College Football Week 2 Picks & Predictions For 2019

Wake Forest -18.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 56.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

This Friday night match-up features the Wake Forest Demon Deacons out of the ACC and the Rice Owls of Conference USA. Wake squeaked out a win against he Utah State Aggies, while Rice lost to Army. Wake scored 38 points in their opener but allowed 35. Rice was a 23.5 point underdog and managed to hold Army to just 14 points which led to them easily covering. The Demon Deacons opened as an 18 point favorite and are a better team team than Army. This is a game I would not bet big because it is still Wake. I lean to Wake covering the spread, but this is one for small stakes.

Over Under Pick

The total opened at around 56.5 and this feels way too high. Yes, the total went way over in week one for the Demon Deacons, but the opposite was true in the Rice game. I see Wake Forest having another week of success on the offensive side of the ball, while I think Rice will continue to struggle. My official pick is the under and I look for the Demon Deacons to do almost all the scoring.

Fri, Sep 6th - 9:00pm ET:
Marshall @ Boise State

Marshall

Boise State

Boise State -12.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 56.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Marshall Thundering Herd are ready for the possible upset here on Friday night as they take on Boise State. However, there is a bit of a problem with that potential upset. The mighty Broncos are one of the best teams in the CFB at home as they embrace that blue turf. Boise State has the better talent and depth and it showed in the comeback victory against Florida State. Coming into this game the Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win. Take the Broncos and ride them to victory here.

Over Under Pick

One of the key trends in College Football is if the team has a very reliable quarterback that can do it all, the Over is always in play. That is the case here as both teams have great quarterbacks who can move the ball through the air and on the ground. Last week both of these teams crossed the 35 point marker and there should be no problem for these two teams to do it again. The Over is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 road games as well as 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following an ATS loss. Take the Over here folks.

Sat, Sep 7th - 11:00am ET:
Ohio @ Pittsburgh Panthers

Ohio

Pittsburgh Panthers

Ohio +5.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 54.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Bobcats started the season 1-0 in beating Rhode Island 41-20. On the other side, Pittsburgh suffered a conference loss to Virginia by a final score of 30-14. Ohio looked impressive on offense, picking up 466 yards in total. They relied on their rushing game a ton as they ran for 278 yards. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh had just 263 yards of total offense. They had 185 passing yards and just 78 yards on the ground. Both teams gave up over 300 yards on defense, but Ohio had a very stout run defense. I really just have no faith in Pittsburgh as they looked like a mess in week one. I will take the Bobcats and the points and I actually think Ohio could win this game outright.

Over Under Pick

Both teams saw the total go under in their first game of the year and that is where I lean in this game. Pittsburgh has shown no ability to score and I think Ohio will get slowed down now that are playing a better team. Ohio also loves to run, so I could see them chewing up the clock for the majority of this game. The under is 20-7-1 in the Panthers last 28 games overall and that is my pick for this week two game.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
UAB @ Akron

UAB

Akron

Akron +9.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 46.0 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

If the opener is any indication, the Akron Zips are going to be in for a long season of football. In the first game they played Illinois, and although they aren’t as good as them, they looked terrible, especially on the offensive side. UAB didn’t look much better, even though they came out with a win. They were 40 point favorites against Alcorn State and won by only five points. I think they are the better team, but on the road I don’t trust them to cover this number. Back the home team to cover as underdogs.

Over Under Pick

UAB’s offense didn’t look elite in game one, and I think that is what will keep Akron in this game. Akron’s offense isn’t great, and this is going to be a low scoring game. Under is 9-4 in Blazers last 13 road games. Under is 9-1 in Zips last 10 non-conference games. Back the under in this game.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Cincinnati @ Ohio State

Cincinnati

Ohio State

Cincinnati +16.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 56.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

A showdown between a pair of teams from the State of Ohio as the Cincinnati Bearcats (1-0) visits the Horseshoe to face off with the 5th-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0). The Bearcats are coming off a comfortable win at home in their season opener against UCLA, covering the 2.5 spread and the Buckeyes were able to get a win over FAU in their first game. Ohio State will have to play much better on both sides of the ball if they want to avoid an upset by a solid Cincinnati team. These teams have met five times in previous seasons, with the Buckeyes covering in three of those five games. However, Ohio State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Ohio State failed to cover in their opener against a struggling Owls team, and the Buckeyes will have a rough time covering in this match-up as well. The Buckeyes will get the win, but Cincinnati is a good pick to cover.

Over Under Pick

The total has gone under in all five of Cincinnati’s last five games on the road while the total has gone over in four of Ohio State’s last five games. The Bearcats and Bruins combined for 38 points in their season opener which was well under the 56.5 Total. In Ohio State’s victory over Florida Atlantic, the teams combined for 66 points which scraped over the line of 64 total points. This game should see something quite similar, with a slight lean to the over.

College Football Playoff Storylines for Week 14

LSU poised to snag No. 1 spot in first College Football Playoff rankings

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Army @ Michigan

Army

Michigan

Army +22.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 47.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Army Black Knights (1-0) pay a visit to the Big House in Ann Arbor, Michigan to face the 7th-ranked Michigan Wolverines (1-0). Both teams were able to get wins in week one to open the season. The Black Knights were squeaked a seven-point win against Rice, while Michigan pulled away late to get a 19-point victory over Middle Tennesse State. The Wolverines stumbled out of the gates, and although the Blue Raiders ultimately got beat they sure gave the Michigan defense all they had. Army’s triple-option should make this game even more interesting and Army is 10-0 in their last 10 games. Both teams have struggled ATS in their last few games. Army is 2-4, while Michigan is 0-5. If the Black Knights don’t fall behind early, they could have a shot to even pull the upset. However I like Michigan to get the win, but Army will cover.

