UFC 316: Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/07/25

The Co-Main Event at UFC 316 will see Julianna Pena take on Kayla Harrison. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Bantamweight division, and it will be for the UFC Women’s Bantamweight title. Pena enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-5 and 8-3 in the UFC. She averages 3.25 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Pena absorbs 2.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 1.81 takedowns every 15 minutes. Pena has a takedown accuracy of 56%, and her takedown defense is 23%.

Harrison enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-1 and 2-0 in the UFC. She averages 4.87 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 64%. Harrison absorbs 1.19 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. Her grappling has also been elite, averaging 2.75 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.7 submission attempts during the same period. She has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Harrison is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking for her to win by finish. Harrison only has one win by finish in the UFC, but overall has won 13 times by finish in her MMA career. She has the significant advantage in both striking volume and grappling, while 2 of Pena’s 3 losses in the UFC have been by finish. For that reason, backing Harrison to win by finish will be our best bet.