Matthew Lowrimore
UFC 317 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It features a UFC Lightweight title fight between Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira as the Main Event and a UFC Flyweight title fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Kara-France as the Co-Main Event. Here are our UFC 317 best bets, which will include 2 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 317 Main Card fights scheduled for Saturday.
UFC 317 Main Card Best Bets
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Joshua Van ML over Brandon Royval (-118)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 317 will see Brandon Royval take on Joshua Van. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Royval enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-7 and 7-3 in the UFC. As for Van, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2 and 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 8.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Van absorbs 5.26 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.96 takedowns every 15 minutes. Van has a takedown accuracy of 63% and a takedown defense of 81%.
Van is the small favorite in this fight and looks to be the best betting option. He has the clear advantage in striking volume, plus he has a slight edge in grappling. Royval is, however, better at forcing submissions, but Van also has an elite takedown defense that should prevent this. Given that Van has had a successful UFC career thus far, backing him to win will be our UFC 317 best bet.
You can also find out our UFC 317 parlay picks at +261 odds!
Renato Moicano ML over Beneil Dariush (-122)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 317 will see Beneil Dariush take on Renato Moicano. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Dariush enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-6-1 and 16-6-1 in the UFC. As for Moicano, He enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-6-1 and 12-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Moicano is absorbing 3.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.82 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 44% and a takedown defense of 71%.
This fight looks to be evenly matched, with Moicano set as the small favorite. Moicano has the advantage in striking volume, while Dariush has a small advantage in grappling. Despite this advantage, Dariush has lost each of his last two UFC fights. Therefore, given his recent inconsistencies, backing Moicano to win will be our best bet.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 317!