Over Under Pick

The under was a good play in four of Army’s last six games. The total opposite of that is that in five of Michigan’s last six games the final total was over. However in four of Michigan’s last five games against a team from the Independent conference the final total was under. Michigan may have put up 40 points in their series opener, but if Army can really get to running in this match-up that should eat up a lot of the clock, and limit Michigan from scoring more than a couple of touchdowns. Take the under in this game.

Big Ten Basketball: The Top Contenders in the Conference

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Rutgers @ Iowa

Rutgers

Iowa

Iowa -19.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 50.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The first Big Ten Conference game of the season, sees the Rutgers Scarlet Knights on the road visiting Kinnick Stadium, to face-off with the Iowa Hawkeyes. Both the Scarlet Knights and Hawkeyes pulled out wins in their season openers, but they both started out slow on the way to those wins. Rutgers enters at 1-11 in their last 12 games. Iowa is 4-1 in their last five games. Though Rutgers has lost five of their last six games, they did cover the spread in all six of those games. Iowa, on the other hand, is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. These teams last met back in 2016 in a 14-7 win for Iowa, in a game where the Hawkeyes were favored by 14. The Scarlet Knights have been able to perform at a level where they can cover the spread but ultimately can’t get the wins they need to have strong seasons. I don’t like Rutgers against the spread in this one. Take Iowa to get the win and also cover.

Over Under Pick

Rutgers has seen a lot of games with under totals, as five of their last seven games resulted have eded that way. The most recent meeting between the Hawkeyes and Scarlet Knights saw the teams combine for just 21 points in a game where the over-under was set at 56. This match-up has an over-under of 50, but with Rutgers struggling to produce points in their last three Big Ten games, the under in this match-up is still a good call.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Syracuse @ Maryland

Syracuse

Maryland

Syracuse +2.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 56.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams in this week two match-up between the 22nd ranked Syracuse Orange and the Maryland Terrapins are coming off shutout victories in their season openers. Syracuse was able to take care of business against Liberty University, while Maryland blew out Howard. The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and the Terps have covered the spread in five of their last six games at home. In contrast, Syracuse has won three straight games, while Maryland 1-4 in their last five. The spread is a small margin in this match-up at 2. It should be a close game, and could even come down to a field goal. I like Maryland to get the win, but Syracuse will cover.

Over Under Pick

Maryland had a scoring explosion in their opener as they put up 79 points in a shutout. Syracuse also was able to blank their opponent in their opener in a 24-0 win over Liberty. The total has gone over in four of Maryland’s last six games. The under was a good play in four of Syracuse’s last six games. The total for this game is 56 and with that in mind and the rate that both teams have been able to score points, the over is a good play in this one.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Vanderbilt @ Purdue

Vanderbilt

Purdue

Vanderbilt +7.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 56.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams in this match-up will be looking for their first win of the season, as the Vanderbilt Commodores (0-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to face-off against the Purdue Boilermakers (0-1). Vandy is coming off a loss against the Georgia Bulldogs, while Purdue lost on a last-second field goal against Nevada. The Commodores are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games while the Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five. Both teams will be looking for better results in this game. Like the spread says it should be a close game. I like Purdue to get the win, but Vanderbilt will cover.

Over Under Pick

The total was over in four of Purdue’s last six games. In four of Vanderbilt’s last five games under was a good call. Vanderbilt could only muster six points in their season opener, while Purdue was able to put up 31 points in a 34-31 loss. This match-up should see both teams have better days and that is why the over is a good play.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
West Virginia @ Missouri

West Virginia

Missouri

West Virginia +13.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 62.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both the Missouri Tigers and West Virginia Mountaineers are coming off lackluster opening games and will try to turn things around on Saturday. At least West Virginia won, scraping past James Madison 20-13. The same cannot be said of the Tigers, who jumped out to a 14-0 lead over Wyoming only to allow 27 points in the second quarter en route to a 37-31 loss. Missouri averaged just 2.7 yards per rush, as neither quarterback Kelly Bryant nor running backs Tyler Badie and Larry Rountree III were able to get much going on the ground. West Virginia is 4-0 ATS in its last four September games, 14-3 ATS in its last 17 on the road against opponents with losing records, and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six after allowing less than 20 points in its previous outing. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six against the Big 12. Go with the MOUNTAINEERS.

Over Under Pick

Missouri’s ground game was anemic and things will only get more difficult against West Virginia. West Virginia was even worse running the football, also against lesser competition. The Mountaineers gained a mere 34 yards on 24 attempts. The under is 4-1 in the Mountaineers’ last five non-conference contests. It is also 5-2 in the Tigers’ last seven overall, 6-1 in their last seven against the Big 12, and 4-0 in their last four on fieldturf. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Bowling Green @ Kansas State

Bowling Green

Kansas State

Bowling Green +24.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 58.0 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

These are two teams who both blew out their week one competition, and now this is a step up in challenge for both teams. The Falcons breezed past Morgan State 46-3, while K-State beat Nicholls State 49-14. The first game was a good chance for quarterback Skyler Thompson to get some confidence with the Wildcats, but against the Falcons defense I think he could struggle a bit more. Don’t get me wrong, he will still move the ball, but I think he will labor enough to keep the Falcons in it. Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12. Back the underdog to get the job done.

