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UFC Fight Night 279 Best Bets: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC

UFC Fight Night 279 Best Bets: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Matthew Lowrimore
Matthew LowrimoreAuthor
CreatedJun 18, 2026
Reading time3 min

UFC Fight Night 279 is scheduled for Saturday, June 20 at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, and will feature a Main Event in the UFC Flyweight division between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi. Below, I have my 3 best bets for UFC Fight Night 279 -- which will include fights from the Main Card.

Be sure to also check out all of our UFC Fight Night 279 predictions.

UFC Fight Night 279 Best Bet: Kyoji Horiguchi ML over Manel Kape (+136)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Playable to +136.

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 279 will see Manel Kape take on Kyoji Horiguchi in the UFC Flyweight division. Horiguchi enters this fight with an MMA record of 36-5 and 9-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Horiguchi absorbs 2.13 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.61 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 61%.

Kape is the clear favorite in this fight; however, Horiguchi looks to be the best betting option. Horiguchi has already had a highly successful UFC career, having lost just once and riding a five-fight win streak. Kape does have the better striking volume, but Horiguchi has been better at limiting the damage against him and has never lost by KO/TKO in the UFC. Given that Horiguchi is beginning to look like a top-level UFC fighter, plus has the advantage in grappling, backing Horiguchi to win will be our best bet.

Check out our full prediction for Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape.

UFC Fight Night 279 Best Bet: Hyder Amil vs. Christian Rodriguez - Fight to go the Distance - Yes (-150)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Playable to -150.

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 279 will see Hyder Amil take on Christian Rodriguez in the UFC Featherweight division. Rodriguez is the heavy favorite; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Amil has seen 3 of his 6 UFC fights go the distance, which includes 2 of his last 3 fights, while Rodriguez has seen 8 of his 10 career UFC fights go the distance and his last 3 fights in a row. Given that both fighters have been able to survive in recent fights, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.

UFC Fight Night 279 Best Bet: Murtazali Magomedov Win by Finish over Melsik Baghdasaryan (-105)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Playable to -105.

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 279 will see Melsik Baghdasaryan take on Murtazali Magomedov in the UFC Featherweight division. Magomedov enters this game with an MMA record of 10-0 and a UFC record of 1-0. He is averaging 5.57 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Magomedov absorbs 1.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 84%.

Magomedov is the significant favorite; therefore, we will be looking for him to win by any finish. So far in his MMA career, Magomedov has won 5 times by KO/TKO and 5 times by submission. Baghdasaryan, on the other hand, has lost twice in the UFC, so backing Magomedov to win by finish will be our best bet.