UFC 315: Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva Prediction for Saturday, 05/10/25

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 315 will see Alexa Grasso take on Natalia Silva. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. Grasso enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-4-1 and 8-4-1 in the UFC. She is averaging 4.19 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Grasso is absorbing 3.69 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. Her grappling is not as strong, averaging just 0.58 takedowns every 15 minutes. Grasso has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 54%.

Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-5-1 and 6-0 in the UFC. She is averaging 5.19 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Silva is absorbing 2.35 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. Her grappling is not nearly as good, averaging just 0.40 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 25%, and more importantly, her takedown defense is 91%.

Silva is the clear favorite, but still looks to be the best betting option. Not only is she undefeated in the UFC, but she also has the advantage in striking volume compared to Grasso. Neither Grasso nor Silva is a prolific grappler, but Silva has an elite takedown defense to help prevent any grappling Grasso might attempt. Therefore, given her quick success in the UFC, backing Silva to win will be our lean.