Money Line Pick

Both of these offenses proved they could score in week one, and even though the Wildcats want to be known as a defensive team, Chris Klieman doesn’t have all of his recruits with him yet, which means this year they won’t be as strong. The Falcons rushed for 333 yards in game one, and that should help the offense score. Over is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 road games. This game shouldn’t have much trouble going over the number.

Sat, Sep 7th - 12:00pm ET:
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech

Old Dominion

Virginia Tech

Old Dominion +28.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 56.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Old Dominion started their season off with a win over Norfolk State. However, they were a 25.5-point favorite in this game and only won the game by three points. Virginia Tech lost to Boston College to open the season. They were a 4.5-point favorite and lost the game by 7. Most recently, we saw these two teams meet in 2018. Old Dominion were a 27.5-point favorite and won the game outright by 14 points. Virginia Tech will likely have that game in the back of their minds as they prepare for this game. Virginia Tech is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games played on grass. Four touchdowns is a lot to lay, so I will take the Monarchs to cover in this game.

Over Under Pick

Last year the game between these two teams flew over the total. The over is 8-3 in the Monarchs last 11 games overall. The over is also 18-7-1 in Old Dominion’s last 26 games as an underdog. The over is 19-6-1 in the Hokies last 26 non-conference games. The Virginia Tech defense looked terrible against Boston College and there is no way they will shut down the Monarchs. I look for the over to be the play here, but would bet this one very small.

Sat, Sep 7th - 1:00pm ET:
Northern Illinois @ Utah

Northern Illinois

Utah

Utah -21.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 43.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Northern Illinois has a nice brand but the program has come down from recent highs. They are looking to get back to being the bully in the MAC with a new head coach this season. Last week they took on FCS Illinois State and won 24-10, covering a 7-point spread. The interesting note from the result was the strong passing attack. Usually when Northern Illinois is at its best they are running the ball right at you and having balance. Meanwhile Utah looked strong in its opener at BYU. The rivalry game turned into a relatively easy win for the Utes, 30-12. Utah is another team that wants a really balanced attack. They ran the ball at BYU with Zach Moss, and Ty Huntley did enough through the air, missing just three throws. Utah has one of the best defensive fronts in the country though and that as much as anything is why they are heavy favorites at home. Take the Utes even though you have to give up three scores. The gap is that big.

Over Under Pick

The total is really low on this one and when you combine that with a big spread it is looking like a blowout for the Utes. It is not Utah’s style to run things up but there is a big gap in this one. Also, even if they are down the Huskies are likely to keep their starters in so they can get reps against the best team they might see all season. Take the over.

College Football Playoff Storylines for Week 14

Sat, Sep 7th - 2:00pm ET:
South Florida @ Georgia Tech

South Florida

Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech -6.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 62.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams were demolished in their opening game of the season. South Florida were shut out 49-0 against Wisconsin. Georgia Tech took a beating to Clemson 52-14. The Bulls probably played their worst game in a long time as they totaled only 157 yards. They only rushed for 26 yards as well which is head scratching to say the least. Tech on the other hand, found a little success on the offensive end, but still looked very bad. They totaled 294 yards on Clemson, but should have easily scored more than 14 points. The Bulls are 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 games overall and I do not see them doing much on offense in this game as well. I will take the Yellow Jackets as a lean, but would only bet them small because they are not yet used to their new offensive scheme.

Over Under Pick

The under has to be the way you look in this game. Yes, Georgia Tech saw the total go over in week one, but they did play the number one team in the country. This is more a play against South Florida because I do not see how they will score a bunch of points. I like Tech to start to play better offensively and score majority of the points in this game. The under is 8-3 in Georgia Tech’s last 11 games as a home favorite and that is where I will go in this game.

Sat, Sep 7th - 3:30pm ET:
Texas A&M @ Clemson

Texas A&M

Clemson

Texas A&M +17.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 64.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Clemson looked impressive in week one of the season covering the 36 points spread against Georgia Tech and winning the game 52-14. However, Trevor Lawrence showed some signs of struggles in the game throwing for two interceptions with only one touchdown. The defense for Clemson was impressive as well allowing 14 points and 294 yards. Texas A&M looks like they could be a sleeper in the SEC West this season also covering the spread. Kellen Mond looked impressive throwing for three touchdowns and running another one in against Texas State. Last year when these two teams met, it was one of the best games of the season, and I look for this game to also be fun to watch. I look for Texas A&M to win with the 17.5 points.

Over Under Pick

Last year there were plenty of fireworks on the scoreboard as both teams combined for 54 points and that was with the vaunted defensive front of Clemson. This season the defensive line isn’t as good, nor should it be expected to be as three players from the defensive line were drafted in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. There are likely to be a lot of fireworks again this season as both offenses can score in a multitude of ways and both possess potent offenses, and that showed in week one. Clemson scored 52 points against Georgia Tech while the Aggies scored 41 against Texas State. I look for the over 64.5 to be the right side in this game.

LSU poised to snag No. 1 spot in first College Football Playoff rankings

Sat, Sep 7th - 3:30pm ET:
Illinois @ UConn Huskies

Illinois

UConn Huskies

UConn Huskies +21.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 59.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Fighting Illini will head to Connecticut this Saturday to take on the UConn Huskies. Illinois has been relentless recently. They’re riding high into this game having just eradicated Akron in their home opener, 42-3. Illinois has been on a rampage since they first set foot on the field this season. In their opening game, they secured over 400 yards thanks to evenly splitting their attack between the ground and the air. They are averaging 42 PPG on offense. QB Brandon Peters (163 yards, 3 TDs) has been playing phenomenally, and their defense has been amazing. All that being said, the Huskies have had a solid season as well. Their defense is strong, which showed when they held Wagner at 21 last week. The Huskies’ star running back, Kevin Mensah has paced his team well, and will likely be a huge player in Saturday’s game. Illinois will definitely win this game, but the Huskies will definitely cover.

Over Under Pick

The under is 4-0 in the Huskies’ last 4 vs. Big Ten, and the under is 4-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last 4 non-conference games. Both these teams have great defenses. Take the under on this one.

Sat, Sep 7th - 3:30pm ET:
Nebraska @ Colorado

Nebraska

Colorado

Colorado +3.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 64.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

This is a fun matchup between former B12 rivals. There is a lot of buzz about Nebraska coming into the season. Scott Frost returned home last season and the faitfhul are hoping he can restore the glory of his playing days. They do have a fun quarterback in Adrian Martinez. He can makes plays with his arm and his legs. The offense should be good but the defense needs work if they are going to be elite. They will have to cover one of the best receivers in the country. That receiver is Leviska Chenault. The name might not be totally familiar but combine him with senior QB Stephen Montez and you get big time production, sometimes enough to keep it close against better teams. The Buffs rolled against Colorado State last week and these teams played a close one last season. They are home dogs. I am leaning towards that side.

Over Under Pick

The game last season went under in a Colorado win. Montez to Chenault was awesomes (177 yards) even on the road. Martinez did more with his legs than with his arm but look for the Buffs to shut that down this season with new coach and former DC extraordinaire Mel Tucker. The total is a smidge higher than last year but I see this one going under. Colorado stalls out the game with the lead.

Sat, Sep 7th - 3:30pm ET:
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Mississippi State

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Mississippi State

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles +16.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 51.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are breaking in a new quarterback with transfer Tommy Stevens taking over, and he led them to a 38-28 victory over Louisiana-Lafayette last weekend while throwing for 236 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Still, it was not exactly an overwhelming performance by the Bulldogs. They mostly grinded it out on offense without generating many big plays, so they will have to be better against a Southern Miss Golden Eagles defense that held Alcorn State to 219 total yards and forced a pair of turnovers in a 38-10 season-opening win. Defensive back D.Q. Thomas keyed that effort with an interception and two tackles for loss. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall, 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 non-conference contests, 5-2 ATS in their last seven against the SEC, and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 September games. Getting 17 points for SOUTHERN MISS should be enough.

Over Under Pick

Southern Miss scored 38 points against Alcorn State, but two of the touchdowns came courtesy of special-teams returns. Mississippi State probably won’t let that happen. The under is 8-2-1 in the Golden Eagles’ last 11 non-conference contests and 3-0-1 in their last four against the SEC. It is also 12-4 in the Bulldogs’ last 16 overall, 4-1 in their last five at home, and 7-1 in their last eight against opponents with winning records. The UNDER is the play.

Sat, Sep 7th - 3:30pm ET:
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin

Central Michigan

Wisconsin

Central Michigan +35.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 51.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both Central Michigan (1-0) and Wisconsin (1-0) were able to not only win their season openers but also cover the spread. The Chippewas defeated Albany 38-21, while the Badgers got a very convincing 49-0 shutout on the road at South Florida. Central Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is 3-2 ATS in their last five. The Badgers are favored by 35 points in this game, but it just doesn’t seem realistic at this point. Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor will be hard to stop and he will be a key part in Wisconsin getting the win, but the Chippewas showed they could score points in their opener and I like them to cover.

Over Under Pick

The total has gone under in five of Central Michigan’s last seven games. Much like CMU, in six of Wisconsin’s last seven games, the under was a good play. This match-up has an over-under of 51.5 which if both teams can replicate their week one performances could easily hit the over, but this game just doesn’t seem like either team will be able to score over 40 points by themselves. Wisconsin’s last two games had under in games against decent opponents. Roll with the under in this one, but it will be a close one.

Sat, Sep 7th - 4:00pm ET:
New Mexico State @ Alabama

New Mexico State

Alabama

Alabama -55.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 64.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off a 42-3 victory over Duke at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, which is basically their home away from home. As for the New Mexico State Aggies, they got blown out at Washington State 58-7. That does not bode well for the underdog’s chances of keeping this one within 50. Alabama struggled briefly and was scoreless with the Blue Devils through one quarter, but the defending SEC champions picked up the pace in a big way in the second half and thus should be feeling good about themselves. The usual suspects were up to their usual tricks; quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (336 yards, four touchdowns) and wideout Jerry Jeudy (10 catches, 137 yards, one touchdown) predictably dominated. The Aggies are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 non-conference contests, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 against the SEC, and 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 against opponents with winning records. Alabama is 5-2 ATS in its last seven September games. Go with the CRIMSON TIDE.

Over Under Pick

Washington State moved the ball at will against New Mexico State, which means Alabama probably cannot be stopped–perhaps not on a single drive. Tagovailoa, the Heisman Trophy runner-up last season, was 26-of-31 passing against Duke. Those 26 completions were a career high. The over is 9-2 the Aggies’ last 11 against the SEC and 35-17-1 in their last 53 on the road. It is also 5-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last seven non-conference contests and 4-1 in their last five against opponents with losing records. Take the OVER with confidence.

College Football Playoff Storylines for Week 14

Alabama close to controlling its own destiny despite loss to LSU

Sat, Sep 7th - 4:15pm ET:
San Diego State @ UCLA

San Diego State

UCLA

San Diego State +7.5 Point Spread

-116

Under 46.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

San Diego State is not intimidated by playing the PAC 12. They have beaten those “big brother” types a number of times since Rocky Long took over. SDSU had one the most interesting results last week winning 6-0 against Weber State. A shutout is nice and they zoomed under the low total, but 6 points! That does not bode well for their new offense – a run-heavy version of the spread. Still this is a winnable spot. UCLA did not look good against Cincinnati in their opener. The Bearcats are a really good team but it is obvious that the Bruins are still a long way away from what we expect on offense. Top rusher from last year Josh Kelley did not play last week but is expected to be ready for this one. That makes a huge difference as Kelly really wants to run the ball. SDSU knows that too and they are getting more than a TD to work with. I like the dogs here.

Over Under Pick

Given that these teams combined for 20 points last week a low total was to be expected. That is the way that SDSU wants to play, but Kelly wouldn’t mind if he could get them out of their comfort zone. He just doesn’t have the team to do it. Correlated with the spread choice let’s take the under here with SDSU controlling the game more than the Bruins.

Sat, Sep 7th - 5:00pm ET:
UL Monroe Warhawks @ Florida State

UL Monroe Warhawks

Florida State

Florida State -21.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 63.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Willie Taggert is officially in the hot seat after Saturday’s loss to Boise State. The Seminoles led the Broncos 31-19 in the first half before being shutout in the second half and losing 31-36. Taggert’s excuse for the loss was hydration, so he is grasping for straws. Meanwhile, the Warhawks started the season out great winning against Grambling 31-9. This week will be more difficult, but I’m not sure if Florida State has not lost all of their confidence. The players for the Seminoles are going to have to play for their coach’s job if they want to save it. I like Florida State in this game though even with giving up 21 to the Warhawks.

Over Under Pick

Florida State scored 31 points in the first half of last week’s game before getting shutout in the second half against Boise State. The offense was clicking on all cylinders. They have to play like that for a full matchup. While the Warhawks did score 30 points, they did so against an FCS school in the Grambling State Tigers and will face a stricter defense in Florida State. I look for both teams to score but not enough to go over the 63 point total that Vegas has set for the game.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:00pm ET:
BYU @ Tennessee

BYU

Tennessee

BYU +3.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 52.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Tennessee Volunteers are coming off what many would consider the worst defeat in program history. They suffered a shocking 38-30 loss at the hands of Georgia State that was not even as competitive as the score suggests, because Tennessee scored a last-second touchdown just to reach the 30-point mark. UT managed only 93 yards rushing while allowing Georgia State to amass 213 yards on the ground and convert 10 of 17 third-down attempts. The BYU Cougars were error-prone against Utah, but they still looked better than Tennessee despite facing much stiffer competition. The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall, 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games, 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 non-conference contests. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games, 1-4 ATS in its last five non-conference games, and 0-5 ATS in its last five against losing opponents. BYU should be the pick.

Over Under Pick

BYU quarterback Zach Wilson was inconsistent against the Utes, and that is putting it generously. Meanwhile, Tennessee’s ground game underwhelmed and it will be much tougher sledding against BYU’s defense than it was lining up face to face with Georgia State. The under is 25-10 in the Cougars’ last 35 overall, 5-1 in their last six on the road, 5-0 in their last five against the SEC, and 22-9 in their last 31 against non-conference foes. It is also 6-2 in the Volunteers’ last eight non-conference contests, 13-5 in their last 18 against losing opponents, and 4-1 in their last five following a loss. Take the UNDER.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:00pm ET:
Central Florida Knights @ Florida Atlantic

Central Florida Knights

Florida Atlantic

Central Florida Knights -10.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 70.0 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The UCF Knights are ready to continue their dominant season as they head onto the road to take on the FAU Owls. For the Owls, they are looking to rebound after a horrible performance against the Ohio State Buckeyes but will run into trouble by the Knights as they have looked practically flawless this season. It was a cakewalk for the Knights in their Week 1 game as they crushed Florida A&M by the final score of 62-0. With that in mind, the complete team right now is the Knights and remember they easily took care of the Owls last season. Pick the road team here as the favorites will cover with ease once again in Week 2.

