UFC Fight Night 278 Best Bets: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim
**UFC Fight Night 278 is set for Saturday, June 6th, at the META Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight card will feature a main event in the UFC Welterweight division between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim. Below we have 3 best bets for the action, all of which will be on the main card. Be sure to check out all of our **[UFC Fight Night 278 predictions](https://www.pickswise.com/ufc/)**. ## UFC Fight Night 278 best bet: Gabriel Bonfim ML over Belal Muhammad (+102) *Odds Available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Playable to +100.* Bonfim enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-1 and 7-1 in the UFC, averaging 4.61 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 46%. On the other side, Bonfim is absorbing 3.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.60 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 55%, and his takedown defense is 76%. Muhammad is the small favorite, but I disagree with that valuation from the oddsmakers. Bonfim looks to be the best betting option in this fight given his superior form, striking and grappling. For what it’s worth, Bonfim has won 4 fights in a row, while his opponent has lost 2 straight. **Check out our full prediction for** **[Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim](https://www.pickswise.com/ufc/games/gabriel-bonfim-belal-muhammad-ufc-2026-06-07-0200/picks/)** ## UFC Fight Night 278 best bet: Santiago Luna ML over Bryce Mitchell (+120) *Odds Available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Playable to +110.* The second fight on the main card at UFC Fight Night 278 will see Bryce Mitchell take on Santiago Luna in the UFC Bantamweight division. Luna is 8-0 overall and 2-0 in the UFC, averaging 8.20 significant strikes per minute with striking accuracy of 54%. Defensively, He absorbs 3.82 strikes at 71%. His grappling has been elite as well, averaging 4.21 takedowns every 15 minutes along with an accuracy of 83% and a defense of 50%. Mitchell is the favorite, but again I'm going with the underdog. Luna not only has superior striking ability, but he also has the edge in grappling. Further, Luna has never lost in his career, while Mitchell is a mediocre 3-3 over his last 6 UFC fights. ## UFC Fight Night 278 best bet: Iwo Baraniewski Win by KO/TKO over Junior Tafa (-150) *Odds Available at Bet365 Sportsbook. Playable to -160.* The first fight on the main card at UFC Fight Night 278 pits Iwo Baraniewski and Junior Tafa in the Light Heavyweight division. Baraniewski is an impressive 8-0 overall and 3-0 in the UFC, while he averages a whopping 15.77 significant strikes per minute with 70% accuracy. On the other end, Baraniewski absorbs 14.01 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. Because Baraniewski is a significant favorite with his insane striking profile, we’re going to target his method of victory. Baraniewski only has a handful of UFC fights under his belt, but has won all 3 of them by KO/TKO. Tafa, on the other hand, has lost the majority of his UFC fights, and many of his losses have been by finish. Baraniewski’s superior edge in striking is the difference maker in this fight, so let’s bet on it accordingly. Check out our full prediction for Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa
