make the playoffs in that division. The Keydets enter this game with a record of 4-6 and have lost their previous three games in a row. Army will look dominant in this game and should be able to cover the 34.5-point spread in the match-up.

Over Under Pick

VMI’s offense does not count in the Division 1-A standings. However, they are averaging 37 points per game, which is still solid at the Division 1-AA level. Meanwhile, the Black Knights have been below-average this season on offense, ranking 70th in points per game with 28.5. However, their defense has been one of the better units in college football ranking 30th in points allowed per game with 21 points. I don’t see VMI being able to score much if at all in this match-up, but I do see Army putting up a decent amount against an inferior opponent. However, I don’t see this game going over the 62.5-point total that Vegas has set for the game.

Sat, Nov 16th - 2:30pm ET:
Navy @ Notre Dame

Navy
Notre Dame
Navy +9.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 54.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Army was supposed to be the strongest service academy this season, but it is Navy with a number next to its name heading into this one. They are 7-1 with their only loss at well-regarded Memphis. If they can beat Notre Dame they might even jump into the New Year’s Six conversation. The how’s are the usual, the top running game in the country and a strong defense. They have been great against the spread too and 6-2 ATS. Notre Dame has won two in a row, but a couple of losses have brought their ceiling way down at this point. It’s the kind of situation that make you wonder if they are going to be tough enough to overcome Navy, a program they have struggled with in the past – 2-4 ATS over the last six seasons. These teams play every season and there is an aura there, but if this one gets a little messy it favors the middies. I will take Navy and the points here.

Over Under Pick

Navy’s option offense might churn up clock but they are also super effective at 40ppg, which is 9th in the nation. The total has gone over in all of their road games this season, all with numbers similar to this one. ND is just 3-6 O/U this season but they are such a popular team that their numbers get bet up. Their offense looked better last week so they have some momentum here. Take the over.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt

Kentucky
Vanderbilt
Kentucky -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 41.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Kentucky Wildcats did not hang around in the SEC East title discussion as long as they did last year, but this team is by no means uncompetitive. Kentucky lost to Florida 29-21, was tied with Georgia at halftime, and fell to Tennessee 17-13 last weekend. This team’s losses are not terrible, and it has generally got the best of lower-level competition. The Vanderbilt Commodores certainly qualify as such. Vanderbilt is 2-7 overall after getting humiliated by Florida 56-0 this past Saturday. The quarterback position has been a carousel for the Commodores of late, with Riley Neal expected to return from injury for this contest while Mo Hasan (concussion) is out. Kentucky is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 overall and 6-0 ATS in its last six on fieldturf. The Commodores are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall, 1-5 ATS in their last six at home, 1-5 ATS in their last six against the SEC, and 0-5 ATS in their last five against opponents with losing records. Roll with the WILDCATS.

Over Under Pick

No signal-caller has worked for Vanderbilt in 2019 and the QBs have combined for more touchdowns (nine) than interceptions (seven). Expect a defensive struggle between two teams woeful on offense and one team sold on defense (Kentucky). The under is 6-0 in the Wildcats’ last six overall and 8-2 in their last 10 on the road. It is also 5-1 in the Commodores’ last six overall and 4-1 in their last five at home. Additionally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Ohio State @ Rutgers

Ohio State
Rutgers
Ohio State -52 Point Spread
-109
Under 61.5 Game Totals
-109

Against The Spread Pick

The Buckeyes could be in for yet another week of explosive offense, as they visit Piscataway, New Jersey for a clash with the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Ohio State has looked near unstoppable as they have posted victory after victory en route to a 9-0 record. Penn State and Michigan are still to come. The Scarlet Knights have stood almost no chance against the Buckeyes over the years and are 0-5 all-time. Ohio State has blown out Rutgers in each of their meetings. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in each of their last eight games, while Rutgers is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. The Buckeyes should be heavy favorites to cover the 52-point spread, especially against a team they have shutout in two of the last three meetings.

Over Under Pick

The Scarlet Knights haven’t been very good at scoring points this season. Not only that, but the Knights have managed just three points total in their last three games against Ohio State. The Buckeyes have shutout Rutgers in two of the last three meetings. Ohio State has scored 52 or more points in each of their last three games against the Knights. It will be tough for Rutgers to score no doubt, but the Buckeyes scoring more than 61 points on the road, seems a little tough. Lean the under here.

 

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Wake Forest @ Clemson

Wake Forest
Clemson
Clemson -34.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 59.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Wake Forest may have been caught looking ahead as they were crushed last week by Virginia Tech. Clemson had no problem with NC State, beating them 55-10. Clemson is still looking to get back to the College Football Playoff and any loss at this point will eliminate them. Wake Forest on the other hand are just trying to get to the best bowl game that they can. They ruined pretty much any chance to win the ACC Atlantic Division with the loss to the Hokies. Clemson is 7-3 against the spread this season. They have not lost to the Demon Deacons in over a decade, meaning they just dominate this team each an every year. I do not trust Wake Forest at all after seeing how they played last week, which means I will take the Tigers minus the points as a lean.

Over Under Pick

The total is 59.0 in this game, and it will basically come down to how many points the Demon Deacons are actually going to score. They are averaging 35.7 points per game, but Clemson is only allowing 11.5 points per game. I do believe Wake is going to find some offense, which will force Clemson to score even more. Clemson also knows they need to impress the playoff committee, so points should be coming in bunches. I do not love this play, but if I had to play it, I would take the over.

Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Georgia @ Auburn

Georgia
Auburn
Georgia -3.0 Point Spread
+100
Over 40.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Georgia Bulldogs are in complete control of the SEC East and can get into the conference championship game even with another loss. But that doesn’t mean they will be taking things easy, as the Dawgs have College Football Playoff aspirations and obviously have to win out with a current record of 8-1 in order to make a return trip. UGA has rebounded nicely since losing to South Carolina, reeling off victories over Kentucky, Florida, and Missouri in succession. The Auburn Tigers have underwhelmed on the heels of a 6-0 start, with two losses in their last four and a modest 20-14 home win over Ole Miss two weeks ago. Quarterback Bo Nix has been picked off four times in the past four contests. Georgia is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 on the road, 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference games, and 13-5 ATS in its last 18 against opponents with winning records. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. It is also worth noting that the favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups. Go with the BULLDOGS.

Over Under Pick

On the bright side for Nix, he completed 30 of 44 passes for 340 yards against the Rebels. Georgia signal-caller Jake Fromm has thrown four touchdowns in the past two games and he has not thrown an interception in more than a month (Oct. 12). The over is 5-1 in the Bulldogs’ last six on the road against opponents with winning home records. It is also 5-0-1 in the Tigers’ last six following an off week. Look for this one to go OVER the total.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Texas @ Iowa State

Texas
Iowa State
Texas +7.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 66.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Texas Longhorns are finally back in the top 25 this week at #19. They enter this game with a record of 6-3 and are coming off a home win against Kansas State by a score of 27-24. The Longhorns became bowl eligible with that win and will look to continue to build momentum against Iowa State this Saturday. The Iowa State Cyclones are one win away from also becoming bowl eligible as they enter this game with a record of 5-4. The Cyclones are on a two-game losing streak after the 41-42 narrow loss against the Oklahoma Sooners last Saturday. This one should be one of the more exciting games this weekend. Texas has been the better team in the series winning eight of the previous 10 games and while I look for this to be a hard-fought win I do like the Longhorns with the 7 points.

Over Under Pick

These are two of the more prolific scoring offenses in college football this season, with Texas ranking 14th and Iowa State ranking 20th in points per game with 37.78 and 36.44 points, respectively. The defense for the Cyclones has been solid, allowing 25 points per game, which ranks 48th in college football. The defense for the Longhorns, on the other hand, has been sub-standard this season, ranking 90th in points allowed per game. The total for this game could go either way, but I have a slight lean on the under 66 points.

Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech

Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech +5.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Hokies did a great job to bounce back after their narrow loss to Notre Dame a couple weeks ago. They just beat Wake Forest 36-17 and controlled this game from the opening kickoff. The Hokies are now 3-2 in the ACC Coastal Division, but will finish with all conference opponents. They are already bowl eligible, but if they win out, they will travel to the ACC title game. Georgia Tech saw any hopes of a bowl game disappear last week as they lost the all important seventh game. They can no longer have a winning season and will only be able to play spoiler for the remainder of their games. At the very least, the Yellow Jackets put up a fight against Virginia and finally managed to cover a game as they lost by five. The underdog is 12-1 against the spread in the last 13 meetings between these two teams. Georgia Tech has won the last three meetings in a row with the Hokies and I believe they can keep this game close at home and will get the cover. This is not a strong lean by any means, but the Hokies have been too inconsistent this season, so I will take the points.

Over Under Pick

The total is sitting at around 50.5 or 51 and this just feels too high. Georgia Tech’s offense has continued to struggle, only averaging 18.3 points per game. The Hokies offense scores an average of 29.8 points per game, but then there are the games where they can barely score in the 20’s. For what it is worth, the Yellow Jackets defense has shown some improvement and I believe they will do enough to keep the Hokies from blowing them out. This is a very small lean, but the under is where I will look.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
West Virginia @ Kansas State

West Virginia
Kansas State
West Virginia +14.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This has been a down season for the West Virginia Mountaineers and they are struggling to become bowl eligible. West Virginia needs to win their three remaining games, and Saturday will be a struggle on the road against Kansas State. The Wildcats are already bowl eligible and enter this game ranked 24th in college football with a record of 6-3. Kansas State saw their three-game winning streak come to an end on the road against Texas by a score of 24-27. Kansas State is the better team this season. However, 14 points is a lot to give up to a team like West Virginia. The Wildcats will come away with the win, but I do like the Mountaineers getting points in this game.

Over Under Pick

West Virginia’s offense leaves a lot to be desired as they are only averaging 21.11 points per game this season, which ranks 110th in the nation. Meanwhile, the offense for the Wildcats has been solid this season, ranking 40th with 32.33 points per game. Kansas State’s defense has also been one of the best this season, allowing a meager 21.11 points per game, which is the 32nd fewest in college football. The defense for the Mountaineers, on the other hand, has been dreadful, ranking 110th with 32.11 points per game this season. I look for this game to be an exciting one, with the over 47.5 being one of the better options on Saturday’s slate.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 3:30pm ET:
Memphis @ Houston

Memphis
Houston
Memphis -10.0 Point Spread
-116
Under 71.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Memphis Tigers have dreams of being in a New Year’s Six Bowl, which means there is no letting their foot off the gas against anyone. They are going to blow out the Houston Cougars in this game. The Cougars have made it very clear they don’t care about this season and have lost three of the last four games with the only win coming by seven points against UConn. The big difference between these two teams is the offense. The Tigers are averaging 41 points per game while the Cougars are averaging only 30. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. The Tigers offense is going to be too much and that will lead to the Tigers winning this game and covering the spread.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 71.5 points per game and this is a total I don’t love. The Tigers at times have a good defense and this feels like a game where they could hold the Cougars under 20 points. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 home games. Under is 14-6 in Cougars last 20 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Back the under to cash this game as a slight lean.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 4:00pm ET:
Minnesota @ Iowa

Minnesota
Iowa
Minnesota +3.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Golden Gophers have been one of the biggest surprises of the season, and they will look to improve to 10-0 on the season. The Iowa Hawkeyes stand in their way. What are the Hawkeyes known for in November?  They have a reputation for upsetting unbeaten teams, especially at Kinnick Stadium. Minnesota proved doubters wrong with a victory over a top-four ranked Penn State team in their last game. The Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games, while Iowa is just 2-3 ATS in their last five. The Hawkeyes have beaten the Gophers each of the last three years, along with covering the spread in each of those games. Minnesota is 6-2-1 ATS this season and hasn’t had any real trouble covering since their September 14th match-up with Georgia Southern. This could be a defensive battle but backing the Gophers plus three points is the right call.

Over Under Pick

Iowa has found some ways to score the football in recent weeks, after struggling to produce in back-to-back losses against Penn State and Michigan early last month. Iowa’s loss against Wisconsin in their last game was the first game to finish with an over total in the Hawkeyes last eight games. Minnesota has finished with over totals in each of their last three games. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings have finished with under 30 combined points. Minnesota and Iowa should make for a very interesting match-up, and an over 44.5 total is the right call.

Sat, Nov 16th - 4:00pm ET:
Syracuse @ Duke

Syracuse
Duke
Duke -10.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 54.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Orange are coming off a bye, and will be hoping the week off changes their fortunes. They have struggled to play good football and they have lost four-games in a row, with their last loss to Boston College by a score of 58-27. They must win their final three games to become bowl eligible, but given how they look, this is very unlikely. Duke is also struggling, having lost three in a row and just got blown out by Notre Dame 38-7. The Blue Devils have scored a total of 38 points over their last three games, an average of 12.7 points per game. The Orange have been terrible against the spread going 2-7 in their nine games this season. Duke is the better team no doubt and I believe they have enough playmakers to win this game by the margin. I will take the Blue Devils laying the points as a lean in this game.

