UFC 316: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Prediction

UFC 316: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/07/25

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UFC 316: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-210)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 316 will see Vicente Luque take on Kevin Holland. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Luque enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-10-1 and 16-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Luque absorbs 5.22 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.99 takedowns every 15 minutes. Luque has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 62%.

Holland enters this fight with an MMA record of 27-13 and 15-10 in the UFC. He averages 4.19 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Holland absorbs 3.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.77 takedowns every 15 minutes. Holland has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown of 54%.

For this matchup, we will target the fight to end inside the distance. Holland has seen 9 of his last 12 UFC fights end inside the distance. As for Luque, he has seen 7 of his last 9 UFC fights do the same. Therefore, because both fighters have had a high finish rate recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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