UFC 316: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/07/25
UFC 316: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Pickswise Expert Predictions
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 316 will see Kelvin Gastelum take on Joe Pyfer. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Gastelum enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-9 and 13-9 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.74 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. Gastelum absorbs 3.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.10 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 59%.
Pyfer enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-3 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.72 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Pyfer absorbs 3.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.45 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 50%.
Pyfer is the clear favorite in this fight, so we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Pyfer has seen 5 of his last 6 UFC fights end inside the distance, and Gastelum has seen 14 of his last 28 career fights do the same. Because Pyfer has been finishing nearly all his opponents, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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