Over Under Pick

The total is set around 54 in this game and I would look to the under. Both offenses have gone through stretches where they just cannot score. Duke averages 27 points per game and the Orange average 24 points per game. Duke has a slightly better defense, allowing 27.2 points per game compared to the Orange, who allow 30.7 points per game. The under is 10-4 in Syracuse’s last 14 road games. The under is 2-0 in Duke’s last two games and that is where I lean in this Saturday afternoon game.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 4:30pm ET:
Stanford @ Washington State

Stanford
Washington State
Washington State -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 63.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both of these teams have four wins and are in tough spots if they want to go to a bowl game this season. That is especially true for Stanford, who will likely not be favored in any of its final three games. It looks like the prognosticators were right when they set their win total at 6.5 coming into the season, though I don’t think they could have seen all of the injuries. Right now their top two QBs are questionable, so be careful. Wazzu is in better shape hosting this one and then hosting Oregon State before the annual Apple Cup at Washington. It starts with getting this one, they have already lost three times outright as favorites this season. The formula is simple, throw the ball a lot (first in the nation), score some points (10th) and hope the defense is good enough (85th/30ppg). It is not rocket science.  I am taking the Cougars at home.

Over Under Pick

It is easy to think “over” with the Cougars and they have played to a 5-4 O/U record. The problem is their scoring and defense are undoubtedly baked into this total. In this one, I think they are going to be able to stymie a limited Stanford attack. I don’t trust a third strong QB on the road in Pullman with something on the line for both. Look for some mistakes and for this one to come in under.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 7:00pm ET:
Air Force @ Colorado State

Air Force
Colorado State
Air Force -10.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 63.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Air Force Falcons are still alive for the Mountain Division title in the Mountain West Conference. However, Air Force needs Boise State to lose two conference games, and the Falcons have to win out to play for the Conference Championship. The Falcons enter this game with a record of 7-2 and have won their previous four games, including a 17-13 win over Army, and should have an easy game again on Saturday against the Rams. Meanwhile, Colorado State sits with a record of 4-5 and needing to win two of their remaining three games to become bowl eligible. The Rams have been playing great over their previous three games, winning all three by double-digit points. This match-up could end up being a surprisingly close game. I look for Air Force to be dominant in this game and to cover the 10.5-point spread in the match-up.

Over Under Pick

The offenses in this game should be able to score a lot of points, as they have all season. Air Force ranks 28th in points scored per game with 34.44 while Colorado State ranks 52nd with 31.67. However, the defense for the Falcons is one of the best in college football as they have allowed the 29th fewest points per game this season with 20.89 a game. Meanwhile, the defense for the Rams hasn’t been as great, allowing 32 points per game, which ranks 97th in the nation. I look for the Falcons to come close to the 40 point mark in this game. I also look for the Rams to come close to the 30 point mark, making the over 63.5 points a near lock on Saturday.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 7:00pm ET:
LSU @ Ole Miss

LSU
Ole Miss
LSU -21.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 65.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Although the Ole Miss Rebels are just 4-6 (2-4 SEC), they have at least managed to be competitive for the most part. That is against every opponent aside from one. Ole Miss got blown out 59-31 on Sept. 28 by Alabama – an Alabama squad that just lost to the LSU Tigers last weekend. With that, LSU climbed to No. 1 in the rankings, both of the College Football Playoff and AP variety. Quarterback Joe Burrow has thrown an awesome 33 touchdowns compared to only four interceptions this season. Ole Miss has lost five of its last seven games and five of its last six against the SEC – including to Missouri by double-digits. LSU is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 overall, 14-5 ATS in their last 19 against the SEC, and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. The Rebels are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 at home and 1-6 ATS in their last seven following a win. Take the TIGERS.

Over Under Pick

Burrow has LSU’s offense looking like the best in the nation; no, this is not your typical Tiger squad. LSU has scored at least 36 points in eight of nine outings, including at least 65 twice. The over is 8-3-1 in the Tigers’ last 12 overall and 5-1 in their last six on the road. It is also 4-1 in the Rebels’ last five against opponents with winning records. Additionally, the over is 5-2 in LSU’s last seven trips to Ole Miss. Look for this one to go OVER the total.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 7:00pm ET:
Cincinnati @ South Florida

Cincinnati
South Florida
Cincinnati -14.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 50.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Bearcats have won 7 straight and are basically a lock to represent the East in the Conference USA Championship game. With the exception of a close win against UCF, they have been killing foes too. All of their other wins are by 10 points or more. That has helped against the number and  they are 6-3 ATS. This could be a look-ahead spot with a tougher game against Temple upcoming, but if they win that one there is nobody who can catch them. This team is good, but not awesome. USF needs two more wins to qualify for a bowl. That is going to be really tough with their schedule which includes the top three teams in CUSA. Last week’s home loss to Temple probably sealed their fate so I can see this as being a huge emotional letdown spot. Coach Charlie Strong is going to find it really tough if they get down early, which is likely. Take the Bearcats on the road. They are better and have stuff to play for.

Over Under Pick

USF struggles to score against quality competition, they have not scored over 21 points in any of their losses. Cincy is a sounds defensive team and will make it hard for them to get yards without paying the price. They are going to be super physical and wear them down which is exactly what he Bulls don’t want. Take the under.

Sat, Nov 16th - 7:30pm ET:
Louisville @ North Carolina State

Louisville
North Carolina State
Louisville -4.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 55.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Louisville was a hot pick last week catching 6.5 points, but they went into Miami and just got steamrolled. The score in that one was 52-27. The Cardinals will now be trying to rebound to salvage their season by winning their sixth game. At this point, Lousiville will just want to make it to a bowl game, so they should come to play in this game. NC State also got steamrolled last week, except it was expected because they played Clemson. The Wolfpack have lost three games in a row and now need two wins out of their last three games to clinch a bowl game. NC State are 2-7 against the spread this season and 2-3 ATS at home. I believe Louisville is the better team and they are laying less than a touchdown on the road. That is enough for me to back them here.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set around 56 and I will be looking at the under. The Cardinals defense has been getting shredded, allowing 34.1 points per game. Even with that being said, NC State scores just 23.2 points per game, so I think the Wolfpack are going to continue to struggle. The under is 10-3 in NC State’s last 13 games as an underdog. The under is also 19-7 in the Wolfpack’s last 26 games in the conference. The under is also 2-0 in the last head to head meetings between these two teams and that is where I will go for this game.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 7:30pm ET:
South Carolina @ Texas A&M

South Carolina
Texas A&M
South Carolina +11.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 50.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The South Carolina Gamecocks are almost certainly not going to a bowl game this season, but it is not entirely bad news for them with respect to their chances of being competitive against Texas A&M Aggies. South Carolina played Alabama tough for a half and keep in mind that this is a team that actually upset Georgia on the road. Moreover, Texas A&M is far from spectacular. In addition to their three setbacks, the Aggies almost fell to Arkansas – the worst team in the SEC. Quarterback Kellen Mond has been sacked 20 times in 2019. The Gamecocks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 following a loss and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 on the road against opponents with winning home records. Texas A&M is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 at home against opponents with losing road records and 7-20 ATS in its last 27 following an off week. It is also worth noting that the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head matchups. Take South Carolina and the points.

Over Under Pick

Despite being under pressure, Mond has accounted for 23 total touchdowns (17 passing) compared to just six interceptions. Texas A&M’s offense is in fine form right now, but its defense surrendered 30 points to Mississippi State in late October. The over is 5-2 in the Aggies’ last seven overall, 5-0 in their last five at home, and 7-2 in their last nine after scoring more than 40 points in their previous outing. Lean toward the OVER.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 7:30pm ET:
Oklahoma @ Baylor

Oklahoma
Baylor
Baylor +10.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 67.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

This match-up will be one of the most exciting games in week 12 of the college football season. The best offense in the Big 12 takes on the best defense in the Big 12 when the Oklahoma Sooners travel to take on the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma have suffered one loss on the season, but with a win in this game, they would be right back in the College Football Playoff hunt. Meanwhile, the Baylor Bears remain one of only a few teams left in college football undefeated. However, they have gotten very little respect even though they are a Power-5 team and undefeated. Baylor is ranked 13th in the Playoff Rankings, but with a win over Oklahoma would likely move into the top eight. Baylor has covered in six of the last 10 in the series. The Bears have covered in four of their last six games overall. Oklahoma will get the win, but the Bears will get the cover.

Over Under Pick

Oklahoma is the 2nd highest-scoring team in college football this season with 48.44 points per game. Baylor’s defense is allowing the 17th fewest points per game this season with 17 a game while their offense has also looked good, ranking 27th with 35.33 a game. However, the Sooners defense is the weakest in this game even though it is a solid unit ranking 49th with 25 points allowed per game this season. The over has hit in six of the previous ten games in the series. I look for the over 67.5 point total to be the perfect play in this game on Saturday.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 8:00pm ET:
UCLA @ Utah

UCLA
Utah
Utah -21.0 Point Spread
-116
Under 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

However unlikely it seems, there is a path for UCLA to win the PAC 12 South. It starts with a win over Utah though and that is very tough, especially in Salt Lake City. The fact that there is even a way forward is because UCLA has won three in a row and controls its own destiny. All three wins have been covers as the offense has come alive, finally, scoring 31 or more in four straight. If they can do that against Utah then they deserve to win the division. Utah may have a path too, to the College Football Playoffs, but they also need to be perfect from here on out. Their final three league games are more than winnable but they may want to apply some style too.   It has been a couple of weeks since they won at Washington but I have a lot of faith that the coach will have them frothing at the mouth. They have not given up more than 17 points at home this season. Take the Utes.

Over Under Pick

Only two Utah games have gone over this season, that Washington game and a home date with Northern Illinois. Last year the Utes held UCLA to just 10 points and I am not seeing them get much more than that this time. Utah is a huge favorite and their best way to get an impressive margin is to really shut down the Bruins, as they did to Cal, ASU, Oregon State and Washington State. Take the under.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 10:15pm ET:
New Mexico @ Boise State

New Mexico
Boise State
Boise State -28.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 59.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The New Mexico Lobos and Boise State Broncos play late night on Saturday and in this game the value lies with the underdog. The Lobos are a terrible team but for the most part this year they have kept their losses at least somewhat close, and they have had success against the spread against the Broncos. The Lobos are 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings against Boise State. The underdog is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings between the two teams.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is set at 59 and the play is with the under. On the season the Broncos are giving up only 18 points per game at home and that is going to be enough to keep this game under. Under is 4-0 in Lobos last 4 games following a ATS loss. Under is 6-1 in Lobos last 7 conference games. Under is 5-1 in Lobos last 6 games overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boise State. Under is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 conference games. Back the under to get the job done.

Sat, Nov 16th - 10:30pm ET:
Arizona Wildcats @ Oregon

Arizona Wildcats
Oregon
Oregon -27.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 68.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Arizona is really up against it. They need two more wins, but take on the two best teams in the PAC 12 back to back – Oregon and then Utah. They are going to come up short unless they catch fire somehow. That seems very unlikely for a team that has lost four in a row, all by at least 10 points or more. I am starting to think that Kevin Sumlin might be on the hot seat just a couple of years in. Khalil Tate has been a mess and what can he say has worked under his tenure?  Oregon knows that it needs to keep winning and turn some heads while doing so. They were impressive against USC, but their opponents down the stretch are lacking so they need to turn up the juice. The defense was really good early and a return of that would be ideal. At home against an Arizona team that is reeling, they should be able to name their score. Take Oregon, even with the huge number.

Over Under Pick

The best thing that Oregon can do here is win, dominate and cover. I think they will be motivated and I am expecting the defense to be really sharp as they try and impress the “committee”. Last year they won by 29 and the game went under. Look for a similar result here, something along the lines of 49-10, should do it. Take the under.

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Sat, Nov 16th - 11:00pm ET:
USC @ California

USC
California
USC -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 48.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This is the second of back-to-back road games for USC and that is never a good situation. They bounced back from a home loss against Oregon to beat Arizona State last week and are looking to avenge a one-point loss from a year ago. They might have to do so without QB Kedon Slovis, who is questionable. They need him against a Bears defense that is one of the best in the conference. Someone has to be able to get the ball to that receiving corps. Cal put an end to a four-game losing streak in their last game, upsetting Washington State at home. In doing so they scored a season-high 33 points.  That was thanks to Devin Modster, who returned to health and had the best collegiate game of his career. They were able to run the ball too and Cal will have the advantage of facing a weak USC defense. I am not sure I can get behind a repeat good offensive performances though. Take USC, even on the road.

Over Under Pick

Only two Cal games have gone over this season, one was last week. For USC, half of their games have gone over including their last three. The USC defense is leaky and their offense has periods of looking unstoppable. If Slovis is healthy and in the lineup then I would go with the over, just be sure of it first. Cal will contribute what they can.

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