Over Under Pick

Sometimes fading the public is the right choice to make and it will be with this Over-Under pick. Even though when these two teams met, they nearly combined for a total of 100 points. Come Saturday this total is currently sitting at 70 points and there is a strong reason to believe that it says under that total. The Under is 3-0-1 in Owls last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game as well as 5-1 in Owls last 6 games following an ATS win. I’m rolling with the trend and taking the Under here.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:00pm ET:
Coastal Carolina @ Kansas

Coastal Carolina

Kansas

Kansas -7.5 Point Spread

-105

Over 54.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Jayhawks opened up as ten-point favorites for this game, but money has come in strong with the Chanticleers and the line has moved down to 7.5. At 7.5 there is a lot of value with the Jayhawks because of one thing, turnovers. The Jayhawks defense is really good at creating them, and they are facing a quarterback for the Chanticleers who turned the ball over four times in the opening game. The Jayhawks defense should create plenty of short fields for the Jayhawks offense. Chanticleers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. This is one of the best plays on the board all of Saturday. Back the Jayhawks to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I am staying away from and there really isn’t even a lean. Coastal just gave up 30 points to Eastern Michigan, a team that doesn’t have a great offense, which means the Jayhawks should be able to run up the score. I wouldn’t bet on this, but it’s a slight lean to the over to cash because of the Jayhawks offense.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Buffalo @ Penn State

Buffalo

Penn State

Buffalo Bulls +29.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 56.0 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Buffalo Bulls will head to Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Buffalo Bulls come into this matchup with a 1-0 record, and they will surely be working to continue their success after crushing Robert Morris, 38-10. The Buffalo Bulls’ ground game was strong as Jaret Patterson led his team with 90 yards and a TD on 12 carries last weekend. The Buffalo Bulls defensive side was very strong against Robert Morris as they held them at 10 points and 240 yards while also forcing a turnover. The Nittany Lions are also coming off a huge victory against the Idaho Vandals, who they held at 79-7. Sean Clifford threw for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns, and KJ Hamler made 4 catches for 115 yards and 2 touchdowns. This should be a pretty even matchup, with strong talent on both sides. I have a feeling that Penn State will win, but Buffalo will surely cover.

Over Under Pick

Both these teams have been scoring well, especially the Nittany Lions. The Buffalo Bulls and Nittany Lions with both be trying very hard to avoid a loss, and will be giving their respective offensive efforts 100%. Take the over on this one.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Tulane Waves @ Auburn

Tulane Waves

Auburn

Auburn -17.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 51.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Auburn Tigers freshman quarterback Bo Nix announced his presence on the national scene by orchestrating a game-winning drive late in his debut. Nix threw two interceptions and completed just 41.9 percent of his passes last week, but he ran for a key fourth down and threw a touchdown pass to Seth Williams with nine seconds left as the Tigers edged Oregon 27-21 at a neutral site in Texas. Williams, who was third on the team with 26 receptions last season, had four in the opener. The Tigers found their running game in the second half, too, and sophomore halfback JaTarvious Whitlow finished with 110 yards on 24 carries. Senior defensive back Jeremiah Dinson recorded a team-high 13 tackles to go along with a sack in the opener and was named SEC Defensive Player of the Week. Tulane is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 on the road against opponents with winning records and 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 on grass. The Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four at home. Expect AUBURN to take care of business.

Over Under Pick

The Green Wave totaled 545 yards, with 350 coming on the ground, in the season-opening 42-14 victory over Florida International and senior quarterback Justin McMillan was named American Athletic Conference Offensive Player of the Week McMillan went 14-of-18 for 199 yards with touchdown passes to senior Darnell Mooney. Go with the OVER.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Nevada Wolfpack @ Oregon

Nevada Wolfpack

Oregon

Oregon -24.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 61.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Interesting matchup here. Nevada had one of the nice upsets of the first week and Oregon kind of got their heart ripped out late. Nevada beat Purdue as 11 point underdogs at home last week. You don’t want to read too much into one result but that might mean they are better than expected. They were not really expected to be a threat in the MWC this year. They hit the road this week and are very big underdogs at Oregon. The Ducks were very close to getting a huge win against Auburn to start the season. They played most of that game with a lead so it has to sting just a little more. Oregon has a definite home field advantage but I am little worried about quarterback Justin Herbert, he was pretty ordinary against the Tigers. He did not look like a guy who might be the first pick in the draft in April. Still take the Ducks.

Over Under Pick

Oregon played good defense against Auburn but that offense was pretty lame so it might not have been a good indicator. They should be able to be sharp on defense again in this one. Nevada gave up a lot of yards to Purdue and even though the Ducks might not have a singular talent like WR Rondale Moore their overall talent is much better than the Boilermakers. This number look great to go over. Offenses will in the day.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Arkansas @ Ole Miss

Arkansas

Ole Miss

Arkansas +6.5 Point Spread

-105

Under 50.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

Both teams looked awful in week one even though Arkansas ultimately won their game. The Razorbacks squeaked out a win over Portland State by a score of 20-13. They were favored by 30.5 in this game, so the fact that they only won by 7 is concerning. Ole Miss lost to Memphis, which is a more respectable loss, but still a game where many thought they would win. The Razorbacks are 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 games against Ole Miss. The underdog is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 games played between these two teams. Seeing that both teams really struggled to score, I like Arkansas to keep this game close so give me the Razorbacks plus the points.

Over Under Pick

The total went under for both these teams in their opening game and I lean to the under in this game as well. Both teams could not score to save their life, but the defense for Arkansas and Ole Miss held their opponents to 15 points or less. With this being an SEC rivalry game, I believe defense will ultimately take over in this game and keep this one very low scoring. That said, my official pick is the under, however this is a game I would bet very small.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Western Michigan @ Michigan State

Western Michigan

Michigan State

Western Michigan +16.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 46.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Western Michigan Broncos will visit Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan on Saturday to take on the Michigan State Spartans. The Spartans, ranked No. 18, began its season with a 48-13 victory over Monmouth. Jon Wassink threw for five touchdowns, acting as the leading force in Saturday’s dominating victory. He finished with 368 passing yards, 226 of which occurred in the first half. Giovanni Ricci caught five passes for 97 yards and two touchdowns. Michigan State came out swinging last week as well. They paired solid offensive attack with their indestructible defense to crush the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 28-7. The Spartans defense was integral to their win on Friday, and I have a feeling this trend will continue. Michigan State has won 21 straight home openers, and though the Broncos are a tough team, don’t see them then having what it takes to change that trend. The Spartans will win, and the Broncos will cover.

Over Under Pick

The under is 9-0 in the Spartans’ last 9 games overall, and 6-0 in the Broncos’ last 6 vs. Big Ten teams. The Spartans’ defense will be the determining factor on how this game unfolds. These guys aren’t letting anyone score. Take the under.

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky

Eastern Michigan

Kentucky

Kentucky -15.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 53.0 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Kentucky Wildcats will look to continue its mastery of the Mid-American Conference on Saturday when they host the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Kentucky has won 11 straight and 32 of 39 games overall against the MAC, including a 24-20 triumph over the Eagles in their only prior meeting in 2017. UK has improves massively since then, to the extent that it contended for the SEC East crown throughout the 2018 campaign. The ‘Cats disposed of another MAC team (Toledo) in their season opener behind a strong second half from junior quarterback Terry Wilson. After amassing just 56 passing yards in the first half, Wilson aired it out–something he promised the Wildcats were going to do more of this season–in the second half with 190 yards and a pair of touchdowns. That included a 32-yard score to freshman Bryce Oliver. Eastern Michigan is 12-25 ATS in its last 37 following a win. The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against the MAC and 5-2 in their last seven following a win. Roll with KENTUCKY.

Over Under Pick

The Wilson-to-Oliver combinations looks formidable. Lynn Bowden, Jr., was Wilson’s favorite target as the duo connected on six completions for 77 yards–which sent the junior from Youngstown, Ohio, over the 1,000-yard receiving mark for his career. Mike Glass III was nearly perfect in leading the Eagles back from a 10-0 deficit in their opener against Coastal Carolina, completing 20 of 22 passes for three touchdowns while also running for a score. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles’ last six against the SEC. It is also 4-0 in the Wildcats’ last four overall and 6-0 in their last six non-conference contests. Look for this one to go over the total.

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College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 7:30pm ET:
LSU @ Texas

LSU

Texas

LSU -6.5 Point Spread

-111

Under 55.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The LSU Tigers and the Texas Longhorns face off in a big-time early season showdown and this could be one of the best games of the season. Both of these teams have expectations of competing in the college football playoff and the loser of this game could be eliminated. I really like the Tigers to have a lot of success in this game, and maybe even win the game outright. The Tigers always have a good defense, but the question is always on the offensive end. I know it was only Georgia Southern, but they moved up and down the field with ease, and quarterback Joe Burrow threw five touchdowns. The Tigers have the complete package to blowout the Longhorns. Back the Tigers to cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

This total has moved up to 56, and I think that the original number of 52 was too high. The Tigers defense is strong, and I think in this game they are going to really slow down the Longhorns who don’t have many strong backs healthy. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games on fieldturf. Under is 10-2 in Longhorns last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Back the under to get the job done in this game.

Sat, Sep 7th - 8:00pm ET:
Miami Florida @ Tar Heels

Miami Florida

Tar Heels

North Carolina +4.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 47.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Miami Hurricanes head on the road once again as they take on the North Carolina Tar Heels. For the Hurricanes, the name and brand might be known but a deeper look into this team this year proves they have a lot of holes on both sides of the ball. The Hurricanes enter this game having lost seven of the past nine road games and simply are not that all-around team they used to be. They cannot seem to have a consistent offensive line and it showed against the Gators. To be honest, I would not be surprised if the Tar Heels win this game. They have an offensive line and quarterback who they trust. Also looking at this game, the home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Over Under Pick

When these two teams meet, it is always a rough and tough meeting. It has shown in the trends as the Under has hit in 5-2 in the previous seven. The turnover chain might be out a couple of times, but expect the Tar Heels to be in control of this game. The Under is 7-0-1 in Hurricanes last 8 games overall as well as 3-0-1 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a straight-up loss. Make the right choice and pick the Under.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 8:30pm ET:
Utep Miners @ Texas Tech

Utep Miners

Texas Tech

Texas Tech -34.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 65.0 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Texas Tech Red Raiders looked good in their opening week and they should continue the success in week two. The Red Raiders offense was good running up to 45 points, while the defense was also good giving up only ten points. UTEP had trouble getting past Houston Baptist in game one only winning by two points while they were 17.5 point favorites. They have failed to cover their last four spreads, and it won’t change in this game. Back the Red Raiders to win this game in blowout fashion and covering the spread.

Over Under Pick

The Miners gave up 34 points to Houston Baptist, and they haven’t been known as a good offensive team. The Red Raiders offense has to be licking their chops thinking about what they can do against the Miners defense. Over is 7-0 in Red Raiders last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Over is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games following an against the spread win. Back the over to cash in this game.

College Hoops Power Rankings: Spartans surge, Wildcats fall

Sat, Sep 7th - 10:30pm ET:
Minnesota @ Fresno State

Minnesota

Fresno State

Fresno State +3.0 Point Spread

+100

Under 48.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Minnesota Golden Gophers will meet the Fresno State Bulldogs at Bulldog Stadium on Saturday night to duke it out in week two of the season. The Golden Gophers will be looking to extend their winning streak after beating South Dakota State 28-21 in week one. Tanner Morgan threw for 176 yards, and was responsible for a touchdown and an interception, while Rodney Smith led the Gophers with 92 rushing yards. Mohamed Ibrahim and Seth Green each had a rushing touchdown, and Rashod Bateman led the Golden Gophers’ receiving group with 5 catches for 132 yards and a touchdown. The Bulldogs will be looking to grab a win after losing 31-23 against USC last week. Jorge Reyna threw for 256 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. He also led the Bulldogs with 88 rushing yards. Ronnie Rivers had 53 rushing yards and Derrion Grim had 86 receiving yards and a touchdown. Chris Coleman had 71 receiving yards and secured a touchdown as well. It’s going to be a close game, But Minnesota’s momentum this season makes me think they have this one in the bag. The Gophers will win, and the Bulldogs will cover.

Over Under Pick

The under is 5-0 in the Golden Gophers last 5 games overall, 4-1 in the Bulldogs last 5 home games. A lot of people seem to think this game will definitely go over, but I’m skeptical. both these teams are solid defensively. Take the Under.

Sat, Sep 7th - 10:30pm ET:
California @ Washington

California

Washington

California +14.0 Point Spread

-111

Under 44.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Cal is on an upward trajectory and this game would be a big get for them. They have one of the most underrated defenses nationally and one of the best in the PAC 12. To compete in this one they need that group to really play well. They were just OK in beating UC Davis last week but they did beat Washingt on last year. The Huskies lost a lot on both sides of the ball from last season but still had little trouble with Eastern Washington, another FCS team. That was the debut for local phenom Jacob Eason who transferred from Georgia. He looked really good in the easy win and cover and his arm strength gives Husky opponents more to think about. You have to consider the opponent but they wer nicely balanced overall with 200 yards on the ground to go with 370 through the air. I see an upset as possible but most likely Cal loses…and covers.

Over Under Pick

Last year’s game was a 12-10 slugfest won by the Bears. I am not anticipating something that low but Cal has become good at keeping the score down. They gave up just 13 points in their opener. They are also never going to score a ton unless they get some turnovers that really shorten up the field. Washington still has good defensive personell despite NFL defections. Go under.

Sat, Sep 7th - 10:30pm ET:
Stanford @ USC

Stanford

USC

Stanford +1.0 Point Spread

-111

Over 45.5 Game Totals

-111

Against the Spread Pick

There is talent on these teams but neither played especially well in their openers. Stanford beat Northwestern in a low scoring affair. They were missing quarterback KJ Costello for most of the game and it showed. He is expected back for this one and gives the Cardinal a major edge over USC who saw their starter do down for the season in a win over Fresno State. The backup had just transferred out of the program so they are essentially down to their third string freshman, Kedon Clovis. Clovis has one of the best set of receivers in the nation but it is a lot to ask a guy in his position, with his pedigree to rescue the program. USC was able to run the ball against Fresno but that will be a lot tougher against Stanford. This could definitely a low scoring affair. The Trojans scored only three points against Stanford a year ago. Even though this one is at the Coliseum take the visitors.

Over Under Pick

The points in last year’s game were just 20, an easy under. USC won the two previous and the totals were over. This game is hovering around a pick’em so the side might not really matter in terms of the final score. USC is using a new look offense but can they get Clovis up to speed quickly enough. I think they can, more than enough to get the over here.

Sat, Sep 7th - 11:59pm ET:
Oregon State @ Hawaii

Oregon State

Hawaii

Hawaii -6.5 Point Spread

-111

Over 78.5 Game Totals

-111

Against The Spread Pick

Even though they are already out west it is still a long trip out to Hawaii for Oregon State. The Beavers had no defensive answers against Oklahoma State as they gave up 52 points but the Cowboys are a really good offensive team. The other OSU scored 36 so I expect that they should be able to keep pace with Hawaii. They could upset on the Island. For Hawaii they are looking for a second win against the PAC 12. They hosted Arizone in week zero and sent the Wildcats packing with a loss as a 10 point favourite. The game might not have even been close if Cole McDonald had not thrown 4 picks. He only had 10 all of last year as one of the most productive players in the NCAAs. Shifty Cedric Byrd is a tough cover, he had over 200 yards and four TDs against UA. Oregon State will have to play well to just cover. Back Hawaii.

Over Under Pick

Both of these teams went over in their first games and I am expecting more of the same. The ball will mostly be moved through the air which generally means quick scoring drives. McDonald has an edge at QB but really both defenses are going to be playing catchup. This one could be wild and I think it will go over the high total.